As the world continues to focus on the 2016 U.S. presidential election and claims of Russian involvement more than a year later, Russia is preparing for its own presidential election season in 2018. In this episode of the Stratfor Podcast, Vice President of Global Analysis Reva Goujon sits down with Senior Eurasia Analyst Lauren Goodrich to discuss Russia’s upcoming election, growing economic pressure on the Kremlin, a cultural shift underway among Russia’s younger generation and what it all means for President Vladimir Putin’s grip on power. Read our latest analysis and get your own daily briefing at Stratfor Worldview. If you’re not already a member, you can subscribe today at: https://worldview.stratfor.com/subscribe Related Reading: Stratfor Worldview’s latest analysis on Russia’s internal struggle - https://worldview.stratfor.com/themes/russias-internal-struggle Stratfor’s Decade Forecast: 2015–2025 - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/decade-forecast-2015-2025 Lessons From Old Case Files: Conspiracy Theories From Across the Iron Curtain by Fred Burton - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/conspiracy-theories-across-iron-curtain Make sure you don’t miss an episode of the Stratfor Podcast by subscribing on any of these platforms. iTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/stratfor-talks/id1022071615?mt=2 Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Ivmzpgbaecd6nfe5dxjmgml4ube Stitcher: http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/stratfor-talks SoundCloud: https://soundcloud.com/stratfortalks YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL-6y2ai9iFHBMd-19rDy1Dj_OL1JGakPt RSS Feed: http://backtracks.fm/stratfor/stratfor-podcast/feed Have a question or comment for the Stratfor Podcast? Leave us a message and we may include your comment in a future episode. You can leave a message for our podcast team at 1-512-744-4300 x 3917 or email us at [email protected]
"Объединенная авиастроительная корпорация" (ОАК) надеется на положительное решение Управления по контролю над иностранными активами казначейства США (OFAC) по вопросу поставок российских самолетов SSJ-100 в Иран.
Following two good documentaries on McLaren and Williams, Daryl Goodrich’s film rather limps in, with next to no examination of Enzo Ferrari – man, car or logoThis very authorised-seeming Formula One documentary pulls up third behind recent films on the McLaren and Williams empires, which may explain why it often seems in such a rush. Of Enzo Ferrari himself, for one, there is next to naught: nothing on where he came from or how he got into the sport, just gnomic audioclips, choice onscreen quotes and biographical titbits that outline some vague philosophy about testing oneself against unknown forces. The focus is almost exclusively on his star employees – those corner-cutting gadabouts of the company’s late 50s golden age – allowing director Daryl Goodrich to unspool reels of gleaming Kodachrome images of drivers in their trackside pomp. Where August’s probing Williams did so much to separate the fragile man from the fast machine, Goodrich’s more misty-eyed, nostalgic endeavour never really gets under its subject’s hood. Continue reading...
Performance Advantage Company Lancaster, New York THE VICE PRESIDENT: Well, thank you, Congressman Collins. Thank you, so much for bringing together a group of great citizens, of great job creators here in Erie County. And I want to express my appreciation to you for your strong support of President Trump’s agenda. And we're here to talk about tax cuts. (Applause.) That all right? I’m especially honored and grateful that the team here at Performance Advantage Company has opened the doors of this great American success story. I want to thank Dick Young, in particular, and Jim Everett and the whole team for hosting us. The Young family has been in business I’m told for 80 years. But he told me he started this company when he was a little bit more than 60 years old. And it’s been an incredible success story. So thank you me in thanking Dick Young and Jim Everett and everybody here. (Applause.) I’d also like to take a moment because I know this is a business that has valued customers both in our military but most especially the foundation of this business is the support that you provide for our first responders. And I see many that are in the room. And let me just say on behalf of our President, on behalf of the American people to all the first responders who are here with us today, you are the best of us. We are grateful for your service and your courage every day. (Applause.) And let me also say just momentarily our hearts are particularly today with the family of Buffalo Police Diver Craig Lehner, who is missing in the Niagra River. We mourn with those who mourn and grieve with those who grieve. And I just want to assure all the members of this community and this region that this courageous officer, a nine-year veteran of the Buffalo Police Department and his family will remain in our prayers. The debt that we owe to men and women who put on the uniform every morning and walk out of their homes, leave their families behind to protect ours, we can never fully repay. But I want to assure all of you that this brave officer and his family are in our prayers today. Now, I bring greetings today to the leaders of this great business, all the great first responders, all the citizens who are here from a great, great friend of Erie County, the 45th President of the United States of America, President Donald Trump. (Applause.) The President asked me to be here today with Congressman Collins to talk about his plan to cut taxes across the board for working families, small businesses, and family farms. And I’m anxious to do some listening today. The President has had me traveling around the country, and we've been in states from here all the way to the West Coast hearing from American families, American businesses about the importance of tax relief. And as I begin, let me just say there are a couple basic elements of the tax cut that the President is proposing and that we're going to be working with your congressman to get advanced in the Congress of the United States. First and foremost, we're going to cut taxes across the board for working families. We're going to lower tax rates from seven brackets down to three. We're going to increase the standard exemption by doubling it to some $24,000 so that for the average working family, your first $24,000 in income will be tax-free. And we’ll increase the per-child tax credit. So as the President says, this is a middle-class miracle. This tax cut is first and foremost designed to help American families struggling too often to make ends meet to have more dollars in their pockets. The President pointed out our tax-cut plan will give the average American family an extra $4,000 a year at least after we sign it into law. Secondly, the President and I believe that the tax code is too complicated. Maybe some of you agree. (Laughter.) Truth is that the American people spend millions of hours and billions of dollars filling out our taxes every year. And I’m anxious to hear if people around this table have that feeling, as well. Under the President’s plan, 90 percent of the American people will be able to file their taxes on one piece of paper without professional help. That's a good start. So tax simplification, lowering taxes across the board are all elements of the plan. But lastly, sitting here at this great American success story, Performance Advantage Company, this businessman-turned-President believes that it’s also high time that America lowered taxes on American businesses so that companies here in New York can compete with companies around the world and create jobs right here in Lancaster and in Erie County. (Applause.) The President’s plan is to lower corporate taxes from 35 percent, which is one of the highest in the industrialized world, down to 20 percent, which will be below the international average in Western countries. And we're also -- Dick and Jim, we're going to lower taxes on small businesses that file their taxes as individuals, as maybe some around this table do, as well. Lowering it from the highest rate -- too often small-business owners that file their taxes as individuals pay the highest rate of 39.6 percent. We're going to lower that tax rate to 25 percent for pass-through companies. That will be the lowest tax rate on small businesses since 1931. So that's a rough outline of where we're headed -- tax cuts for individuals and families, tax cuts for small businesses, and tax simplification for every American. But that's the rough outline. I thought I’d give a thumbnail. I’m going to turn it over to Jim for his comments, and then I’m just anxious to hear your thoughts. My main question here, Jim, is to each one of you. Tell us your thoughts about President Trump’s tax-cut plan. Tell us what you think is most important because at the end of the day, it really is about helping American families and creating jobs. And I’m here to hear from each and every one of you as the debate begins in Congress in the coming weeks about what’s most important about this plan and how we can advance the kind of policies that will get this county, get this state, and get America growing again. So thank you, Jim, and thank you for the warm welcome today. MR. EVERETT: Thank you. Mr. Vice President and Representative Collins, thanks so much for coming here to PAC and for listening to this panel of small-business owners and community leaders. We are all excited to tell you our stories and why we think our country needs tax reform now. (Laughter.) I think the first person we're going to hear from is Mr. Young here. He’s been doing it longer than any of us in the room so far. So, Dick, we need you to tell about the business. MR. YOUNG: Well, there’s just no question about it, if you don't have money to spend, you can't buy the tools, the equipment, and put the staff, the people. You have to have that. And it’s been a very, very tough road because the only way I could build this company, frankly, was to hold back on my pay to hire new people, to buy new machinery. And when New York gets through with you, it eats a lot. So in any event, if we had an opportunity to grow, we want to expand. We've got business in -- 36 countries around the world depend on us. That's neat. That's neat. And the U.S. Navy. So in any event, any help we can get, I’m sure these other folks have got a lot of their own problems. But in our particular, situation, thank God we're in a profitable business because if we were on edge, we would be in real trouble. We couldn’t grow. We couldn’t move. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Well, let me ask you a quick question. One of the things the President is proposing is immediate expensing of capital investments, as opposed to being five years. Is that a job-creating move? Tell me why that is. MR. YOUNG: I think that's a marvelous move because we have a 3D printer upstairs that will make a prototype of the products that we draw. If you can expense that and move on, ultimately that's going to improve, isn’t it? In just a few years, they’ll have a better model. And you have to be on top of it, or you're not going to make it. MR. EVERETT: Another community leader now who is carrying the family business into their fifth generation is Valerie Duel (ph,) the president of Montgomery Building Supply. Valerie. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Hi, Valerie. Thanks for coming. MS. DUEL: Nice to meet you. My family business -- we're a lumber and building supply. We started in 1898, so my family has seen quite a few things change through the years. In what I see, if people have extra money in their pocket, they’ll spend it. And I’m from Wyoming County, so I’m heavy agriculture county. So when the milk is up, the farmers have money -- extra money to spend. When gas is down the typical homeowner has extra money. And they’ll save each week. Not necessarily will they buy a big-ticket item at one time. They’ll save -- if they've got an extra $20 in their pocket each week, they’ll save up and maybe buy a window in a month. So my people are savers. So anything that they can make the extra money or save the extra money, it in turn comes to me. So that's where I see extra money helping my business. And if I have extra money, then I can hire more people. Like Mr. Young said, the owners of the business typically get paid last. So we have to invest in our own companies. THE VICE PRESIDENT: So the biggest part of this for you is people having more money in their pockets and able to make investments? MS. DUEL: Yes, yes. THE VICE PRESIDENT: In building supplies. But the business taxes you file as an individual, I think. MS. DUEL: I’m a C corp. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You're a C corp, so you’d see significant tax reduction there. But you would put that second to people having more dollars to spend in terms of the positive impact on the business? MS. DUEL: Yes, I would see more of a benefit with my customers having extra money. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Yes, that's a great comment. Thank you so much, appreciate you being here. Really do. MR. EVERETT: David and Colleen Basil are also in a family business. David is the sales manager for a family car dealership here in the Buffalo area, which many of us recognize the name. MR. BASIL: Thank you for that. I think the most important thing for us in the automotive industry is simplicity. The tax plan has got to be simple so that the people working with us have the ability to control their income every week and every month. It is so, so important that they can do that so they're not fighting through all this bureaucratic red tape at the end of the year to try to get some of their money back. So I think simplicity is very, very important. We have enough complications to deal with on a daily basis. Taxes are really not something we think should be complicated. So I really like the simplicity of it, and I would say that would be a major strength of it. THE VICE PRESIDENT: And I want to be clear on that, Dave. It was a great comment. But with regard to the predictability or are you also concerned about compliance? It’s astounding to think of the literally billions of dollars that are spent by Americans every year trying to figure out what they owe the government. So which is it from your standpoint? Just people knowing what they owe, be confident about that, or even the dollars saved, or both? MR. BASIL: I think it’s a little bit of both. From the business side of things, we have an army of accountants that show up at the end of the year to try to figure out what the taxes are. And I think from the personnel side, it’s knowing what you owe and being confident in what your paycheck is going to look like on Friday afternoon. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. How is business? MR. BASIL: Good, very good. We've grown about double in last 10 years. My grandfather started the company in 1967 with one store. We've got 11 stores and 800 employees. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. Congratulations on all your success. And yours, Valerie. MS. DUEL: Thank you. THE VICE PRESIDENT: These are great, great business owners. Thanks, Dave. MR. EVERETT: Thank you both for being here today, too. Another family business that needs tax reform is Zipline Golf. The owners, Greg Arnold, and his wife, Kristin, are here to share their story on how they’d benefit from a tax cut. MR. ARNOLD: My father started Zipline Golf. We're an online supplier of logoed golf balls, which is sort of a random but effective job. It’s a somebody has to do it, and my dad thought it was unacceptable that he couldn’t get two dozen golf balls to pay off a bet with his brother and went out and found a guy who was going out of business with Dick’s and Golf Galaxy getting into the golf marketplace. And just at the time the Internet was getting going, my dad though, hey -- he’s just retired from Dunlop -- why don't I make this my new labor of love. And he started the business, and we've been going since 1998, providing purely Internet-based sales out of Buffalo. But we're a pass-through tax. He runs it off of his own taxes. But we haven’t been doing well enough since the recession that we’d have to worry about the tax implications. We're making enough -- like Dick had said, if I want to bring someone on, I’m going to take a cut and hopefully I can use my free time that a new employee would give to then expand my business and move into another marketplace because golf balls -- they sound surprisingly easy, but take a little work. There’s a reason that the major manufacturers don't want to do the small business that we do. We live in the one- to twelve-dozen area for personal use for gifts and for weddings and things. They're the gift that you can't find someone. They've got everything but a golf ball with your face on it or something like is a surprisingly good gift. (Laughter.) PARTICIPANT: Send me a dozen. (Laughter.) MR. ARNOLD: But we're sort of interested in the opportunity that we're sort of catching up with the Internet and the amount of money that it now takes to be visible on the Internet, which 10 years ago was nothing. It was a drop in the bucket, and now it’s a huge portion of our sales to come out to staying relevant in the marketplace. So the opportunity of growing and being able to save some money and expand the business and bring more people in and share what we're doing as a family-owned, veteran-run company, we have a nice family feel there, where we're happy going to work every day. And the fact that we can't share it with anyone else other than our customers is something we’d like to be able to remedy, and we're hoping to do well enough to take advantage of these tax cuts. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You do business around the country? MR. ARNOLD: Yes, yes, we ship a lot of Florida and California, but all over. Anywhere that needs a logoed golf ball. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. Wonderful and vetern-owned company, too. MR. ARNOLD: Yes, third generation. My father was, yes. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. Appreciate you. Kristin, any thoughts about what the tax cut means from your perspective? MS. ARNOLD: Well, I’m actually a relationship manager at Key Bank. I work in the business banking group, so I work hand-in-hand with small-business owners, helping them to secure financing or growth and expansion of their businesses. And I think tax reform is something that is constantly on their minds and what we talk about, especially coming to the end of the year. People are trying to make decisions on if they should make that last investment in their company, can they buy that equipment. Will they have the tax advantage to write it off. And I think the tax breaks would give them an opportunity to hire more employees, expand into different lines of businesses that they've been holding off on because they're not sure if they're going to have funds. THE VICE PRESIDENT: They have been holding off? MS. ARNOLD: Yes. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's your perception of the businesses locally? MS. ARNOLD: It's something that they seem to struggle with, you know, every year. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Yeah. MS. ARNOLD: If they should be reinvesting and what that will do. And having the extra funds would make that decision a lot easier. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Great. Well, thanks for your insights, both of you. And congratulations on your success, it's great. Help is on the way. MR. ARNOLD: Hoping for more. (Laughter.) THE VICE PRESIDENT: Help is on the way. MR. EVERETT: Another couple that know the struggles of starting and growing a business is a Richard and Rachel Budd. They started Goodrich Coffee and Tea because of their love of people, coffee, and business, and in that order. MR. GOODRICH: Yeah, so we started the business in ‘08, in the summer of July of ‘08. And it was a really great timing to start a business because the stock market -- (laughter) -- so it was a really tough time to start a business. And we did everything we could do to try and start afloat. I didn't take a paycheck for seven months. Yeah, and you know you're working 80 hours a week and you have to make every dollar count. So we, with diligence, hard work, and we were able to do that. I got my first paycheck -- we started in July -- I got my first pay check February 13th. That was for $200. And I felt like the richest guy in the world. (Laughter.) And then the next day I asked Rachel to marry me. So I really felt pretty rich. So I know she really loves me because I didn't have any money. So -- THE VICE PRESIDENT: Did she say yes? MR. GOODRICH: She did, yes. (Laughter.) THE VICE PRESIDENT: Well, you had the $200. MR. GOODRICH: Yeah I had the $200. So, and you fast-forward nearly 10 years late, we still have a lot of struggles. And finances are always an issue. I pay more to the state and federal government than what I take out of business. So I always think of it like, is the federal government waking up at five o'clock in the morning, doing this, doing that -- putting their hand to it. So that's where I'm coming from. So it would just -- that's my two cents -- our 200 cents. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Rachel, your thoughts on this? What do you -- you've been on this journey with him every step of the way. MS. GOODRICH: I have been. On a personal level, if we were bringing home more money that the business makes instead of paying to the government, we would invest it in our children’s education. We have three small children who we homeschool. So we pay for that out of our pockets. And we would love to have Richard home to help with educating the children a little more. He works long days. And we'd love to take them on some educational trips -- museums, national parks, that kind of stuff. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Washington, D.C.? MS. GOODRICH: Yeah. (inaudible) MR. GOODRICH: So we'd reinvest into our family, into the next generation, on the personal side. And then, as far in our business, we can hire more people, equipment, and grow. We can save up for the second location and put money into our wholesale business that is growing. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Great. You have a wholesale business as well? MR. GOODRICH: Yeah. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. That's Goodrich Coffee? MR. GOODRICH: Goodrich Coffee. (Laughter.) THE VICE PRESIDENT: Good, rich coffee. (Laughter.) Well congratulations on your success. But the statement that you offered -- you pay more in state and federal taxes that you take out of the business, than you earn out of the business. And as you look at the President's tax cut proposal, what appeals to you the most? That's a pass-through company. You said you didn't pay yourself. Like a lot -- I started a business of my own in the basement of my house. So I went through this for seven months. We already had three kids running around upstairs. So I really admire both of you. But the President wants to make sure we that we lower taxes on companies that file as individuals. I assume that's -- you’re in that category. Is that yes or no? MR. GOODRICH: We're an S-Corp actually. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You're -- that would be it. Right. So that would lower the tax rate down from -- whatever rate you end up paying at, could be the highest rate -- down to 25 percent. Big difference for you? MR. GOODRICH: It's a huge difference. I mean it's just -- I feel like small business often gets forgotten. You know? And so it's nice to be heard. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Great. Well thank you, and congratulations. Great run. First 10 years if the hardest on your company. (Laughter.) For the business. (Laughter.) MR. GOODRICH: Yeah, yeah, that's what I meant. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Thank you both for being here. It means a lot. MR. EVERETT: Yes, thanks so much for sharing your story and your thoughts. Kelly Culp-Burton, she also knows the struggles of starting of starting a business. She started her business, KCB Architecture, in her home and has grown it now to where she's employing five people. MS. CULP-BURTON: Thanks, Chuck. Welcome to western New York. Jeff mentioned I have my own architecture firm, which I started out of my home and have grown enough to move into an office. And so, just as many of the people have said here, I go through the same struggles with taxes and, being the business owner, the last one paid. If I want to -- and what I've done is I've grown my business, I've either taken no pay or reduced pay to turn that money back around and put it back into the business. So any type of tax relief would be welcome in growing the business. But my question is -- part of my business is -- we're one of the area's leading architectural firms that does high-end custom residential homes that are net zero. And net zero being an energy efficient. And something that entices the owners to spend that extra money on the solar, the geothermal systems are incentives that come through the government. So my question is, is there any plan for incentives so these tax savings don't just stay in the bank or somebody's pocket, that it gets reintroduced into the economy because, basically, that's what keeps all of our businesses going is a healthy economy. So if we're saving money and the economy dips, it's not that much of a help. So is there something that's going to be in place to make sure that the money keeps flowing? THE VICE PRESIDENT: Chris, do you want to take a swing at that? REPRESENTATIVE COLLINS: Well, to me, the easy one is, people spend pretty much every incremental dollar they have. And they're going to spend it either on golf balls with Vice President Pence's face on it -- (laughter) -- or they're going to buy doors and windows, or they're going to be doing things in the architectural world. It's all about growth, but it's about the incremental dollar that's now in someone's pocket. It's not going to Washington, D.C. It's all about growth. And what I'm hearing is every small business is looking for more people to come in with more discretionary income, whether -- and I go to your place, it's only a mile down the street. You know, I meet people there, and we have our breakfast sandwich and our coffee. The incremental dollars, the discretionary dollars are going to churn through our economy. That's how we're going from the 1.8 percent to 3 percent, 3.1 percent, 3.5 percent growth. Everyone at this table benefits from growth, and it's the money churning. And so I think the answer to your question is everything we do to save money for small businesses, individuals is going to churn back into your business. It's pretty much that simple. THE VICE PRESIDENT: I do think, Kelley, the President's outline here, that, actually, we've worked with the leadership in the Congress to come to a broad-base agreement on the outline is a starting point for the debate and the discussion within the Congress. And there's tax simplification and lowering rates on businesses and individuals, but those incentives that are in the tax code today, tax credits that are in today will remain in effect unless we've addressed them in the plan that we've outlined. So if there are those energy credits and things that you currently work with some of your customers on, the President does want to eliminate some of the big loopholes that have benefited the wealthy over the years, even while we lower marginal rates at every level. We want a flatter, fairer tax-rate system. But other than that, some of those historic energy incentives, I expect to remain in place unless Congress decides otherwise. But we'll carry that back into the debate. Okay? So five employees? And how long have you been in business? MS. CULP-BURTON: We just hit six years. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's great. Congratulations. MS. CULP-BURTON: Thank you. THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's really outstanding. Really outstanding. Thanks for being here, Kelley. MS. CULP-BURTON: Thank you, and thank you for your time. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You bet. MR. EVERETT: And finally, the Marchettas. Their family is one that has known so hardship with the sickness of their child, Jack. Still, Chuck and Colleen persevered, and Chuck started the engineering firm, Engineered Thermal Solutions. Chuck. MR. MARCHETTA: Thank you. Thank you. Yeah, so Engineered Thermal Solutions is a -- we're a sales representative company. And we generally sell large industrial cooling equipment to the industrial markets, such as oil and gas, power, mining, petrochemical, pulp paper. So we're very heavily dependent on -- generally, the industrial markets to do well. Now, we're a new company. We're only -- this is our -- we're almost two years. We've been in business -- will be two years in January. So, I left a very large company that was previously a small privately held company but was bought out. And I decided to go off on my own because I think that the risk versus reward there was just -- the environment changed and I wanted to kind of not take the risk on my own. But there's a lot of expenses that you don't realize -- (laughter) -- when you first go into this world of business ownership. And one of the things I had to do right away was hire an accountant because we did our taxes on our own, Turbo Tax or something like that -- essentially on our own. But the first thing I had to do was hire a tax professional because, how do we set up the company? Do we set up an LLC? Do we set up an S corporation? And it was all based on how we're going to be taxed, what's going to be our least -- our most efficient tax burden. And even right now, we're set up as an LLC, but as we do better here -- it's just two of us right now -- but as we do better, we want to hire people. We need to bring more sales people in. But we think that we're probably going to have to change the structure of the business based on what the income ends up being. We're not to that point yet, but still it's -- I think that if the tax code could help us with that part of the business, understanding that maybe -- simplifying to the point where we understand what our tax rate is going to be, you know? And we don't have to necessarily hire a professional to tell us, well, you should have this type of company and this, so on and so forth. It would allow us to focus on hiring people, which is what we need to do right now. We need more people to get out -- boots on the ground, go calling these plants, find the maintenance people and assess the equipment. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Colleen. MS. MARCHETTA: I was just from the spousal standpoint when he started the business, the biggest expense, just from the beginning, was he lost his healthcare at this job, and we were paying that out of pocket. So when you're starting your own business, you're hit with a ton of expenses. And obviously healthcare was very important to us because my son happened to be diagnosed with a rare disease right around the same time Chuck started his business. Actually, Jack is here today with my daughter, Madison. They're behaving themselves, so that's good. (Laughter.) THE VICE PRESIDENT: Where's Jack? MS. MARCHETTA: They're -- Jackson. THE VICE PRESIDENT: We'll meet them in a minute. MS. MARCHETTA: Okay. So -- say, "Hi, Mr. Vice President." THE VICE PRESIDENT: Jack. (Laughter.) MS. MARCHETTA: Jack is doing very well now, so now he looks like a very healthy-looking boy. He's doing great. THE VICE PRESIDENT: He looks great -- beautiful boy. MS. MARCHETTA: But that was one of the reasons why I went back to work as a teacher. We couldn't take that much of a risk starting our business -- with Chuck starting his business. But a child tax credit would be fantastic. So thank you for that. And just more money in the business's pocket -- they can do what they want to do. Open up an office. Hire more employees. That's what you've been talking about for the past six months. MR. MARCHETTA: That's exactly where we're at right now. THE VICE PRESIDENT: How many employees do you have at this point? MR. MARCHETTA: Two -- myself and a business partner right now. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Great. MR. MARCHETTA: And we've been doing it for two years. We're actually -- we're staying even. We don't owe too much money at this point. MS. MARCHETTA: You'll be traveling less, so you can spend more time -- MR. MARCHETTA: But I travel a lot. So to chase the energy markets, you're on a plane a lot. We go down to the Gulf Coast, Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana a lot because the industry -- those industries around here, around Buffalo, don't really exist as heavily as they do down there. MS. MARCHETTA: And also, the time he spent on accounting, he should be spending that time growing his business. He should be learning more about what he's doing. He should be pushing growth, not figuring out loopholes in the tax code and how to handle all of this that's so new to him right now. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You couldn't have said it better. I mean, you put the numbers on what the American people spend in terms of time and money filling out their taxes. There's an opportunity cost to that; that when you're not working on your business, when you're not our creating, that's costing. So, Colleen, that's just especially well said, I thought. And with regard to tax relief and tax simplification, number one, I want everybody who is here to be clear, the President is talking about doubling the family exemption so that literally -- run a calculator, the first $24,000 a year that you earn is completely tax-free. So that's an enormous benefit to families in terms of just planning. That's why President points out -- says the average family will have $4,000 more a year in your pockets, largely owing to that and increasing the per-child tax credit. But by lowering the rate on pass-through corporations -- because right now you're figuring what's my income, so what's my bracket -- one of the seven brackets. Now we can give you the one option of planning on, well, we'll pay the 25 percent rate. I was just in California about this time last week and I met with a small business tech firm -- had about 50 employees. And they literally had told me that they asked their employees if they could look at their tax returns, their tax filings. And they looked at the business tax filings and they took President Trump's plan and laid it on top of it, and they found out the average tax savings for their 50 employees was 40 percent, and the average savings for their company was 25 percent because they were a pass-through company. So that's the kind of savings and the kind of predictability that you're talking about. And you plow that right -- you want to grow. You know, one of the misnomers about tax codes is that people think, well, Chuck and Colleen just -- you know, if you get a tax break then you keep it for yourself. What I hear from small business people saying is, how do I grow? How do I open up the second coffee shop? How do we expand, hire more people? MR. MARCHETTA: That's where I want to get to -- we have an office. We can afford to have people there, and I can have a secretary answer the phone. You know, that would be great right now. MS. MARCHETTA: I pretend to be his secretary sometimes. (Laughter.) THE VICE PRESIDENT: That's pretty funny. I know those days are coming, Chuck. MR. MARCHETTA: Thank you. THE VICE PRESIDENT: I can see it. I can see it. So congratulations. MR. MARCHETTA: Thank you. THE VICE PRESIDENT: You're in a good place, got a good start, but help is on the way. Okay? MR. MARCHETTA: Appreciate it. MR. EVERETT: Thank you all very much for sharing your stories about your business. (Applause.) And Mr. Vice President and Representative Collins, thank you very much for listening. We know that if there's anyone that can get this done for America, it's you and our President. Thank you. * * * * * REPRESENTATIVE COLLINS: Well, I too want to thank everyone for coming. And, Jim, thank you for moderating this. Dick Young, always, thank you for hosting us here today and all of our panelists. It's about growth. Growth is what's going to grow our way out of the problems with our deficit, with our debt. It's going to get businesses growing with -- everyone here said the same thing: We want more business. We're going to hire more employees. So that's the simple message. And, Mr. Vice President, thank you for coming to western New York. The streets were lined, we had 200 people at the airport to greet the Vice President. This is a big day and a big deal for western New York. And you made a lot of people rethink where we are in government, and you've got a lot of supporters here, certainly, in the 27th Congressional District. That's ground zero for Trump support. So, thank you for coming. Thank you for all you do for America. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Thank you, Chris. Thank you very much, Congressman. (Applause.) Thank you. Thank you. It's been a great day, and I just -- I want to thank all the business owners and job creators, including our hosts who helped engage this conversation. I found it very illuminating. I look forward to carrying it back to the White House, filling the President in a little bit later today and using a lot of your arguments to sell Congress on tax cuts. I'm going to use it. This is a great concept. I want to thank Performance Advantage Company. Dick and Jim, thank you again for your hospitality and for your great example of American success. I told Dick Young, he's a lot like Colonel Sanders. (Laughter.) Didn't start his business until he was 61 -- (laughter) -- and now look at him. Give these guys another round-of-applause, would you please? (Applause.) And, Dick, I appreciated your comments about the President's plan. At the very beginning, we outlined -- this is a plan about lowering tax rates, lowering all the marginal rates from seven brackets down to three. The first $24,000 in income will pay zero taxes going forward for working families. There will be an increase in the per child tax credit. As President Trump says, "This is a middle-class miracle." And that's right where this is focused because the President wants to bring the kind of tax relief that, as Valerie said, is going to just put more money in people's pockets. People come into the building supply company because they've got dollars to put in a new window, put in a new door. And this is first and foremost, it's about bringing the kind of tax relief that puts more money in your pockets, more money for those homeschool kids that you're raising, and more money to be able to invest in your business. Secondly, it's about tax simplification. I appreciate what Chuck and Colleen said about a tax code that you've taken a tremendous amount of time off the road, tremendous amount of time out of growing your business, whether that be selling cars or selling coffee, trying to figure out what you owe the government. Well, that's going to change because we're going to have real tax simplification here. And nine out of ten Americans are going to be able to file their taxes on a single sheet of paper. And lastly, it is about lowering taxes on businesses. I was very struck -- I had mentioned it before, but Dick Young mentioned it -- the idea that companies can write off the cost of new equipment in the first year instead of over a five-year period of time or longer period of time, this is a great benefit to businesses. And it also allows businesses to continue to modernize, continue to move into the newer equipment that's going to let you be competitive. It's interesting to me that our host today here at Performance Advantage Company pointed out that they do business in -- did you say, 68 countries? PARTICIPANT: Thirty-six. THE VICE PRESIDENT: Thirty-six countries. I transposed it -- 36 countries around the world. I mean, the truth is, and it's probably true selling golf balls, you're doing business all over the world. People here across Erie County are competing with companies around the world. And so making sure that we have a tax code that takes that into account and encourages investment is very, very significant. And I just have to tell you, having started a business in the basement of my home, I'm just incredibly inspired by the entrepreneurs gathered around here. And I just want to tell you that we're going to work our hearts out in the days ahead. I said it before to a couple of you, but I'll make a promise to you: Help is on the way, okay? We're going to roll our sleeves up, we're going to work with this congressman, with all the members of the House and Senate, and we're are going to pass the largest tax cut in American history, and we're going to pass it this year. (Applause.) So thank you for the warm welcome. It's an honor to be with you today. Special thanks, again, to the first responders who are with us today. My uncle was a police officer in Chicago. My cousin is married to a firefighter in the Chicago Fire Department. We know what it is when you have a job where your job is to run in when others are running out. And so we thank you and we admire you greatly. So to each and every one of you, I just say, from the bottom of my heart, on behalf of President Donald Trump, thank you for your time today and thank you for your support of the President's agenda. I'm just absolutely confident, with great leadership in the Congress and a great President in the White House and with God's help, we will make America prosperous again. We will make America safe again. And, to borrow a phrase -- (laughter) -- we will Make America Great Again. Thanks everybody and God bless you. (Applause.) END
