Allstate (ALL) continues to incur weather-related losses because of exposure to property & casualty business.
A number of initiatives taken by Allstate (ALL) should drive long-term growth, but catastrophe loss remains a woe.
A complete assessment of the property damage wrought by Hurricane Harvey will take weeks, if not months, to deliver. But as the first disaster victims return to their homes, some are being forced to confront an unfortunate reality: Gaps in their homeowners’ insurance that will leave them on the hook for thousands of dollars’ worth of damages. According to analytics firm CoreLogic, hundreds of thousands of affected residents in Texas and Louisiana aren’t insured for flooding damage. The firm estimated that residential flooding has caused $25 billion to $37 billion in damage spread across 70 counties in Texas and Louisiana hit by Harvey. Of that, about 70%—or $18 billion to $27 billion—is uninsured. Scientists have confirmed that Harvey caused a "1-in-1,000-year flood" and that the total cost of property damage and lost productivity could be as high as $190 billion. One homeowner who spoke with the Wall Street Journal said the first thing she did when she returned to her home was check the details of her insurance policy. “Among them is Andrea Womack, a 38-year-old mother of four. The carpet and some clothing in her one-story house in Houston’s Settegast neighborhood were damaged by water. On Friday morning, Ms. Womack was waiting for an insurance company representative to come by and go through what was covered. ‘I signed up for insurance a while back, but on my papers it says it does not cover flood insurance. So I’m not sure’ what will be covered, she said.” The Federal government’s flood-insurance program has written 250,000 policies for Houston residents, compared with 1.7 million housing units that may’ve experienced flood damage, according to WSJ. “Overall, households and businesses in Harris County, which includes Houston, held roughly 249,000 federal flood insurance policies as of June 30, according to the Federal Emergency Management Agency. There are about 1.7 million housing units in the county.” The reason is simple: Even in flood-prone areas, many homeowners don’t read the fine print of their insurance policies until disaster strikes. “Many homeowners never examine details of the policies they buy, and it is only after a flood they learn the basics: Standard homeowners’ policies provide payouts for damage from wind, fire, fallen trees and other storm-related events—but not flooding. For that, people generally need to buy separate policies from the U.S. government, through its nearly 50-year-old National Flood Insurance Program.” In an ironic twist, homeowners with mortgage debt might be better off than their peers who own their homes outright. “Those homeowners who do have flood insurance are likely those whose mortgage lenders require it, said Etti Baranoff, an associate professor of insurance at Virginia Commonwealth University. ‘The mortgage company checks if your home is in a flood zone or not, and they’ll make you take’ a policy out if so, she said.” But even those who bought flood insurance from the federal government may not receive enough to cover all their property damage, according to WSJ. These policies pay out a maximum $250,000 for rebuilding and $100,000 for personal possessions. Some homeowners are putting the cleanup on hold until they’ve spoken to an insurance agent. “'That’s kind of storm Houstonians judge everything by,’ said Mr. Truss, 36 years old. ‘It did not flood during Allison.’ Even so, the couple’s bank still required them to get a federal flood policy that they bought through their Allstate agent. ‘We’re hearing you have to have [all the damaged items] to get insurance’ claims paid, Mr. Truss said, surveying the piles of clothes, toys and books in his front yard. He said he was initially going to wait until he heard from insurance officials before clearing out the house, but “it would be a disaster if we kept waiting any longer. He’s trying to photograph every item to show an insurance adjuster eventually.” The National Flood Insurance Program is already bracing to pay out claims equal, or perhaps larger, than the amount disbursed after Superstorm Sandy. “Standard homeowners’ policies do pay for some damage from water—such as if it enters the house after the wind rips off the roof or a tree crashes through the attic. But if water overflows a riverbank or gushes down a street to seep into a house, the homeowner can expect a claim to be rejected, according to industry lawyers. The federal flood insurance program’s payouts for Harvey appear on track to rival those made for superstorm Sandy in 2012, the nation’s