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21 октября, 15:32

HUFFPOLLSTER: Republicans’ Loyalties Are Split Between Donald Trump And Paul Ryan

GOP voters aren’t sure who should lead their party moving forward. Polls and forecasts show Hillary Clinton’s huge Electoral College advantage. And concerns about voter fraud date back to the 2000 election. This is HuffPollster for Friday, October 21, 2016. REPUBLICANS AREN’T SURE WHO SHOULD LEAD THEIR PARTY - Sahil Kapur: “Republican primary voters strongly backed Donald Trump for the presidential nomination, but the party is far less sure if it wants him to lead the GOP if he loses in November. When asked in the latest Bloomberg Politics poll who should be the face of the party nationally in the event of a Hillary Clinton victory, likely voters who are or lean Republican splintered down a list of five options. A plurality, 27 percent, picked vice presidential nominee Mike Pence. Trump got 24 percent, ahead of Texas Senator Ted Cruz at 19 percent, House Speaker Paul Ryan at 15 percent, and Ohio Governor John Kasich at 10 percent…. When asked which leader better represents their view [of] what the Republican Party should stand for, 51 percent of likely voters who are or lean Republican picked Trump, while 33 percent picked Ryan and 15 percent said they weren’t sure. ‘What is clear in these data is that a large segment of Trump supporters are all-in with the candidate…. That said, just 38 percent of them say they will stay loyal and follow his future endeavors if he does not win,’ said pollster J. Ann Selzer.” [Bloomberg] Fewer than half of Trump supporters say he’s leading the party - Sean McMinn: “If primary elections are generally considered a way to find the two major parties’ standard-bearers, consider that another departure from the norm in 2016. Only 23 percent of U.S. adults see presidential nominee Donald Trump as the leader of the Republican party, according to a new Economist/YouGov poll. Forty percent see House Speaker Paul D. Ryan as the party’s leader — roughly the same amount as those who said they are not sure. Even among Trump supporters, fewer than half see the presidential candidate as the party’s leader. Forty-two percent view him as their standard-bearer, while 29 percent of Trump backers see Ryan as the head of the GOP.” [CQ Roll Call] Paul Ryan’s favorability ratings have plummeted - Nick Bayer and Janie Velencia: “House Speaker Paul Ryan’s favorability has plummeted among Republicans after a week of public squabbles with GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump. A YouGov/Economist poll released Wednesday found that Ryan’s net favorable rating declined by 28 points among Republicans over the last 10 days, likely dragged down by Trump supporters turning against him. Ryan’s net favorable rating among Trump supporters dropped 44 points over the period…. Only 40 percent of Republicans now hold a positive view of Ryan (R-Wis.), according to the poll, down from 54 percent 10 days ago…. Among all voters, Ryan favorability rating has sunk to negative 20, the lowest rating recorded in a YouGov/Economist poll for the GOP leader since he became speaker of the House one year ago.” [HuffPost] THE ELECTORAL MAP HEAVILY FAVORS HILLARY CLINTON - Amy Walter: “With less than three weeks to go in election 2016 it is clear that Trump has abandoned any precept of fighting for persuadable voters…. Polling since the first debate has shown an unmistakable pattern - Clinton has been climbing and Trump has been falling - even in states once considered safely red like Arizona and Georgia. Given these factors, we are moving a number of states in our Electoral College ratings - all in favor of Clinton. Three states that had been in the Lean Republican column, Arizona, Iowa and Maine’s Second Congressional District, all move to Toss Up…. Joining the Lean Republican column is Utah. Despite the state’s deep red hue, Trump is struggling here…. Nevada, a state that has been one of Trump’s best opportunities to flip from blue to red, now is trending away from him in recent weeks…. We have moved Nevada from Toss-Up to Lean Democrat…. Finally, Colorado and Michigan, two blue-leaning states that had been tightening in September, have broken away from Trump rather decisively…. Both of these states move to Likely Democrat.” [Cook Political Report]    The HuffPost forecast concurs - The HuffPost presidential forecast gives Clinton a 95.7 percent chance of winning the election. Tallying up only the states where has at least a 90 percent probability of winning gives her 302 electoral votes.. The Democratic candidate has 341 electoral votes when the states swinging in her direction are included. That means she would win even if she loses all of the current battleground states, which include North Carolina, Ohio and Nevada. She could even lose Florida ― where she’s given a 93 percent chance of winning ― and still take the presidency. Donald Trump has essentially no viable Electoral College pathway to the presidency. His 4.2 percent chance of winning rests basically on the possibility that polls could be systematically wrong or that something major could reverse the outcome in the next 18 days. [Presidential forecast] LIKELY VOTER MODELS AREN’T HELPING DONALD TRUMP - Nate Silver: “Typically, likely-voter models help Republican candidates, since their voters are older, whiter and have higher socioeconomic status, all of which correlate with higher turnout….The difference between likely-voter and registered-voter polls tends to be smaller in presidential election years. In fact, it probably should be fairly small since most registered voters — somewhere north of 80 percent, according to the Current Population Survey — turn out to vote. In 2008 — a year of profound Democratic enthusiasm behind Barack Obama — there was almost no difference between registered- and likely-voter polls….This year, there also isn’t much of a gap….Trump gains a net of 2.5 percentage points in likely-voter polls, as compared with registered-voter polls. But Clinton gains 1.7 points. So the net gain for Trump is only 0.8 points…. Trump’s reliance on voters without college degrees — especially men without college degrees — could disadvantage him because they turn out at lesser rates. Then there’s Trump’s lack of a turnout operation, which may or may not be reflected in polls.” [538] CONCERNS ABOUT VOTER FRAUD AREN’T NEW - Kathleen Weldon, on data from the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research archive: “Questions about voter fraud were rare before the 2000 election... The problems in the 2000 Florida vote count, however, launched multiple questions about voting irregularities….Despite what happened in 2000, a 62 percent majority of voters in 2004 were very confident that their vote would be accurately counted, higher than the 49 percent that said the same in this year’s election….This year, polls in August found about a third of the country expecting voter fraud to be a major problem, down from 2008, while the proportion of people who expected voter suppression to be a problem remained unchanged….Despite the consensus of most researchers that voter fraud is rare, a CBS News poll in February 2015 found that a majority of Americans considered voter fraud to be fairly widespread…. A September ABC News/Washington Post poll found similar results, with 20 percent of the public saying voter fraud happens very often and 26 percent somewhat often. These polls, however, were conducted before Trump’s insistence that the election was rigged became a central tenet in his campaign. Whether the American public believes, or will come to believe, that voter fraud is widespread enough to sway a presidential election remains to be seen.” [HuffPost] HUFFPOLLSTER VIA EMAIL! - You can receive this daily update every weekday morning via email! Just click here, enter your email address, and click “sign up.” That’s all there is to it (and you can unsubscribe anytime). FRIDAY’S ‘OUTLIERS’ - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data: -Donald Trump is still citing reader polls that claim he won the debates. [HuffPost] -A UtahPolicy.com survey gives Trump a thin edge over Evan McMullin in Utah. [Deseret News] -The Atlanta Journal-Constitution finds Trump and Hillary Clinton deadlocked in Georgia. [AJC] -Seventy percent of voters want the loser to accept the results of the election. [Politico] -Alexander Coppock writes that a survey list experiment shows no evidence of a hidden “shy Trump” vote. [Alexander Coppock] -Samantha Smith highlights six charts showing the difference between Clinton supporters and Trump supporters. [Pew]   -Kimberly Adams looks at polling on beliefs the economy is rigged. [Marketplace] -Steve Lund talks with pollster Charles Franklin about the state of the election. [Kenosha News] -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

21 октября, 13:44

Financial Fear Factor: Americans’ 7 Biggest Money Worries

Running out of money was Americans' biggest financial fear. Credit card fraud, medical bills, and Ponzi schemes are among our other money worries.