Hyatt Regency Washington, D.C. 9:40 A.M. EDT THE PRESIDENT: Thank you, Chuck Goodrich. Thank you for putting on a tie. (Laughter.) Thanks for that wonderful introduction and for your friendship of so many years. And I'm just so proud of Chuck Goodrich and his leadership role in this great organization. From one Hoosier to another, thank you for your leadership, my friend. And thank you for your friendship of so many years. (Applause.) And let me also pay a debt of gratitude to another old friend who I worked with back in my days in Congress and when I was Governor of Indiana. He came to be President of ABC Indiana/Kentucky, and is just an inspiring and tenacious leader for everything everyone here fights for -- JR Gaylor. I don't know where you're sitting, but, JR, thank you so much. And it is great to be back to ABC. (Applause.) This is an organization of red-blooded American patriots who I did, over 10 years ago, proudly call the “Marine Corps of American politics” -- (applause) -- first on the beach for freedom in the workplace -- the Associated Builders and Contractors of America. Give yourselves a round of applause. (Applause.) It really is an honor to be with all of you today and a privilege for me to bring you greetings from my friend and a builder who is now the 45th President of the United States of America -- President Donald Trump. (Applause.) And on the President's behalf, let me welcome you to a new era for American builders. I know you enjoyed hearing from some of our great allies in the Congress -- Congressman Rick Allen, Congressman Francis Rooney, and Congressman Lloyd Smucker. Give them another round of applause. (Applause.) They are great, great champions and we appreciate their support. But I do appreciate the invitation to join you for the ABC 2017 Legislative Conference. As you all know, I have a little bit of history with ABC in Indiana. I first ran for Congress when I was a little bit younger than I am today. (Laughter.) It was back in 1988 -- I was 29 years old. Back when I had dark hair and -- okay, there was a little less of me. (Laughter.) But I have to tell you, ABC was there. When I stepped forward to take on an entrenched incumbent in the Congress, ABC didn't hesitate to give me the support. Well, I came up short the first two times I tried for Congress. And by the time I would be elected to Congress a little more than 10 years later, ABC was there every step of the way. So, on behalf of my little family and the opportunities that we've had to serve in the Congress, to serve as governor, and now to serve as 48th Vice President of the United States of America, let me just say thank you. (Applause.) Thank you for the opportunity to serve. The truth is that the members of ABC fight for a stronger and more prosperous America, for coming alongside men and women like me and my family each and every day. And I’m going to make you a promise: President Donald Trump is fighting every day for all of you and the values of this great organization. (Applause.) This President knows that builders and contractors are the cornerstone of American communities, large and small. And that's especially true of this group. It's amazing to think, for more than 65 years, Associated Builders and Contractors have stood without apology for the time-honored principles of open competition and free enterprise. Your 70 chapters and 21,000 members drive our nation's growth every time you break ground. And just as important, you make sure taxpayers and consumers get the best bang for their buck when it comes to construction. (Applause.) Thanks in large part to businesses represented here, the construction industry has contributed nearly $800 billion to our economy last year and employed some 6.8 million Americans. But your impact on America extends so much deeper, into the very foundation of our national life. Independent-minded entrepreneurs like you have literally built America from the ground up, from our homes to our hotels, from our restaurants, our retail malls, our stadiums, and our skyscrapers. The truth is Associated Builders and Contractors have the best interests of your workers, the best interests of your communities, and really, you have the best interests of America at heart. You champion fiscal responsibility and individual freedom. And I promise you, the American people are grateful that you are a champion for American values. (Applause.) And make no mistake about it, President Donald Trump is the best friend American builders and contractors will ever have. (Applause.) This President has promised, simply put, in his words, to rebuild America. And it's businesses like yours that are going to play such a leading role in doing that. Ahead of schedule and under budget, right? Since the outset of this administration, businesses, large and small, have been responding to the President's leadership, to that America First agenda. More than 600,000 new, good-paying jobs have been created since the first day of 2017, including 100,000 construction jobs created under this administration. (Applause.) And business confidence is soaring. In fact, a stunning 97 percent of commercial contractors in America are confident about their prospects this year. And we're on the phone with the remaining 3 percent. (Laughter.) And they should be. Since day one of this administration, President Trump has been fighting tirelessly to get our economy moving again, and it's working, to get your businesses like yours building like never before. Just look at this President's decisive action when it comes to federal red tape. This President has signed more laws cutting red tape Washington, D.C. already than any President in American history. (Applause.) The President Trump has actually signed 14 bills under the Congressional Review Act to roll back burdensome regulations from the last administration that have already saved businesses $18 billion a year in regulatory costs. One of my favorites is he actually ordered every agency in Washington, D.C. to find two regulations to get rid of before issuing any new federal red tape on America's job creators. (Applause.) Under this President's leadership, specifically, we've repealed the Stream Buffer Rule, we're rolling back the Clean Power Plan, and the Waters of the United States Rule earlier this month is a thing of the past. (Applause.) And President Donald Trump put America first just a few short days ago when he made the decision to withdraw the United States of America from the Paris Climate Accord. (Applause.) You know, according to one independent study, the Paris Accord would have cost the U.S. economy more than 6.5 million jobs in the next 25 years while giving countries like China and India virtually a free pass. As the President said, our administration was elected to represent the people of Pittsburgh, not Paris. (Laughter.) And be assured, the President put America first, and this President always will. (Applause.) President Trump is fighting every single day for American industry and American workers. And as you saw last week, during what we called "Workforce Development Week" at the White House, President Trump is committed to ensuring that men and women in America have the opportunity to pursue careers in the building trades, vocational education becomes more available for more Americans so your businesses and their futures will grow. (Applause.) I mean, we know, at this very moment, the construction industry in particular is facing a workforce shortage of nearly half a million workers in this country. Skilled tradesmen, in particular, are increasingly hard to come by. Carpenters, masons, plumbers, and electricians are all in high demand, but too few Americans these days pursue these valuable careers. I know you're already doing your part to address the crisis. ABC's local chapters and centers provide, I'm told, more than 800 apprenticeship and training programs across the country. I saw them firsthand back in the Hoosier State -- the difference that they're making in opening professional doors of opportunities to people for good-paying jobs and great careers. But we must do more -- much more. That's why, just last Thursday, President Trump signed an executive order to, in his words, expand apprenticeships and vocational training to help all Americans find rewarding careers in our building trades, in construction, and in every form of vocation in America. (Applause.) This President truly believes that we need to get back to a time when our students see the skilled trades for what they are, which is a foundation for a great life and a boundless future. An amazing 90 percent of apprentices get jobs after they finish their program, and the average salary is an impressive $60,000 a year. And under this President's leadership, I'm confident we'll train the students of today to meet the jobs of tomorrow, and working families and American businesses are going to be stronger for it. It really is remarkable to think of the changes that we need in this area. The President and I have talked at great length about the changes that we made back in the state of Indiana. We actually reformed funding in our public high schools in the Hoosier State to ensure that there was an incentive -- a financial incentive for schools to offer career-aligned and vocationally aligned education