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21 января, 20:40

Protection Against Tomorrow

Insurance is a complicated business; it sells protection so one could hedge against potential losses in the future. Insurance companies don't deny reality. They base their product on detailed programs and actuarial tables in order to assess the risks of future activities. Donald Trump's inaugural address was also based on protection but unlike the insurance industry, Trump was telling the American people that he could protect them from the future itself. By repudiating globalization in his speech and then in eliminating the White House postings on global warming, Trump was more in tuned to the counter reformation of 15th and 16th century Europe than America in 2017; denying what is clearly evident. In its worldview his speech was not so dissimilar to view of the court that in 1663 found the Astronomer Galileo guilty for saying the earth turns around the sun. At his conviction, Galileo was reported to say, "But it still turns," and so it is with globalization, technology and global warming. Politics is the art of perception. Ed Koch, the late mayor of New York, once recalled, while campaigning on the Coney Island Boardwalk in Brooklyn, an elderly woman who approached him and implored that he "make it like it was." America today is richer than it has ever been and is in the healthiest condition of any major global economy, yet many Americans don't see it that way. Like Ed Koch's elderly constituent, they want it to be like it used to be. And globalization gets caught up in that "used to be." Global economic growth is counterintuitive--people view global economics as a zero-sum game. If another country has grown wealthier, then it stands to reason that your country is now poorer. The facts, however, tell another story. China has become significantly wealthier over the past forty years, as we all know, but so has the United States. In 1980, the United States had a gross domestic product of $2.8 trillion, while China's was only $302 billion. By 2014 the US economy had grown to $17.348 trillion, and the Chinese economy grew to $10.430 trillion. The US economy, as we can see, more than doubled during that period. Of course, China's rate of growth during the same time was much higher, but they had much more room to grow. China needed to build steel mills and highways, and to electrify their rural areas. The United States did all that a long time ago. The point is that the United States did not get poorer as China grew--quite the opposite. Compounding the illusion that global growth is a zero-sum game is the reality that some people have lost their jobs to globalization. But the operative word here is some. In the political game of perception, Donald Trump has managed, with his attacks on China, Japan, and Mexico, to make globalization the simplistic scapegoat for most of the job losses in American manufacturing. However, as reported by Bloomberg two years ago, this was not the case then, nor is it the case now. "The U.S. had become the second-most-competitive manufacturing location among the 25 largest manufacturing exporters worldwide. While that news is welcome, most of the lost U.S. manufacturing jobs in recent decades aren't coming back. In 1970, more than a quarter of U.S. employees worked in manufacturing. By 2010, only one in 10 did. "The growth in imports from China had a role in that decline -- contributing, perhaps to as much as one-quarter of the employment drop-off from 1991 to 2007, according to an analysis by David Autor and his colleagues at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. But the U.S. jobs slide began well before China's rise as a manufacturing power. And manufacturing employment is falling almost everywhere, including in China. The phenomenon is driven by technology." Take for example all the people that used to make cameras and film in upstate New York; does anyone buy a Brownie camera or film anymore? Or look at companies that used to print newspapers and books that are now facing severe competition from e-readers. And then there is the US automobile industry. In 2015 the United States manufactured 12,000,000 vehicles, double the quantity of the early 1950s, when there were no imports. Yet those 2015 production numbers were achieved with the same number of workers as in 1953, approximately 900,000. A key difference appears to be automation. In 2014, 58 percent of all industrial robots ordered in North America went to the automobile industry. Rapidly declining employment in the coal industry is another example where technological change is the main factor, while climate change and now even China are being blamed. In a masterful but irrational readjustment of facts, Donald Trump once tweeted, "The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive." The decline in employment in the coal industry is partly due to climate change, but the main culprit is innovation in energy production. Due to innovations in fracking, natural gas is not only now much more competitive for use as an energy source in manufacturing, it is also cleaner. Coal, like Kodak's old Brownie camera, is being innovated out of business. In 1960, Harvard professor Theodore Levitt wrote an essay in Harvard Business Review titled "Marketing Myopia." In the essay, Levitt refers to the destruction of buggy whip industries due to the advent of the automobile. This analogy has now entered the economic lexicon. Although Professor Levitt's point was that if the buggy whip industry was attuned to their market they would have understood and re-adjusted to change, in terms of the employees there was a benefit in that change that does not exist today. The buggy whip employees found better jobs relatively easily in the rapidly growing automobile industry. The same could be said throughout that period in American history, when millions left the farm for the cities because they were able to find better jobs in various forms of manufacturing with relative ease. Change was not frightening then, because new industrial jobs replaced the old occupations. The difference today isn't globalization alone; it is that change for many people looks frightening and not positive. In the age of human capital, industrialized economies--whether it's in the United States, Germany, Japan, or China--will rely less and less on manufacturing. The agility needed to go from factory work to the gig economy, or tech, or entrepreneurialism, or services, is much greater than it was to go from the buggy whip factory to the automobile factory. And instead of leading by proposing realistic ideas on how the government can help with that change, Trump is selling false protection, playing on the fear of change. Edward Goldberg is an expert on globalization and how geo-economic/political events shape our lives. He teaches international political economy at New York University's Center for Global Affairs. His new book, "The Joint Ventured Nation: Why America Needs A New Foreign Policy" shows why Donald Trump's concept of "Protection" from his inaugural address is historically wrong and extremely dangerous. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

