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Ameriprise Financial
12 сентября, 23:34

Wall Street ends at record high, led by banks; Apple weighs

The S&P 500, Dow Jones industrials and Nasdaq Composite clocked record closes, with investors drawn to riskier assets as concerns about U.S. tensions with North Korea eased and the financial impact from Hurricane Irma appeared less severe than was feared last week. The financial sector was the S&P 500's biggest driver during the regular session as bank stocks were helped by rising U.S. Treasury yields, while the utilities and real estate sectors lost ground. As long as these two issues - North Korea and the hurricane - have receded as concerns, it gives investors a green light to focus on stronger fundamentals," said David Joy, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Boston.

12 сентября, 16:01

Wall Street ends at record high, led by banks; Apple weighs

The S&P 500, Dow Jones industrials and Nasdaq Composite clocked record closes, with investors drawn to riskier assets as concerns about U.S. tensions with North Korea eased and the financial impact from Hurricane Irma appeared less severe than was feared last week. The financial sector (.SPSY) was the S&P 500's biggest driver during the regular session as bank stocks were helped by rising U.S. Treasury yields, while the utilities and real estate sectors lost ground. As long as these two issues - North Korea and the hurricane - have receded as concerns, it gives investors a green light to focus on stronger fundamentals," said David Joy, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial in Boston.