for our high school kids. And I always would tell people, you know, it's not about plan A and plan B, right? It's about two plan A’s. It's about getting back to an America where we have an educational system that gives our sons and daughters the opportunity to develop the background and the skills and the education so that they can start their lives where they want to start their life. You know, it's fundamental to this President's belief that success begets success. When we let our young people start their lives in the careers that they want, they can pursue a boundless future as they discover new aspects of their life. I look around this room and I see men and women who I know for a fact, because I've heard it, actually started your educational careers in vocational education. You got out there, you worked on a job site, and now you employ hundreds and, in some cases, thousands of people in good-paying jobs. That's the kind of future we want once again in America, where we honor -- we honor every future and every workplace in America equally. (Applause.) You know, it really is remarkable to think about everything President Trump has accomplished in the past few months. It's been awful busy. From rolling back regulation, to energy, to workforce, and more. But at this White House, that's what my boss calls just a good start, right? (Laughter.) And it's builders like you who elected this President of the United States, and I promise you, straight out of the gate here, we've rolled our sleeves up and we're going to work. We are going to rebuild the infrastructure of the United States of America. (Applause.) This President knows that roads mean jobs. And I'm not just talking about road jobs I'm talking about -- you have the right infrastructure and it supports economic growth and prosperity and opportunity for all the American people. In partnership with all of you, this President is committed to make historic investments in our national infrastructure. And we're going to do it fast and we're going to do it in a fiscally responsible way. But I'll make this promise to you: This President and our administration will not rest or relent until America has the best roads, the best bridges, the best airports, and the best infrastructure in the world once again. So get ready to get busy. (Applause.) And today, I want to assure you, before this summer's out, working with the Congress, President Donald Trump is going to keep our promise to the American people, and we're going to repeal and replace Obamacare. (Applause.) In fact, a little bit later today, the United States Senate and Republican leadership is going to release a repeal-and-replace bill this morning. You know, the President and I are truly grateful to Leader Mitch McConnell and all the Senate Republicans for their deliberative efforts over the past month. It really is remarkable when you think about it that as Obamacare is collapsing all across this country -- with news in my home state, even yesterday, that I'll talk about in a minute -- that the people that gave us Obamacare have refused to even lift a finger to fix and to clean up the mess that they created. But we're moving forward. And this President and I remain determined that we'll repeal and replace Obamacare before this summer is out. This is the moment. Now is the time. As all of you head to Capitol Hill to talk with your elected representatives, I want you to convey that to each one of them. I want you to tell them the stories of the burden that Obamacare has placed on your businesses and on families in your communities. I mean, you all know the grim reality that businesses have been facing under Obamacare. I’ve heard it from companies large and small as I’ve traveled all across this country. It really is remarkable. I’ve traveled on behalf of the President -- the same story everywhere I go. Obamacare stifles your growth. It harms your workers through its mandates, its taxes, its endlessly rising costs of health insurance premiums. And not only is it a burden on your business, it’s, most importantly, weighing heavily on the American people. Last month, our administration issued a study showing the exact numbers of how Obamacare has led to skyrocketing premiums all across America. We found that health insurance premiums have more than doubled since Obamacare was signed into law. And in many states, they’ve more than tripled. I mean, remember all the broken promises of Obamacare? I was actually in the Congress at the time we were stopping -- trying to stop this thing and -- just was amazing. They said, if you like your doctor you can keep them -- not true. They said, if you like your health insurance you could keep it -- not true. They said that the cost of health insurance would go down -- remember that one? Not true. I mean, the last administration actually promised that Obamacare would lower premiums in the individual marketplace by up to $2,500 for American families. Instead, the real numbers -- premiums have increased by nearly $3,000 for families under Obamacare. At this very moment, millions of Americans are facing double-digit premium hikes heading into 2018. And while costs are soaring, choices are plummeting, because insurance companies are pulling out of Obamacare left and right. Right now, here’s your number -- a third of American counties, including five whole states, have only one choice of Obamacare coverage -– meaning they essentially have no choice at all. And in the past few weeks, health insurers have announced exits from Obamacare markets all across the country. Just yesterday, the last two statewide insurance companies announced they’re pulling out of my home state of Indiana in 2018. Nearly 80,000 Hoosiers will need to find a new plan. And across America, tens of thousands of Americans will have no Obamacare coverage whatsoever next year. In Ohio, more than 13,000 will have no health insurance in 2018. In Missouri, 25 counties won’t have any coverage at all. And while the last insurer in 94 of Iowa’s 99 counties has said that they’re going to stay through next year, two days ago they said the cost of them staying next year is a 43 percent increase in premiums on 72,000 Iowans. Look, as the President has said, Obamacare is a disaster, and Obamacare must go. (Applause.) I’ll tell you, the President will never stop fighting to give American businesses and the American people the kind of healthcare reform that you need and deserve. And we have confidence that with his leadership, with this Congress, and with your help, we will end the Obamacare nightmare once and for all, and give the American people the kind of world-class healthcare that’s built on individual responsibility, free markets, and state-based innovation and reform. That’s the American way to lowering costs and healthcare solutions. (Applause.) And after we repeal and replace Obamacare, I’ll make you another promise. This President is going to keep working with the Congress and we’re going to cut taxes across the board for working families, small businesses and family farms. (Applause.) A little over a month ago, the President laid out a plan that will lower taxes all across this country and get this economy moving again. We’re going to simplify the tax code by cutting seven brackets down to three -- 10, 25, 35 percent. You know, there’s that old saying that the Internal Revenue code is twice as long as the Bible with none of the good news. (Laughter.) We’re going to have some good news this year. We’re not only going to lower rates and simplify the tax code, we’re going to eliminate the alternative minimum tax, make the code flatter and fairer for everyone. And under President Donald Trump, we’re going to repeal the death tax once and for all. (Applause.) And when it comes to making sure American businesses are competitive, our tax plan is going to put American companies, including our builders and contractors, back on the road to compete. We’re going to slash the business tax in this country to 15 percent so American companies can compete with companies all around the world. (Applause.) And when we lower the business taxes, we’re going to make sure that small businesses can enjoy the same benefits of big corporations and pass-throughs are going to get tax relief as well. (Applause.) We’re going to end the broken system that penalizes companies for calling America home. We’re going to cut taxes on trillions of dollars locked away overseas so that American companies can bring those dollars home and invest in America’s future. The bottom line is that President Trump’s tax cut plan is going to empower your companies to compete on a level playing field with businesses anywhere in the world. And as we all know, when the playing field is level, American businesses will win every single time. (Applause.) We do want to commend Speaker Paul Ryan and Leader Mitch McConnell for their diligent efforts working with this administration to craft tax reform, get this economy rolling again. So let me tell you, discussions will continue. Details are being worked out, but with your support, the support of leaders in Congress, and the leadership of President Donald Trump we will pass historic tax relief and we will pass it this year. (Applause.) Before I leave, let me just continue to urge you, urge you to stand with our President and to partner with this administration as we work to keep our promises to the American people and move our agenda forward. As you meet with your elected representatives this week, all I ask is that you tell them the truth, tell them your story. You know, whether it be about the enormous burden that Obamacare places on your business, about the need to heed the President’s call for workforce and vocational education reform, the need for tax reform, the need to rebuild our military to have America standing tall in the world. You are the voices of the American people. Come and let them hear from you. Tell them that you’re counting -- you’re counting on them to support the President’s agenda this year in the Congress. Tell them we need less regulation and less red tape, lower taxes, better infrastructure, and a better trained workforce. And tell them the time is now, right now, to repeal and replace ObamaCare. You know, President Trump is fighting for each one of you