third costliest hurricane (behind Katrina in 2005 and Andrew in 1992.) So far, 130,622 Sandy claims have cost the program $8.4 billion, an average of $64,331 apiece, according to the Insurance Information Institute trade group.” And in what’s likely to be a boon for auto makers, payouts for car-related damages could be “several times larger” than those for homes. “Insurers’ payouts for cars damaged by Harvey’s flooding could be several times larger than those they make for homes. Investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods puts insured personal and commercial auto costs at roughly $4.7 billion. But not all the estimated 500,000 vehicles flooded by Harvey are covered by insurance. Overall private-market insurance payouts for Harvey are expected to be dominated by payments to business policyholders and range from $10 billion to $20 billion altogether. At the high end, they would likely top those for Sandy, which cost $19.8 billion in 2016 dollars, according to the Insurance Information Institute.” However, KBW noted that 13% of Texas motorists don't own any car insurance whatsoever, according to Insurance Research Council. And of those who do, more than a fifth don't buy " comprehensive" coverage, which protects against flooding damage. Many vehicle owners go with just the bare-bones liability coverage that is required by law. In areas where homes were damaged by both flooding and wind, homeowners should expect insurers to try and dispute some of their claims, according to WSJ, local courts should be sympathetic to homeowners. “If there is a breath of wind and breath of storm surge, that ought to be enough to put in front of the Texas courts and ask for relief for these people,” said David Wood, a policyholder lawyer for corporate clients at Barnes & Thornburg LLP in Los Angeles." While individual homeowners may end up settling for reimbursements that don’t cover the damage, at least, according to JPM, the economies of the 70 counties affected by the storm may find an “offset” in the construction boom expected to follow the storm. The investment bank says it could provide a slight boost to US GDP estimates in the third and fourth quarter.
Hurricane Harvey has unleashed unparalleled devastation on southwest Texas, flooding Houston, the fourth largest city in the US, and many towns along the Gulf coast from Galveston, to Port Lavaca and beyond. But even Harvey’s 130 mph winds aren’t strong enough to threaten the ironclad balance sheets of America’s largest insurers, which have amassed a “fatter-than-ever” capital cushion capable of absorbing any payouts related to what looks to be, by several measures, one of the worst hurricane in US history, according to the Wall Street Journal. Insurers have benefited from years of moderate damages from natural disasters in the US, which have kept payouts to a minimum. “The damage from the Category 4 storm, which hit the Texas coast on Friday, is far from being tallied. It is the first major hurricane to make landfall in the U.S. in more than a decade, and torrential rain will continue this week to cause widespread flooding. Harvey’s timing is good for insurers and insurance customers from one perspective: Personal and commercial insurers have record levels of capital, the money they have on hand that isn’t required to back obligations. With insurers’ overall strong capital position, Harvey is unlikely to cause extensive damage to the industry’s financial strength, though it could hurt quarterly earnings for those carriers with blocks of business in hard-hit areas.” Residential flooding typically isn’t covered by private-sector insurers; instead, it’s the responsibility of the US government’s National Flood Insurance Program. Because of this, Bloomberg estimates that insurers will llikely only pay out claims equal to about one-third of the storm's total cost. The NFIP also sells coverage to small businesses and people who are renters, according to WSJ. Early RMS estimates for wind losses, which would typically be covered by both personal and commercial policies, are in the low-single-digit billions. It would take $100 billion or more of losses during a 12-month period to seriously threaten insurers’ balance sheets, according to WSJ. Hurricane Katrina in 2005, the costliest hurricane in US history, caused nearly $50 billion in insured losses in 2016 dollars. By comparison, US property-and-casualty insurers had $709 billion in surplus in the first quarter of the year, a record high, according to trade group the Insurance Information Institute. According to WSJ, that means the industry had $1 in surplus for every 75 cents of net premiums. “‘You would need to see a significant level of insured losses to have an