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21 января, 14:25

10 Actors Poised to Make a Comeback in 2017

2017 will mark a long-awaited return to the spotlight for some Hollywood stars. Here are 10 actors poised to make a comeback this year.

21 января, 14:24

15 Times a Pro Sports Team Rebuild Actually Worked

Fans usually don't like it when their favorite team opts to overhaul their roster, but we have 15 examples of how a team rebuild can lead to success.

21 января, 10:00

Secret Teacher: My uniform-mad school is putting style over substance

We have draconian guidelines and pupils are sent home for non-compliance. The message is clear: it’s not who you are that counts, but how you look My school is in the middle of a big push on uniform. It’s always this way when the new year starts; we have a drive on lots of things, many of which are long-forgotten by the time we get to summer. We don’t seem to be letting go this year though. Uniform has really fired up our senior leadership team – so much so that there is always someone prowling the gates in the morning to check that the students are dressed appropriately. Related: Secret Teacher: myths of the Ofsted monster keep schools in fear Continue reading...

21 января, 05:51

Без заголовка

**Should-Read: Larry Summers**: _[Disillusioned in Davos][]_: "I am disturbed by (i) the spectacle of financiers who three months ago were telling anyone who would listen that they would never do business with a Trump company... [Disillusioned in Davos]: https://www.ft.com/content/290f05c8-0260-3396-86e4-d9d2095aa1a4 >...rushing to praise the new administration; (ii) the unwillingness of business...