21 января, 19:32

Protesters Nationwide Stand In Solidarity With D.C. Women's March

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Meet America’s sisterhood. One day after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, hundreds of thousands of women made their way to Washington, D.C., for the Women’s March on Washington. But across the country, some 370 “Sister Marches” also took place in solidarity. In New York City, waves of people rallied in Manhattan to march toward Trump Tower. Train stations all over the city were packed with sign-toting protesters, and streets in Midtown were clogged with people.  Paul Williams, a 43-year old father of four daughters, brought the whole crew out for the historic march in the city. “For my children’s entire lives they’ve known Obama and his progressive agenda,” he said. “Having four black daughters, we’ve talked to them about civil rights. It’s a bit of a jolt that now we have to work to make sure everything we’ve built doesn’t go away under Trump.” His daughter, 7-year-old Zorra, said she was excited to be at the march, but also a little nervous because “there are so many people!” In Chicago, demonstrators swarmed Grant Park and effectively shut down the streets in the surrounding area. Police estimated that crowds in the area had already reached more than 100,000 after 10 a.m., according to ABC News. Rail services and other public transportation were at a standstill in major cities on the East Coast as hopeful demonstrators purchased last-minute tickets to various events, according to The Associated Press. Rally underway in Grant Park for Women's March on Chicago https://t.co/gYDKGz12tM pic.twitter.com/C2B7e4jnaN— TheUrbanNewz (@TheUrbanNewz) January 21, 2017 Seattle, Denver, Miami, Los Angeles and Houston saw similar crowds. Though many of the national numbers were estimates, several news sites reported that their cities were on track to make protest history. “This march and its global scale … we haven’t seen something like this,” Margaret O’Mara, an associate professor of political history at the University of Washington, told The Seattle Times.  Vídeo: Miley nesse momento em Los Angeles na Marcha das Mulheres! pic.twitter.com/CU5ggutVJT #WomensMarch— Tudo Miley (@tudomiley) January 21, 2017 The grassroots women’s march movement began on election night when a grandmother in Hawaii created an event on Facebook in the hope of gathering people to protest Trump’s win. Forty of Teresa Shook’s friends agreed to march in Washington, D.C., the day after Trump’s inauguration. By the next day, 10,000 people had signed up. Since then, the Women’s March movement has grown to a historic size. In New York City alone, more than 70,000 people pledged to attend. New York’s last massive protest occurred in 2014, when 30,000 people peacefully protested police brutality. An enormous crowd has flooded into downtown Denver for the women's march. Watch live: https://t.co/VrHEeSm6Kn pic.twitter.com/HoyGzUTgmu— FOX31 Denver KDVR (@KDVR) January 21, 2017 “Our mission is to provide a safe and accepting platform for supporters of equality to rally and march in promotion of civil rights for every human regardless of gender, race, sexual orientation, ethnicity, disability, religion or creed,” Katherine Siemionko, the chief coordinator for the New York’s Women’s March, said in a previous statement.  Chief among protesters’ complaints are the sexist, racist undertones that were part of Trump’s presidential campaign. Many of those marching Saturday will undoubtedly remember the moment Trump described the satisfaction he gets from sexually assaulting women. This is the line to enter the Women's March in downtown Miami pic.twitter.com/e7Q9PTQrM2— Ryan Rainey (@ryan_rainey) January 21, 2017 In the months following Trump’s electoral win, protests at Trump Tower have become a sort of pilgrimage for those outraged and frustrated over the future of the country. The day after election results were announced, thousands of people swarmed Trump Tower in protest. And they did it again. And again. And on Saturday, again.  Friday, the day of Trump’s inauguration, protests in Washington, D.C., devolved into pockets of violence. Some people smashed the windows of local businesses and set a car on fire. More than 200 people were arrested.  Flights to the nation’s capital over the last few days were packed with women ready to protest. THIS IS WHAT a plane full of women who are ready to resist the Trump agenda LOOKS LIKE pic.twitter.com/jqLPNE9VOh— ann friedman (@annfriedman) January 20, 2017 Those traveling to the nation’s capital on Southwest Airlines were treated to a show of solidarity when the flight crew turned on pink lights. “It was unexpected and unannounced,” passenger Jennifer Moran told NBC news. “There was no announcement explicitly from the staff and no one screamed this is for the March. Nothing, just spontaneous and everyone knew exactly why they were cheering.”    The #WomensMarch in downtown St. Louis! This is what democracy looks like. pic.twitter.com/mzb5xMZUKC— Antonio French (@AntonioFrench) January 21, 2017 This is a small fraction of the #womensmarch in Los Angeles right now. pic.twitter.com/CW4Vyj2LCm— Molly Knight (@molly_knight) January 21, 2017 Women's March in Chicago pic.twitter.com/GSn4S8nUsS— Colin Hinkle (@hinklecolin) January 21, 2017 Picture from Sky5 show the thousands gathered in the Boston Common for the #WomensMarch pic.twitter.com/TSWdpdmkEH— WCVB-TV Boston (@WCVB) January 21, 2017 Sebastian Murdock and Kate Auletta reported from New York City.  This is a developing story. Check back for updates. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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21 января, 05:48

France's Only Nuclear-Powered Aircraft Carrier: A Military Juggernaut or a Complete Joke?

Kyle Mizokami Security, Europe Of all the countries that have aircraft carriers, only two have constructed ships powered by nuclear energy. Of all the countries that have aircraft carriers, only two have constructed ships powered by nuclear energy. The United States is one country, but the second one might surprise: France. The French carrier Charles de Gaulle, also known as R91, is France’s first nuclear-powered surface vessel and its only carrier, making it the principal long-range striking arm of the French armed forces. The French Navy began to examine the task of building new carriers in the 1970s. The two serving carriers, Foch and Clemenceau, were constructed in the early 1960s and would need replacing some time in the late 1980s. Together, the two conventionally powered carriers ensured that at least one ship was available at all times. It was anticipated that two replacement ships would be built, each nuclear-powered. The new ships were named PAN, or Porte-Aéronefs Nucléaire. Hull construction on the first carrier began in 1987, and the ship was projected to enter service in 1994. In 1989, a two-year delay was announced, but the French Navy confidently predicted a second PAN would be ordered in 1991–92. The first carrier, Charles de Gaulle, is 858 feet long with a beam of 211 feet. Two C-13 steam catapults, the same as on Nimitz-class carriers, are positioned on the bow and the angled flight deck. The flight deck is 1.4 times larger than the Foch-class carriers, allowing it to operate five more aircraft, for a total of forty planes. By 2013, according to the authoritative Combat Fleets of the World, Charles de Gaulle’s air wing would consist of ten to fourteen Rafale M fighters, twelve to sixteen Super Étendards, two to three E-2C Hawkeyes, two transport helicopters, and two Panther/Dauphin search-and-rescue and liaison helicopters. Read full article

20 января, 23:19

Washington Is Now a Three-Party Town

Matt Purple Politics, America’s forty-fifth president views himself as both an embodiment of the national mood and a wrecking ball aimed at the political class. The two American presidents most alike Donald Trump are Andrew Jackson and Theodore Roosevelt (nationalism, hostility towards concentrations of power—that last one is more apt than you think). Yet if you’re looking for similarities to President Trump’s maiden speech on Friday, you’ll comb through Jackson’s and Roosevelt’s inaugural addresses in vain. Jackson’s are surprisingly delicate statements of political theory, including a pledge to “keep steadily in view the limitations as well as the extent of the Executive power.” Roosevelt’s are more sweeping, but still humble, with a focus on Americans’ “duties to others and duties to ourselves.” Trump’s inaugural address, in contrast, was replete with litanies of what government owes its people, almost all of which it’s been failing to provide. At first, the speech sounded like it might be Reaganesque: “For too long,” Trump began, “a small group in our nation’s capital has reaped the rewards of government while the people have borne the costs.” Cut to Dick Cheney in his ubiquitous cowboy hat sitting next to Hillary Clinton, charter members of that aforementioned small group. Presidential inaugurations are a weird American blend of political aristocracy, martial mystique, and soapbox speechifying; Trump’s was, too, though with more of the third element than usual. Alas, the speech quickly took a dark turn, albeit with some artful flourishes. Our economy, according to Trump, is plagued by “rusted-out factories scattered like tombstones across the landscape of our nation.” Crime and gang violence constitute “American carnage.” The United States was painted not in the bright hues visible from a top-dollar townhouse in Friendship Heights, but the drab grays that our newest president sees smudged across the heartland. Trump was bleak, though not nearly as bleak as during his jeremiad at the Republican National Convention. He was also hopeful, with the usual promise of salvation provided he’s allowed to exercise untrammeled power. Read full article

20 января, 19:14

15 Worst Colleges in America for Student Loan Defaults

At the worst colleges in the U.S. for student loan default rates, more than 40% of people with debt aren't paying it back.

20 января, 17:11

Library book returned a century late in San Francisco

Responding to an amnesty on overdue loans, short-story collection is checked back in after 100 years by the original borrower’s great-granddaughterAs nominative determinism goes, Forty Minutes Late was a little understated for the title of a book returned to San Francisco library 100 years late.The book was borrowed in 1917 by one Phoebe Johnson, from the San Francisco Public Library, as US troops sailed across the Atlantic to face the mud and bullets of the first world war trenches. Continue reading...

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20 января, 13:37

Syria war: 'Forty jihadists' killed in Aleppo air strikes

Air strikes targeted a training camp of the Jabhat Fateh al-Sham group in western Aleppo.

20 января, 12:00

The Optimism and Anxiety of Trump Voters

Many Americans who support the incoming president feel hopeful about the future. But even some who plan to attend his inauguration are wary about what he’ll do.