20 октября, 23:43

FACT SHEET: Investing More Than $50 Million through ApprenticeshipUSA to Expand Proven Pathways into the Middle Class

Since the beginning of his Administration, President Obama has focused on creating an economy that works for every American. Under his leadership, our businesses have added 15.3 million jobs since early 2010, and the economy has seen the longest streak of job creation on record. However, more work needs to be done to make sure the benefits of the recovery are broadly shared. We must continue to adapt to forces of globalization and technology that deliver tremendous benefits but also pose challenges, including through increasing investment in effective job training. The jobs available today, and the jobs of the future, are higher-skill jobs that require more education and advanced skills. Today, the Department of Labor (DOL) is announcing the Administration’s latest step to increase access to apprenticeship – using  Fiscal Year 2016 funding for a new $50.5 million investment in State Expansion Grants to expand apprenticeships across the country in a diverse array of industry sectors. This initiative, called ApprenticeshipUSA, is part of the Administration’s strategy to grow and diversify apprenticeship.  Over the next 18 months, this effort will result in thousands of new apprenticeships in diverse industries, including health care, advanced manufacturing, and information technology, that offer workers not just jobs, but careers. These grants provide funding to 36 States and one territory to undertake new apprenticeship efforts, which will include efforts in both urban and rural communities. Projects will focus on helping a diverse set of workers – including women and minorities who have too often been left out of apprenticeship efforts in the past – enter into these in-demand fields. To learn more about the efforts of all 37 winning ApprenticeshipUSA State Expansion grantees, click HERE. Job-driven apprenticeships are among the surest pathways to provide American workers from all backgrounds with the skills and knowledge they need to acquire good-paying jobs and grow the economy. In fact, 91 percent of apprentices are employed after completing their programs, with an average starting wage above $60,000. The return on investment for employers is also impressive — international studies suggest that for every dollar spent on apprenticeship, employers may get an average of $1.47 back in increased productivity and greater front-line innovation. As a result, the President has made expanding apprenticeship a priority for his Administration. Since the President's 2014 call to action, the U.S. has added more than 125,000 new apprenticeships, the largest increase in nearly a decade. And last year, the President signed into law the first-ever annual funding for apprenticeship programs in the Fiscal Year 2016 spending bill, following a bipartisan agreement based on the President’s budget request. But, we cannot carry on this work without continued funding, which the House Appropriations Committee’s Labor-HHS-Education bill unfortunately fails to provide.  In contrast, the Senate Appropriations Committee provides strong support for apprenticeship, which we hope will be reflected in the final Fiscal Year 2017 spending bill. If this funding does not continue going forward, the 36 States and one territory who have received ApprenticeshipUSA State Expansion Grants will have to terminate their efforts in just 18 months. Similarly, the 14 organizations who were awarded $20.4 million in contracts to expand apprenticeship to new industries and reach historically underrepresented populations will see their funding dry up after one year. This would deprive thousands of Americans of the chance to participate in this life-changing training model. The President calls on Congress to continue its past support for apprenticeship in the final Fiscal Year 2017 spending bill. Today’s announcement builds on a number of efforts that the Obama Administration has taken to prepare Americans for the jobs of the future.  More information on the Administration’s state-by-state investments in training can be found HERE . Investing More Than $50 Million to Support Smart State Strategies to Expand Apprenticeship The grant awards announced today will build on the Administration’s successful investments in state apprenticeship strategies. Recognizing Governors’ unique ability to create smart statewide strategies to expand apprenticeship, DOL is awarding more than $50 million for ApprenticeshipUSA State Expansion Grants to help states integrate apprenticeship into their education and workforce systems; engage industry and other partners at scale to expand apprenticeship to new sectors and new populations; support state capacity to conduct outreach and work with employers to start new programs; provide support to promote greater inclusion and diversity in apprenticeship; and implement state innovations, incentives, and system reforms. By investing in state strategies for growing apprenticeship opportunities, these funds will help strengthen the foundation for the rapid and sustained expansion of quality apprenticeship nationwide. For example: Colorado Department of Labor and Employment – Denver, CO The Colorado Department of Labor and Employment was awarded a $1.8 million grant to fund the Grow the Middle Class project to expand youth and adult apprenticeships, and pre-apprenticeships for youth within school districts across the state, using the Swiss Apprenticeship model. Colorado will assist businesses in developing new apprenticeships and industry engagement and initiate a pilot program to recruit representatives from growth industries as champions to identify common competencies and standards for apprenticeships in key occupations.  Washington State Department of Labor and Industries – Tumwater, WA The Washington State Department of Labor and Industries was awarded $2.7 million to fund Project RAISE, a robust effort to coordinate state agency resources, recruit new employers, and advance Registered Apprenticeship opportunities for underrepresented populations. Project activities will include program modernization to increase the state’s capacity to support apprenticeship expansion and engage new industry stakeholders. The project will register 600 apprentices in the industries of health care, education, construction, advanced manufacturing and the public sector, among others.  Target populations include women, veterans, youth, low-income individuals, people with disabilities and people of color.  Connecticut Department of Labor Office of Apprenticeship Training - Wethersfield, CT The Connecticut Department of Labor Office of Apprenticeship Training (OAT) was awarded a $1.6 million grant to fund the Connecticut Apprenticeship Expansion Rx project, which targets the aerospace manufacturing and maintenance sector. The project will engage employers to increase new sponsors; and provide underrepresented populations, including women and dislocated and under employed individuals an opportunity to acquire industry required credentials. The project will serve 1,672 apprentices. Target industries include aerospace, aviation, energy, and the building trades. OAT and its partners will also develop multi-media resources as additional tools for sector outreach, a focus on stakeholder engagement, securing apprenticeship sponsors, fostering labor-management collaboration, and planning for increased strategic outreach. Today’s announcement follows a $10.4 million investment DOL made earlier this year for ApprenticeshipUSA State Accelerator Grants, which provided 52 awards to states, territories, and the District of Columbia to develop strategic plans and build partnerships for apprenticeship expansion and diversification. Grantees also received support to develop comprehensive game plans for encouraging businesses to launch apprenticeship programs in a variety of industries including advanced manufacturing, health care, information technology, construction, and transportation. In addition, DOL awarded $20.4 million last month in contracts to 14 national industry intermediaries and national equity partners. As part of the historic investment in apprenticeship, the contracts will support the growth of apprenticeship programs in an increasingly diverse set of industries, including healthcare, construction, transportation and logistics, manufacturing, and information and communications technology; and support efforts to boost the representation of traditionally underrepresented populations in apprenticeship programs. For example, the Washington Technology Industry Association will partner with leading technology companies to create a National Information and Communications Technology Apprenticeship Council (NICTAC) comprised of industry hiring partners. The NICTAC will provide underserved populations with access to apprenticeship opportunities in well-paying careers within the information and communications technology industry.  More information on this project and other industry intermediary and national equity partner investments can be found HERE . Building on Success in Expanding Apprenticeship and Increasing Access to Job-Driven Training Today’s announcement builds on the Obama Administration’s previous efforts to increase access to apprenticeship and job-driven training to prepare workers for high-skill jobs, including: *         Investing an unprecedented $175 million in American Apprenticeship Grants. In September 2015, DOL announced $175 million in grants to 46 public-private partnerships between employers, organized labor, non-profits, local governments, and educational institutions that are expanding high-quality apprenticeships. The grantees are well on their way to creating more than 34,000 new apprentices in high-growth and high-tech industries including health care, information technology and advanced manufacturing over the next five years. *         Highlighting the value of apprenticeships through LEADERS. More than 180 employers, colleges, and labor organizations have signed on to be ApprenticeshipUSA LEADERS (Leaders of Excellence in Apprenticeship Development, Education and Research) by starting or expanding their own work-based learning programs and encouraging their peers to follow. Together, employers in the LEADERS program have pledged to create nearly 20,000 new apprenticeship positions. *         Expanding opportunities for apprentices to earn credit towards a degree. The Registered Apprenticeship-College Consortium (RACC) was launched to enable graduates of Registered Apprenticeship programs to turn their on-the-job and classroom training into college credits toward an associate or bachelor’s degree.  Since 2014, 290 colleges nationwide have joined the RACC.  