28 июня, 07:50

Утренний обзор

Доброе утро! Американские фондовые индексы завершили вторник снижением, на фоне затягивания голосования по реформе здравоохранения. Газета Politico пишет, что сенаторы-республиканцы перенесли голосование по реформе здравоохранения: по ее данным, президент США Дональд Трамп пригласил на встречу в Белый дом всех сенаторов-республиканцев для обсуждения планов Нацкомитета Республиканской партии. «Предстоящая неделя может многое сказать об успешности законодательной повестки администрации Трампа и реакции рынка на нее. Судьба реформы здравоохранения имеет важное социальное значение, но для инвесторов более интересной административной инициативой остается налоговая реформа. Но путь к ней для администрации лежит через здравоохранительную, чтобы определить ее влияние на бюджет», — сказал агентству MarketWatch старший рыночный стратег Ameriprise Financial. Добавил негатива Международный валютный фонд, который во вторник скорректировал прогноз роста ВВП США на 2017-2018 годы в сторону понижения на 0,2 процентного пункта и 0,4 процентного пункта — до 2,1%. Согласно апрельскому World Economic Outlook рост в этом и следующем году в США ожидался на уровне 2,3% и 2,5% ВВП. Авторы отчета в целом положительно оценили планы Д.Трампа снизить налоги на прибыль компаний и доходы физлиц, но отметили, что даже при идеальном сочетании таких мер ускорение роста экономики на 1 процентный пункт (такого эффекта надеется достичь правительство) едва ли вероятно. МВФ указал, что экономике США требуются более глубокие изменения для устранения неравенства в доходах. Так, более половины американцев сейчас зарабатывают меньше, чем в 2000 году (с поправкой на инфляцию), а 13,5% населения живет за чертой бедности — это один из самых высоких показателей среди развитых стран. Так же на рынки оказало влияние речь главы ЕЦБ Марио Драги, в которой он заявил, что имеются признаки  восстановления экономики зоны евро, но  необходимо соблюдать осторожность при решении вопросов, касающихся изменения монетарной политики. Драги также сказал, что «дефляция заменяется рефляцией» и добавил, что при корректировке своих параметров монетарной политики центральный банк будет «постепенным». На этом фоне Goldman Sachs ждет роста евро к доллару до  1.1530. Нефть. Администрация президента США Дональда Трампа намерена вдвое увеличить экспорт нефти за рубеж до 1 миллиона баррелей в день, говорится в заявлении Белого дома, распространённого пресс-службой ведомства. Это вдвое больше показателей предыдущего года. Так же Соединенные Штаты намерены сократить текущий торговый дефицит в 500 миллиардов долларов, в том числе, за счет торговли сжиженным природным газом  с Евросоюзом и стать  глобальным игроком в области экспорта сжиженного природного газа. Замминистра энергетики РФ Кирилл Молодцов отвечая в ходе Российского нефтегазового конгресса на вопрос о действии санкций Запада на нефтегазовый сектор РФ, заявил, что РФ будет, невзирая на санкции, создавать условия для роста добычи нефти в стране, в том числе на шельфе. «За три года мы объемы добычи нефти наращивали, наращивать будем, более того, создавать условия будем для того, что бы и на действующих месторождениях, и на новых месторождениях, и на шельфовых месторождениях мы могли наращивать объемы добычи». Вышедшая статистика по запасам нефти от API в очередной раз не совпала с прогнозами аналитиков. запасы сырой нефти: +851 тыс   прогноз-запасы сырой нефти: -2.25 млн запасы бензина: +1.35 млн          прогноз- без изменений  241.9 млн запасы дистиллятов: +678 тыс    прогноз-запасы дистиллятов: +0.934 млн запасы в Кушинге: -678 тыс        прогноз-Кушинг: -600 тыс Сегодня рынки будут ждать очередную порцию данных от EIA (17.30 мск ) В целом расчетного уровеня 47$, о котором я писал в предыдущих блогах нефть достигла и на данный момент остается вопрос в том, будет ли проходить экспирация текущего контракта в озвученном мной диапазоне. Российский рынок. Структуры, связанные с президентом «ЛУКОЙЛа»  Вагитом Алекперовым и вице-президентом Леонидом Федуном, 22 июня купили акции и американские депозитарные расписки на акции компании на общую сумму почти $24 млн, следует из сообщений компании. Крупнейшую сделку провела компания В.Алекперова Morcell Limited — на внебиржевом рынке было куплено 500 тыс. расписок на общую сумму $23,5 млн. Два фонда под управлением ООО «Управляющая компания КапиталЪ», представляющие интересы и В.Алекперова, и Л.Федуна, купили акции: ИПИФ акций «Высокие технологии» (6,776 млн рублей) и ИПИФ смешанных инвестиций «НФПРиР» (10 млн рублей). Интересы Л.Федуна отдельно представляют сделки фондов ИПИФ акций «Инвестбаланс» (5,973 млн рублей) и ОПИФ смешанных инвестиций «КапиталЪ-Сбалансированный» (839 тыс. рублей). Я как — то в одном из своих блогов писал про корпоративно поддерживаемые бумаги, в их список входил и Лукойл думаю внимательный читаталель из данной заметки понимает почему. Индекс ММВБ. За последние три торговых сессии индикатор два раза отбивался от локальной поддержки 1850п, но взять отметку 1900п пока не удается. Как я и писал во вчерашнем обзоре  более менее внятный рост может начаться только после преодоления уровня 1900п, который на данный момент служит основным сопротивлением. А на сегодняшней торговой сессии с высокой вероятностью нас ждет откат к 1860 — 1850п. фРТС. В очередной раз пробовал на прочность зону сопротивления 98000 — 98500п (см. вчерашний обзор ), но попытка оказалась безуспешной на фоне отката нефти от ключевого уровня 47$ и снижения на заокеанских площадках. На данный момент поддержкой выступит  96500 - 96000п. Написал вчера вью по сегодняшнему открытию рынка Для регулярного выхода утреннего обзора ставьте пожалуйста плюсы.