20 января, 01:57

Trump's Most Alarming Proposals Echo Obama-Era Policies

This week Donald Trump becomes the 45th President of the US, taking over as the least popular head of state in at least forty years, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Trump's surprise election victory came at the heels of a controversial campaign, which often relied on xenophobic, misogynistic and divisive rhetoric. More than his contemptuous tone, however, it was Trump's stances on issues such as homeland security, immigration, treatment of minorities, and women's reproductive rights or his attacks on the press that shocked and awed. His proposed programs have resulted in opponents describing him as "authoritarian," a "tyrant," and a "unique threat to American democracy," and propelled some to organize a resistance against his agenda. What this unprecedented level of anxiety belies, however, is that some of Trump's most alarming proposals signal a mere continuity of the Obama administration's policies. Two of Trump's earliest jolts were related to his proposed treatment of Latinos and Muslims. In his June 2015 campaign launch speech Trump called Mexican immigrants criminals and rapists, and announced plans to build a border wall. He also pledged to expel all illegal aliens, only changing that last November to deporting two to three million undocumented immigrants with criminal records. In late 2015 Trump also proposed the creation of a "Muslim registry," along with a temporary ban on Muslims from entering the US. He subsequently changed his position to a ban on travelers from any country afflicted by terrorism along with extreme vetting of all immigrants. Trump's vitriol sent shockwaves, but perhaps for the wrong reasons. These ideas deserved panic not for their assumed unprecedented discriminatory nature, but instead their similarity to existing Obama administration policies. With the focus on DACA and DAPA as defining Obama's immigration reform legacy, what receives far less attention is the administration's record-setting deportations of over 2.5 million immigrants. President Obama long articulated his administration's focus on deportations as a policy response, promising, however, only to remove violent criminals. Even Trump described his new proposal as a continuation Obama's policy but "perhaps with a lot more energy." Of course, as government data from 2009-2014 and 2014-2016 reveal, despite Obama's assurances, only 20 percent of deportees have been convicted of violent crimes, with the overwhelmingly majority either having clean records (59%) or only immigration-related offenses or minor infractions (each at 11%), such as shoplifting. The numbers dispel the myth of "felons, not families." While the sheer magnitude of expulsions Trump envisions may be tough to achieve now, his administration will nevertheless inherit from Democrats a sprawling bureaucratic infrastructure to implement mass deportations. Furthermore, on American Muslims too Trump's proposals have been relentlessly unoriginal. His proposed "extreme vetting" has been in effect throughout the Obama years, without Congressional authorization, under the Controlled Application Review and Resolution Program, a covert policy targeted almost exclusively at Muslims under which the FBI conducts special vetting of immigration applicants assumed to pose a terrorist threat. The Muslim registry also essentially existed over the past eight years under a recently dismantled Bush-era database known as the National Security Entry-Exit Registration System (NSEERS). More importantly, under Obama more sophisticated automated systems were developed which rendered NSEERS obsolete and presumably allow for more efficient tracking. Moreover, Trump's support for greater surveillance of Muslims is borrowed from the Obama administration as well, which relying on the FBI and local law enforcement agencies, spied on American Muslim communities using a variety techniques ranging from geo-mapping to phony community outreach programs and the use of informants. Similarly, Trump's position on America's nuclear power have not strayed from existing policy. His pronouncement to greatly expand US nuclear capabilities, even if it resulted in an arms race, were condemned as frightening and dangerous, but again missed the mark. As pointed out, the Obama administration has already created the largest nuclear modernization program since the 1980s, including the purchase of new weapons and advanced delivery systems. The arms race is already happening. Finally, a continuing worry about the Trump presidency has been its treatment of the press, a concern reinvigorated after he again derided reporters at a press conference last week. What the flurry of criticism and horror that followed omitted was that Trump's intolerance for transparency and press freedoms too is directly in the footsteps of President Obama. First, the Obama administration's transparency record was bleak. Despite promising an era of openness, the administration impeded the press and concerned citizens from obtaining information, setting records for either entirely denying access or providing heavily redacted versions of government files requested under the Freedom of Information Act in both 2015 and 2016 (65% and 77% of all requests, respectively). Second, the administration became increasingly hostile towards journalists over its tenure. It targeted whistleblowers under the Espionage Act at least nine times (by comparison used only three times in the ninety years prior), ordered the FBI to spy on journalists who had received information from leakers, including tapping their phone records and hacking their emails, and tried coercing them into revealing their sources. Third, it quashed supply-side dynamics with similar ferocity, creating the Insider Threat Program in 2012 to identify and punish those involved in leaking government materials as well as those failing to report their suspicions of a co-worker. Fourth, more than establishing dangerous precedents, the Obama administration also won the legal cover to punish journalists publishing stories using leaked documents, including jailing them for not complying with subpoenas to reveal sources of the leaks, that can now be exploited by the next government. Since launching his campaign Trump has repeatedly shocked his audience by relying on a pugnacious style of politics and inflammatory narratives now unusual in presidential campaigns. Unfortunately, this has often resulted in his proposals also being treated as unparalleled. As a more careful reading of the past eight years reveals, however, some of the most unsettling parts of Trump's agenda are either borrowed from or congruous with the policies of the Obama administration and reflect a prevailing policy consensus. For those looking to resistant the next president this creates the formidable challenge of de-normalizing the very policies they have so far incorrectly assumed must only be prevented from taking root. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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20 января, 00:00

What Trump Doesn't Know Can Hurt Him

Charlie Cook, National JournalOn Fri­day, Don­ald J. Trump takes the oath of of­fice and be­comes pres­id­ent. A year ago, the vast ma­jor­ity of Amer­ic­ans—av­er­age voters, polit­ic­al afi­cion­ados, and pun­dits—thought this was vir­tu­ally im­possible. Deep down I sus­pect Trump is sur­prised as well. Forty-four men have pre­vi­ously taken the oath of of­fice and as­sumed the awe­some re­spons­ib­il­it­ies of the job, but Pres­id­ent-elect Trump’s chal­lenges are unique.