Providing American Workers with Skills Needed to Compete in the Global Economy In addition, in January 2014, President Obama signed the Presidential Memorandum on Job-Driven Training for Workers, calling for an action plan within 180 days to make federal employment and training programs more job-driven. In July 2014, the Administration – with the leadership of Vice President Biden – released a plan to expand the number of pathways for Americans to gain the skills they need to get better, higher-paying jobs, and to increase access to those pathways. In addition, the Administration has taken a number of steps to support the American workforce and prepare it for the 21st century, as described below. Making sure all Americans have a fair shot The President has taken steps to expand and improve our efforts to re-connect workers who have been displaced by economic change back to the workforce system and into good jobs. Building on the best models of what works, these efforts have helped not only those affected by trade and globalization, but also by the aftermath of the Great Recession, by long-term changes in our energy industry, and in communities that have long suffered from economic isolation and inadequate education opportunities. *         Securing a six-year extension and expansion of Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) in June 2015, which provides vital job training, income support and other benefits to American workers displaced by the forces of globalization. Among other things, this extension improves on prior programs by supporting workers in the service sector and those affected by trade with countries with whom we do not have Free Trade Agreements (FTAs), including China and India. One year after the reauthorization, there have already been dramatic improvements resulting from the new legislation. The number of estimated workers currently eligible for benefits and services is over 100,000, which is almost double the number of workers eligible for TAA benefits and services in all of fiscal year 2015 under the older program. This includes approximately 18,000 workers now covered after their previously denied petitions were reconsidered under the new, more expansive law. In fiscal year 2015, 74 percent of TAA participants found new jobs, and over 92 percent retained their jobs. *         Helping the long-term unemployed get back to work and stay in the labor force, including through federal investments like the $170 million Ready to Work program, and through collaboration with business leaders to create a set of best practices for recruiting and hiring the long-term unemployed. In addition, DOL is providing robust reemployment services and eligibility assessments through $200 million in grants to all 50 states and territories to help prevent long-term unemployment and connect jobseekers to the labor market, while also ensuring that they continue to be eligible for unemployment benefits. Through Fiscal Year 2016, an estimated 1.3 million unemployed workers will be served. Recent research shows that when both eligibility assessments and reemployment services are provided seamlessly, reemployment outcomes for claimants improve and the duration of benefits is shorter. *         Launching the Partnerships for Opportunity and Workforce and Economic Revitalization (POWER) Initiative, an interagency effort to assist communities negatively impacted by changes in the coal industry and power sector with coordinated federal economic and workforce development resources that help communities diversify their economies and provide reemployment services and job training to connect workers to high-quality in-demand jobs.  The initiative is led by the Department of Commerce’s Economic Development Administration and involves the coordinated efforts of ten Federal agencies.  *         Helping low- to middle-skilled parents access training and affordable, quality childcare. As a part of the Administration’s efforts to support working families, DOL awarded $54 million in grants to help low- to middle- skilled parents access the affordable, quality child care they need to earn an education, participate in training programs, and ultimately compete for better-paying jobs in emerging industries. Grants to 14 partnerships across the country were awarded as part of the Strengthening Working Families Initiative to strengthen and support public-private partnerships devoted to helping parents advance in their careers by bridging gaps between local workforce development and child care systems.  These grants will facilitate access to training in a variety of industries, such as information technology, healthcare, advanced manufacturing, financial services, and educational services. *         Helping young people obtain skills and education to succeed in a knowledge-based economy through a $22 million investment in innovative employment demonstration programs in seven cities experiencing high levels of youth unemployment, poverty and crime (Baltimore, Camden, Detroit, Houston, Long Beach, North Charleston and North St. Louis). These projects are testing a range of models for working directly with employers to engage young people and prepare them for good jobs in in-demand industries through work-based training and supportive services.  The Administration has also invested $21 million to open doors for young Americans to kick-start their careers through Summer Jobs and Beyond grants. Building on the efforts of the My Brother’s Keeper initiative, these grants help give young people their first meaningful work experience. *         Investing in job-driven training for Supplemental Nutrition and Assistance Program (SNAP) participants, including through the 2016 launch of SNAP to Skills  – a first-of-its kind, peer-to-peer effort to help state agencies develop job-driven SNAP Employment and Training (SNAP E&T) programs that help participants find good jobs and reduce their need for SNAP. In addition, in March 2015, USDA competitively awarded $200 million to 10 states for 3-year pilot projects, as authorized by the 2014 Farm Bill, to test and evaluate a range of job-driven strategies, including intensive sector-based approaches and career pathways that prepare workers for specific occupations; career navigation and job readiness; work-based learning; and comprehensive assessment and intensive case management.  Scaling Up What Works Through the course of the Vice President’s review, the Administration identified three core problems: employers can’t find enough skilled workers to grow their businesses; education and training programs need better information on what skills in-demand jobs require; and, hard-working Americans often are not sure what training to pursue and whether jobs will be waiting when they finish. By listening to employers, workers and training institutions utilizing innovative solutions, and working with Congress, we are implementing common-sense, evidence-based reforms that are helping people find and train for good jobs and ensuring that employers can find the skilled workers they need. *         Implementing the job-driven training checklist that reorients competitive job training grants to align with best practices based on elements that matter most to getting Americans into better jobs. To date, agencies have awarded over 15 competitive job-training grant programs that total more than $1.5 billion according to the checklist principles. *         Signing the bipartisan Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA), the first reform of federal job training programs in nearly 20 years that reaches approximately 20 million Americans annually. WIOA improves business engagement, performance accountability, access, and alignment across job training programs. Doubling Down on Proven Strategies An evaluation report promised in the 2014 Presidential Memorandum synthesized the elements of what works in job training, and the Administration is using this evidence base to direct limited federal resources into the most results-driven practices. Through administrative actions and by advancing budget proposals, we are using every tool at our disposal to expand successful models that put workers on the path to a good career with a middle-class wage. *         Investing in training for dislocated workers that follows employer needs in key sectors. DOL has awarded nearly $300 million in Sector Partnerships and Job-Driven Training grants focusing on training dislocated workers. Sector partnerships are consistently cited as one of the most effective strategies to better align education with employer needs and have been shown through randomized evaluations to lead to higher rates of employment and earnings.  *         Supporting youth that have been involved in the juvenile justice system through $12 million in DOL and Department of Defense “Job ChalleNGe” grants that combine the National Guard Youth ChalleNGe Program’s evidence-based elements, such as military-based discipline, education, life skills, and mentorship, with job-training and work experience. *         Helping public housing residents secure higher paying jobs and become self-sufficient through $62.9 million in Jobs Plus Program grants to support work readiness and connect public housing residents with employment, education and financial empowerment services. A research study found that public housing residents who participated in Jobs Plus saw a 14 percent increase in earned income and that these earnings remained higher seven years after exiting the program. Partnering With Employers, Communities, and Training Providers As a complement to these federal efforts, the Administration is taking steps to partner outside of government—with employers, technology innovators, and educators—to develop job-driven workforce strategies. Through these partnerships, the Administration is helping to offer more Americans access to the knowledge and skills they need to pursue their educational and career goals while, at the same time, helping businesses grow by filling in-demand jobs with a skilled workforce.  *         Launching TechHire, a community-based public-private initiative to train tech workers and empower Americans with the skills they need, including through nontraditional approaches like “coding boot camps” and high-quality online courses that can rapidly train workers for a well-paying job. Since March 2015, over 50 cities, counties, states and rural areas in partnership with nearly 1,000 employers have made commitments to this initiative. In support of some of the strategies employed by TechHire communities, DOL has awarded about $150 million in TechHire Partnership Grants to 39 public and private partnerships across 25 states. *         Addressing workforce shortages in the solar industry through the Department of Energy's SunShot program, which has invested $20 million in nine regional training hubs over five years and trained more than 1,000 instructors and 35,000 students in rooftop solar electricity and heating installation through partnerships with 533 community colleges, labor union apprenticeship programs, and other institutions.  *         Launching the public-private Upskill initiative to help low-skilled workers build the skills they need to advance into high-paying roles, even if they do not have a higher education. Over 100,000 workers have received training as a result of upskilling efforts since April 2015.  *         Investing $2 billion in the Trade Adjustment Assistance Community College and Career Training (TAACCCT) grant program that has created or enhanced 2,500 in-demand education and training programs at community colleges in all 50 states. To date, nearly 300,000 participants have enrolled in these programs, earning 160,000 credentials. Forty-four states received grants that supported state-wide system change by including all or most community colleges in the state. *         Launching of New Communities that Work Partnership (CTWP). The Department of Commerce’s Economic Development Administration is supporting seven regional sites across the country to help equip American workers with the skills needed for 21st century jobs and accelerate employer-led workforce development and training efforts. One of the most effective ways to scale up what works is to create a community of practice and a playbook that allows communities to learn from one another. *         Deepening Relationships with Businesses to Recruit and Hire Veterans. The Veterans' Employment and Training Service (VETS) within DOL established an employer outreach team that encourages employment commitments from national and regional employers seeking to hire veterans. VETS expanded the outreach team to connect over 600 employers ranging from small businesses to Fortune 500 companies.

