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25 июня, 06:07

The Vanity of Bernard-Henri Lévy

Jonathan Bronitsky Society, Europe BHL's latest tract, The Genius of Judaism, is a polemic masquerading as intellectual history. Bernard-Henri Lévy, The Genius of Judaism (New York: Random House, 2017), 256 pp., $28.00. BERNARD-HENRI LÉVY has been the recipient of vast quantities of acclaim, a copious dose of scorn and even a handful of projectile pies. This likely would have been the destiny of any semiprominent ex-Marxist French intellectual who openly (and practically unilaterally) turned against the European Left, calling it out for its complicity in secular totalitarianism. This was almost inevitably the destiny of a person who is brilliant, who inherited a massive fortune, who has been involved in a number of high-profile dalliances and marriages, and who has spent forty years in the international spotlight as a philosopher, filmmaker, war correspondent, playwright, columnist and human-rights activist. Lévy claims on his résumé, among other achievements, more than thirty books—including works of philosophy, fiction and biography—countless articles and multiple lifetimes’ worth of harrowing foreign adventures. He’s been hailed in the pages of the world’s leading publications as “a star,” “a phenomenon,” “a commanding figure,” “a fearless intellectual risk-taker,” even “Superman.” Perhaps the greatest proof of his stature is that he’s widely known simply as “BHL.” Lévy returns to his roots in his latest book. Born in 1948 in the iron ore shipping port Béni Saf to affluent Jewish Algerians, his family moved to Paris a few months after his birth. He became a Zionist in 1967. His timing was propitious. Arriving in Israel days following the Six-Day War, he found “the most unexpected of inner homelands.” Yet for much of his life, he remained uninformed of his religious inheritance. His family embraced the adage of the atrabilious and haunted nineteenth-century German poet Heinrich Heine that Judaism “was a source of ‘insults and pain’ that one would not wish on one’s worst enemy.” He’s since discarded that chilly sentiment and embraced an “affirmative” rapport with his faith. After much deliberation, he decrees that “the genius of Judaism” is that Judaism is actually a religion without borders. Read full article

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25 июня, 03:45

Guatemala: Officials and police charged over girls shelter blaze

Forty-one teenage girls were killed in a fire at the government-run shelter in March.

24 июня, 16:54

Why Israel Is Testing Its Arrow 3 Interceptor Missile—in Alaska

Michael Peck Security, Middle East What are they preparing for? Fearing an Iranian ballistic-missile strike, it’s no surprise that Israel is planning another test of its Arrow 3 antimissile interceptor. However, the location of the test is a surprise. Rather than being tested in Israel, the Arrow 3 will be launched from Alaska next year. The test will be managed by the U.S. Missile Defense Agency (MDA) which has been jointly funding the Arrow 3 with the Israeli Missile Defense Organization since 2008. “MDA will test the U.S.-Israeli Arrow 3 missile defense system from the Pacific Spaceport Complex in Kodiak in 2018,” confirmed MDA spokesman Christopher Johnson. Why move the test from the sunny Mediterranean to cold Alaska? The answer appears to be geography. Israel’s Mediterranean backyard is too small for testing an exoatmospheric missile like Arrow 3, which intercepts its targets while they are in space and before they reenter the atmosphere. The Arrow 3 reportedly has a slant range of 1,500 miles and is able to intercept targets more than sixty-two miles high. “That interceptor is now up into the exo-atmosphere and it has significant range constraints within the Mediterranean,” MDA chief Vice Adm. James Syring told the House Armed Services Committee last month. “And one of the—one of the better places to test is in Alaska from Kodiak and we plan to do that next year.” Launching an Arrow 3 from Alaska will also enable the missile to fly over the Pacific instead of the Mediterranean, and thus avoid overflying neighbors who might be touchy about an Israeli missile streaking overhead. The U.S. government has been cooperating with Israel on the Arrow project since 1988 (in 2012, Boeing signed an agreement with Israel Aircraft Industries to develop the Arrow 3). Israel currently deploys two batteries of the Arrow 2, a medium-range interceptor that can hit Scud-like ballistic missiles at an altitude of about thirty miles. The U.S. has spent $743 million on Arrow 3 funding since 2008, but there are no plans for the weapon to be added to the American missile defense arsenal. Instead, America has developed its own—and troubled—Ground-Based Midcourse Defense system (GMD). GMD relies on forty-four Ground-Based Interceptors (GBI) emplaced in silos in Alaska and California. When asked about the differences between the Arrow 3 and the U.S. GBI, the Missile Defense Agency suggested that the National Interest contact the Israelis. Read full article