19 января, 22:47

Disaster Can Be a Tweet Away: Concerned Americans Speak Out On Inauguration Eve

I live in New York City - a fact that reassures and frightens me on this Inauguration Eve. I take comfort in neighbors who are just as worried about the president-elect as I am. Trump or no-Trump we're an amazing sanctuary city with systems that work and powerful resources. But we're also Trump's home town; you might as well paint target bullseyes across Manhattan. I don't know what to fear more: a nuclear strike or Trump's bigoted agenda. I check multiple news sites daily, but I'm most loyal to the New York Times. I want to know: did Russia succeed with a soft coup? Who in DC will enforce our laws? Will the Senate confirm cabinet appointees egregiously unfit for their roles? I see stories on Trump voters. Trump voters head to the inauguration. Trump voters are "unfazed by controversies". But they are the minority. Recent polls have Trump's approval rating at 44% - making him the most unpopular president-elect in modern times. Then there's the matter of voter tallies. Donald Trump earned 62,980,160 votes. Hillary Clinton earned 65, 845,063 votes. If you include votes for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, Evan McMillan, "other", and write-ins, the tally for non-Trump voters is 74,099, 546. Non-Trump Voters are the majority. Yet our stories of coping with the election aftermath have not made the New York Times homepage. I decided to reach out to some non-Trump voters. This is not a scientific survey. But you will find definite trends: dread, grief, and commitment to resistance. Some respondents wished to be named, some wished to include their race. Others did not. If you wish, please share your stories in the comments. A NYC Corporate Lawyer Can't Shake the Dread "Many people I know across the board-- Republican, Democratic, at work and outside of work--are deeply worried. In New York City, most of us already know Donald Trump to be a narcissistic, insecure, bombastic blowhard and cannot believe that he got away with bamboozling the folks who elected him. Up to now, he has been somewhat harmless. Now, he is emboldened and he has surrounded himself with very dangerous, mean-spirited, privileged people who have real power. Disaster can be just a tweet away. I cannot shake this feeling of profound fear and dread." A NYC Publisher Is Reminded of Abusive Parents "This whole new administration has awakened memories of being abused by my parents. I learned early on that you can't bargain, negotiate or normalize crazy. It is very hard, I see, for the media and the people in general to understand how they can box you in. In order to not get sucked in, for me at least, I'm doing what I think is absolutely necessary--to work at what I feel most passionate about and to practice much more loving patience to everyone I come into contact with." - Deborah Emin  Michigan Teacher and Grandmother Couldn't Sleep "At first it felt like someone close to me had died. I mean, I felt stunned, sad, sick to my stomach, couldn't sleep.  After a day or two the shock and sadness became anger, I felt cheated, believed (still do) that something illegal had occurred.  Today, two days before his swearing in, all I feel is fear.  I believe that ultimately his own party, or the security forces in this country, will have to step in, will make him step down. This is my hope. My bet is that the pendulum is going to swing hard...to the left, and we will be singing the songs of the 1960s again." - Gloria Nixon-John Stay-at-home Upper East Side Mom Thinks We Elected Voldemort "I feel like we've elected Voldemort. Truly, an entity who is soulless and evil.  Someone who could see a frail elderly person fall and hurt himself and not only not offer to help them stand up, but not even care.  It chills me to think of someone who honestly seems to me to be a sociopath becoming president.  I didn't agree with either Bush, but I always saw a bumbling essence of humanity. "But he's also PT Barnum. And Beavis and Butthead- guttural, ignorant and crude. I know people who know Donald Trump well--money and real estate types who live in NYC.  None of them will admit to voting for him and so many of them say he doesn't believe the things he's saying. They say this is all for show. He's whipping up people he knows he can control. They say he used to be a pro-choice Democrat. So purely to achieve his goal he has unearthed an ugliness that will reverberate for generations and will forever impact the world. I don't think that all the hope we've achieved has been reversed, but it certainly feels that way a lot.  "As Meryl Streep pointed out, the ramifications of this dark entity getting elected are chilling because he's made it okay to do any of these things as long as you never admit guilt, which is textbook sociopath behavior. I feel like none of the Democrats are stepping up. I feel like no one is hearing us and we're viewed as ineffective. I feel like I'm being left alone with an abusive uncle and no one is looking after me." A Jewish Attorney and Mother is Incandescent with Rage "I'm a forty-year-old Jewish attorney and mother of a six-year old daughter and I'm incandescent and inarticulate with rage these days. But fine otherwise!" Black, Queer Physicist Won't Let Democrats Off the Hook "Shit is fucking fucked. I'm extremely worried. My husband works in public health, and I cried through his conference calls during the first week after the election. Today I am reading the plans to cut funding to the Department of Energy, the National Endowment for the Arts, and the National Endowment for the Humanities and trying to imagine our national community without those resources. I keep seeing how I've always imagined 1984.   "I'm scared to wear headphones while riding public transportation now. I'm afraid I won't see the beating coming. I struggle even more to decide when to allow myself leisure, which includes my professional work as a physicist, and when to focus on things that will enact resistance, including my work as Editor-in-Chief of The Offing.   "I think I'm more committed now than I've ever been to seeing The Offing succeed to ensure that people on the margins, people challenging the status quo both in terms of their existence and also the forms their work takes, get their work out into the world. I know that the arts have a major role to play in keeping us grounded in our humanity as well as envisioning the better world that we have no choice but to fight for. I'm also even more committed to my work with Jewish Voice for Peace, where I am a member of the Academic Council and a leader in the Jews of Color, Sephardim, and Mizrahim caucus. We can't relent in our anti-racist work both here in the United States and in Palestine-Israel. "I am afraid of not doing enough and simultaneously of losing my humanity because I try to do too much. In our fight for justice with peace, we can't forgo what makes us human because then what are we fighting for? I'm always worried about that balance, always aware of how my social and economic capital influences my thinking about it. I'm coping by reading and writing, a lot. I'm re-reading Moby Dick because it is such a brilliant allegory for white supremacy. I'm also still watching a lot of escapist TV, like MTV's Catfish. "Make sure that your existence is part of the resistance. And don't let the Democrats off the hook, FFS. And don't trust them either. Look at their track record, honestly, and demand justice." - Dr. Chanda Prescod-Weinstein White NYC Professor and Activist Feels her America Died "I am living in a state of anxiety and 'bracing' myself for the next blow to be delivered by Trump. I'm managing my feelings by working out and resuming my meditation practice. My feelings swing from sadness to rage. I feel like my America has died." Kasich Write-In Will Support Trump, is Sick of the Hate "I am a Republican who did not vote for the President-elect, but I am going to support him and hope he succeeds.  Do I have concerns about foreign policy, social issues, civil liberties, civility, compassion ... YES!  But the message I got from the election was that a lot of people HATE government, for one reason or another.   I have lots of liberal friends and I have maintained connections to them on social media through the election.  I appreciate passion for the election process and people advocating for their candidates.  But now, after the election, I have a few friends who are demonstrating the kind of anger and hate that they believe Trump represents.  I am sick of it." Black Bay-Area Novelist Has Escape Plans "I'm still in shock.  Every morning I think of some new layer of awful. I have been suffering from pretty serious anxiety and depression.  I have a lot of fear.  I feel like we don't even know what we don't know right now.  Every day has seen one shocking set of revelations and deplorable appointments after another.  "I will feel much less safe traveling internationally, which I do often.  I was applying for a Fulbright to Morocco but now I think I'm scrapping those plans--I just wouldn't feel safe hanging out near a US embassy or in places heavily frequented by Westerners now that Trump is president.  I am also very saddened at the prospect of having Jeff Sessions as AG.  My biggest fear is the police.  With a guy up there sending the message that it's open season on Black folks and they will not be sanctioned or prosecuted?  My fears are amped up considerably. "I call my senators and representatives three times a week.  There is no shortage of issues to discuss. Resist by contacting our representatives in Congress every chance we get.  Resist economically by boycotting big banks and etc.  Truly, at this point, the secret to resistance is thwarting these folks economically. For me the tax structure is a biggie, as Trump has said he will do away with Head of Household, which will penalize single parents.  I am most certainly not getting married, so this will take a huge chunk out of my income. [I think about] my children's futures.  Which seem imperiled in so many ways at this point.  While it may not be reality to think one needs to exit the country immediately, it feels incredibly realistic to have a long-range escape plan.  Things may get very strange very fast--we just don't know anything beyond the fact that we have a President who doesn't seem prepared to sustain any sort of normalcy whatsoever.  It may become unprofitable and unsafe for many people to continue to live in this country." Mexican-Jewish Poet Feels Loss Immediately "The day after the election, I wrote for The Kenyon Review how I'd lost my keys, my wallet, and all forms of ID in the less than forty-eight hours. While I've recovered almost everything, my keys are still lost. I know they are still in the apartment because I'd last used them to get inside, and yet they are also gone. I've looked everywhere. It might seem pointless, but I can't stop looking. Now in the new year, I'm still looking at my fellow citizens who support Trump in disbelief. How did a reality TV personality who's never held any public office and who's largely been sheltered from the financial and social burdens that plague most of us already do such damage? How is it possible, for example, that has not yet been charged with inciting violence during his campaign? How so quickly have racist and sexist forces already begun shaping actual public policy and laws-- before he's even stepped into office. This is not some reality show-- he's playing with our lives, making reactionary, crippling decisions that won't even affect him at all." - Rosebud Ben-Oni Boston Writer Battles Depression with Small Actions "Since Trump became President-elect, I feel we've entered into a new America where racism and intolerance is now trying to be normalized into mainstream America. Fake news and propaganda is trying to rewrite history and skew our perceptions of what is decent and good. I can't accept this. It goes against everything I know. At times I feel depressed and overwhelmed, like everything I know and love about my country is changing so fast for the worst, but then I remind myself that as long as I am taking action, however small, to fight against those negative forces, then I am part of the resistance against hate and intolerance. All action matters, even on the smallest, individual level." - Olivia Kate Cerrone Native Texan, Over-60, Will March This Weekend "I am dismayed, disheartened and, yes, depressed. I have thought about and commented on politics more than usual. I am anxious about any 'success' that Trump might have when it's at the expense of people, programs and services from health care to education to the arts. I resist the status quo, although I haven't determined exactly what that looks like. I'm going to start with the Women's March in NYC and ask for inspiration from fellow marchers. I am heartsick at the people I know who think this person will 'make America great again' and what that definition of 'great' actually entails. "I don't know what to do next ... except get up each day and try to 'be the change I want to see.' Eloquence escapes me." Lifelong Democrat from Republican State Would Be Surprised if Trump Lasts 4 Years "My morale is low; though my family and career are supportive and will continue to be, I cannot shake the feeling of impending dread, not just for my own situation, but for everyone, including the misguided, duped "Trumpcore" who got him elected.  "I haven't exactly determined the best way to resist Trump, but I will. I actively resisted the bad policy ideas of Reagan and GW Bush, but frankly, I felt we resisters were unable to make much of a difference during their terms--they both wrecked the US economy and made life more difficult for many people here and abroad. "Lately, I have been thinking about lessons learned in study of US politics during college, such as: the fickle and shallow will of the "sheeple"; how readily they are attracted to Nazi-style propaganda when it's wrapped in the US flag; how US politics used to be cyclical, swinging left and right across a center, but now seems to be swinging more and more to the right.  "Many people in the shrinking white majority seem to want to return to a rigid pre-1960 ideal of America, but they have failed to understand that life is itself a rose-colored fiction, not one lived by anyone outside an archetypal white, middle-class, Mom-at-home bubble, especially in minority communities. They yearn for an authoritarian time, where difference of any kind is marginalized, contained and punished. "I really don't have a clue about what we, as a people, can do other than to continue to live our lives, not abandon our ideals, and hold those in power accountable for bad decisions or policies. But having said that, I will be surprised if Trump lasts 4 years." Female Brooklyn Writer Tries to Use This Heartbreak for Good "My morale is generally low, but trying to find the stars in the sky. Tears just fall from my face at any moment now, including during sex. And I am barely reading the news, which is odd. I feel upbeat when I'm with friends, numb when I look at anything to do with Trump. I'm either detached or disassociating since I don't know what to be most afraid of, so it feels safer not to feel.  "I'm thinking about compassion and harmony. Just came up with this mission statement: I use my heartbreak to walk toward harmony with compassion as my guide.  "What am I worried about? I'm worried we'll all get teargassed or arrested at the march. Extremely concerned by all of Trump's appointments--2017 meets McCarthy era. I am nesting at home, creating a co-gender group and a lady writer support group to have more spaces for emotional support. And I'm writing.  I am mainly staying off social media since Twitter just feels like a rage machine.  "I'm resisting right now by going to the march in DC. I'm also engaging Trump voters in conversation to hear why they made the choice they did. I would like to be part of some sort of cross country (in person) dialogue so that we can all learn to listen to each other, at least for those who would be willing to take part. I also want to make everyone's reaction 'okay' - like it's okay that I want to talk to people who voted for Trump and it's okay that others don't. Let us all find our way through this."  Oregon Scientist Remains Optimistic "I am--because I must be--optimistic. The next few years will likely shake the country to its roots....or not. If it does, it is the shaking that we need for Dems to institute a thorough, deep makeover. The current mind boggling situation we are in has opened my mind farther than it has ever been opened. That's what us really keeping me optimistic." - Kathy McCarthy -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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19 января, 06:32