07 апреля, 16:27

Job Growth Cools, Unemployment Rate Falls To 4.5 Percent

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); WASHINGTON, April 7 (Reuters) - U.S. job growth slowed sharply in March amid continued layoffs in the retail sector, but a drop in the unemployment rate to a near 10-year low of 4.5 percent suggested the labor market was still tightening. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 98,000 jobs last month, the fewest since last May, Labor Department said on Friday. Job gains, which had exceeded 200,000 in January and February, were also held back by a slowdown in hiring at construction sites, factories and leisure and hospitality businesses, which had been boosted by unusually warm temperatures earlier in the year. In March, temperatures dropped and a storm lashed the Northeast, likely accounting for some of the stepback in hiring. The two-tenths of a percentage point drop in the unemployment rate from 4.7 percent in February took it to its lowest level since May 2007. “There probably was a large weather-related factor in there during the measurement week. If you look at the underlying data outside of this singular report and the way it’s measured, the data still suggests that job growth is pretty good,” said Russell Price, senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Services in Troy, Michigan. The dollar was trading higher against a basket of currencies, while prices for U.S. Treasuries rose. U.S. stock index futures were slightly lower. The economy needs to create 75,000 to 100,000 jobs per month to keep up with growth in the working-age population. While the bigger establishment survey showed fewer jobs created last month, the smaller and more volatile survey of households showed employment increased 472,000. The labor market is expected to hit full employment this year. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls increasing 180,000 last month and the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.7 percent. The weak payrolls gain could raise concerns about the economy’s health especially given signs that gross domestic product slowed to around a 1.0 percent annualized growth pace in the first quarter after rising at a 2.1 percent rate in the fourth quarter.   MODERATE WAGE GAINS Average hourly earnings increased 5 cents or 0.2 percent in March after rising 0.3 percent in February. That lowered the year-on-year increase in wages to 2.7 percent. Given rising inflation, the moderate job gains and gradual wage increases could still keep the Federal Reserve on course to raise interest rates again in June. The U.S. central bank lifted its overnight interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point in March and has forecast two more hikes this year. The Fed has said it would look at how to reduce its portfolio of bond holdings later this year. “I think for the Fed, it doesn’t change all that much in the near-term outlook. They were not going to go in May, and there are still going to be two more employment reports before the June meeting,” said Mark Cabana, head of U.S. short rates strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New York. The labor force participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, held at an 11-month high of 63 percent in March. A broad measure of unemployment, that includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment, fell to 8.9 percent, the lowest level since December 2007, from 9.2 percent in February. The employment-to-population ratio increased one-tenth of a percentage point to 60.1 percent, the highest since February 2009. Last month, construction jobs increased 6,000, the weakest since August, after robust gains in January and February. Manufacturing employment gained 11,000 jobs, slowing from the 26,000 positions created in February. Retail payrolls fell 29,700, declining for a second straight month. Retailers including J.C. Penney Co Inc and Macy’s Inc have announced thousands of layoffs as they shift toward online sales and scale back on brick-and-mortar operations. Government payrolls increased 9,000 despite a freeze on the hiring of civilian workers.   (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Additional reporting by Herb Lash and Sam Forgione in New York; Editing by Andrea Ricci) -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

04 января, 15:01

Will US Inflation Reach The Fed’s Target This Year?

Inflation expectations have been ticking higher lately, according to several sources, signaling that headline measures of year-over-year price indexes could reach the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target in 2017 for the first time in several years. Market-based estimates of future inflation have been trending up in recent months, based on the yield spread between nominal […]

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19 декабря 2016, 15:56

Ameriprise Financial downgraded to hold at SunTrust RH

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news.

11 ноября 2016, 18:25

Four suitors submit binding bids for UniCredit's Pioneer: sources

MILAN (Reuters) - Italian bank UniCredit has received four binding offers for its asset manager Pioneer, valuing the business at more than 3 billion euros ($3.25 billion), two sources close to the...

04 ноября 2016, 15:37

Last pre-election jobs report: 161,000 jobs created in October

The final pre-election jobs report showed the economy added 161,000 jobs in October, the Labor Department reported Friday, down from 191,000 in September. The October jobs report was in line with that of previous months and is not likely to sway the election toward Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. Unemployment was 4.9 percent, down from September’s 5 percent.Average private-sector earnings were up 10 cents over September, when they rose 8 cents. Wages were up 2.8 percent over October 2015.Analysts said October's jobs report was a good sign for the economy and increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in December. Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial in Detroit told Bloomberg "the pace of job growth remains pretty steady." And the report, he added, supports the idea that the opportunity is there for the Fed to raise rates, and it's certainly appropriate for them do so." Elise Gould, senior economist at the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute, said the increase in wages was "a sign of a tightening labor market, where workers may be starting to gain some leverage." But she added the "Federal Reserve was correct not to raise interest rates this week, as the economy has been consistently hitting singles, but not hitting it out of the park." Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had predicted the creation of about 178,000 jobs, an unemployment rate of 4.9 percent and an increase in hourly earnings of 0.3 percent. The payroll company ADP estimated Wednesday based on its own records that October job growth in the private sector was 147,000.The jobs report followed news from the Commerce Department last week that GDP increased 2.9 percent during the third quarter of 2016, according to an advance estimate. That’s well above the second quarter of 2016’s 1.4 percent and the first quarter of 2016’s 0.8 percent. The Commerce Department’s second cut at estimating third quarter growth for 2016 will be released Nov. 29.