24 июня, 01:10

Democratic Support For Single-Payer Health Care Is Rising

More than half of Democrats believe that health insurance should be provided through a national, government-run insurance system, according to a new Pew Research survey. This represents a significant jump from past surveys. Fifty-two percent of Americans who identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party now favor a single-payer system, up from 33 percent in 2014 and 43 percent as recently as this January. Younger Democrats are especially enthusiastic: Two-thirds of Democrats and Democratic leaners under age 30 say they’d like to see a single-payer system. Support remains lower outside the party, with just 12 percent of Republicans and Republican leaners, and one-third of the public as a whole, favoring the idea. The poll also finds a larger shift on Americans’ views about the government’s role in the health care system. During former President Barack Obama’s tenure, a significant share of the public renounced the idea that the government should ensure all Americans have health coverage. As his signature health care law was facing a troubled launch in 2013, just 42 percent said the government had that responsibility. But after President Donald Trump, who has pledged to repeal the current health care law, came into office, views seesawed back. Sixty percent of Americans now say the government does have a responsibility to ensure universal health coverage. OTHER NUMBERS ON THE CURRENT DEBATE OVER HEALTH CARE: A new Kaiser Family Foundation poll finds that just 38 percent of Americans know that the House GOP’s bill to repeal Obamacare would involve major reductions to Medicaid. Medicaid itself is broadly popular with the public, nearly three-quarters of whom view it favorably. The survey also finds majority support for Obamacare for the first time in Kaiser’s polling since the law passed seven years ago. An NBC/Wall Street Journal survey finds that just 16 percent of Americans think the health care bill passed by the House is a good idea, while 48 percent consider it to be a bad idea. The public is closely divided on what Congress and the president should do next, according to the poll, with 38 percent saying they should continue attempting to repeal Obamacare, and 39 percent that they should not.  A HuffPost/YouGov survey finds that although few Republicans are enthusiastic about the GOP health bill, 68 percent say they’d rather see it pass than to have no repeal at all. The public overall would like to see the current health care law kept in place, according to the survey. MORE OF THE LATEST POLLING NEWS: FEW BELIEVE AMERICA IS MAKING PROGRESS ON GUN VIOLENCE ― HuffPollster: “America’s most recent bout with high-profile gun violence has done little to shake people’s attitudes about guns, which remain both complex and deeply polarized, according to two newly released surveys. Just 12 percent of the public thinks American society has gotten better at preventing gun violence since the 2012 shooting in Newtown, Connecticut, a new HuffPost/YouGov survey finds….A new, wide-ranging Pew Research report, also released Thursday, sheds some light on the attitudes underlying Americans’ opinions about firearms….Nearly three-quarters of gun owners say they can’t see themselves ever giving up gun ownership, and that they consider the right to own guns essential to their own sense of freedom. But a sizable share of the public has also had harmful experiences with firearms. Forty-four percent say they know someone who has been shot, whether accidentally or on purpose, and nearly a quarter say they or someone in their family have been threatened or intimidated by a gun.” [HuffPost, more from Pew]  SUPPORT FOR GAY AND LESBIAN RIGHTS CONTINUES TO GROW ―- Antonia Blumberg: ”[A]ccording to a new report by the Public Religion Research Institute, support for religiously based service refusals is quickly declining. PRRI’s report, based on a survey of roughly 40,000 interviews, found that more than six in ten Americans oppose allowing small business owners in their state to refuse to provide goods and services to gay or lesbian people on religious grounds….‘For the first time in a PRRI poll of this size, no major religious group reports majority support for religiously based service refusals of gay and lesbian Americans,’ said PRRI CEO Robert P. Jones in a statement.” [HuffPost, more from PRRI] HILLARY CLINTON’S IMAGE HASN’T SEEN A POST-ELECTION BOUNCE ― Justin McCarthy: “Americans are no more likely to view Hillary Clinton favorably than they were before last year’s presidential election. Forty-one percent have a favorable view of the 2016 Democratic presidential candidate, within the 41% to 43% range Gallup has recorded since November….Clinton’s current favorable rating is just a few percentage points higher than her all-time low ― 38%, last recorded in late August/early September 2016….Over the past quarter century, the favorable ratings of losing presidential candidates generally have increased after the election ― some in the immediate aftermath and others in the months that followed….November’s election was unlike any other before it, with both major party candidates having some of the lowest favorable ratings of any candidates in Gallup’s history. This situation has had unique consequences for the losing candidate as well as the winner.” [Gallup]  ‘OUTLIERS’ ― Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data: - An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll gives Democrats an 8-point edge over Republicans on the generic House ballot. [NBC] - CBS finds Americans are unhappy with congressional Republicans, but  not persuaded that Democrats would be better. [CBS] - Quinnipiac’s latest look at the Virginia gubernatorial race gives Democrat Ralph Northam an 8-point edge over Republican Ed Gillespie. [Quinnipiac] - Steven Shepard reports that pollsters were surprised by high turnout in the special election in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District. [Politico] - Nate Silver takes a look ahead to Democrats’ 2018 midterm chances. [538] - Andrew Dugan notes that health care costs top Americans’ list of financial concerns. [Gallup] - Kaeli Subberwal writes on a study finding Republicans are more concerned about “climate change” than “global warming.” [HuffPost] - Alvin Chang delves into the divide between Americans who leave their hometowns and those who stay. [Vox]  - Sean Trende offers some thoughts on media coverage of polls. [@SeanTrende] - Elisa Shearer finds few mode effects in polling on Americans’ news consumption. [Pew] Want to get more stories like this? Sign up for emails here. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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23 июня, 13:57

Darren Osborne charged with murder over Finsbury Park van attack

Unemployed father of four, 47, appears in magistrates court charged with terrorism-related murder and attempted murderA man has appeared in court after being charged with terrorism-related murder and attempted murder following the van attack in Finsbury Park that left one person dead and other Muslim worshippers injured.Darren Osborne, 47, was unshaven and had the remnants of a black eye as he appeared wearing a white T-shirt and grey jogging bottoms at Westminster magistrates court four days after the attack, which occurred near Finsbury Park mosque in the early hours of Monday. Continue reading...