An Original Street Style Star Shares Where To Go and What To Pack

The original street style star Taylor Tomasi Hill shares her favorite spots in NY and Dallas, as well as her go-to beauty and fashion picks from the newly-expanded luxury retail flagship of Forty Five Ten.

18 января, 20:17

Obama's Legacy: Missed Opportunity As Educator-In-Chief

Part of the allure of Obama when he first ran for President was the prospect of an intellectual in the White House making progressive decisions, but also educating "low information" citizens about how the world works. This would be important, because his days in office would eventually end. A true legacy requires a leader establishing a path-breaking enduring record, but also an accepted ideological framework for understanding its rationale. That perspective can survive term limits. Franklin Roosevelt did this and the New Deal view of government action as a vigorous corrective to the anarchy and social disruption of capitalist development was unrivaled for almost forty years after his death. Ronald Reagan, although his economic policies were never as laissez-faire as his rhetoric suggested, launched an ideology that has endured nearly as long: government is the enemy; free enterprise the cure. Post-Reagan, even Democrats have often believed they had to be defensive about government action, not proud of it. President Obama had a golden opportunity to launch a powerful ideological counter-revolution when he took office during the Great Recession. Republicans and the most powerful corporate entities were back on their heels. The public was ready for a bold departure from the past. Unfortunately, those who placed such hopes on Obama were to be disappointed, accepting his very liberal 2008 campaign rhetoric as indicative of his deeper convictions on domestic policy. Obama is best viewed as a "Rockefeller Republican" or Clinton Democrat on economic and social issues. Even his signature health care legislation resembled what Mitt Romney had implemented as Governor of Massachusetts. Both originated in a proposal of The Heritage Society, a conservative think tank which develops free-market oriented policies to solve social problems. Obama's unwillingness to embrace left-wing populism, lay the groundwork for Donald Trump's bogus appeals to the white working-class component of his winning coalition. One area Obama appeared poised to radically depart from conventional thought was foreign policy. He was aware of its dark side under Democrat and Republican Administrations: anti-Communism and fear of any forms of populist nationalism, even if non-Communist, led to support for the world's most brutal dictatorships. His childhood in Indonesia under the murderous US- supported Suharto regime, which affected his step-family, and activism in the anti-apartheid movement, taught him lessons other U.S. presidents never learned. He could have punctured the myth of American "exceptionalism" and taught Americans that widespread anti-Americanism in the world is not primarily rooted in hatred of freedom and lack of gratitude for our generous foreign aid. Anti-Americanism, in fact, reflects our past and, to a lesser degree (Central and South American leaders are not our puppets these days), present global policies. We have long allied with and armed hated dictators. In addition, there have been numerous military interventions, heralded as serving "freedom," but often confusing it with our geo-political and economic interests. American foreign policy has primarily been "exceptional" in negative ways: invading a record thirty countries since the United Nations was founded. What about our generosity? It is largely an illusion. Our foreign aid for development, for example, is a smaller proportion of our Gross National Income than 19 other nations, including Portugal, and is just .19 percent. Moreover, though things have somewhat improved since 2012, when USAID modified its rules, foreign aid typically required recipients to purchase American-made products even if they were more expensive than alternatives. What is called "tied-aid" is still true of food products, motor vehicles and US-patented pharmaceuticals and is still the norm among non-USAID governmental agencies. To be fair, other countries provide tied-aid as well, but quite a few others do not. Unlike, domestic politics, where the President must deal with Congress, foreign policy is a realm of nearly total freedom. Obama has taken some important steps in dealing with Iran and Cuba and not sending more ground troops to entangle us more deeply in the perpetual Middle East chaos resulting from the century old efforts of European imperial powers to carve up the Ottoman Empire. On the other hand, while admonishing Israel for its continued illegal annexation of Palestinian land in the West Bank (though, not about its economic strangling of Gaza), he has continued to give it massive military aid. Ironically, despite the recent uproar over his abstention on a vote confirming a long accepted UN position on the illegality of Israeli settlements in Palestinian territory, his Republican predecessors have been more willing to actually vote in favor of resolutions condemning Israeli actions. They even threatened cuts in US aid at times, succeeding in curtailing Israeli actions. Obama has also made other avoidable missteps. He refused to prosecute those in the Bush Administration responsible for torture policies, accepted the legitimacy of the 2009 Honduras coup which overthrew an elected government, and aided and abetted the Saudi bombing of Yemen to appease the Saudis after his nuclear deal with Iran. Unfortunately, Obama's modest re-thinking of foreign policy stays largely within his own mind. He has made only feeble attempts to be Educator-in-Chief. He knows the Iranians will never forget the 1953 CIA-led coup against an elected leader, Mohammed Mossadegh, the installation of the autocratic Shah, our support for Saddam Hussein's invasion of Iran and our indifference, at best, to his use of chemical weapons against them. He is aware Iran abandoned nuclear programs as "un-Islamic" until the horrific chemical warfare made them feel acutely vulnerable. He knows, apparently, that the Saudis are the chief exporters of jihadist theology throughout the Islamic world. But he keeps that knowledge largely to himself, along with his awareness of Palestinian daily life under Israeli rule. This failure to systematically tell the American people about any of this means perpetuating their ignorance and making it more likely that inhumane and/or foolish policies will be pursued and supported in the future. When Donald Trump becomes President in a few weeks he will apparently be giving unqualified love to the Saudis, cheering Israel's expanding colonization efforts, and hugging friendly autocrats, especially if "friendliness" includes surreptitiously advancing The Trump Organization. Roosevelt had his fireside chats with all the citizens. Obama should at least have a foreign policy "teach-in" before he leaves office. It is now too late to "walk the walk," but he can at least "talk the talk." His Farewell Address, touching as it was, was another missed opportunity. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