20 октября, 15:19

6 Very Good Reasons Why Family Caregivers Need A Union

I am one of the nation’s 34 million family caregivers. The services we provide for free are valued at more than $520 billion, according to the Rand Corp. That’s billion with a B ― a staggering amount that’s almost as much as the United States had budgeted for the nation’s defense in 2016. Here are some of the things that my fellow caregivers and I do and don’t get paid for: We empty urine bags, colostomy bags, change soiled diapers, clean open ports, provide bathing and toilet assistance, cook special dietary meals, give injections, test blood sugar, administer medications, keep track of insurance billing, followup with doctors and a few thousand other things I am too exhausted to name. Some of us also are still raising children and many have full-time jobs. Many of us can’t remember the last time we had an hour to ourselves, met a friend for drinks, went to a movie or didn’t gag when our patients soiled the bed. Sitting in traffic becomes “me” time. Strolling through the supermarket aisles alone is as good as a spa day. Which is why I believe that family caregivers need a union. We need to stand collectively and demand that somebody listen to us. Here’s some of what we should be negotiating for: 1.  Pay us. One-third of family caregivers spend more than 30 hours per week caregiving, which is damn close to it being a full-time job. Sixty percent of caregivers say that their caregiving duties have had a negative effect on their real job. Medicare offers no compensation for family caregivers, although the agency so very thoughtfully urges us to “take care of yourself.” Of course they want us to stay healthy. Replacing us will absolutely cost more than zero, which is what we cost them. Medicaid does have a smattering of programs that pay family caregivers who care for low-income seniors. If the patient is eligible for Medicaid, its Cash and Counseling program is available in some states. A few other states have similar programs ― but again, just for low-income seniors. If you are middle class, there is really nothing for you unless your patient has long-term care insurance that includes a provision for in-home care coverage. Only 10 percent of the elderly even have a long-term care policy and the “pay your family caregiver” part isn’t universal. Truth is, these programs barely touch the surface. Family caregivers are the only thing that stands between our patients and a much more expensive nursing home or assisted care facility that eventually winds up costing Medicaid. At the very least, we are cheaper. So pay us. 2. Reimburse us for our caregiving expenses. Forty-six percent of caregivers spend more than $5,000 each year out of pocket to provide care for a loved one, says Caring.com. That’s 10 percent of the median family income in the U.S. and not small change. And it can go much higher. Five percent of caregivers shell out between $30,000 and $49,000 per year and another seven percent spend more than $50,000 a year out-of-pocket on caregiving. According to the 2015 GenWorth Cost of Care study, hiring a home health aide for 44 hours per week costs $45,760 per year. A bed in an assisted living facility can cost $43,200 annually and a semi-private room at a nursing home exceeds $80,000. Medicare and private insurance do not cover things like incontinence supplies. Hillary Clinton has proposed a $6,000 tax credit toward costs associated with providing long-term care to aging parents and grandparents.   3. Give us legal protections in the workplace. More than half of all family caregivers have had to change their work schedules to accommodate caregiving, found the GenWorth Cost of Care study. Thirty percent have had to leave early or get to work late and 17 percent said they missed a significant amount of work. What’s to stop the boss from letting a caregiver go? The practice of  treating employees with caregiving responsibilities less favorably than other employees is called Family Responsibilities Discrimination. AARP studied FRD and found that with very few exceptions, most federal and state statutes do not expressly prohibit this form of discrimination. There are no laws to protect working caregivers as a specific group or class from discrimination.  FRD-related claims in the workplace have been framed from other legal theories in federal and state law—for example, as sex discrimination, discrimination based on association with a person with a disability, or a violation of state or federal family and medical leave laws. Yet incidents like these real-life examples persist:  An employee was fired when he asked for leave to care for his chronically ill father. Another was told that his employer had “paid enough” for his ailing wife already and terminated when he refused to take his wife off of the employer’s insurance plan. An employee was denied leave when her employer insisted that it was not her responsibility to care for her ailing mother since her father was still alive. Claims of FRD in eldercare include denial of leave and retaliation for taking leave.  The number of FRD lawsuits grew from about 444 cases in 1989 to about 2,207 cases in 2008, an increase of nearly 400 percent over the two decades, said AARP.  The largest individual jury verdict in an FRD case ($11.65 million) involved a hospital maintenance worker, Chris Schultz, who was fired while caring for his father with Alzheimer’s disease and mother with congestive heart problems and severe diabetes. Schultz asked for an intermittent leave, to which he was entitled under the federal Family and Medical Leave Act (FMLA). While on leave, his supervisor imposed a new quota system that was impossible for Schultz to meet. As a result, the former hospital employee of the year was fired for poor performance after 26 years. 4. Make up what we lose in Social Security. According to the Women’s Institute for a Secure Retirement, 70 percent of family caregivers cut back on their work schedules to accommodate caregiving responsibilities and lose $303,880 in lost wages, Social Security benefits and private pensions over their lifetimes. WISER notes that because of their reduced hours, caregivers may miss opportunities for matching 401(K) contributions as well as promotions at work, further hampering their own savings plans and earnings. Sometimes they get slammed in health care too. Employer health plans may not cover part-time employees.  At the very least, financial credit should be given toward Social Security earnings. 5. Get us help. Caregivers need relief ― actual, honest-to-goodness relief. We need other people to take our patients to their medical appointments, help them with their personal hygiene, deliver a few prepared meals. We need safe places where our patients can spend a few hours supervised while we go to work or take a break.  6. Just like we do our military, give family caregivers financial rewards for their service to a grateful nation. Some midlife and older individuals quit their jobs to care for a parent, and then try to re-enter the work force later on. People who disrupt their careers for full-time caregiving responsibilities can lose career momentum. In the same vein as GI benefits to our returning soldiers, why not offer family caregivers below-market rate loans, tuition breaks to get the skills they need, and hiring preferences― the same as we do our military.  And if you elect me union president, I’d also lobby for free medical care to quell the number of caregivers who die before their patients. Because yeah, this is the toughest job you are ever going to be called upon to do. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 октября, 20:50

For Trump and His Angry Mob, Partisan Feeling Won't Yield to Patriotism

“There is tremendous voter fraud,” U.S. Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump told supporters in Wisconsin this week, before predicting that “1.8 million deceased individuals” will vote for his opponent Hillary Clinton. Facing a potential wipeout at the polls, Trump has of late used rallies, Twitter and sporadic Fox News interviews to question the legitimacy of an election he is about to fluff. Studies reveal there is no widespread voter fraud, and, with the possible exception of Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), the dead don’t vote. On Tuesday, Trump went further encouraging his supporters to monitor polling stations for electoral wrongdoing, especially in the inner cities. And fascism’s siren song was heard: “If she’s [Hillary] in office, I hope we can start a coup,” Dan Bowman, 50, recently told The Boston Globe. “She should be in prison or shot.” “We’re going to have a revolution and take them out of office if that’s what it takes,” he added. “There’s going to be a lot of bloodshed.” Remarkably, this was posted by an elected sheriff: It's incredible that our institutions of gov, WH, Congress, DOJ, and big media are corrupt & all we do is bitch. Pitchforks and torches time pic.twitter.com/8G5G0daGVN— David A. Clarke, Jr. (@SheriffClarke) October 15, 2016 Voter intimidation is likely on Nov. 8, especially if Trump’s vigilante “monitors” openly carrying guns. America has enjoyed a peaceful transition of power after every election since 1876, but the death rattle of Trump’s burlesque campaign is now threatening that long-standing democratic tradition. As Donald’s surrogates often parrot, he’s an “agent of change.” Grace in defeat. Trump isn’t the first to test America’s precariously balanced civics. As recently as 2000, the country looked truly f***ed. An impossibly ugly election was followed by a contested result forcing the U.S. Supreme Court to intervene. In a split decision, it ruled that Florida’s disputed votes be awarded to George W. Bush. His Democratic rival Al Gore won the popular vote, but the Texan took the White House. Gore had grounds for grievance but noting the potential damage of a continued fight, he conceded victory, yanking the nation back from the brink: “I also accept my responsibility … to honor the new president-elect and do everything possible to help him bring Americans together in fulfillment of the great vision that our Declaration of Independence defines and that our Constitution affirms and defends.” Forty years earlier, Richard Nixon gave a terse variation of the same sentiment on national TV: “I want, I want Senator Kennedy to know, and I want all of you to know, that certainly if this trend does continue, and he does become our next president, that he will have my wholehearted support and yours, too.” Adlai Stevenson in 1951 promised his support to Dwight Eisenhower, noting: “We vote as many, but we pray as one.” A similar “pledge” was made by Bob Dole in 1996 after he failed to unseat Bill Clinton.   Even McCain’s slapstick bid of 2008 correctly managed the concession, refusing Alaska Governor Sarah Palin a platform to deliver her own speech, albeit against the protests of the vice presidential pick, who by this time had gone full “Black Swan.”    Why it is important? A state cannot function if a third of its citizenry believes the elected leader is illegitimate. As such, the concession speech is a vital release valve after the build up of a lengthy election campaign that cuts deep into the national consciousness. Yet Trump is now threatening to make the scar tissue permanent with repeated claims of “rigged polls,” “biased” debate moderators and “corrupt media” pushing “false allegations” ― all strings of a marionette controlled by a “global power structure” bent on stealing the election from America’s white working class. This type of waffle has currency among the orcs and goblins of the internet; a conspiracy theory after all simplifies a complex world. However, for an American presidential candidate, it’s absurd. In Trump’s defense, he is not responsible for the country’s polarization, nor did he create a society in which truth has lost its value. But he is deliberately exploiting both to undercut the democratic process by claiming the election is “one big fix.” Why is he doing this? During July and September, Trump’s flamboyant campaign pulled at the docking ropes threatening to take off. Many national polls showed the portly tycoon level with his seasoned yet very beatable opponent. The improvement was attributed in part to his newly-appointed campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, who successfully yanked Trump’s snout ring around the country giving the impression of a sober operation. However, in October the ship exploded, bursting into flames like the Hindenburg. The campaign’s combustible mix of white victimhood, Islamophobia, anti-intellectualism, KFC buckets and late-night tweets was finally lit by vintage audio of the candidate talking “p***y” on a bus. The tape and subsequent flood of women claiming to have been assaulted by her boss left even Conway, the smiliest of Stepford wives, floundering and the campaign in a tailspin. Loyalists cried foul but the tape was revealing. For decades Trump fostered the myth of a dealmaker doyen, a man driven solely by his resolute desire to peak in business. The video, however, suggested Trump was impelled by nothing more than his perverse need to exert power over women. Perhaps this was already obvious. His willingness to confess to serial sexual assault was not. Already behind in battleground states, Trump’s turn in the first Clinton debate did little to encourage swing voters. Then came the video and attendant allegations, effectively ending the race. The second debate proved a turning point, a pantomime of Clinton-bashing that suggested Trump had given up the White House. Instead he would concentrate on maintaining a sizable, hardcore following that he could exploit for cash after the vote. According to reports, this change was encouraged by campaign CEO Stephen Bannon, a bedraggled anti-establishment agitator who runs a white ethno-nationalism website.   In Trump’s ear like Grima Wormtongue, Bannon coaxed the willing tycoon to turn on the whole political class ― the Clintons, the Republicans, the media… even the election itself. The GOP response? Many prominent Republicans, sniffing the coming drubbing at the polls, jumped ship, giving Trump and his twitchy coterie another bête noire: those “disloyal” Republicans,” those “traitors.” Even Republican Speaker Paul Ryan, a man with an almost ideological commitment to cowardice, baulked at fantasies of a “rigged” election. Like one of the milksop classmates left sitting as the “Dead Poets” rose, Ryan has reached the end of the election steadfastly refusing to un-endorse Trump over either racism or sexual allegations. Yet he still put out a statement noting he was “fully confident” the election will be carried out fairly. Which is where we are three weeks out from the vote. The irony for Trump is that his opponent is currently having her soiled underwear shaken out daily by WikiLeaks. If he stopped talking about voter fraud, he could hammer her for the remainder of the campaign on issues far less mythical. But he won’t because his goal is no longer office.   Quoted by Gore, defeated Sen. Stephen Douglas (D-Ill.) told Abe Lincoln in 1860 that “partisan feeling must yield to patriotism.” But Trump requires partisanship to feed his post-election vision. It appears that after 16 squalid months of race-baiting, lying, debasing women and threatening to upend American democracy, the campaign of Donald J. Trump has yet to reach its nadir. This could end in violence. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 октября, 15:47