21 января, 05:11

Obama Poll Watch -- January, 2017

Obama’s Final Honeymoon Ends Well America now has a new president, meaning (among other things) it is time to take one final look back at the presidency of Barack Obama. The chart is now complete on the public’s opinion of how President Obama performed his duties, and his final “honeymoon” period not only continued during January, it actually improved considerably. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the final Obama monthly average poll ratings. [Click on graph to see larger-scale version.] January, 2017 Obama’s final month in office began strong, got stronger, and then shot even further upwards at the very end. All in all, a pretty impressive performance considering this “month” covers less than three weeks. [A technical note before I begin: today’s figures from RealClearPolitics.com were only available through January 18th, so Obama’s final numbers may wind up being slightly better when the last two days are added in to the data.] Obama leaves office with a higher monthly average job approval rating than he has seen since his first honeymoon period. Not only is he now at a higher rate than for his entire second term (including his entire second honeymoon), he’s at a higher point than at any time since the summer of 2009. Obama’s monthly job approval rose a half a point to end up at 54.3 percent. Obama’s monthly job disapproval rating fell an even larger 0.9 percent, to end up at only 41.1 percent. His daily average approval was even more impressive, moving from 53.1 percent at the start of the month to a whopping 57.4 at the end. That’s a jump of 4.3 percent, which Obama hasn’t seen at any time during his second term. His daily average job disapproval fell at a more modest rate, from 41.9 at the start of the month down to 39.3 percent at the end of his term in office. These numbers, again, could even improve when the data from the final two days is posted. Four of the most recent individual polls show why. In two of the polls, Obama registered 62 percent job approval, and in the other two 60 percent. His job disapproval in these polls ranged from 36 percent to 39 percent. That’s a pretty strong finish, folks. Overall Trends Now, almost every outgoing president gets a certain final bounce in the polls, it should be mentioned (in all fairness). Even George W. Bush saw his numbers tick up at the very end (from 25.3 percent approval to 29.3 percent), so this is a normal occurrence. Even so, Obama’s final months in office cap off a pretty spectacular final year in office in the polling. By some measures, Obama is actually doing better the day he leaves office than Dwight D. Eisenhower. That’s pretty impressive, since Eisenhower never once fell below 50 percent job approval for his entire two terms in office. He fluctuated between 50 and 80 percent, setting a record that has yet to be matched by anyone. But in his final months, he was only at 59 percent approval ― lower than those four recent Obama polls. But since we don’t have to pay any attention to future trends (as we normally do in this section), let’s instead take a look at Obama’s performance overall. Since this will be the final installment of the Obama Poll Watch series of columns, I also wanted to include a slightly-annotated version of Obama’s complete chart, which helps mark some important and influential events during Obama’s two terms in office. So here is the same chart as above, with a few notes for context. Barack Obama spent most of his initial political capital getting the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act passed. It was a grueling exercise that all but consumed the first year and a half of his presidency. Right at the end of this period, the BP oil volcano erupted in the Gulf of Mexico, which meant night after night (and week after week) of videos on the news of a situation that was just completely out of anyone’s control. Not exactly the best optics any president hopes for, to put it mildly. This all pushed Obama’s approval rating down below 50 percent, and by the 2010 midterm elections he was “underwater” for the first time, with his disapproval rating higher than approval. An interesting footnote is that no matter what happened at the ballot box, Obama consistently got a clear post-election bounce after every election he presided through. His approval rating jumped upwards after the 2010 Tea Party “shellacking,” and then he got a short-lived boost when the death of Osama Bin Laden was announced. This was followed by another down period, as the Tea Partiers vented their anger from their newly-won congressional seats. Obama’s second presidential campaign was a lot tougher than his first, as throughout 2012 his job approval and disapproval matched up almost perfectly. Finally, towards the end of the summer, Obama did convince a majority of Americans to support him once again, leading to his second post-election bounce ― his “second honeymoon.” This one was a lot shorter and milder