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03 ноября 2016, 19:53

Ameriprise Financial joins race to buy UniCredit's Pioneer: sources

MILAN (Reuters) - U.S. financial services company Ameriprise Financial has joined the race to buy asset manager Pioneer Investments, which has been put on the block by Italy's biggest bank UniCredit,...

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14 октября 2016, 16:56

Ameriprise Financial downgraded to hold from buy at Deutsche Bank

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news.

08 сентября 2016, 16:48

Заявки по безработице в США на минимуме за 2 месяца

Число американских граждан, впервые подавших заявки на пособие по безработице, на прошлой неделе сократилось на 4 тыс. до 259 тыс., свидетельствуют данные Министерства труда США.

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06 июля 2016, 19:00

Columbia Threadneedle suspends dealing in UK property funds

LONDON (Reuters) - Columbia Threadneedle Investments, part of Ameriprise Financial, said on Wednesday it had temporarily suspended dealings in its UK property funds, the fifth firm this week to do so.

20 мая 2016, 01:05

10 Retirement Statistics That Will Scare the Crap Out of You

America’s retirement crisis is the most gruesome wreck you’ll find on Main Street.

10 мая 2016, 17:31

Money Problems Run in the Family: Should You Blame Your Parents?

You got your sense of humor from your Mom and your good looks from your dad, but you may have inherited something else from your parents – your problems with money.