18 января, 19:01

Death toll in botched Nigeria airstrike soars to 70

THE death toll from a botched airstrike on Boko Haram fighters in northeast Nigeria rose to 70 yesterday, as aid agencies indicated more could die without urgent treatment. Nigeria called Tuesday’s incident

18 января, 18:08

What if Bush Had Taken a Tougher Line with China in 2001?

Harry J. Kazianis Security, Asia What if Bush stood firm during the EP-3 crisis?  What if…? The never-ending question foreign policy practitioners here in Washington love to ask. And it seems like these days we have many reasons to be asking it, given the sheer amount of anniversaries we’ve been looking back on just in the last few months, not to mention the momentous events in our own time. Some examples: What if the Soviet Union never fell? What if Japan never attacked the United States at Pearl Harbor? What if Donald Trump had lost the election? The list can go for miles without end. But there is one what-if that has been stuck in my craw for the last few weeks: What if President George W. Bush had much tougher in his response during the EP-3 Crisis of 2001? What if he had listened to other voices who were whispering into his ear — people like Donald Rumsfeld, for example, who were pushing for a tougher line on Beijing? In light of what can be only be charitably described as Chinese adventurism in the East and South China Seas, and renewed pressure on Taiwan in recent years, it is worth exploring if a tough stand early enough during the period of China’s so-called “peaceful rise” would have made any difference. The Incident: On April 1, 2001, a US EP-3 surveillance plane cruising 70 miles off the coast of China was carrying out what Washington considered to be routine intelligence gathering. However, China had made it well known it considered such flights, in what is international airspace, anything but routine — rather, it viewed them as a violation of the country’s sovereignty, a stance held by Beijing to this day. Forty-four flights had already been intercepted that year, but this time things would turn tragic. While both sides finger the other as the guilty party, most in the US intelligence and defense communities argue that a Chinese pilot simply ventured too close in his intercept and flew into one of the EP-3’s propellers. Tragically, the Chinese plane crashed into the sea, costing the pilot his life. The American surveillance aircraft, badly damaged, had to make an emergency landing. The only place that could conceivably work: Hainan Island…in China. The Initial Response: Read full article

18 января, 15:10

Poll: Obama leaving office with solid approval ratings

President Barack Obama will leave office this week with solid approval ratings, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll released Wednesday. A majority of voters, 53 percent, approve of the job Obama is doing as president in the final days of his White House tenure, while 44 percent disapprove. That’s a marked contrast to views of President-elect Donald Trump’s handling of the transition: Only 42 percent of voters approve of the job Trump is doing, compared to 47 percent who disapprove.Voters also have a positive impression of Obama’s presidency in totality. Asked about the last eight years, 51 percent of voters approve of the job Obama has done, and 44 percent disapprove.Perceptions of Obama’s presidency largely track along partisan lines. Eighty-five percent of Democratic voters approve the job Obama has done, but only 16 percent of Republicans approve. Among independents, 49 percent approve of Obama’s performance over two terms, and 43 percent disapprove.Obama also earns positive ratings on key characteristics. Sixty percent of voters say Obama has done a good job “being compassionate enough to understand average people,” 56 percent say he has done a good job “having the strong leadership qualities needed to be president,” and 55 percent say Obama has done a good job “being honest and straightforward.” Obama’s “good” ratings are slightly lower — though still positive” on “being a world leader in dealing with other countries” (52 percent) and “being able to balance multiple foreign policy challenges” (51 percent).Forty-eight percent of voters say Obama has done an “excellent” or “good” job handling the economy, more than the 46 percent who rate Obama’s performance “only fair” or “poor.”That’s better than Obama’s scores in other major policy areas: 44 percent say Obama did an “excellent” or “good” job fighting terrorism, with the same percentage giving Obama an “excellent” or “good” rating on foreign relations. But just 38 percent say Obama did an “excellent” or “good” job combating the Islamic State, while a combined 54 percent rates Obama “only fair” or “poor.”On health care, 45 percent rate Obama as “excellent” or “good,” and 51 percent say Obama’s performance has been “only fair” or “poor.”Obama scores high marks for his performance on gender equality — 53 percent rate him “excellent” or “good” — but more voters surveyed say he did an “only fair” or “poor” job on racial equality (47 percent) and relations between police and citizens (57 percent)."President Obama is ending his tenure at a high point," said Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult Co-Founder and Chief Research Officer. "While it will take some time to truly determine the full impact of his presidency, voters agree that he has done a good job on gender and racial equality."The survey was conducted January 12-13 — prior to Obama granting clemency to Army Prvt. Chelsea Manning, who was sentenced in 2013 to 35 years in prison for leaking classified documents to the website Wikileaks.The poll also came one day after Trump’s hectic New York news conference, which was broadcast live on national television.Overall, voters tilt against Trump on his handling of the transition: 42 percent approve, 47 percent disapprove. Trump’s favorability is more mixed: 46 percent view him favorably, and 48 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him."It's important to remember that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton were the most unpopular candidates in recent history," said Dropp. "Although he has improved a bit, this sentiment seems to be following Trump to the White House."Respondents were asked to react to a number of Trump’s statements in that news conference. While Trump has acknowledged that Russian state actors were likely involved in hacking Democratic Party officials and staff, he has asserted that the hacks did not contribute to his victory in last year’s election.A plurality of voters agree: 45 percent say they do not believe the hacks affected the election, while just 36 percent say they did. Two-in-10 voters said they don’t know or don’t have an opinion.Also concerning Russia, Trump downplayed his ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin, saying last week that he would consider being viewed positively by Putin as an “asset,” not a “liability.” Voters split on that question: 30 percent say Putin liking Trump would be an “asset,” 27 percent say it is a “liability,” and another 27 percent say it is neither an asset nor a liability.Trump last week again refused to release his tax returns — and said only reporters, not everyday voters, care that he will take office without disclosing his tax returns to the public. Voters split on this question as well: 45 percent say they care Trump hasn’t released his tax returns, while 44 percent say they don’t care.The split is largely along partisan lines: 71 percent of Democrats care that Trump hasn’t released his tax returns, and 72 percent of Republicans don’t care.Voters are still divided — and unsure — about Trump’s arrangements to turn his eponymous corporation over to his children: 21 percent say they are “completely satisfied” Trump will avoid any conflicts between his businesses and the best interests of the country, and another 25 percent are “mostly satisfied.”But 15 percent say they are “not too satisfied,” and fully a quarter, 25 percent, are “not at all satisfied.” But another 15 percent say they don’t know or don’t have an opinion, suggesting while Trump hasn’t put the issue to bed, voters aren’t broadly up in arms about Trump’s potential ethical conflicts.The poll surveyed 1,991 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in these two documents — Toplines: http://politi.co/2jluIDf | Crosstabs: http://politi.co/2j6WFxp