than his first, as you can see. He just barely got above 53 percent approval after being re-elected, but then saw his numbers take their deepest dive yet. Which brings us to our final detail chart, showing Obama’s second term with an expanded scale (to better see the trends). [Click on graph to see larger-scale version.] Obama’s numbers tumbled in early 2013, as Congress proved to be as intransigent as ever. By autumn, Obama momentarily seemed to stabilize at around 44 percent approval, but then he got hit with a double-whammy: the weeks-long government shutdown, followed by the disastrous rollout of the HealthCare.gov website. This sent his job approval to the nadir of his entire presidency ― 41.4 percent average monthly approval, and a daily average that even slipped (for a single day) below 40 percent (39.8, on December 2, 2013). Obama would eventually recover from this slump, but it took a very long time and it wasn’t without setbacks. In the first half of 2014, Obama crawled back up to 44 percent approval, only to see it fall right back during the midterm election campaign (which was just as brutal as the 2010 midterm was). However, as noted, Obama has always gotten a nice bounce after all elections, no matter what the results turned out to be. Obama rode this bounce up to around 45 percent approval, where he stayed for a solid year. These weren’t numbers to brag about in any way, but they were decidedly better than what he went through in 2014. Then the 2016 presidential campaign got underway in earnest, and Obama started up a very steep path to a very impressive finish. Since the end of 2015, Obama has gained 10.6 percent in job approval and seen his job disapproval fall by 10.3 percent. That is an amazing year for any president, and it is clear that the closer we got to choosing his replacement, the more the American public decided they were going to miss President Obama. Obama finishes his second term 13.2 percent above water ― better than at any point since July, 2009. While he didn’t match his initial stratospheric ratings (few presidents do), his final year’s numbers seem assured to guarantee his legacy will be remembered fondly by the public. A few final notes are necessary before I close out this eight-year-long column series. First, thanks to everyone who has either been reading from the beginning (the first of these columns ran in March of 2009) or just noticed it recently. When I started writing these, the polling information on the web was nowhere near as accessible as it now is, so I thought I’d do my own poll-tracking, choosing a monthly rolling average “poll of polls” to smooth out the spikes to a readable level. The graphs are pretty amateur, I fully admit, but it has certainly been interesting to track this stuff on a daily basis (as gathering data for the columns forced me to do). I do not intend to put in this level of effort for Donald Trump. Perhaps its my own political bias, or perhaps it is because charts like these are a lot easier to find on the web now, but for whatever reason, I will only occasionally be chiming in on Trump’s ratings. It’s somewhat unfair, but Trump’s current rating of 41.1 percent approval is actually lower than any of Obama’s monthly marks (Obama’s low point was 41.4 percent). That’s a pretty dismal start, but again out of fairness I have to point out that there simply are no “job approval” numbers for Trump yet, because it is impossible for the public to have an opinion on the presidential job he’s doing before he actually takes the oath of office. Personal approval ratings are not the same as job approval ratings, in other words. We’ll see real job approval numbers start to come in for Trump in the next few weeks, and those are really the only measure that is comparable to any other president. But I don’t expect them to improve all that dramatically in a few weeks’ time, personally. My final thought on Obama’s completed job approval chart is that Obama truly lived up to the “No Drama Obama” label. For his entire presidency, his job approval numbers stayed between his initial high of over 63 percent down to his low of 41 percent. That’s actually a very tight range, historically. George W. Bush saw his approval shoot up to over 85 percent (right after 9/11) but then absolutely collapse to a low of 25 percent (a dismal range only Richard Nixon had previously seen). So even though Obama’s final chart has its ups and downs, he actually charted a historically steady course in the public’s view for his entire eight years in office. And Barack Hussein Obama left office exactly as he began ― on a very high note indeed.   [Obama Poll Watch Data:] Sources And Methodology ObamaPollWatch.com is an admittedly amateur effort, but we do try to stay professional when it comes to revealing our sources and methodology. All our source data comes from RealClearPolitics.com; specifically from their daily presidential approval ratings “poll of polls” graphic page. We take their daily numbers, log them, and then average each month’s data into a single number ― which is then shown on our monthly charts here (a “poll of polls of polls,” if you will...). You can read a much-more detailed explanation of our source data and methodology on our “About Obama Poll Watch” page, if you’re interested. Questions or comments? Use the Email Chris page to drop me a private note.   