23 июня, 09:30

График запасов танкерной нефти

Цены нефти немного отскочили от минимальных уровней. Но угрозы продолжения снижения сохраняются. На рынке нефти сильная динамика и борьба аргументов быков и медведей на рынке достигла высокого накала. Предлагается для ознакомления заметка с OIL.Эксперт по поводу динамики запасов нефти в плавучих хранилищах:«Нефтяные трейдеры прибегают к хранению все большего количества нефти в море на фоне увеличения производства в Атлантическом регионе, что свидетельствует о том, что рынок далек от того баланса, на который рассчитывает OPEC.Согласно данным парижской компании по отслеживанию танкеров Kpler SAS, объем нефти, хранящейся на танкерах, достиг максимального уровня в 2017 году — 111,9 млн. баррелей. Большую часть запасов составляют объемы, хранящиеся в Северном море, Сингапуре и Иране.Количество нефти, сохраняемой в плавающих танкерах, растет, несмотря на сокращение производства OPEC. Увеличение запасов происходит даже после того как OPEC и 11 других стран во главе с Россией сократили свое производство. С начала года эти страны сократили производство на 1,8 млн. баррелей в день, но более высокие объемы производства в США и Африке, а также слабый спрос в Азии подрывают их усилия. Согласно данным исследований Pareto Securities AS, компании Trafigura Group и Vitol Group недавно зафрахтовали устаревшие супертанкеры на срок в восемь месяцев. Некоторые из судов, вероятно, будут использоваться в качестве плавучих хранилищ.В результате сохраняющихся избыточных запасов, снижаются спотовые цены на нефть. Такая структура, известна как «Кон-танго» — трейдеры получают прибыль в результате хранения нефти на танкерных судах и ее последующей доставкой через неопределенное время.По данным Kpler, средний объем избыточных запасов на 1 мая составил около 74 млн. баррелей. В этом году количество плавучих хранилищ в Сингапуре увеличилось на 23% и на 32% в Северном море.Африка и Северное мореРанее в этом месяце Royal Dutch Shell Plc сняла экспортные ограничения на сырую нефть из Forcados (Нигерия), производство которой было остановлено более чем на год после вооруженного нападения на подводный трубопровод. Ожидается, что экспорт из Forcados составит в среднем около 285 000 баррелей в сутки в августе, что составляет почти четверть объема, который OPEC обещала сократить.Кроме того, крупнейшее нефтяное месторождение в Ливии, Sharara, возобновило свою работу после остановки и на текущий момент перекачивает около 270 000 баррелей в день. Ливийское производство является самым высоким с 2013 года после заключения сделки с Wintershall AG, которая позволила возобновить производство, по крайней мере, в двух месторождениях.По данным Bloomberg, почти 9 млн. баррелей ключевых сырых марок нефти Brent, Forties, Oseberg и Ekofisk хранятся на судах Aframax и супертанкерах около побережья Великобритании.В США добыча сырой нефти увеличивалась с октября прошлого года, а в прошлом месяце она достигла 9,34 млн. баррелей в день, что является самым высоким показателем за период с августа 2015 года. Кроме того, экспорт сырой нефти США в феврале достиг рекордного уровня в 1,1 млн. баррелей в сутки». Ист.: Oil-Эксперт: www.oilexp.ru/news/tankernoe-khranenie-nefti-dostigaet-rekordnykh-obemov-v-2017-godu/121487/