every single day. The man is a fighter -- like nobody I ever met. (Laughter.) I got to tell you, he knows that your success is America’s success and every community, large and small, is a testament to your facts. Your businesses have built a firm foundation that has served our nation and our communities for generations, and that forms the basis of everything that’s great about America -- opportunities, generosity. I do want to commend members of ABC for the corporate citizens that you are in your communities. Having represented a lot of small towns in the Congress, I know you about can’t go to a Little League baseball game and you can’t go to a local charitable function without seeing the ABC banner hanging on a fence. You folks are always there, and not just when it comes to electoral politics, but you’re just always there when the need arises in your communities. So give yourselves a round of applause. You make a difference every day. (Applause.) But you know when I think of these times in which we live and the challenges that lie ahead I’m grateful for the leadership of President Trump. I’m grateful for the support of our allies in Congress and all of you -- all of you who understand the building blocks of policies that will turn this country around and are turning this country around. It gives me great confidence, it does, as I travel this country and have the extraordinary privilege of coming to work every day in the White House. But I also take confidence in timeless wisdom to which Americans have turned throughout our history that speaks particularly of our future and language the builders would appreciate. And its language that we might embrace and remember in these all too divided times in America. As we seek to rebuild this country, let’s remember “unless the Lord builds the house, the builders labor in vain.” So as you work to build your businesses, as ABC stands for freedom in the workplace and the reforms that will rebuild America -- if you’re of a mind -- I encourage you to repair to those ancient truths. Pray for America. Pray for this country. This one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all -- because America matters far beyond our shores. And I know with your help, and with God’s help, and with that builder in the Oval Office, we will succeed. We will make America safe again. We will make America prosperous again. And, to borrow a phrase, we will make America great again. (Applause.) Thank you, ABC. God bless you, and God bless the United States of America. (Applause.) END 10:06 A.M EDT
$12000До 1 августаThe Mike and Gillian Goodrich Foundation предлагает оплачиваемую стажировку для студентов и выпускников вузов по направлениям искусство, история искусства, музейное дело и другие в этой сфере. Длительность стажировки - 1 год, неполная занятость. Стажер будет работать с разными отделами музея: кураторским, образовательным, регистрационным и отделом развития. Должность предполагает серьезную ответственность, благодаря которой стажер получит ценный опыт в сфере работы в музее. Стипендия: -$1000 в месяц Требования к заявке: - заполненная форма - мотивационное письмо (до 500 слов), в котором кандидат объясняет свой персональный интерес к стажировке, свои ожидания и свой потенциальный вклад - два рекомендательных письма - выписка с зачетной книжки - резюме (при наличии) Дедлайн: 1 августа 2017 Заявка на стажировку Подробная информация о стажировке
Иран — огромный и перспективный рынок сбыта для российской продукции. Вторая экономика исламского мира (после Турции) и страна, испытывающая большие проблемы во взаимоотношениях с западными торговыми партнёрами из-за многолетних санкций со стороны США. Казалось бы, Тегерану Москва может продать практически всё, что захочет. Но это только на первый взгляд… Одним из лучших доказательств того, что путь российских производителей на иранский рынок долог и тернист, является ситуация вокруг перспективного ближнемагистрального самолёта "Сухой Суперджет 100" (SSJ100). Его Объединённая авиастроительная корпорация и компания "Гражданские самолёты Сухого" хотят продвинуть на Ближний Восток уже давно. И вот в конце 2016-го Иран и Россия по этому вопросу вроде бы договорились. Согласно имеющимся в распоряжении Лайфа документам Минпромторга РФ, в декабре прошлого года "Гражданские самолёты Сухого" успешно презентовали SSJ100 потенциальным заказчикам. Среди них значатся названия всех крупнейших авиаперевозчиков Ирана: Iran Air, ATA Air, Iran Air Tour Airlines, Taban Airline, Zagros Airlines, Qeshm Air, Kish Airlines и Naft Airlines. Руководители компаний подтвердили заинтересованность в покупке от трёх до десяти машин. Но только после их "обкатки" на условиях лизинга (помимо самих самолётов заказчику предоставляются экипаж, страховка и обслуживание). Однако на этом моменте в игру вступили Штаты. Дело в том, что одним из основных требований иранской стороны к "Сухому" является получение "Суперджетом" лицензии Управления по контролю за иностранными активами Министерства финансов США. Американцы имеют рычаги давления на российскую компанию по целому ряду причин. Во-первых, "Гражданские самолёты Сухого" имеют активы в городе Ситак (штат Вашингтон), стоимость которых составляет порядка 30 млн рублей. Во-вторых, сам "Суперджет" создавался в тесном сотрудничестве с иностранными компаниями, в том числе и американскими. Например, системы электроснабжения были произведены Hamilton Sunstrand, гидравлика — Parker, колёсно-тормозной узел — Goodrich (все — США). — Нашей основной задачей в деле продвижения SSJ100 на иранский рынок является получение лицензии Минфина США, — рассказал Лайфу близкий к ситуации источник. — Однако проведённый анализ показывает, что американским лицензирующим органом с большой долей вероятности будет использован метод Fair market value (справедливая рыночная цена) как по отношению к компонентам, так и к самому самолёту. Это делает невозможным искусственное уменьшение процентного соотношения комплектующих из США в составе самолёта до уровня ниже 10%. Таким образом, нам придётся в обязательном порядке обращаться за лицензией Управления по контролю за иностранными активами Минфина США. Чтобы упростить эту задачу, как стало известно Лайфу, Минпромторг РФ намерен использовать… лоббистов американской Boeing. Для этого представители министерства предлагают использовать заинтересованность Boeing в поставке 22 лайнеров B-787, слоты которых принадлежат лизинговой компании "ВЭБ-лизинг". — В целях исполнения поручения замглавы Минпромторга Георгия Каламанова была проведена встреча с "ВЭБ-лизинг", — сообщил Лайфу источник в ведомстве. — Российская лизинговая компания готова совместно с ОАК рассмотреть данный вопрос и подготовить пакетное предложение по предоставлению своих слотов на самолёты В-787 для возможной поставки иранским авиакомпаниям в обмен на поддержку со стороны Boeing в получении американской лицензии на "Суперджет". В настоящее время структурами ОАК ведётся работа с американскими лоббистами для обсуждения всех аспектов продвижения самолётов в Иран. По мнению экспертов, без подобного предложения эпопея с получением "Суперджетом" лицензии для выхода на иранский рынок вряд ли бы завершилась успехом. — Предложение Минпромторга РФ с привлечением интересов Boeing действительно может изменить ситуацию, — рассказал Лайфу главный редактор отраслевого издания Авиа.ру Роман Гусаров. — Если дело касается собственной выгоды, то американцы обычно легко делают исключения. Они могут закрыть глаза на то, что самолёты (В-787) будут поставляться в Иран через третьи страны. В том числе и через Россию. То есть фактически сейчас идёт борьба двух интересов — политики и бизнеса. Можно только надеяться, что победит здравый смысл. Для России поставки "Суперджета", безусловно, выгодны, поскольку есть риск затоваривания. В этом случае самолёты просто простаивают. Такая же ситуация и у компании Boeing, которая заинтересована в том числе и в российском рынке. Поэтому да, в данном случае она могла бы выступить в качестве лоббиста российских интересов. Интересно, что именно Boeing в конце прошлого года заметно осложнил "Сухому" задачу продать Ирану "Суперджеты". Тогда, после некоторого потепления в отношениях между Тегераном и странами Запада, Исламская Республика начала усиленно обновлять свой авиапарк. Помимо "сделки века" с Airbus, в рамках которой согласились отдать $18 млрд за 100 лайнеров, был заключён и чуть более "скромный" договор с Boeing — на $16,6 млрд. Правда, американцы за эти деньги обязались поставить на 20 машин меньше, чем европейцы. Все эти новости пришли из Ирана спустя пару месяцев после объявления об отказе иранцев закупать "Суперджеты". Своё решение они объяснили опасениями по поводу безопасности российских лайнеров. Но большинство экспертов увидели в столь резком развороте Тегерана от "да" к "нет" желание закупить как можно больше "боингов" и "эйрбасов", пока санкции в отношении страны смягчены. Дело в том, что Иран обладает большим парком морально устаревших и неэкономичных самолётов размерности в 150–200 кресел. Поэтому он не только отказался в тот момент от рассчитанного на сто мест "Суперджета", но и не стал ждать окончания тестов российского среднемагистрального МС-21. Во многом именно поэтому в Минпромторге РФ не верят, что перспективный лайнер от компании "Иркут" в ближайшее время появится в Иране. — Вероятность поставок иранским партнёрам самолётов МС-21 в ближайшее время крайне мала, — сообщил Лайфу источник в ведомстве. — Так как в настоящее время основным приоритетом ОАК и "Иркута" является получение сертификата на модификацию с двигателями американского производства PW1000G компании Pratt & Whitney. Кроме того, первая партия самолётов (50 единиц) поставляется в авиакомпанию "Аэрофлот". При этом следует отметить: в 2020 году запланирована сертификация самолётов МС-21 с российским двигателем ПД-14, что значительно снизит риски возможных ограничений при продвижении МС-21 на иранский рынок в среднесрочной перспективе. А такие риски весьма велики. Ведь американская Pratt & Whitney, производящая двигатели для МС-21, является участником самой дорогой в истории Штатов военной программы — истребителя пятого поколения F-35. А это более чем весомый повод отказать в лицензии самолёту (пусть и гражданскому), который Россия собирается продать в столь "любимый" нынешним президентом США Дональдом Трампом Иран.
