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Insights and Analysis
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27 мая, 14:33

Our Model Forecasts May Non-Farm Payroll, and June’s Too

We have developed a model that not only forecasts the next U.S. payroll data scheduled for release on June 1 but also the report after that on July 6.

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23 мая, 14:00

Euro-Dollar Caught in a Fiscal-Monetary Tug-of-War

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The euro-U.S. dollar exchange rate is in a bind, with monetary and fiscal policies pulling in opposite directions. That could change amid Fed rate hikes.

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14 мая, 21:00

Oil: Futures to Remain in Backwardation Amid Mideast Tension

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Spot oil prices are expected to remain higher than futures further out along the maturity curve amid the simmering tension in the Middle East over Iran.

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10 мая, 18:40

U.S. Pullout of Iran Nuclear Deal: What Next for Oil, Business?

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How will the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal impact oil markets, Middle East peace process and global trade? Our research offers some answers.

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07 мая, 23:15

Oil: As Price Tops $70, Will Shale Producers Ramp Up Output?

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As crude oil prices top $70 per barrel amid escalating Mideast geopolitical risk premium, will shale producers ramp up output as they lock in prices?

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07 мая, 10:56

Gold: At the Crossroads of Fiscal and Monetary Policies

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Gold has shown a lack of direction amid the push-pull effects of fiscal and monetary policies. Our research takes you through gold's possible paths forward.

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03 мая, 23:15

Fed's Challenges as its Steers Away From Emergency Policies

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The Fed faces several key challenges as it charts a new monetary course in the aftermath of the emergency policies put in place during the Bernanke era.

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02 мая, 23:00

Fed Eyes Sustainable Monetary Policy Post-Great Recession

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The Fed is likely to spend the next year exploring how to create a sustainable monetary policy for an economy that no longer needs emergency assistance.

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02 мая, 18:45

Oil: Will Mideast Risk Premium Rise Before Driving Season?

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Oil prices have been rising amid faster global growth and the inclusion of a risk premium in case the simmering tension in the Middle East escalates.

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30 апреля, 23:30

Fed Unwinding Bernanke Experiments: Progress Report

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The Fed's interesting challenges as it seeks to fashion a sustainable monetary policy that fits with the current economic climate and regulatory framework.

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30 апреля, 14:00

Volatility Returns: Phase Transitions in Equities

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Equities volatility has stormed back after a quiet 2017 without any disruption to liquidity, allowing for timely trade executions and risk management.

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26 апреля, 14:00

Oil: How the Market Dynamics Have Changed

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Oil prices are surging due in part to the simmering Middle East tension but the market dynamics are different from the rallies in 2008 and 2012/13.