HUFFPOLLSTER: Donald Trump’s Latest Controversies Split Americans Along Party Lines

The reaction to new allegations against Donald Trump highlight deep partisan divides. A new set of polls finds Hillary Clinton ahead in key battleground states. And recent data suggests the presidential race in Texas is closer than expected. This is HuffPollster for Wednesday, October 19, 2016. PARTISANSHIP DIVIDES REACTION TO TRUMP SCANDALS - HuffPollster: “Americans are more likely than not to consider the sexual assault allegations against Donald Trump credible, according to a new HuffPost/YouGov poll. But opinions are deeply divided along party lines, with many Republicans saying that, even if true, the allegations aren’t enough to disqualify him from the presidency. If the allegations are true, 44 percent of Americans say that should disqualify Trump from the presidency. Twenty-seven percent say that it would be relevant to the election, but not disqualifying, while 22 percent believe it wouldn’t be relevant to the election at all….Although 19 percent of Republicans think the claims would be disqualifying, a 39 percent plurality say that, even if it were proven that Trump sexually assaulted women, it would not be relevant to the election….Partisan divides go deeper than just the response to Trump. Feelings about the broader topic of sexual assault are also significantly polarized. As the political scientist Michael Tesler noted this week, Republicans ― especially those who supported Trump in the primaries ― were already more likely than others to believe that ‘women who complain about harassment often cause more problems than they solve.’” [HuffPost]   Want to take a closer look at the data? - A new tool from YouGov allows you to explore polling results among different groups of respondents. Use the menu at the top to select survey questions and crosstabs, and the buttons at the bottom to filter the data by subgroups. Allegations resonate personally for some - More from HuffPollster: “For some people, the allegations have personal implications as well as political ones. Twenty-eight percent of Americans say that they personally identify at least somewhat with the women who’ve made accusations against Trump. Among Americans who say that they’ve personally experienced a sexual assault, that number rises to 45 percent, with 31 percent saying that they feel ‘a lot’ of kinship with the women in question.” Fewer Americans now say they care about “immoral” behavior from politicians - From PRRI and Brookings: “Compared to 2011, Americans today are more likely to say elected officials can still perform their public duties in an ethical manner even if they have committed immoral personal acts. More than six in ten (61%) Americans say immoral personal behavior does not preclude public officials from carrying out their public or professional duties with honesty and integrity; only 29 percent of the public disagree. In 2011, the public was much more divided over the connection between personal behavior and professional ethics. Forty-four percent of Americans said public officials could still conduct themselves honorably in their professional duties even if they had engaged in immoral behavior in their personal life; an equal number (44%) of Americans disagreed.” [PRRI] FORECAST UPDATE - Hillary Clinton has a 94 percent chance of winning the presidential election. Republicans have a 59 percent chance of keeping the Senate. [Presidential forecast, Senate forecast] The presidential race looks far less competitive than in 2012 - Clinton’s current margin over Trump, compared to Obama’s margin over Romney at this point four years ago:   Democrats also lead on the “generic house” ballot - Voters currently say they’d prefer a Democratic congressional candidate over a Republican one by an average margin of almost 6 points, up from a near-tie in 2012 (orange/purple are 2012, red/blue are 2016):  BATTLEGROUND STATE POLLS ARE VERY POSITIVE FOR CLINTON - Dan Balz and Scott Clement: “Among the states that have moved in Clinton’s direction since the previous [Washington Post-SurveyMonkey] 50-state survey are Colorado, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin. Of those, the results in Georgia differ from the current average of all recent polls in that state. The Huffpost Pollster average in Georgia gives a Trump a four-point lead, while the SurveyMonkey poll puts Clinton ahead by four points. Texas is another state that, by historical results, should end up in Trump’s column. The SurveyMonkey results show the state splitting 44 percent for Trump to 42 percent for Clinton. The average of other public polls shows Trump with a larger, although single-digit, lead there…. The SurveyMonkey results also put Clinton in a stronger position in New Hampshire and North Carolina than other public surveys. Public polls in North Carolina show her with a low single-digit advantage. In New Hampshire, public polls show her ahead but not by the 11-point margin in these findings.” [WashPost] What’s driving the pro-Clinton results? - The poll’s strong findings for Clinton are mostly driven by college-educated white voters, especially women, SurveyMonkey’s Mark Blumenthal told HuffPollster in an email. The poll’s estimates for likely voters don’t differ much from their registered voter model, he said.  “National exit polls have shown Republicans winning the votes of college educated white voters for at least the last six presidential elections, with Mitt Romney’s 14-point margin the biggest since 1992,” Blumenthal wrote. “Our most recent week of national tracking gives Clinton a 20 percentage point lead (52 to 32 percent) among college educated white voters. That shift means that Clinton should be outpacing Obama’s 2012 performance in states where the percentage of college educated white voters is especially large or where the non-college white population is particularly small. As David Wasserman illustrated in his New York Times op-ed this week, states like Georgia, Virginia, Florida and North Carolina have fewer non-college white voters than other relatively competitive states.” TEXAS LOOKS COMPETITIVE IN RECENT POLLING - HuffPollster: “Donald Trump is still winning in [Texas], but his advantage has dropped precipitously from double digits to under 5 percent in the last two weeks. The last three polls in the state show him ahead of Hillary Clinton by only 2 points in a Washington Post-SurveyMonkey poll, 3 points in a University of Houston poll and 4 points in a Survey USA/Texas Tenga poll…. A couple of earlier polls had signaled the race might be closer than expected, but there hasn’t been consistent evidence until now…. [W]hat we know about the state’s demographics reveal a lot about why Texans are reluctant to accept Trump: There’s a substantial minority population that Trump has angered, a substantial college-educated population and lots of in-migration to the state as its economy expands.” [HuffPost] HUFFPOLLSTER VIA EMAIL! - You can receive this daily update every weekday morning via email! Just click here, enter your email address, and click “sign up.” That’s all there is to it (and you can unsubscribe anytime). WEDNESDAY’S ‘OUTLIERS’ - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data: -Bloomberg polling released Wednesday gives Hillary Clinton a 9-point lead nationally. [Bloomberg] -Mark Blumenthal finds that Clinton is consolidating Democrats, while Donald Trump has failed to win over more Republicans. [HuffPost] -Carl Bialik surveys 28 pollsters, and finds the vast majority expecting a Clinton victory. [538] -A new Arizona poll shows Clinton up by 5 points in the state.  [ASU-Cronkite] -Rhetoric about “rigged election” may have actually increased Democrats’ confidence in their votes. [CalTech] -Most married people think their spouses share their presidential preferences. [Pew] -Mark Fahey and Eric Chemi note that most media pollsters aren’t getting rich off this election. [CNBC] -Astrologers, like pollsters, think Clinton is winning. (What’s the margin of error for a horoscope?) [LA Times] -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 октября, 01:49