impact on the excess capital of the industry [and] have a material impact on the pricing environment,’ said Elyse Greenspan, an analyst at Wells Fargo Securities last week.” While the damage in Houston looks to be extensive, the storm missed other population centers in southwest Texas that would've lead to an "extremely high level of losses," according to an analyst roundup published by Bloomberg: First, here's Wells Fargo: Insurers "dodged what could have been an extremely high level of losses," as Harvey hit a less populated area that’s less insured than some large Texas cities, though flooding may add to losses for commercial lines insurers. Initial insured loss estimates have been around $1b-$6b, though this doesn’t include flooding; estimates may be increased since many were made when Harvey was a category 3, but they will still likely be below those from Hurricane Ike, which led to $14.1b of losses. For there to be a "significant breach of reinsurance attachment points," there would likely need to be mid-single digit billions of insured losses; impacted reinsurers could include ACGL, AXS, RE, RNR, VR, SREN VX, MUV2 GY, HNR1 GY, SCR FP. There would need to be substantial insured losses for the industry’s pricing trajectory to change. Meyer Shields of KBW said damages will likely be higher than the low-single-digit-billions that insurers had anticipated as of Friday. Insured losses will likely be higher than the low-single-digit billion dollar estimates from Friday, with flooding generating substantial losses for insurers covering personal and commercial auto and commercial property. Harvey’s upgrade to a category 4 on Friday "highlights the significant uncertainty inherent in hurricane modeling"; Friday’s "relief rally" was premature. Watch losses at primary carriers including ALL, PGR, BRK/A, TRV, CB, AIG, HIG, and AFSI; watch losses at reinsurers including ACGL, AXS, RE, RNR, VR, and XL. Morgan Stanley's Kai Pan, said shares of P&C insurers might face pressure in the near term as nervous investors dump shares rather than countenance the uncertainty while final damage totals are being tallied. P&C insurers may be pressured in the near-term given loss uncertainty; extensive flooding may cause more insured losses than wind causes, impacting commercial insurers more than personal insurers. HIG and TRV are the top Texas commercial insurers, while ALL, BRK/B and PGR are the biggest personal insurers; impacted reinsurers may include AXS, RE, RNR and XL. Insurance carrier stocks usually underperform immediately after major catastrophes but outperform 3-6 months afterward as loss estimates come in and rates stabilize; insurance brokers typically outperform immediately after catastrophes. Sandler O'Neil analyst Paul Newsome said Allstate and Travelers could see a bottom-line impact of between 10 and 40 cents a share. ALL may see 20c-39c per share in losses; TRV may see 10c-20c; CB may see 4c-8c; PGR may see 2c-4c; AIG may see 1c-2c; MET may see 1c. These estimates don’t include any offsetting reinsurance coverage; Sandler’s 3Q estimates generally include elevated catastrophe losses. XL, NAVG and CB may have large additional losses from their reinsurance operations; EMCI and CINF losses may be surprising, as they have small reinsurance operations with unusually big exposure. Initial stock declines are often reversed over time, and investors should use short-term pullbacks to invest insurance stocks they already find attractive; Sandler still has buy ratings on ALL, CB, PGR, AIG, and MET. Finally, RBC's Mark Dwelle cautioned that the final tally of damages could be higher than expected, noting that initial damage estimates for Hurricane Katrina were $10-$15 billion, when the final total was $70 billion. Final damages may vary widely from initial estimates; initial loss estimates after Hurricane Katrina were $10b-15b, and the final number was $70b. At this stage, it’s impossible to reliably estimate insured losses, but most insurers will likely be impacted; all major auto insurers will face losses since they cover flooding, and reinsurers will likely face meaningful losses. Watch losses at ALL, PGR, TRV, AIG, CB, XL. $2b-$6b seems reasonable for wind losses; $10b may be a "good starting point" for flood losses. Harvey isn’t likely to be "significant price firming event." BRO may be a "winner," as it manages flood claims for the U.S. National Flood Program. According to Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz, natural disasters caused approximately $210 billion of economic losses worldwide last year and only 26% was insured. Natural disasters caused approximately $210 billion of economic losses worldwide last year & only 26% was insured: Aon Benfield — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 28, 2017 After climbing on Friday, shares of property and casualty providers lead the S&P supercomposite insurance index lower on Monday. Travelers was down as much as 3.2%, its biggest intraday drop since the day after the election. XL Group was down as much as 3.4%, while Progressive was off as much as 2.9%. Allstate was down as much as 2.4%. All except one of the members in the Bloomberg Intelligence global P&C reinsurance index was falling, with XL Group as the biggest laggard, followed by Everest Re Group, Aspen Insurance Holdings, Axis Capital Holdings Limited and Validus Holdings Ltd. Meanwhile, shares of insurance brokers were climbing, with all but one of the stocks in the S&P supercomposite insurance brokers index trading higher. Brown & Brown rose as much as 2.2% to its highest since January. According to Bloomberg, the Hartford and Travelers are the top commercial insurers in Texas, while Allstate, Berkshire and Progressive are the biggest personal insurers. The top homeowners’ insurers in Texas are State Farm, Allstate Corp. and Farmers Insurance, according to ratings agency A.M. Best. A spokesman for Allianz told Bloomberg it's "too early" to comment on the scope of storm-related damaged. “As the natural catastrophe event is still unfolding, it is too early to comment on the exposure and the potential impact,” Allianz spokeswoman Sandra Matl says in emailed statement. “The AGCS Loss Event Taskforce is closely monitoring and analyzing the situation.” Spokespeople for Munich Re and Hanover Re said it's too early to provide an exact assessment of damages, though they noted that the storm didn't hit as many population centers as analysts had feared, which should help keep payouts to a minimum. “The damages caused by Harvey are mostly due to flooding. Thus far, the storm has mostly hit a relatively sparsely populated area with comparatively little objects of value,” says Ernst Rauch, head of Munich Re’s Corporate Climate Center. Ultimately, the worst storm-related losses might be borne by holders of catastrophe bonds, which are becoming increasingly popular with investors searching for higher yields. “Hurricane Harvey could cause losses for holders of catastrophe bonds. So-called cat bonds are sold by insurers or by large entities seeking insurance, like transit agencies. Investors receive interest payments, but they lose their principal if certain disasters like hurricanes occur. Catastrophe bond issuance hit a record high in the second quarter, according to reinsurance broker Aon Benfield. More than $26 billion of cat bonds were outstanding as of June 30. At the same time, economic losses from disaster events have totaled just $44 billion globally in the first half of 2017, compared with the 10-year average of $120 billion during that period, reinsurer Swiss Re said in an estimate this month. Even if Harvey leads to losses, appetite for cat bonds is expected to remain strong because they offer diversification to pension plans and other large investors. ‘We don’t see [Hurricane Harvey] as a disruptive type of event’ in the cat-bond marketplace, said Paul Schultz, CEO of Aon Securities.” Right now, damages from the storm are expected to total tens of billions of dollars, with current estimates range from $20 billion to $40 billion. And with much of Houston under water, the flooding disaster may rank as one of the most, if not the most, expensive natural disaster in US history. With a final tally of the damage still months, if not years, away one thing is clear: regardless of the strength of their balance sheet, insurers will be dealing with the fallout from this storm for a long time.
Иллинойс уже два года живёт без принятого бюджета, заложенный дефицит в текущем проекте бюджета составляет 6,2 миллиарда долларов, а уже имеющиеся неоплаченные счета - 14,6 миллиарда.
Иллинойс уже два года живёт без принятого бюджета, заложенный дефицит в текущем проекте бюджета составляет 6,2 миллиарда долларов, а уже имеющиеся неоплаченные счета - 14,6 миллиарда.
Затаив дыхание, вся Америка, ее союзники и ее враги — кто со страхом, кто с ужасом, кто с любопытством, кто с надежной, а кто и со злорадством,- наблюдают за тем, как приближается к своему банкротству штат Иллинойс. Суть интриги заключается в том: свершиться ли самое первое за всю историю США банкротство целого штата? Не муниципалитета, ни округа, а целого штата, с численностью 13 млн (5 место в США) и ВВП в 700 млрд долл (как в Нидерландах), имея недостижимые для многих стран 53,8 тыс. долл. на душу. Штата, в котором налоги платят такие расположенные в нем компании, как Caterpillar, Boing, McDonalds, Kraft Foods, Allstate и другие известные транснациональные гиганты.