23 июня, 02:20

Barely Anyone Thinks The U.S. Is Making Progress In Stopping Gun Violence

America’s most recent bout with high-profile gun violence has done little to shake people’s attitudes about guns, which remain both complex and deeply polarized, according to two newly released surveys. Just 12 percent of the public thinks American society has gotten better at preventing gun violence since the 2012 shooting in Newtown, Connecticut, a new HuffPost/YouGov survey finds. Twenty-eight percent believe it’s gotten worse, and half that it hasn’t changed at all. The poll, taken in the wake of last week’s shooting at a congressional GOP baseball practice, finds that while half of the public believes that mass shootings can be stopped, another 28 percent think such events have become a fact of life in America. The remaining 22 percent aren’t sure. Overall, 40 percent say stricter gun control laws would reduce the number of shootings in the United States, while 14 percent think they would increase shootings, and a third that they wouldn’t make much difference. There’s a close divide on whether stricter gun control laws and enforcement would do more to prevent shootings than would allowing more private citizens to carry guns for protection, with 42 percent favoring the former and 39 percent the latter. Despite the backdrop of a high-profile shooting, all those numbers remain little-changed from a December 2016 HuffPost/YouGov survey. In one notable shift, however, Americans have grown less likely to believe there’s a political appetite for stricter gun laws. Last December, respondents said by a 9-point margin, 43 percent to 34 percent, that it was politically possible to pass stricter gun laws. In the latest survey, they said by an equal 9-point margin, 41 percent to 32 percent, that such changes are likely impossible. Views also remain sharply divided along partisan lines. Democrats are 43 points likelier than Republicans to believe stricter gun laws would reduce the number of shootings in the United States, the survey finds, and 52 points likelier to favor such restrictions over allowing more private citizens to carry guns. A new, wide-ranging Pew Research report, also released Thursday, sheds some light on the attitudes underlying Americans’ opinions about firearms. The survey, taken before the most recent shooting ― it was conducted in March and April ― finds that guns remain, for better or worse, deeply ingrained in American life. “Whether for hunting, sport shooting or personal protection, most gun owners count the right to bear arms as central to their freedom,” the report’s authors note. “At the same time, the results of gun-related violence have shaken the nation, and debates over gun policy remain sharply polarized.”  Two-thirds of Americans have lived with a gun in their household at some point during their lives, and more than 70 percent have shot one. Nearly three-quarters of gun owners say they can’t see themselves ever giving up gun ownership, and that they consider the right to own guns essential to their own sense of freedom. But a sizable share of the public has also had harmful experiences with firearms. Forty-four percent say they know someone who has been shot, whether accidentally or on purpose, and nearly a quarter say they or someone in their family have been threatened or intimidated by a gun. Black Americans are especially likely to have had troubling experiences: A third say they or a family member have been threatened or intimidated by a gun, and nearly 60 percent that they know someone who was shot. Gun owners and non-owners, the report finds, take diverging views on the extent to which gun violence is even an issue. Nearly 60 percent of people who don’t own guns, but just a third of those who do, consider it a major problem in the country. Beneath the broad ideological differences on guns, there’s significant agreement on a number of specific gun policies. According to Pew, a majority of both gun owners and non-gun-owners support rules preventing the mentally ill from purchasing guns; implementing backgrounds checks for private gun sales and at gun shows; barring gun purchases by people on no-fly or watch lists; and creating a federal database to track gun sales. Even among gun owners, opinions are deeply split between Republicans and Democrats. Views on guns weren’t always intractably partisan ― as recently as 2007, Republicans and independents who leaned toward the GOP were evenly split between prioritizing gun rights and gun control, according to previous Pew polls. But starting after former President Barack Obama took office, GOP views swung dramatically toward favoring more unfettered gun rights. Democratic gun-owners are currently more than twice as likely as Republican gun owners to consider gun violence a very big problem in the U.S., according to Pew, and nearly twice as likely to say that access to legal guns contribute to gun violence. Democratic gun owners are also significantly more likely than Republican gun owners to support new restrictions ― about two-thirds of Democratic gun owners, for instance, support banning assault-style weapons and high-capacity magazines, while fewer than 40 percent of Republican gun owners agree.  Pew Research surveyed 3,390 respondents online between March 13-27 and April 4018, using a nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults recruited from landline and cellphone random-digit dial surveys. The HuffPost/YouGov poll consisted of 1,000 completed interviews conducted June 20 among U.S. adults, using a sample selected from YouGov’s opt-in online panel to match the demographics and other characteristics of the adult U.S. population. HuffPost has teamed up with YouGov to conduct daily opinion polls. You can learn more about this project and take part in YouGov’s nationally representative opinion polling. Data from all HuffPost/YouGov polls can be found here. More details on the polls’ methodology are available here. Most surveys report a margin of error that represents some, but not all, potential survey errors. YouGov’s reports include a model-based margin of error, which rests on a specific set of statistical assumptions about the selected sample rather than the standard methodology for random probability sampling. If these assumptions are wrong, the model-based margin of error may also be inaccurate. Click here for a more detailed explanation of the model-based margin of error. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

23 июня, 02:01

Poll: Americans disapprove of House health care bill

Americans overwhelmingly disapprove of health care legislation passed last month by the House of Representatives, which follows the same framework as a version unveiled by the Senate on Thursday, according to a new poll released by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.Forty-eight percent of participants in the poll said they thought the House bill was a bad idea, while just 16 percent said it was a good idea. The rest were unsure or had no opinion, according to the poll of 900 people, which was conducted by phone from June 17-20.The Senate bill differs from the House version in its particulars, but both would repeal much of the 2010 Obamacare law and cut the Medicaid program for the poor, elderly and disabled. The House bill narrowly squeaked through the chamber in May, and the Senate version is expected to come up for a vote next week.The percentage of people who said the House bill was a good idea fell over the last month. In May, when the same question was asked, 23 percent of participants said the bill was a good idea. The same percentage of people said the bill was a bad idea both times the question was asked.Participants in the poll also said they trusted Democrats over Republicans to deal with health issues. Forty-three percent of participants said they trusted Democrats, while 26 percent said Republicans would do a better job. Eighteen percent said neither party would do a good job, and 12 percent said they would do about the same.Respondents said Republicans would fare best in dealing with ISIS in Iraq and Syria, changing how things work in Washington, dealing with the economy and dealing with taxes. Meanwhile, they said Democrats would do a better job on looking out for the middle class and dealing with immigration.The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

