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Insights and Analysis
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21 мая, 21:30

Oil: Are Options Skews Reliable Price Indicators?

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Investors in the oil market seem to be more concerned over a market slump than a rally, as reflected in out-of-the-money options skews. Were they right?

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20 мая, 19:51

Ag Crosscurrents

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As the escalating U.S.-China trade war pummels U.S. agriculture, especially soybeans, another blow could come from weather delaying spring planting.

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14 мая, 14:00

Is Oil Rally Getting "Stop" Signal from Soybean Oil?

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Soyoil prices, which have a 15-year history of forerunning the crude oil market, are signaling the crude oil rally has peaked, if politics is not a factor.

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13 мая, 19:26

Double Trouble Ahead

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The U.S. government is facing twin challenges – avoiding another government shutdown and a technical debt default. Will there be a compromise?

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13 мая, 17:30

May 2019 Ags Update

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See what’s happening in the Ags markets, including how the African Swine Fever crisis in China may affect the global hog market, latest on Black Sea Wheat and Corn markets, and more.

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09 мая, 19:40

Equity Options Skews: Why No Surprises?

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Major selloffs in equities are often followed by sharp rallies. Do out-of-the-money options skews offer clues if the market is oversold or about to rally?

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08 мая, 17:41

Think Tank Points to U.S. Growth Slowing

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Anxious about the U.S. economy? The Conference Board think tank is pointing to growth slowing to 1.5-2.0% but there are no imminent signs of a recession.

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07 мая, 14:00

Gold/Silver Options Skews: Upside Risk Ahead?

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Do out-of-the-money put options in gold and silver offer any investment guidance? We created a model of a fully-funded long futures position to find out.

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06 мая, 19:11

U.S.-China Trade War: The Perils of Escalation

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Any failure of the US and China to amicably resolve their festering trade war could have serious consequences for the world's two largest economies.

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06 мая, 14:00

Will ECB Change Course to End Negative Rates?

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Negative rates aimed at boosting European bank lending instead had the opposite effect. Will the ECB end this policy and raise rates in 2019?

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02 мая, 21:41

CME Group Supports ISDA’s LIBOR Fallback Provisions

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CME Group is fully supportive of efforts by the official sector, ARRC, ISDA and their industry-wide working groups, to improve and strengthen LIBOR Fallbacks.

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29 апреля, 14:00

The Short and Long of Oil

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Short-term forces centered on supply constraints are driving the oil market higher but increasing fuel efficiency could temper prices over the long term.