The Allstate Corp. (ALL) expects to incur catastrophe loss of $403 million pretax ($262 million after tax) in May 2017.
President Donald J. Trump today announced his first wave of United States Attorney candidates. The United States Attorney serves as the chief Federal law enforcement officer within his or her Federal judicial district. These candidates share the President’s vision for “Making America Safe Again.” Accordingly, the President today announced his intent to nominate these individuals to serve as United States Attorney: If confirmed, D. Michael Dunavant of Tennessee will serve as the United States Attorney for the Western District of Tennessee. D. Michael Dunavant has served as the District Attorney General for the 25th Judicial District in Tennessee since 2006. In that role, he has handled or been involved in major prosecutions, covering the full range of criminal offenses, in a geographic region spanning five counties. From 1995 to 2006, Mr. Dunavant practiced law at the firm of Carney, Wilder & Dunavant. Mr. Dunavant received his B.A. from the University of Tennessee at Knoxville in 1992 and his J.D. from the University of Mississippi School of Law in 1995. If confirmed, Louis V. Franklin, Sr., of Alabama will serve as the United States Attorney for the Middle District of Alabama. Louis V. Franklin has served the United States Attorney’s Office for the Middle District of Alabama for nearly 27 years, including as criminal chief for almost 16 years. Mr. Franklin served as an Assistant United States Attorney from 1990 to 1996 and from 1998 to 2001. From 1996 to 1998, Mr. Franklin was an associate at Sirote and Permutt, where he defended public and private organizations in State and Federal civil litigation. Mr. Franklin began his career as a staff attorney at the Legal Services Corporation of Alabama from 1987 to 1990. Mr. Franklin received his B.A. from the University of Alabama in 1981, an M.S. from Auburn University at Montgomery in 1983, and his J.D. from Howard University School of Law in 1987. If confirmed, Justin E. Herdman of Ohio will serve as the United States Attorney for the Northern District of Ohio. Justin E. Herdman is currently a partner in the Investigations & White Collar Defense practice group at Jones Day. Prior to joining Jones Day, Mr. Herdman served as an Assistant United States Attorney in Cleveland, Ohio. During this time, Mr. Herdman prosecuted several terrorism cases and complex national security matters. Mr. Herdman previously served as an Assistant District Attorney in New York City from 2001 to 2005 and as an associate at Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease, LLP. He is currently a Judge Advocate General in the United States Air Force Reserve. Mr. Herdman received his B.A. from Ohio University in 1996, an M.Phil. at the University of Glasgow in 1998, and his J.D. from Harvard Law School in 2001. If confirmed, John W. Huber of Utah will serve as the United States Attorney for the District of Utah. Since June 2015, John W. Huber has served as the United States Attorney for the District of Utah. After serving the District of Utah for nearly two years as a Presidential appointee, Attorney General Jefferson B. Sessions appointed Mr. Huber to continue his service in March 2017. Prior to being named United States Attorney, Mr. Huber served as an Assistant United States Attorney for thirteen years. Mr. Huber began his prosecutorial career in the Weber County (Utah) Attorney’s Office, and later served as the Chief Prosecutor for West Valley City, Utah, before joining the ranks of Federal prosecutors in the United States Attorney’s Office in 2002. Mr. Huber graduated with honors from the University of Utah in 1989, and later received his J.D. from the University of Utah S.J. Quinney College of Law in 1995. If confirmed, Brian J. Kuester of Oklahoma will serve as the United States Attorney for the Eastern District of Oklahoma. Brian J. Kuester currently serves as the District Attorney for District 27 in Oklahoma, a position he has held since 2011. Mr. Kuester was elected in November 2010, and again in 2014. From 2008 to 2010, Mr. Kuester was a Staff Counsel for Allstate Insurance Company. Prior to that, Mr. Kuester served as an Assistant District Attorney for the Tulsa County District Attorney’s Office. From 2000 to 2003, Mr. Kuester was an associate at