28 апреля 2016, 14:57

2.607 Days Later, The "Most Hated Bull Market Ever" Is Now The Second Longest In History

It's official: as of today the bull market that has been mocked as fake, doomed and history’s most-hated just earned a new title: the second-longest ever. And it only took $14 trillion in central bank liquidity, a global, coordinated central bank "put", central banks purchases of Treasuries, MBS, ETFs and corporate bonds,  and nearly 700 rate cuts in the past 7 years to achieve it. The stock market advance that started seven weeks after Barack Obama's first inauguration, and specifically with Obama's historic March 3, 2009 remark in which he said that "what you're now seeing is, profit and earning ratios are starting to get to the point where buying stocks is a potentially good deal if you've got a long term perspective on it," has now lasted 2,607 days.  Since then it has dodged and waved through three 10% drops in the last 19 months while avoiding the 20% decline that denotes a bear market. That matches a rally from 1949 to 1956 which straddled the presidencies of Harry Truman and Dwight D. Eisenhower. Only the dot-com bubble of the 1990s lasted longer at 3,452 days. That means if central banks wish to inject another $14 trillion or so in liquidity to extend the duration of this "most fate, most hated" bull "market", they will need to last another 845 days, or roughly another two and a half years, to make the current rally the longest ever without a bear market. AS Bloomberg writes it may be an uphill battle: "the rally is showing signs of fatigue: for the first time its rolling 12-month return is negative, and companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index are reporting their worst profits in six years. At the same time, economists are steadily downgrading their growth forecasts, the international outlook is much worse and investors are pulling money from equities at an unprecedented rate." However, as Bloomberg also writes: "The Federal Reserve and other central banks have shown time and again that they stand ready to inject more cash into the financial system at the first sign of market turbulence." Just in case anyone wonders why it is the "most-hated rally" (which it isn't as participation, if only from companies buying back their stock, is at an all time high). Some are puzzled by the general reluctance to embrace central planning: "I don’t remember another post-war bull market that was this fearful, chronically and persistently,” said Jim Paulsen, the Minneapolis-based chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management Inc., which oversees $337 billion. Investors are “forever prepared for the end of the world, but reluctantly being dragged back into to equities." Perhaps Paulsen should thank Yellen et al. company for disconnecting the world's once upon a time most forward looking, most efficient discounting mechanism from all fundamentals.  And yes, that's a fact: the New Yorker writer John Brooks’ chronicle of the 1950s bull market is called “The Seven Fat Years,” a title few people would apply to America since the financial crisis. In truth, the signature characteristic of the Obama bull market has been its ability to soar above an economy going nowhere, returning 3.7 percent a quarter on average since March 2009, compared with a 0.9 percent gain in gross domestic product. That gap is the widest ever. Meanwhile, despite relentless central bank intervention, the rally may be topping out. Stocks are stuck in their longest period of stasis since the rally began, going 11 months without posting a 52-week high. Fallow periods lasting longer than 12 months are poison to chart analysts, who view them as an indication of waning momentum over the long term. In the past, deep losses have not only signaled the end of bull markets but also foretold recessions. As Bloomberg writes, a study by Leuthold Weeden Capital Management LLC showed that since World War II, the S&P 500’s rolling 12-month returns adjusted for inflation have averaged minus 9 percent at the economy’s peak. The measure reached minus 9.6 percent in February. Another curious characteristic of the "bull market" - it's been driven by... selling? Americans have been sellers of equities since 2007, slashing stock holdings by $2 trillion, data compiled by Fundstrat Global Advisors LLC show. While the pace of the liquidation is unprecedented since 1956, that represents a huge pool of potential demand, according to Tom Lee, the firm’s managing partner. Investors’ exodus during the decade that started in 1979, the year when BusinessWeek featured a cover story titled “The Death of Equities,” preceded a 400 percent rally in the 1990s.   * * * So what happens next? Well, at the end of the day just two things matter: interest rates and corporate profits. While central banks are firmly determined to push rates as low as possible to expand multiples to record levels, they are having trouble with profits. Indeed, Bloomberg concludes that it may all boil down to earnings. More importantly, corporate earnings are in the midst of the fourth consecutive quarter of declines as weakness from energy spread to all but three industries. The trajectory of profits will determine the path of stocks going forward, according to David Joy, the Boston-based chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial. “A lot of reasons to hate this expansion and bull market, and yet it keeps on going,” said Joy. “Certainly most of the money has been made. Certainly we’re closer to the end than the beginning. There is probably some chance that we see higher prices down the road, but all depends on earnings.” Golf clap central bankers. * * * Finally, here are some thoughts on what happens next and can the second longest bull market become the longest ever, courtesy of BofA's Michael Hartnett. The Path from No. 2 to No. 1 First, the last years of the longest ever equity bull market (i.e. the late-90s) were marked by cross-asset volatility and a bubble; that remains a plausible risk scenario. Second, this bull market is trading more like the mid-50s bull market which slowly exhausted itself and then reversed for a year or two as the investment cycle moved to “overheating” in 1956-57 and then brief “recession” in 1956-57. Note how asset markets have struggled to produce upside since the era of excess liquidity came to an end and/or illustrates how low expected returns of bills, bonds, equities, and indeed all risk assets have become thanks to “financial repression”. The total return from a portfolio of equities, bonds, commodities, cash split percentage-wise 50/35/10/5 from the secular lows of 2009 to the end of QE3 in October 2014 of an investment of $100 would have grown to $198. Since the end of QE3 the same portfolio would have fallen 3.4% to a value of $192. Note this also shows a diminishing “wealth effect” for the economy, another reason to be long Main Street, short Wall Street. Third, another factor behind the fatigue is earnings, which as the following chart shows, have also faded in recent quarters (even excluding the energy sector). Our shift in recent years from “raging bull” to “sitting bull” to “volatility bull” reflects low probability of the Higher EPS & Lower Rates in coming quarters.

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23 марта 2016, 13:40

Ameriprise Financial started at buy with $115 stock price target at SunTrust RH

This is a Real-time headline. These are breaking news, delivered the minute it happens, delivered ticker-tape style. Visit www.marketwatch.com or the quote page for more information about this breaking news.

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02 февраля 2016, 22:12

How to Prepare Your Finances for a Home Purchase

Are you looking to buy a new house? Here's how to get your money in tip-top shape.

21 января 2016, 16:46

Заявки по безработице в США на максимуме за полгода

Число американских граждан, впервые подавших заявки на пособие по безработице, на прошлой неделе увеличилось на 10 тыс. и составило 293 тыс., достигнув максимального уровня за шесть месяцев, сказано в отчете Министерства труда США.

21 января 2016, 16:46

Заявки по безработице в США на максимуме за полгода

Число американских граждан, впервые подавших заявки на пособие по безработице, на прошлой неделе увеличилось на 10 тыс. и составило 293 тыс., достигнув максимального уровня за шесть месяцев, сказано в отчете министерства труда США.