Donald Trump's Claim That There's A 'War On Police' Is Still Bunk

Last year was one of the safest years on record for U.S. police, FBI data released Tuesday confirmed. The numbers follow a sustained downward trend in police deaths over recent decades, despite mounting concerns from police union bosses and Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, who maintain that violence against law enforcement is on the rise. Forty-one U.S. law enforcement officers were intentionally killed in the line of duty in 2015, according to the FBI’s statistics, published annually as part of the agency’s Uniform Crime Report. Although annual figures tend to fluctuate, the past four years have seen historic lows in police fatalities. There were 20 percent fewer line-of-duty deaths last year than in 2014, but the totals marked about a 50 percent increase from an all-time low in 2013, when 27 officers were killed. Of course police work comes with inherent hazards and every fatal incident is tragic, but widening the historical scope shows that policing is safer in the U.S. today than it has ever been before. In the 1970s, intentional police deaths were regularly six times higher than at present. And in the alcohol prohibition era, police deaths rocketed to as high as 17 times what we see today. The FBI also reports that 50,212 officers were assaulted in the line of duty 2015, with 28 percent of them sustaining injuries as a result. These numbers are consistent with totals over the previous decade, though assaults have also been falling in recent years. In other words, the data does not support claims from conservative media outlets, police union bosses and Trump, who claim that increased scrutiny of police and demand for reform has encouraged a so-called “war on cops.” Although there is some debate about whether widespread criticism of police brutality has made policing more difficult, some on the right have worked to portray this not as an ideological war, but a literal one. Arguments like this may be convincing to the public, but are not grounded in reality, say researchers. “I do not believe that there is a ‘war on cops,’” Philip Stinson, a former police officer who is now a criminologist at Ohio’s Bowling Green State University, told The Huffington Post. “It is business as usual in policing.” Still, the conversation around policing has changed in recent years. The controversial 2014 police killing of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, catapulted issues of race and law enforcement into the national limelight. The seemingly constant stream of incidents, often captured by smartphones or police body cameras, has kept them there. This has led to more aggressive criticism of police by the Black Lives Matter movement and other civil rights organizations. Their opponents argue that these groups have fomented a hostile environment for police. But there’s no evidence to suggest that this climate is actually causing officers to be killed at higher rates. “While we mourn even one death of a police officer, what we see in the data is very consistent with prior years and even a noticeable drop from 2014,” David Harris, a professor of law at University of Pittsburgh School of Law who studies policing, told HuffPost. “2015 was a year with a lot of criticism of police, let’s face it,” Harris added. “And no matter how you stand on that, what we can say for sure is that does not seem to have resulted in more police officer deaths.” The conversation around policing has only gotten more passionate in 2016. Questionable police shootings of civilians have continued with disturbing regularity this year, while July’s fatal attacks on police officers in Dallas and Baton Rouge, Louisiana, helped propel the war on cops narrative into the presidential campaign. “The war on our police must end and it must end now,” Trump said in August. Trump also appeared to blame President Barack Obama for the killings of three Baton Rouge police officers in July. But again, there is no evidence to suggest that these examples of violence are any more prominent in 2016 than they have in the modern policing era, under presidential administrations stretching back to Jimmy Carter. In the first 10 months of the year, 45 officers have been killed by gunfire, according to the Officer Down Memorial Page, a website that independently tracks a broad range of data on law enforcement deaths stretching back over 100 years. An additional 10 officers have been killed by vehicular assault, two have died due to general “assault” and one has been stabbed to death. It’s not clear if the FBI will define these deaths as “felonious killings,” or in other words intentional killings, but the data does suggest there will be a slight uptick in line-of-duty deaths over last year. But again, it’s important to look at long-term trends. An average of 64 law enforcement officers have been feloniously killed each year since 1980, according to FBI data. The last three years have seen fatal attacks on police that are well below that number. This year has already outpaced those historic lows, but it remains to be seen how they will compare to a year like 2011, for example, in which 72 officers were killed in the line of duty. “When all is said and done, it won’t be outside the recent statistical trend, it will be well within it,” predicted Harris. Of course, Trump’s rhetoric goes far beyond his supposed desire to keep cops safe. He’s since framed the “law and order” issue as a matter of warfare, saying police need to be “tougher” and that they should be allowed to go on the “counter-attack” against those who might attack them. He’s also called for police in the nation’s cities to return to using controversial “stop-and-frisk” programs, a source of intense criticism against law enforcement in recent years. This is the exact kind of “demeaning and humiliating” policy of “indirect racial profiling” that led a federal judge to ban the practice in New York City. All of this has played out against a backdrop of racial division at the core of Trump’s campaign, which has left him winking at white supremacists, while denigrating people of color, immigrants and Muslims. Cherry-picking data to push an agenda may be politically expedient, but it’s also disingenuous. “Any suggestion in the political arena that there is a ‘war on cops,’ Stinson said, “is symbolic political crime control rhetoric exaggerated by the fact that it is an election year.” Editor’s note: Donald Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims — 1.6 billion members of an entire religion — from entering the U.S. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 октября, 01:14

Presidential Proclamation -- Minority Enterprise Development Week, 2016

MINORITY ENTERPRISE DEVELOPMENT WEEK, 2016 - - - - - - - BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA A PROCLAMATION Since our earliest days, entrepreneurship has embodied the very promise of our Nation, reaffirming the notion that in a place of such limitless potential, Americans can forge a prosperous future and build a better life for themselves and their families. Women and men of every faith, background, and race have channeled their talents and ingenuity into harnessing the spirit of innovation that has long been the hallmark of our people. And as an essential part of our country's story, minority-owned enterprises have helped spur this progress. During Minority Enterprise Development Week, we reflect on the significant ways they have helped put our economy on the path to success, and we recommit to empowering every hardworking American to write our next great chapters. Minority-owned firms employ millions of workers and generate more than $1 trillion in economic output, revitalizing our communities and driving our growth. That is why my Administration is helping entrepreneurs of all backgrounds and small businesses across our country get the resources they need to get off the ground. Through the Minority Business Development Agency, we have led efforts to promote growth and competitiveness. We are helping streamline the process of starting a company and investing in entrepreneurship training and skill building for more Americans. Through www.Business.USA.gov, we are helping more enterprises get information about Federal contracts, and we are connecting them to critical resources to help develop and grow a business. In today's global economy, minority-owned businesses are essential to our country's success. They are twice as likely as other businesses to export their goods and services, and I am working to encourage entrepreneurship and innovation through a smart trade agenda that will allow us to sell more goods, boost economic competitiveness, and help more of our entrepreneurs thrive. Our Nation has always drawn strength from the diversity of our people, and no matter who you are, what you look like, or where you come from, America is a place where everyone deserves a chance to get ahead. This week, we must continue working to support minority enterprises and all entrepreneurs -- and ensure that by expanding access to the networks, capital, and opportunities required to build a business, everybody can have a fair shot at reaching their piece of the American dream. NOW, THEREFORE, I, BARACK OBAMA, President of the United States of America, by virtue of the authority vested in me by the Constitution and the laws of the United States, do hereby proclaim October 23 through October 29, 2016, as Minority Enterprise Development Week. I call upon all Americans to celebrate this week with appropriate programs, ceremonies, and activities to recognize the many contributions of our Nation's minority enterprises. IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand this eighteenth day of October, in the year of our Lord two thousand sixteen, and of the Independence of the United States of America the two hundred and forty-first. BARACK OBAMA

19 октября, 00:49

Black Women With Criminal Records Have A Harder Time Than Their White Peers Finding Housing In D.C.