Michael Rosenthal will join from Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati to lead Brussels work
В Германии на продажу за 25 тысяч евро была выставлена особая версия российской Lada 4x4. Пикап изготовили по специальному заказу. Особенность автомобиля, получившего в названии приставку Freestyle, заключается в том, что его сделали еще более внедорожным. Так, например, был на 5 см увеличен дорожный просвет, вместо стандартных шин использованы BF Goodrich MT 215/75R15, установлены электролебедка, шноркель, багажник и светодиодная "люстра" на крыше, силовые дуги, светодиодные фары.Кроме того, кузов авто окрашен в матовый черный, салон выполнен в двух цветах, а мотор теперь может работать и на газе. Также были заменены руль и приборная панель.Хозяин Lada 4x4 проехал на этой машине 7 500 км по Марокко и шести странам Евросоюза за 14 дней. Проект, реализованный по заказу владельца немецкого магазина внедорожных комплектующих, "достиг совершенства", настала очередь следующего, поэтому пикап выставлен на продажу. Сейчас пробег машины составляет 12 тысяч километров.Отметим, что в Германии новая Lada 4x4 стоит гораздо дешевле - от 10 500 евро. В России же Lada 4x4 продается с двигателем объемом 1.7 литра и мощностью 83 л.с., который агрегатируется с пятиступенчатой механической коробкой передач. Цена на модель в трехдверном кузове начинается от 475 900 рублей, "пятидверка" обойдется минимум в 520 700 рублей.Не так давно АвтоВАЗ объявил стоимость уникальной Lada 4x4 с кожаным салоном. Автомобиль лимитированной модификации 40th Anniversary оценили в 558 тысяч 900 рублей. Машины должны появиться у дилеров в июне. (https://rg.ru/2017/05/07/...)
При покупке новых покрышек покупатели встают перед дилеммой, как не переплатить за дорогое имя и при этом получить качественные колеса. Оказывается, чудеса возможны.
Stratfor Vice President of Global Analysis Reva Goujon and Senior Eurasia Analyst Lauren Goodrich discuss the similar paths to power the leaders have traveled -- and their overlapping geopolitical destinies ahead. About Stratfor: Stratfor brings global events into valuable perspective, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. For individual and enterprise subscriptions to Stratfor Worldview, our online publication, visit us at: https://worldview.stratfor.com/ And make sure to connect with Stratfor on social media: Twitter: https://twitter.com/stratfor Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/stratfor/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/stra... YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/stratfor Learn more about Stratfor here: https://www.Stratfor.com Get the latest company news here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons Or review and purchase our longform reports on geopolitics here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons And listen to the Stratfor podcast for free here: iTunes - https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/s... Stitcher - http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/strat... Soundcloud - https://soundcloud.com/stratfortalks Libsyn - http://stratfor.libsyn.com/ To subscribe to Stratfor Worldview, click here: https://worldview.stratfor.com/subscribe Join Stratfor Worldview to cut through the noise and make sense of an increasingly complicated world. Membership to Stratfor Worldview includes: Unrestricted access to Stratfor Worldview's latest insights, podcasts, videos, and more. Members-only community forums. My Collections - your personal library of Stratfor insights saved for later reading. Discounts to our long-form reports on the Stratfor Store.
Stratfor Senior Eurasia Analyst Lauren Goodrich discusses nationwide protests against the Kremlin's alleged mishandling of the economy amid slumping growth and sanctions. About Stratfor: Stratfor brings global events into valuable perspective, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. For individual and enterprise subscriptions to Stratfor Worldview, our online publication, visit us at: https://worldview.stratfor.com/ And make sure to connect with Stratfor on social media: Twitter: https://twitter.com/stratfor Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/stratfor/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/stra... YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/stratfor Learn more about Stratfor here: https://www.Stratfor.com Get the latest company news here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons Or review and purchase our longform reports on geopolitics here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons And listen to the Stratfor podcast for free here: iTunes - https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/s... Stitcher - http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/strat... Soundcloud - https://soundcloud.com/stratfortalks Libsyn - http://stratfor.libsyn.com/ To subscribe to Stratfor Worldview, click here: https://worldview.stratfor.com/subscribe Join Stratfor Worldview to cut through the noise and make sense of an increasingly complicated world. Membership to Stratfor Worldview includes: Unrestricted access to Stratfor Worldview's latest insights, podcasts, videos, and more. Members-only community forums. My Collections - your personal library of Stratfor insights saved for later reading. Discounts to our long-form reports on the Stratfor Store.
With the fate of Europe’s common currency and the potential for another referendum on EU membership in the balance, France prepares to hold its highly contested general election. Stratfor Senior Europe Analyst Adriano Bosoni joins the podcast to explore the underlying forces at play in the French elections and what they could mean for Europe’s economic future. Then Stratfor Senior Eurasia Analyst Lauren Goodrich and Europe Analyst Mark Fleming-Williams dissect Russian efforts to influence the outcome of elections in general and the upcoming French election in particular. We’ll also look at how the French are responding. And Stratfor Chief Product Officer Ken Maranian comes by with a preview of what we can expect when the next generation Stratfor experience is unveiled this Spring. Have a question or comment for the Stratfor podcast? Leave us a message and we may include your comment in a future episode. You can leave a message for our podcast team at 1-512-744-4300 x 3917 or email us at [email protected] Related Reading at Stratfor.com: The Eurozone Plans for the Worst - https://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical-diary/eurozone-plans-worst A Storm is Brewing Over Europe - https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/storm-brewing-over-europe The State of Economic Unions After the Brexit - https://stratfor.myshopify.com/products/the-state-of-economic-unions-after-the-brexit New Global Themes and Topics Coming to Stratfor.com - http://lp.stratfor.com/blog/new-global-themes-and-topics-coming-spring-2017 Learn More About the Next Generation Stratfor Experience. - http://lp.stratfor.com/next-generation-stratfor-experience-spring-2017 About Stratfor: Stratfor brings global events into valuable perspective, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. For individual and enterprise subscriptions to Stratfor Worldview, our online publication, visit us at: https://worldview.stratfor.com/ And make sure to connect with Stratfor on social media: Twitter: https://twitter.com/stratfor Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/stratfor/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/stra... YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/stratfor Learn more about Stratfor here: https://www.Stratfor.com Get the latest company news here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons Or review and purchase our longform reports on geopolitics here: https://marcom.stratfor.com/horizons And listen to the Stratfor podcast for free here: iTunes - https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/s... Stitcher - http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/strat... Soundcloud - https://soundcloud.com/stratfortalks Libsyn - http://stratfor.libsyn.com/ To subscribe to Stratfor Worldview, click here: https://worldview.stratfor.com/subscribe Join Stratfor Worldview to cut through the noise and make sense of an increasingly complicated world. Membership to Stratfor Worldview includes: Unrestricted access to Stratfor Worldview's latest insights, podcasts, videos, and more. Members-only community forums. My Collections - your personal library of Stratfor insights saved for later reading. Discounts to our long-form reports on the Stratfor Store.
On Mar 3, Zacks Investment Research updated the research report on diversified conglomerate, United Technologies Corporation (UTX).
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