Robinette & Osmond Law Firm. Prior to receiving his law degree, Mr. Kuester served on two separate police forces in Missouri, in Fulton and in Springfield. Mr. Kuester received his B.S. from Central Missouri State University in 1990 and his J.D. from the University of Tulsa School of Law in 2000. If confirmed, Jessie K. Liu of Virginia will serve as the United States Attorney for the District of Columbia. Ms. Liu is currently Deputy General Counsel for the United States Department of the Treasury. She previously was a partner at the law firms of Morrison & Foerster LLP and Jenner & Block LLP, where her practice focused on litigation, investigations, and compliance. In addition, she has served as an Assistant United States Attorney in the District of Columbia and in several senior positions in the United States Department of Justice, including as Deputy Assistant Attorney General in the Civil Rights Division, counsel to the Deputy Attorney General, and deputy chief of staff for the National Security Division. Ms. Liu clerked for then-Chief Judge Carolyn Dineen King of the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit in Houston, Texas. She received her A.B., summa cum laude, from Harvard University and her J.D. from Yale Law School. If confirmed, Richard W. Moore of Alabama will serve as the United States Attorney for the Southern District of Alabama. Richard W. Moore has served as the Inspector General for the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) since May 2003 when he was appointed by President George W. Bush and confirmed by the United States Senate. From May 2009 to March 2011, Mr. Moore was the Chairman of the Investigations Committee for the Council of Inspectors General on Integrity and Efficiency (CIGIE). Prior to his appointment as Inspector General, Mr. Moore served as an Assistant United States Attorney for the Southern District of Alabama from 1985 to 2003. During that time, Mr. Moore prosecuted criminal cases involving white collar crimes, official corruption, and general Federal crimes. During his time at the United States Attorney’s Office, Mr. Moore also served as chief of the criminal division, as senior litigation counsel, and as coordinator of the Anti-Terrorism Task Force. Earlier in his career, Mr. Moore was in private practice in Mobile, Alabama, and Cleveland, Ohio. From 1997 to 1998, Mr. Moore was an Atlantic Fellow in Public Policy at Oxford University in England. Mr. Moore received his B.S., summa cum laude, from Spring Hill College in 1974, and his J.D. from the Samford University Cumberland School of Law in 1977. If confirmed, Jay E. Town of Alabama will serve as the United States Attorney for the Northern District of Alabama. Jay Town currently serves as a senior prosecutor in the Madison County District Attorney’s Office, where he has been a prosecutor since 2005. Previously, Mr. Town served as a Judge Advocate General in the United States Marine Corps, where he served on active duty and as a reservist for twelve years. During his Marine Corps service, Mr. Town received several personal and unit decorations. From 2002 to 2005, Mr. Town served as an associate at McElroy, Deutsch, Mulvaney & Carpenter, LLP. Mr. Town received his B.A. from the University of Notre Dame in 1995 and his J.D. from Seton Hall University School of Law in 1998.
WWE Backlash 2017 is set to roll through the Allstate Arena in Chicago, which means "CM Punk" chants galore. But, three years after his dramatic exit, will WWE fans ever move on from the Chicago native?
Allstate Corporation (ALL) expects to incur catastrophe loss of $235 million, pretax ($153 million after tax), in Apr 2017.
Can't wait to see Rachel Lindsay star in her own season of 'The Bachelorette'? Check out our rundown of Season 13's front-runners and villains here.
Allstate Corporation's (ALL) first-quarter 2017 operating earnings per share of $1.64 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.04. Earnings also soared 95% year over year on higher revenues.
The Q1 earnings season is in full swing with 57.6% members of the elite S&P 500 Index reporting solid quarterly numbers so far.
Our proven model does not conclusively show that Allstate (ALL) is likely to beat on earnings this quarter.
Let's see if Chubb Limited (CB) stock is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now from multiple angles.