17 января, 21:44

Poll: Obamacare at its most popular on eve of repeal

On the eve of its possible repeal, Obamacare is at its most popular, according to a poll from NBC and the Wall Street Journal released Tuesday.Forty-five percent of Americans surveyed said they think Obamacare, the outgoing president’s signature legislative achievement formally called the Affordable Care Act, is a “good idea.” Forty-one percent think it is a bad idea.The poll, conducted between Jan. 12 and 15, started asking about Obamacare in April 2009, and this month marks both the highest percentage of respondents who signaled their approval for the law and the first time that more people surveyed said they like it than dislike it.Republicans in Congress and President-elect Donald Trump have vowed to repeal the law and replace it with some alternative, although there is no clear consensus on what form that new legislation might take. The NBC/WSJ poll found that 50 percent of respondents have “little to no confidence that Republican proposals to replace the law will make things better.”Congressional leaders had first advocated repealing the law immediately and leaving open a window before it would take effect so they can take more time to pass a replacement package. Trump and some others, though, have publicly pushed back on that plan.Trump also said this weekend that he wants to guarantee that “insurance for everybody” under a Republican replacement. Congressional Republicans had not promised this.A study from the Congressional Budget Office released Tuesday found that 18 million people could lose their insurance in 2018 as a result of a partial Obamacare repeal.The survey had a sample size of 1,000 adults and a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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17 января, 20:16

3 Ways For Marketers To Connect With Gen Z

For marketers looking to cater to the eight-second attention span of today’s conscious consumers, the following tips are crucial.

17 января, 17:01

California shows low expectations for Trump, but support for some immigration plans

PALO ALTO — California's expectations for Donald Trump’s presidency are in the cellar, with little more than a third of voters believing it will be a success, a new Hoover Institution Golden State Poll shows.But a plurality of voters holds more positive than negative views about some of Trump’s more controversial positions, including his call to restrict immigrants from certain countries, end sanctuary cities and to deport undocumented immigrants.On the eve of Trump's inauguration, just 36 percent of voters believe he will be successful, compared to 46 percent who believe he will be a failure. Nineteen percent aren’t sure, the poll showed.“This is the time of optimism for a new president, when their job approval ratings will be at its highest,’’ said Bill Whalen, a Hoover Institution fellow. “But as far as California is concerned, they’re not giving him the benefit of the doubt.”On Trump’s plan to suspend immigration from countries with links to terrorism, a plurality of California voters, 42 percent, said it would make California “better off.” That compares to 35 percent who said “worse off,” and 23 percent who had no view.Regarding the effects of Trump’s promise to deport illegal immigrants, 44 percent said it would make California “better off,’’ 39 percent said worse off,’’ and 18 percent undecided, the poll showed.On Trump’s plan to end “sanctuary cities,’’ 41 percent expressed support, 36 percent said they were opposed, and 22 percent were undecided. On the president-elect’s intention to withdraw federal funding to “sanctuary cities’’ like San Francisco and Oakland, 38 percent expressed support, 40 percent were opposed, and 22 percent had no view, the poll showedCalifornia voters had a positive outlook on some of Trump's key positions on fiscal issues, the poll showed. Fifty-five percent said Trump's vow to lower personal income taxes would make California better off, compared to 23 percent who said it would make the state worse off, and 22 percent who were undecided, according to the poll. But a strong plurality believes that repealing the Affordable Care Act will have a negative impact on the state. Nearly half of respondents, 48 percent, said repealing the ACA will make California “worse off,’’ while 34 percent said “better off,’’ and 18 percent were undecided.The Golden State Poll numbers show that for the new president, “there’s a sales job to be done in California,’’ said Whalen. “It’s a lost cause when you’re talking about 55 electoral votes. But there’s a handful of congressional seats here that the GOP needs to protect. And if you look at the numbers of people in those districts, they have a big stake.”“People think this administration is going to turn its back on California. But there’s a number of Republicans out here for whom (the success of the Trump presidency) is very important,’’ he said.Trump’s ratings are a marked contrast to those of Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown, whose handling of the state budget is approved by a strong plurality of state voters, 47 percent, compared to 29 percent who disapprove, and 25 percent with no opinion.And a majority of Californians, 51 percent, say they approve of Brown’s handling of economic growth issues in California, compared to 26 percent who disapprove and 23 percent with no view.On climate change, 49 percent approve of Brown’s handling of the matter, compared to 26 percent who disapprove, and 28 percent with no opinion.“It’s good to be the king, and that’s Jerry Brown,’’ said Whalen, who added that the governor's robust numbers are directly related to the fact that he is “the rare government official who’s not distracted by national ambitions.”“At a time when politicians are trying to figure ways to get airtime, he’s the exact opposite,’’ he said. “He is selective when he engages with the media. He’s not spending every waking hour trying to make news. He’s not in the 24/7 shout-fest on cable, and that keeps his numbers up.” Some of the poll’s other key findings: On Trump’s promise to build a border wall, 35 percent of California voters think it would make the state “better off,” 45 percent said “worse off”, and 20 percent were undecided.On Trump’s plan to end “unfair” trade practices, 41 percent say that would make the state “better off,’’ 25 percent “worse off,’’ and 24 percent undecided.On Trump’s vow to lower federal business taxes, 45 percent said that would make the state better off, 31 percent worse off, and 24 percent undecided.On “Calexit” — a proposal for California to secede from the United States — just 25 percent of state voters said they’d vote in favor, 58 percent were opposed and 17 percent had no view. Forty-four percent sees California as a model state, while 34 percent does not, with a decidedly partisan split: 62 percent of Democrats see the Golden State as a model, 62 percent of Republicans do not. Independents are also evenly split — 33 percent say yes, 34 percent no. The generally positive numbers about the state, up slightly from last year, reflect a confidence in state leadership and in Brown, says Whalen. “It suggests more Californians feel not just better about the state, but good about what California is doing,’’ he said. The Golden State poll, sponsored by the Hoover Institution and the Bill Lane Center for the American West at Stanford University, was taken Jan. 5 to Jan. 9 of 1,700 state voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.82 percentage points for the entire sample.