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23 июня, 00:00

45 Years Later, Oval Office Tape Still Echoes

Carl Cannon, RealClearPoliticsForty-five years ago today, Richard M. Nixon made a momentous mistake in judgment, with fateful ramifications for his legacy. It occurred in a late morning Oval Office meeting with White House chief of staff H.R. Haldeman.

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22 июня, 19:18

Sun, sand, sculptures and stars

Franco Daga of Italy works on a sculpture during the Sand Sculpture Festival “Disney Sand Magic” in Ostend, Belgium, yesterday. Forty artists painstakingly carved intricate murals along the theme of “Stars,” with some commemorating past celebrities, like Prince and David Bowie, others hailing sports icons like Mike Tyson. The 151 fleeting artworks are on display until September 4.

22 июня, 17:34

The Terrifying Tale of How One Russian Submarine Almost Started World War III over Cuba

Sebastien Roblin Security, The Cuban Missile Crisis could have gone very different.  Next time you think of the Cuban Missile Crisis, don’t think first of Kennedy brooding over his options in Washington. Think instead of dehydrated, harassed men trapped in a fragile metal box under the surface of the ocean, trying to decide whether or not to go down in a blaze of radioactive glory. It is commonly accepted that the world has never come closer to nuclear war than during the Cuban Missile Crisis, when the United States confronted Soviet Union over its deployment of ballistic nuclear missiles to Cuba. But in popular imagination, the decisions for war would have come from national leaders sitting in the comfort of executive offices in Washington or Moscow. In fact, that decision was nearly taken out of Khrushchev and Kennedy’s hands by a group of men in the throes of dehydration and CO2 poisoning as they sat in a malfunctioning submarine surrounded by U.S. destroyers, unable to consult with Moscow. Two officers gave the order to prepare a nuclear weapon for launch. Fortunately, they brought their boss with them. The origin of the Cuban Missile Crisis in fact lay in Operation Anadyr, the Soviet plan to covertly deploy fifty thousand personnel and their heavy weapons to Cuba by sea. Anadyr remains a masterpiece of operational security. Even the name Anadyr itself, referencing a river in Russia, was meant to deflect attention from its actual goals. Soviet diplomats prepared a cover story by boasting of a major civilian development program in Cuba. Meanwhile, orders for the troop deployments were transmitted by courier, and the troops and ship captains did not learn about their actual destination until they were given letters by KGB agents at sea. A total of eighty-six Soviet ships transferred an entire motorized rifle division to Cuba, as well as forty MiG-21 jet fighters, two anti-aircraft divisions with SA-2 surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), sixteen ballistic missile launchers loaded to fire R-12 and R-14 missiles, six Il-28 jet bombers, and twelve FROG-3 tactical ballistic missile systems. The last three systems came with their own nuclear warheads. The troops and equipment were mostly concealed from sight on the ships, though U.S. Navy aircraft did spot some of the SAMs on one transport on September 4. On the whole, however, the Soviet deception was a remarkable success. Read full article

22 июня, 07:01

The new Charles C. Mann book, *The Wizard and the Prophet*

I am of course excited about this, as his 1491 and 1493 are two of my favorite books: The Wizard and the Prophet: Two Remarkable Scientists and Their Dueling Visions to Shape Tomorrow’s World Here is the Amazon summary: In forty years, Earth’s population will reach ten billion. Can our world support that? What kind […] The post The new Charles C. Mann book, *The Wizard and the Prophet* appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

21 июня, 15:11

My podcast with Ed Luce

It was a forty-minute chat (podcast, no transcript), most of all about the decline of liberalism, based around Ed’s new and very well-received book The Retreat of Western Liberalism.  We also covered what a future liberalism will look like, to what extent current populism is an Anglo-American phenomenon, Modi’s India, whether Kubrick, Hitchcock, and John […] The post My podcast with Ed Luce appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