WASHINGTON ― Black women with criminal records are treated less favorably than their white counterparts while looking for housing in D.C., according to a new report from the Equal Rights Center released Tuesday.  Housing providers favored white female applicants with criminal records in 47 percent of tests conducted by ERC, while 11 percent of tests found favor toward black applicants. Forty-two percent of tests found no differential treatment between applicants. Twenty-eight percent of tests discovered screening policies that may not align with those in the Fair Housing Act, the group says. “This report shines a light on what is happening to these women long after their interaction with the criminal justice system has ended,” said Alexis Squire, ERC’s acting senior manager of external affairs, during a press call. (function() { /* If the note embed is already loaded, don't repeat the process. */ if (window.dc) { if (window.dc.noteEmbedLoaded) { return; } } window.dc = window.dc || {}; window.dc.recordHit = "//www.documentcloud.org/pixel.gif"; var pendingQueue = window.dc._notesWaitingForAppLoad = []; window.dc.load = function(resource_url, options) { pendingQueue.push({resource_url: resource_url, options: options}); }; var eventuallyLoadNotes = function(){ if (window.dc.embed) { for (var i=0; i < pendingQueue.length; i++){ var resource = pendingQueue[i]; dc.embed.loadNote(resource.resource_url, resource.options); } } else { setTimeout(eventuallyLoadNotes, 500); } }; eventuallyLoadNotes(); var loadCSS = function(url, media) { var link = document.createElement('link'); link.rel = 'stylesheet'; link.type = 'text/css'; link.media = media || 'screen'; link.href = url; var head = document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; head.appendChild(link); }; [email protected]_on [email protected] (@_jscript_version < 5.8) loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/note_embed/note_embed.css"); @else @*/ loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/note_embed/note_embed-datauri.css"); [email protected] @*/ /* Record the fact that the note embed is loaded. */ dc.noteEmbedLoaded = true; })(); dc.embed.loadNote("https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3144623-Unlocking-Discrimination-A-Report-From-The-Equal/annotations/322530.js", {"container":"#DC-note-322530"}); Multiple pairs of one black woman and one white woman were chosen to apply for housing in 60 multifamily complexes throughout the D.C. metro area. Testers were matched based on age and external characteristics, and received extensive training, explained Kate Scott, ERC’s fair housing director. Two applicant profiles were built based on women’s typical interactions with the criminal justice system, Scott said. A tester would say she had a felony drug possession arrest from her college days that had been dismissed, or that she had been charged with larceny in connection to a domestic violence incident. Each profile was assigned an annual income level and a profession. Then profiles were matched with test sites based on the site’s cost of rent. Each pair was assigned a profile at the beginning of each test and the only variable was race. The 47 test applications ultimately used found three types of differential treatment between black and white applicants: contrasts in information and quality of service, including being offered different housing fees; varying reactions to the applicant’s criminal record; and speculations on the impact a record would have on being approved or denied housing. White applicants were more likely to receive favorable information, a more sympathetic reaction to their criminal charges, as well as positive speculations, the report found. (function() { /* If the note embed is already loaded, don't repeat the process. */ if (window.dc) { if (window.dc.noteEmbedLoaded) { return; } } window.dc = window.dc || {}; window.dc.recordHit = "//www.documentcloud.org/pixel.gif"; var pendingQueue = window.dc._notesWaitingForAppLoad = []; window.dc.load = function(resource_url, options) { pendingQueue.push({resource_url: resource_url, options: options}); }; var eventuallyLoadNotes = function(){ if (window.dc.embed) { for (var i=0; i < pendingQueue.length; i++){ var resource = pendingQueue[i]; dc.embed.loadNote(resource.resource_url, resource.options); } } else { setTimeout(eventuallyLoadNotes, 500); } }; eventuallyLoadNotes(); var loadCSS = function(url, media) { var link = document.createElement('link'); link.rel = 'stylesheet'; link.type = 'text/css'; link.media = media || 'screen'; link.href = url; var head = document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; head.appendChild(link); }; [email protected]_on [email protected] (@_jscript_version < 5.8) loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/note_embed/note_embed.css"); @else @*/ loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/note_embed/note_embed-datauri.css"); [email protected] @*/ /* Record the fact that the note embed is loaded. */ dc.noteEmbedLoaded = true; })(); dc.embed.loadNote("https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3144623-Unlocking-Discrimination-A-Report-From-The-Equal/annotations/322528.js", {"container":"#DC-note-322528"}); Women are America’s fastest growing prison population and most of those incarcerated are African-American. Black women are twice as likely to be sent to prison than white women. In jails, 44 percent of female inmates are black, compared to 36 percent of white women, according to a study from the Vera Institute of Justice and the Safety and Justice Challenge.  In D.C., African-Americans make up 90 percent of the inmate population and 49 percent of the total population. All women who are incarcerated, however, are “overwhelmingly poor and low-income, survivors of violence and trauma, and have high rates of physical and mental illness and substance use,” the study for the Vera Institute found. And 80 percent of the women were also their children’s primary caregivers. A lack of adequate access to housing ― or lodging in unsafe neighborhoods ― can also cause women to end up back in jail.  “The fact that one mistake in life can cost you for the rest of life — among other factors such as your gender … or just the mere color of your skin — shows just how deep fear and bias can disrupt progress and our ability to see and treat each other as humans,” said Stephanie Franklin, interim director of policy and communications for the D.C. Office of Human Rights. Read the entire report below:  (function() { /* If the viewer is already loaded, don't repeat the process. */ if (window.DV) { if (window.DV.loaded) { return; } } window.DV = window.DV || {}; window.DV.recordHit = "//www.documentcloud.org/pixel.gif"; var pendingQueue = window.DV._documentsWaitingForAppLoad = []; window.DV.load = function(resource_url, options) { pendingQueue.push({resource_url: resource_url, options: options}); }; var eventuallyLoadDocuments = function(){ if (window.DV.viewers) { for (var i=0; i < pendingQueue.length; i++){ var resource = pendingQueue[i]; DV.load(resource.resource_url, resource.options); } } else { setTimeout(eventuallyLoadDocuments, 500); } }; eventuallyLoadDocuments(); var loadCSS = function(url, media) { var link = document.createElement('link'); link.rel = 'stylesheet'; link.type = 'text/css'; link.media = media || 'screen'; link.href = url; var head = document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0]; head.appendChild(link); }; [email protected]_on [email protected] (@_jscript_version < 5.8) loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/viewer/viewer.css"); @else @*/ loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/viewer/viewer-datauri.css"); [email protected] @*/ loadCSS("//assets.documentcloud.org/viewer/printviewer.css", 'print'); /* Record the fact that the viewer is loaded. */ DV.loaded = true; })(); DV.load("https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3144623-Unlocking-Discrimination-A-Report-From-The-Equal.js", {"container":"#DV-viewer-3144623-Unlocking-Discrimination-A-Report-From-The-Equal","responsive":true}); -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

18 октября, 16:30

Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Amazon, Air Transport Services Group, C.H. Robinson Worldwide and Union Pacific

Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: Amazon, Air Transport Services Group, C.H. Robinson Worldwide and Union Pacific

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18 октября, 03:30

The Real Reason American Businesses Aren&#039;t Taking Risks—And Aren&#039;t Growing

Milton Ezrati Economics, Americas Today’s lack of spending threatens the economy’s long-term, fundamental productive potential. Where are the “animal spirits” that once motivated American business? Their absence bodes ill for the future. This plea must sound as if it emerged from a Trump harangue, but actually it reflects the deep thinking of a very different sort of man, the great economist John Maynard Keynes. He used this admittedly colorful phrase to describe the sometimes-irrational optimism of business people, a confidence in the future that drives them to build and hire on the expectation that the investment will pay out in time. Keynes saw the impulse as essential for economic growth. Alone, he argued, this willingness to construct, update, and re-equip production facilities allows the economy to expand its physical productive capacity, apply new technologies, and so increase worker productivity enough to support higher wages. America has missed such “spirits” and the investment they support for some years now. Certainly, a paucity of capital spending explains in large part why this overall recovery since 2009 has disappointed. Whereas historically, real economic growth has averaged 3–3.5 percent a year, and closer to 4–4.5 percent in recovery years, it has in this recovery averaged a mere 2.1 percent a year, a third less than the average and less than half the typical recovery. According to Commerce Department figures, this shortfall is almost entirely due to the reluctance by business to spend. For the past three years, the economy has seen business’ capital investment expand only 2.75 percent a year. That pace might seem in line with overall growth, but it is disproportionately slow by the standards of past recoveries. Had capital spending come close to its 7.1 percent yearly growth pace averaged in all recoveries during the past forty years or even the 6.1 percent pace averaged after the 2001–02 recession, it would have increased the economy’s overall growth pace by an additional 1.0 percent point, bringing it much closer to historic averages. Read full article

18 октября, 01:48

South Sudan Boosts Oilfield Security After Latest Clashes Kill 56

The army of South Sudan is deploying additional troops around the Paloch oilfield—the largest oilfield still operational in the country—after fresh clashes with rebels killed 56 people last week, Defense Minister Kuol Manyang Juuk told Bloomberg by phone on Monday. Insurgents may be planning to attack production facilities at the Paloch oilfield, Juuk said, commenting on the latest in a series of clashes in the oil-rich northern parts of the country, which had left another 60 dead earlier last week. South Sudan gained independence from…

18 октября, 01:41

Zeits: Natural Gas Output In U.S. Will Dip in 2016

Average natural gas production in the mainland United States (US) is expected to fall for “the first year in a long while,” wrote energy industry analyst Richard Zeits in an article for Seeking Alpha published on Monday. In his judgment, average natural gas production for the cautious US during the twelve-month period ending on 30 November 2016 will dip by 0.5 percent. Additionally, Zeits claimed to be correct in his prediction made last February that the decline in rigs for the lower forty-eight states at the time represented “business…

17 октября, 22:08

3 Transportation Stocks to Buy Before the Shopping Season

3 Transportation Stocks to Buy Before the Shopping Season

17 октября, 20:23

ISIL Cannot Win the Battle for Mosul (But They Can Make It Slow and Bloody)