17 января, 15:13

How Russia survived the big chill

For Russians the first half of January is a long-awaited and lengthy vacation - eleven days off from work including New Year's Day and the Orthodox Christmas celebrations. But this year due to record frosts, instead of parties, residents of central Russia were forced to spend the holidays indoors at home. And not always in heated ones. In Krasnogorsk (near Moscow), where temperatures fell to minus 32C (-25.6F), due to an accident at the local heating plant, 12,000 people had no heating. "We slept in furs for two nights with our electric heaters and gas burners on and it still didn't help," a local resident said. "The windows were covered with ice, you couldn't see anything through them." Road emergencies "I don't recall that we've ever had so much work," noted Igor Katsyuba, director of the search and rescue unit at the Ministry of Emergency Situations. "Entire families froze on the roads. Cars stalled from the frost. Surgut residents eat ice cream, ride bicycles in -50C What made the situation even more difficult was that in such cold the batteries in mobile phones die immediately and people couldn't call for help. That is why we had to supply the main roads 24 hours a day with powerful heating installations. More than one hundred people were taken to hospital. In Perm Territory (745 miles northeast of Moscow) and in Sverdlovsk Region (930 miles east of Moscow) even older people could not remember ever experiencing such frosts: temperatures dropped to minus 45C (-49F)." In Khabarovsk Territory (3,790 miles east of Moscow) and Nizhny Novgorod Region (280 miles east of Moscow) the temperature was one degree lower: minus 46C (-50.8F). And while Khabarovsk residents had already experienced such frosts, for the people of Nizhny Novgorod they were absurd. "I do not remember the streets being so empty during Christmas," said 36-year-old Andrei Belyaev. Frostbitten Muscovites Muscovites witnessed extremely low temperatures for the city: The mercury sank as low as minus 30C (-22F) and in Moscow Region the temperature dropped to minus 33.4C (-28.1F). The capital had not experienced such a frost for 120 years. More than 70 flights were delayed or canceled at the city's airports. The Health Ministry declared the penultimate, orange danger level in the city. People were asked not to leave their homes unless absolutely necessary. But even with these precautions 129 people were taken to hospital during the New Year holidays suffering from frostbite and two died. Bicycle, ice fishing and swimming: Enjoying winter like a Russian 25-year-old Igor Valeev spent forty minutes in the cold and was taken to the hospital. "I got dressed for the winter it seemed, but my car wouldn't start," he explained, "and I had to drive to see my relatives. I tried starting the engine. I didn't even notice how my finger and toes became numb. When I got to the hospital they were already covered with blisters. The doctors said I was lucky - another half hour and they would have had to have been amputated." "It is necessary to dress as warmly as possible during such cold, but it's better not to leave your home at all," an RBTH correspondent was told at the Health Ministry's center for emergency medical aid. "The biggest mistakes made by people who freeze is that they try to warm themselves up with boiling water or put their frostbitten limbs in hot water or rub them. This must not be done! One should get warm using only warm water, gradually increasing its temperature. What's better is placing a heat-insulating band on the parts of the body that have been affected: below - a layer of cotton, above - a bandage. And don’t warm yourself by the fire: this can lead to the formation of blood clots in the vessels." Currently, the frosts in most parts of Russia have passed, but in several areas, particularly in Far Eastern and Siberian regions, the orange danger level remains in place. Chilly bikers However, Russians would not be Russians if even in these frosts they did not test their courage. In the Moscow suburb of Klimovsk two local people cut an opening the size of a Jacuzzi in the frozen river and took a "bath," only without champagne. But the main heroes were the Muscovites. On the morning of Jan. 8, when the temperature was minus 31C (-23.8F), they held a bicycle parade, riding eight miles from Frunzenskaya Embankment to the Kremlin and back. No participants asked for medical help. 26-year-old Ekaterina even complained that, "It was actually hot pedaling. I was sweating all over." Read more: Over 500 people participate in winter bicycle parade in freezing Moscow>>>

25 апреля 2016, 04:15

Банковская мафия рубит концы. Чего то опасаются...

В Европе уничтожают банкиров целыми семьямиВ Западной Европе продолжается череда таинственных убийств высокопоставленных банкиров. Их убивают нарочито жестоко вместе с детьми и женами. С января этого года было убито уже 14 топ-менеджеров ведущих банков, ни одно из преступлений не было раскрыто. Такими темпами, банкиры по примеру Депардье вскоре начнут просить политубежище в России.В пятницу, 18 апреля, стало известно, что в бельгийском городе Визе был убит 37-летний директор BNP Paribas Fortis вместе со своей супругой и девятилетним племянником в результате стрельбы из проезжающего мимо них автомобиля. Согласно заявлениям мэра Визе Марселю Невену, ничто не может объяснить, что вызвало жестокую стрельбу поздней ночью 18 апреля. До сих пор не найдены ни убийца, ни внятный мотив для совершения этого преступления.Ранее финансовый мир был озабочен загадочным убийством бывшего генерального директора ABN Amro и членов его семьи, позже стало известно о гибели главы Bank Frick & Co. Юргена Фрика в Лихтенштейне.Всего, не считая последнего убийства, начиная с январе в Европе и США погибло уже 13 банкиров.Часть смертей полиция классифицирует как самоубийства, а некоторые называют необъяснимыми или просто отказывается раскрывать подробности, что только усиливает подозрения в умышленных убийствах.№1. УИЛЬЯМ БРОКСМИТ58-летний бывший топ-менеджер Deutsche Bank был найден мертвым в своем доме в центре Лондона 26 января. Полиция классифицирует эту смерть как самоубийство.№2. КАРЛ СЛИМ51-летний управляющий директор Tata Motors был найден мертвым на четвертом этаже отеля Shangri-La в Бангкоке 27 января.№3. ГАБРИЭЛЬ МАГИ39 -летний сотрудник JP Morgan умер после падения с крыши европейской штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Лондоне 27 января.№4. МАЙК ДЮКЕР50-летний главный экономист инвестиционного банка США был найден мертвым недалеко от Такомского моста в штате Вашингтон.№5. РИЧАРД ТЭЛЛИ57-летний основатель Title Services был найден мертвым в начале этого месяца. Судя по всему, он сам выстрелил в себя из ружья.№6. ТИМ ДИКИНСОНДиректор по коммуникациям британской Swiss Re AG также умер в прошлом месяце, однако обстоятельства его смерти до сих пор неизвестны.№7. РАЙАН ГЕНРИ КРЕЙН37-летний топ-менеджер JP Morgan умер несколько недель назад . Подробностей трагедии нет, в качестве причины называется самоубийство. О его смерти свидетельствует лишь небольшой некролог в Stamford Daily Voice.№8. ЛИ ДЖУНДЖИ33-летний банкир из Гонконга покончил с собой, спрыгнув с крыши штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Гонконге на этой неделе.№9. ДЖЕЙМС СТЮАРТБывший генеральный директор National Bank of Commerce найден мертвым в Скоттдейл, штат Аризона, утром 19 февраля. Представитель семьи отказался называть причину смерти.№10. ЭДМУНД РЕЙЛИ47-летний трейдер Midtown’s Vertical Group совершил самоубийство, прыгнув под поезд.№11. КЕННЕТ БЕЛЛАНДО28-летний трейдер Levy Capital, ранее работающий инвестиционно-банковским аналитиком в JPMorgan, выпрыгнул из окна своей квартиры.№12. ЯН ПЕТЕР ШМИТТМАНН57-летний бывший главный исполнительный директор банка ABN Amro Group найден мертвым у себя дома недалеко от Амстердама вместе с женой и дочерью.№13. ЮРГЕН ФРИК48-летний бывший генеральный директор Bank Frick & Co. был застрелен в подземном гараже одной из финансовых компаний в Лихтенштейне.