21 июня, 13:10

Poll: Opposition to GOP health bill is on the rise

Opposition to the Republican health bill is growing, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.As the GOP-led Senate prepares to take up the measure, only 35 percent of voters surveyed approve of the bill passed by the House last month. Nearly half of voters, 49 percent, disapprove of the bill. The other 16 percent don’t know or don’t have an opinion, the poll shows.POLITICO/Morning Consult polling indicates the bill has become less popular since the House advanced it in early May. Immediately after the bill passed, slightly more voters approved of the bill, 38 percent. Opposition to the bill was lower, too, immediately after the House passed it: 44 percent.The poll underscores the risks Republicans face in pursuing legislation for which opposition is creeping toward a majority of voters. The Senate’s so-far behind-closed-doors drafting process also complicates Republicans’ efforts to sell the proposal to their own voters — and there’s some evidence of slippage among the GOP base on the party’s Obamacare repeal bid.Among Republican voters, 30 percent disapprove of the GOP health care bill. That is up from 15 percent of Republicans disapproving in early May.Moreover, independent voters disapprove of the bill by a 2-to-1 margin: 26 percent approve, versus 53 percent who disapprove."When Senate Republicans finally release their new version of the American Health Care Act to the public, they will have to contend with growing opposition," said Morning Consult Co-founder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp. "Approval of the legislation has dropped steadily since its initial introduction, including among GOP voters and independents."Other measures similarly show few voters are cheering for the legislation’s passage. Only 27 percent think it will make the U.S. health care system better, compared to 41 percent who think it will make the system worse. Just 17 percent think it will decrease costs for them and their families, while 46 percent think costs will increase.Only 22 percent of voters say they have heard a lot about Senate Republicans writing their own health care bill. Another 44 percent say they’ve heard “some” about it, 25 percent haven’t heard much and 9 percent say they have heard nothing at all.And while voters haven’t heard much about the Senate’s progress, they want the GOP to work with Democrats on the final bill. Nearly two-thirds of voters, 65 percent, say they want Republicans to “compromise with Democrats to reach bipartisan reforms.” Only 18 percent want the GOP to “work only with other Republicans in Congress to achieve reforms.”Even among GOP voters, a 54-percent majority wants the party to work across the aisle on the final product.President Donald Trump will be able to help sell the bill to GOP voters — 80 percent of Republicans approve of the job he is doing, the poll shows.But Trump’s overall approval rating lags well behind. Only 44 percent of all voters approve of the job he is doing as president, compared to 52 percent who disapprove.And Republicans are on perilous political ground, according to the poll's generic ballot test. Forty-three percent of voters say they would support the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district, compared to only 37 percent for the Republican candidate. Among voters who say their most important issue is health care, the Democratic candidate leads by 38 points, 61 percent to 23 percent.The poll was conducted June 15-19, prior to Republican Karen Handel’s victory in Tuesday’s special congressional election in Georgia. The poll surveyed 2,051 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.More details on the poll and its methodology can be found in these two documents — Toplines: http://politi.co/2sRH4KC | Crosstabs: http://politi.co/2tqzNyv

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21 июня, 00:00

What the Watergate Committee Taught Me

Lowell Weicker, New York TimesForty-five years ago this month, a security guard named Frank Wills noticed some tape over a door lock at the Democratic National Committee headquarters in the Watergate Complex in Washington. What Mr. Wills set in motion when he raised the alarm that led to the arrest of the Watergate burglars had huge consequences for our nation.

20 июня, 22:00

Poll: Fewer Russians approve of how Putin deals with U.S.

As relations between the United States and Russia have deteriorated in recent years, so too has the opinion Russians hold of their president’s dealings with his nation’s former Cold War adversary. Seventy-three percent of Russians reached in a Pew Research Center poll released Tuesday said they approve of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s handling of relations with the U.S., a robust number that nonetheless represents a 12 percentage point drop from the 85 percent who said in 2015 they approved of Putin’s stance toward the U.S. Relations between the two nations, once on the upswing amid an effort at a “reset” at the start of former President Barack Obama’s administration, have more recently devolved over Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea away from Ukraine, Moscow’s support for Syrian dictator Bashar Assad and the Russian government’s campaign of cyberattacks aimed at interfering in last year’s presidential campaign, allegations the Kremlin has denied. The latter has prompted multiple ongoing investigations in the U.S., including probes conducted by special prosecutor Robert Mueller as well as the Senate and House intelligence committees. The investigations are expected to examine not only Russia’s campaign to interfere in the 2016 presidential race but also the possibility that individuals with ties to President Donald Trump or his campaign colluded with the Kremlin. Trump has loudly denied that any such connection exists. The president, who for weeks refused to accept the unanimous conclusion of all 17 federal intelligence agencies that Russia was indeed behind the campaign of cyberattacks, has decried the investigations as a “witch hunt.” Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and his Russian counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, pledged at an April bilateral press conference in Moscow to try to warm relations between the two countries, even as Tillerson conceded that the relationship was “at a low point.” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in March that the U.S.-Russia relationship had sunk to the level of a “new Cold War” or “maybe even worse.” But while approval of Putin’s handling of U.S. relations has dipped somewhat, respondents to the Pew poll said Putin has improved Russia’s standing in the world. Fifty-nine percent said Russia plays a more important role in the world than it did 10 years ago, while just 17 percent said Russia’s role on the international stage has diminished. Thirty-four percent of those polled said Russia is as respected around the world as it should be, up from 16 percent in 2012. Eighty-seven percent of respondents said they have confidence in Putin to do the right thing when it comes to international affairs, while 12 percent said they had no confidence. NATO, the trans-Atlantic military alliance that Trump labeled “obsolete” during last year’s campaign and whose members he has harangued about upping their defense spending, is viewed as less threatening to Russia than it once was, according to the poll. Forty-one percent said they view NATO as a “major threat,” down 9 points from 2015. Thirty-nine percent said they see NATO as a “minor threat” and 16 percent said it was not a threat at all. The Pew Research Center poll was conducted via face-to-face interviews with 1,002 Russian adults nationwide from Feb. 18 to April 3. The margin of error was plus or minus 4 points.