Daniel R. DePetris Security, Middle East What will happen?  Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abad was defiant. Addressing the Iraqi people in a nationally televised statement, Abadi declared that the military operation to liberate Mosul from the Islamic State has finally begun--and that--inshallah--it will be a quick and relatively bloodless success. "The hour has come and the moment of great victory is near,” Abadi said. In terms of pure numbers, the Mosul offensive should be a cakewalk for the government. While the figures vary, common estimate are that approximately 30,000 pro-government forces will be matched up against 3,000-4,500 ISIL fighters who are under-equipped, demoralized from past setbacks on the battlefield, and largely isolated from bringing in reinforcements from Syria or other areas of Iraq. The offensive has been building up for weeks; shaping operations forty or fifty miles outside of the city’s limits have enabled the Iraqi army to gradually starve the terrorist group of resources. The capture of the Qayyara airfield was an especially noteworthy development — situated 40 miles south of Mosul, the airfield has seen truckloads of supplies and troop reinforcements shipped up from Baghdad and an influx of 600 additional U.S. advisers who will be responsible for mapping out targets and assisting the Iraqis who will actually be doing the fighting.   Read full article

17 октября, 20:00

Clinton leads Trump by 12 in new national poll

The most recent struggles of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has ballooned Hillary Clinton’s lead over the GOP nominee to 12 percentage points among likely voters in a new poll, up 8 points from a similar survey conducted just three weeks ago.The Monmouth University poll released Monday afternoon puts Clinton ahead of Trump, 50 percent to 38 percent, in a four-way race that also includes Libertarian Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein. The former secretary of state’s lead is up significantly from the 4-point advantage she held in a Monmouth poll last month.The intervening three weeks between the Monmouth polls have been nothing short of a disaster for Trump, whose numbers have slid dramatically nationwide and in swing states as his campaign entered its homestretch. Those struggles began at the first presidential debate, widely perceived as a victory for Clinton, where the Democratic nominee successfully baited Trump on a number of issues. Perhaps most successfully, Clinton brought former Miss Universe Alicia Machado, whom Trump once derided as “Miss Piggy” and “Miss Housekeeping,” into the political spotlight, an attack that put the real estate mogul on the defensive for nearly a full week.Then, just before the second presidential debate, The Washington Post published audio from 2005 of Trump describing in vulgar terms how his celebrity status allowed him to sexually assault women with impunity. He denied at the second debate that he had ever actually carried out such actions, but numerous women came forward in the subsequent days alleging that Trump had made unwanted sexual advances on them. The GOP nominee has denied all of the charges.The poll released Monday is the first to be conducted entirely since the accusations of sexual assault against Trump began to emerge. Sixty-two percent of voters polled said they believe the allegations against Trump are credible while 58 percent said they were not surprised by what they heard Trump say on the recording.Clinton’s favorability rating remained poor but steady relative to the previous poll, with just 38 percent of voters holding a favorable opinion of her and 52 percent holding an unfavorable opinion. The number of respondents with a favorable opinion of Trump dipped 6 points, from 32 percent to 26 percent, while his unfavorable numbers climber 4 points, from 57 percent to 61 percent.Disclosures by WikiLeaks of internal emails hacked from the personal account of Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta appear to be having little effect on voters’ impression of the former secretary of state. Among those disclosures was text of Clinton’s paid speeches, but just 25 percent of respondents said that the release of those transcripts made them think less of the Democratic nominee. Forty-five percent said the transcripts had no impact on their impression of Clinton and 28 percent said they did not know about the hacked emails.The Monmouth University poll was conducted from Oct. 14-16, reaching 805 registered voters nationwide via telephone with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.5 percent. Of the 805 registered voters reached, 726 were determined to be likely to vote in November’s election, with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.6 percent.

17 октября, 19:01

Canton Fair exporters optimistic

MORE than 80 percent of companies at China’s largest trade fair expect to export more next year, helped by innovation and currency movements, according to a Reuters poll, raising hopes of a turnaround

17 октября, 18:49

Bangladesh: A Path Toward Prosperity

Born out of a devastating war, Bangladesh was shattered in 1971. Forty five years later the country has transformed itself into a model of human and economic development. Its success in improving the standards of living of its people is rooted in a resilient population, strong partnerships between the government, NGO’s and the private sector. Bangladesh holds lessons for other emerging economies and this year, the World Bank Group will celebrate End Poverty Day in Bangladesh. #ProsperBangladesh #AgaoBangladesh #EndPoverty

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17 октября, 16:20

Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts -- by Oscar Jorda, Moritz Schularick, Alan M. Taylor

In advanced economies, a century-long near-stable ratio of credit to GDP gave way to rapid financialization and surging leverage in the last forty years. This "financial hockey stick" coincides with shifts in foundational macroeconomic relationships beyond the widely-noted return of macroeconomic fragility and crisis risk. Leverage is correlated with central business cycle moments, which we can document thanks to a decade-long international and historical data collection effort. More financialized economies exhibit somewhat less real volatility, but also lower growth, more tail risk, as well as tighter real-real and real-financial correlations. International real and financial cycles also cohere more strongly. The new stylized facts that we discover should prove fertile ground for the development of a new generation of macroeconomic models with a prominent role for financial factors.

17 октября, 15:41

GREAT MOMENTS IN SELECTIVE AMNESIA, PART I. Shot: In light of the numerous women who have come f…

GREAT MOMENTS IN SELECTIVE AMNESIA, PART I. Shot: In light of the numerous women who have come forward to accuse GOP nominee Donald Trump of sexually assaulting them, many in the media have questioned why leaders of the party continue to endorse him. The National Organization for Women President Terry O’Neill appeared on Politics Nation […]

25 апреля, 04:15

Банковская мафия рубит концы. Чего то опасаются...

В Европе уничтожают банкиров целыми семьямиВ Западной Европе продолжается череда таинственных убийств высокопоставленных банкиров. Их убивают нарочито жестоко вместе с детьми и женами. С января этого года было убито уже 14 топ-менеджеров ведущих банков, ни одно из преступлений не было раскрыто. Такими темпами, банкиры по примеру Депардье вскоре начнут просить политубежище в России.В пятницу, 18 апреля, стало известно, что в бельгийском городе Визе был убит 37-летний директор BNP Paribas Fortis вместе со своей супругой и девятилетним племянником в результате стрельбы из проезжающего мимо них автомобиля. Согласно заявлениям мэра Визе Марселю Невену, ничто не может объяснить, что вызвало жестокую стрельбу поздней ночью 18 апреля. До сих пор не найдены ни убийца, ни внятный мотив для совершения этого преступления.Ранее финансовый мир был озабочен загадочным убийством бывшего генерального директора ABN Amro и членов его семьи, позже стало известно о гибели главы Bank Frick & Co. Юргена Фрика в Лихтенштейне.Всего, не считая последнего убийства, начиная с январе в Европе и США погибло уже 13 банкиров.Часть смертей полиция классифицирует как самоубийства, а некоторые называют необъяснимыми или просто отказывается раскрывать подробности, что только усиливает подозрения в умышленных убийствах.№1. УИЛЬЯМ БРОКСМИТ58-летний бывший топ-менеджер Deutsche Bank был найден мертвым в своем доме в центре Лондона 26 января. Полиция классифицирует эту смерть как самоубийство.№2. КАРЛ СЛИМ51-летний управляющий директор Tata Motors был найден мертвым на четвертом этаже отеля Shangri-La в Бангкоке 27 января.№3. ГАБРИЭЛЬ МАГИ39 -летний сотрудник JP Morgan умер после падения с крыши европейской штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Лондоне 27 января.№4. МАЙК ДЮКЕР50-летний главный экономист инвестиционного банка США был найден мертвым недалеко от Такомского моста в штате Вашингтон.№5. РИЧАРД ТЭЛЛИ57-летний основатель Title Services был найден мертвым в начале этого месяца. Судя по всему, он сам выстрелил в себя из ружья.№6. ТИМ ДИКИНСОНДиректор по коммуникациям британской Swiss Re AG также умер в прошлом месяце, однако обстоятельства его смерти до сих пор неизвестны.№7. РАЙАН ГЕНРИ КРЕЙН37-летний топ-менеджер JP Morgan умер несколько недель назад . Подробностей трагедии нет, в качестве причины называется самоубийство. О его смерти свидетельствует лишь небольшой некролог в Stamford Daily Voice.№8. ЛИ ДЖУНДЖИ33-летний банкир из Гонконга покончил с собой, спрыгнув с крыши штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Гонконге на этой неделе.№9. ДЖЕЙМС СТЮАРТБывший генеральный директор National Bank of Commerce найден мертвым в Скоттдейл, штат Аризона, утром 19 февраля. Представитель семьи отказался называть причину смерти.№10. ЭДМУНД РЕЙЛИ47-летний трейдер Midtown’s Vertical Group совершил самоубийство, прыгнув под поезд.№11. КЕННЕТ БЕЛЛАНДО28-летний трейдер Levy Capital, ранее работающий инвестиционно-банковским аналитиком в JPMorgan, выпрыгнул из окна своей квартиры.№12. ЯН ПЕТЕР ШМИТТМАНН57-летний бывший главный исполнительный директор банка ABN Amro Group найден мертвым у себя дома недалеко от Амстердама вместе с женой и дочерью.№13. ЮРГЕН ФРИК48-летний бывший генеральный директор Bank Frick & Co. был застрелен в подземном гараже одной из финансовых компаний в Лихтенштейне.