20 июня, 18:38

Barney Roy and Ribchester lead Godolphin march with Royal Ascot wins

• Sheikh enjoys 40th racing anniversary of first UK winner• James Doyle celebrates after difficult period with GodolphinThere was racing at Brighton on Tuesday, just as there was on 20 June 1977, when Sheikh Mohammed al-Maktoum took the train to the south coast to watch Hatta become the first horse to carry his colours to victory. Forty years later to the day, there were two more winners to add to the thousands that have followed since that trip to the coast, as his Godolphin operation registered a Group One double on the Royal meeting’s opening day and beat an odds-on favourite fielded by their fiercest rival.This must have been one of the most satisfying afternoons in the Sheikh’s four decades as an owner, as first Ribchester, in the Queen Anne Stakes, and then Barney Roy, in the St James’s Palace Stakes, the day’s feature races, proved themselves to be milers of exceptional quality. Continue reading...

19 июня, 20:49

"A Conspiracy So Immense": Tail-Gunner Joe McCarthy: Hoisted from the Archives:

**"A Conspiracy So Immense"**: Is the American right any crazier than it ever was? No. It was the submersion of the crazy right during the "end of ideology" age that was weird. Exhibit 1: William F. Buckley and Eliot Abrams. Buckley, remember, is the person whose reaction to Catholics being allowed into Yale on equal terms was: "let's be sure to keep the Jews down!" And Abrams... you will see... "A Conspiracy so Immense": Tail-Gunner Joe McCarthy : William F. Buckley says: >McCarthy's record is... not only much better than his critics allege, but, given his metier, extremely good.... [he] should not be remembered as the man who didn't produce 57 Communist Party cards but as the man who brought public pressure to bear on the State Department to revise its practices and to eliminate from responsible positions flagrant security risks... Elliot Abrams says: >McCarthy did not need to show that specific employees were guilty of espionage; they needed only to show that there was some evidence that an employee was a security or loyalty risk, and that the State Department... had willfully overlooked it.... What were the charges? They ranged from accusations of actual espionage—handing secret documents over to...

17 июня, 04:44

Is This a Sneak Peek at the Israeli Army's New Tank?

Michael Peck Security, Middle East The new tank will not replace the current Merkava 4, which is expected to remain in production until 2020. A small armored wedge with a remote-controlled turret: is this what the Israel Defense Force’s future armored vehicles will look like? The answer is . . . maybe. At a conference in Israel last month, the former chief of the IDF’s Armored Corps showed a simulation of what Project Carmel—the IDF’s effort to develop technology for the its generation of tanks—might produce. The virtual vehicle is wedge-shaped, with the hull sloping towards the front. The cannon-armed turret is set at the rear of the hull, with a machine gun mounted on top. In one of the screenshots, below the turret there is what seems to be—and your guess is as good as mine—a row of vision ports (you can see other screenshots here and here). Israel is developing two next-generation armored vehicles. One is the Eitan, the IDF’s first wheeled armored personnel carrier and the chosen replacement for Israel’s fleet of old and poorly armored M113 APCs. Already in the prototype stage, the eight-wheeled Eitan somewhat resembles the U.S. Stryker. The thirty-ton Eitan will be paired with the much heavier Namer, an APC based on the chassis of the Merkava tank. However, the simulated vehicle displayed at the conference by retired Brigadier General Didi Ben-Yoash, who is heading Project Carmel, is much more of a tank. It would be tracked rather than wheeled like the Eitan, and would weigh thirty-five to forty tons (compared to a sixty-eight-ton M-1 Abrams). With just two crewmen, the vehicle would mostly function autonomously, including “autonomous navigation and driving, target spotting, aiming, independent firing whenever possible plus other features,” according to Israel Defense magazine. Read full article

17 июня, 00:04

President Donald J. Trump Proclaims June 18, 2017, as Father's Day

FATHER'S DAY, 2017   - - - - - - -   BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA   A PROCLAMATION Father's Day is a special occasion that reminds us to pause and thank the men in our lives who have taken on the responsibility of raising children.  As sons and daughters, we recognize the love they have given and the sacrifices they have made, and we celebrate the indispensable role fathers play in our lives and communities.   Fathers have the ability and responsibility to instill in us core values we carry into adulthood.  The examples they set and the lessons they impart about hard work, dedication to family, faith in God, and believing in ourselves establish the moral foundation for success that allows us to live up to our full potential.  We remember those fatherly moments big and small    throwing a baseball, writing an essay, driving a car, walking down the aisle    that have shaped us, and we thank our dads for being there with a helping hand and an open heart.   Day in and day out, fathers put their children first, creating loving and supportive environments.  Whether by birth, adoption, or foster care, today we honor the incredible fathers in our lives for all they have done and continue to do for us.  Fathers inspire us to better ourselves and to be men and women of outstanding character.  We recommit ourselves as individuals, families, and communities to promoting and supporting fatherhood, and take this day to express our love and appreciation for fathers across our country.   NOW, THEREFORE, I, DONALD J. TRUMP, President of the United States of America, in accordance with a joint resolution of the Congress approved April 24, 1972, as amended (36 U.S.C. 109), do hereby proclaim June 18, 2017, as Father's Day.  I call on United States Government officials to display the flag of the United States on all Government buildings on Father's Day and invite State and local governments and the people of the United States to observe Father's Day with appropriate ceremonies.   IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand this sixteenth day of June, in the year of our Lord two thousand seventeen, and of the Independence of the United States of America the two hundred and forty-first. DONALD J. TRUMP

25 апреля 2016, 04:15

Банковская мафия рубит концы. Чего то опасаются...

В Европе уничтожают банкиров целыми семьямиВ Западной Европе продолжается череда таинственных убийств высокопоставленных банкиров. Их убивают нарочито жестоко вместе с детьми и женами. С января этого года было убито уже 14 топ-менеджеров ведущих банков, ни одно из преступлений не было раскрыто. Такими темпами, банкиры по примеру Депардье вскоре начнут просить политубежище в России.В пятницу, 18 апреля, стало известно, что в бельгийском городе Визе был убит 37-летний директор BNP Paribas Fortis вместе со своей супругой и девятилетним племянником в результате стрельбы из проезжающего мимо них автомобиля. Согласно заявлениям мэра Визе Марселю Невену, ничто не может объяснить, что вызвало жестокую стрельбу поздней ночью 18 апреля. До сих пор не найдены ни убийца, ни внятный мотив для совершения этого преступления.Ранее финансовый мир был озабочен загадочным убийством бывшего генерального директора ABN Amro и членов его семьи, позже стало известно о гибели главы Bank Frick & Co. Юргена Фрика в Лихтенштейне.Всего, не считая последнего убийства, начиная с январе в Европе и США погибло уже 13 банкиров.Часть смертей полиция классифицирует как самоубийства, а некоторые называют необъяснимыми или просто отказывается раскрывать подробности, что только усиливает подозрения в умышленных убийствах.№1. УИЛЬЯМ БРОКСМИТ58-летний бывший топ-менеджер Deutsche Bank был найден мертвым в своем доме в центре Лондона 26 января. Полиция классифицирует эту смерть как самоубийство.№2. КАРЛ СЛИМ51-летний управляющий директор Tata Motors был найден мертвым на четвертом этаже отеля Shangri-La в Бангкоке 27 января.№3. ГАБРИЭЛЬ МАГИ39 -летний сотрудник JP Morgan умер после падения с крыши европейской штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Лондоне 27 января.№4. МАЙК ДЮКЕР50-летний главный экономист инвестиционного банка США был найден мертвым недалеко от Такомского моста в штате Вашингтон.№5. РИЧАРД ТЭЛЛИ57-летний основатель Title Services был найден мертвым в начале этого месяца. Судя по всему, он сам выстрелил в себя из ружья.№6. ТИМ ДИКИНСОНДиректор по коммуникациям британской Swiss Re AG также умер в прошлом месяце, однако обстоятельства его смерти до сих пор неизвестны.№7. РАЙАН ГЕНРИ КРЕЙН37-летний топ-менеджер JP Morgan умер несколько недель назад . Подробностей трагедии нет, в качестве причины называется самоубийство. О его смерти свидетельствует лишь небольшой некролог в Stamford Daily Voice.№8. ЛИ ДЖУНДЖИ33-летний банкир из Гонконга покончил с собой, спрыгнув с крыши штаб-квартиры JP Morgan в Гонконге на этой неделе.№9. ДЖЕЙМС СТЮАРТБывший генеральный директор National Bank of Commerce найден мертвым в Скоттдейл, штат Аризона, утром 19 февраля. Представитель семьи отказался называть причину смерти.№10. ЭДМУНД РЕЙЛИ47-летний трейдер Midtown’s Vertical Group совершил самоубийство, прыгнув под поезд.№11. КЕННЕТ БЕЛЛАНДО28-летний трейдер Levy Capital, ранее работающий инвестиционно-банковским аналитиком в JPMorgan, выпрыгнул из окна своей квартиры.№12. ЯН ПЕТЕР ШМИТТМАНН57-летний бывший главный исполнительный директор банка ABN Amro Group найден мертвым у себя дома недалеко от Амстердама вместе с женой и дочерью.№13. ЮРГЕН ФРИК48-летний бывший генеральный директор Bank Frick & Co. был застрелен в подземном гараже одной из финансовых компаний в Лихтенштейне.