Note: Because this is the final column in this series, I’m providing all the data below for both of Obama’s terms in office, for easy comparison.   Obama’s Second Term Statistical Records MonthlyHighest Monthly Approval ― 12/16 ― 54.3%Lowest Monthly Approval ― 11/13 ― 41.4% Highest Monthly Disapproval ― 12/13 ― 54.0%Lowest Monthly Disapproval ― 12/16 ― 41.1% DailyHighest Daily Approval ― 1/17/17 ― 57.4%Lowest Daily Approval ― 12/2/13 ― 39.8% Highest Daily Disapproval ― 12/2/13 ― 55.9%Lowest Daily Disapproval ― 1/18/17 ― 39.3%   Obama’s First Term Statistical Records MonthlyHighest Monthly Approval ― 2/09 ― 63.4%Lowest Monthly Approval ― 10/11 ― 43.4% Highest Monthly Disapproval ― 9/11, 10/11 ― 51.2%Lowest Monthly Disapproval ― 1/09 ― 19.6% DailyHighest Daily Approval ― 2/15/09 ― 65.5%Lowest Daily Approval ― 10/9/11 ― 42.0% Highest Daily Disapproval ― 8/30/11 ― 53.2%Lowest Daily Disapproval ― 1/29/09 ― 19.3%   Obama’s Second Term Raw Monthly Data [All-time high in bold, all-time low underlined.] Month ― (Approval / Disapproval / Undecided)01/17 ― 54.3 / 41.1 / 4.612/16 ― 53.8 / 42.0 / 4.211/16 ― 52.9 / 44.0 / 3.110/16 ― 51.7 / 45.4 / 2.909/16 ― 50.5 / 46.4 / 3.108/16 ― 51.3 / 44.9 / 3.807/16 ― 49.6 / 46.7 / 3.706/16 ― 50.0 / 46.2 / 3.805/16 ― 48.8 / 47.3 / 3.904/16 ― 48.6 / 47.2 / 4.203/16 ― 48.4 / 47.4 / 4.202/16 ― 46.3 / 49.6 / 4.101/16 ― 45.5 / 50.2 / 4.312/15 ― 43.7 / 51.6 / 4.711/15 ― 44.4 / 51.3 / 4.310/15 ― 45.3 / 50.0 / 4.709/15 ― 45.6 / 50.3 / 4.108/15 ― 44.7 / 50.4 / 4.907/15 ― 45.7 / 50.0 / 4.306/15 ― 44.6 / 50.7 / 4.705/15 ― 45.4 / 50.0 / 4.604/15 ― 45.2 / 49.9 / 4.903/15 ― 44.9 / 50.8 / 4.302/15 ― 45.4 / 50.1 / 4.501/15 ― 44.8 / 50.5 / 4.712/14 ― 42.4 / 52.8 / 4.811/14 ― 42.0 / 53.4 / 4.610/14 ― 42.1 / 53.4 / 4.509/14 ― 41.5 / 53.5 / 5.008/14 ― 41.6 / 53.0 / 5.407/14 ― 41.8 / 53.6 / 4.606/14 ― 42.4 / 53.4 / 4.205/14 ― 44.0 / 51.7 / 4.304/14 ― 43.4 / 52.1 / 4.503/14 ― 42.9 / 52.8 / 4.302/14 ― 43.3 / 52.3 / 4.401/14 ― 42.7 / 52.7 / 4.612/13 ― 41.9 / 54.0 / 4.111/13 ― 41.4 / 53.9 / 4.710/13 ― 44.2 / 50.8 / 5.009/13 ― 43.9 / 50.8 / 5.308/13 ― 44.4 / 50.2 / 5.407/13 ― 45.3 / 49.2 / 5.506/13 ― 46.5 / 48.5 / 5.005/13 ― 48.3 / 46.9 / 4.804/13 ― 48.6 / 46.8 / 4.603/13 ― 48.5 / 46.3 / 5.202/13 ― 51.1 / 43.1 / 5.901/13 ― 52.7 / 42.6 / 4.7   Obama’s First Term Raw Monthly Data Month ― (Approval / Disapproval / Undecided)01/13 ― 52.7 / 42.6 / 4.712/12 ― 53.1 / 42.8 / 4.111/12 ― 50.6 / 46.7 / 2.710/12 ― 49.4 / 47.8 / 2.809/12 ― 49.1 / 47.6 / 3.308/12 ― 47.8 / 48.3 / 3.907/12 ― 47.2 / 48.1 / 4.706/12 ― 47.8 / 47.8 / 4.405/12 ― 48.1 / 47.8 / 4.104/12 ― 47.8 / 47.1 / 5.103/12 ― 47.7 / 47.2 / 5.102/12 ― 48.2 / 47.2 / 4.601/12 ― 46.3 / 48.3 / 5.412/11 ― 45.1 / 49.5 / 5.411/11 ― 44.4 / 50.2 / 5.410/11 ― 43.4 / 51.2 / 5.409/11 ― 43.5 / 51.2 / 5.308/11 ― 43.8 / 50.7 / 5.507/11 ― 46.2 / 47.8 / 6.006/11 ― 48.5 / 46.0 / 5.505/11 ― 51.4 / 43.1 / 5.504/11 ― 46.4 / 48.2 / 5.403/11 ― 48.1 / 46.4 / 5.502/11 ― 49.4 / 44.5 / 6.101/11 ― 48.5 / 45.7 / 5.812/10 ― 45.5 / 48.1 / 6.411/10 ― 45.5 / 49.0 / 5.510/10 ― 45.5 / 49.1 / 5.409/10 ― 45.7 / 49.7 / 4.608/10 ― 45.3 / 49.5 / 5.207/10 ― 46.6 / 47.4 / 6.006/10 ― 47.6 / 46.7 / 5.705/10 ― 48.1 / 45.5 / 6.404/10 ― 47.8 / 46.5 / 5.703/10 ― 48.1 / 46.4 / 5.502/10 ― 47.9 / 46.1 / 6.001/10 ― 49.2 / 45.3 / 5.512/09 ― 49.4 / 44.9 / 5.711/09 ― 51.1 / 43.5 / 5.410/09 ― 52.2 / 41.9 / 5.909/09 ― 52.7 / 42.0 / 5.308/09 ― 52.8 / 40.8 / 6.407/09 ― 56.4 / 38.1 / 5.506/09 ― 59.8 / 33.6 / 6.605/09 ― 61.4 / 31.6 / 7.004/09 ― 61.0 / 30.8 / 8.203/09 ― 60.9 / 29.9 / 9.202/09 ― 63.4 / 24.4 / 12.201/09 ― 63.1 / 19.6 / 17.3   Second Term Column Archives [Dec 16], [Nov 16], [Oct 16], [Sep 16], [Aug 16], [Jul 16], [Jun 16], [May 16], [Apr 16], [Mar 16], [Feb 16], [Jan 16], [Dec 15], [Nov 15], [Oct 15], [Sep 15], [Aug 15], [Jul 15], [Jun 15], [May 15], [Apr 15], [Mar 15], [Feb 15], [Jan 15], [Dec 14], [Nov 14], [Oct 14], [Sep 14], [Aug 14], [Jul 14], [Jun 14], [May 14], [Apr 14], [Mar 14], [Feb 14], [Jan 14], Dec 13], [Nov 13], [Oct 13], Sep 13], [Aug 13], [Jul 13], [Jun 13], [May 13], [Apr 13], [Mar 13], [Feb 13], [Jan 13]   First Term Column Archives [Jan 13], [Dec 12], [Nov 12], [Oct 12], [Sep 12], [Aug 12], [Jul 12], [Jun 12], [May 12], [Apr 12], [Mar 12], [Feb 12], [Jan 12], [Dec 11], [Nov 11], [Oct 11], [Sep 11], [Aug 11], [Jul 11], [Jun 11], [May 11], [Apr 11], [Mar 11], [Feb 11], [Jan 11], [Dec 10], [Nov 10], [Oct 10], [Sep 10], [Aug 10], [Jul 10], [Jun 10], [May 10], [Apr 10], [Mar 10], [Feb 10], [Jan 10], [Dec 09], [Nov 09], [Oct 09], [Sep 09], [Aug 09], [Jul 09], [Jun 09], [May 09], [Apr 09], [Mar 09]   Chris Weigant blogs at: Follow Chris on Twitter: @ChrisWeigantFull archives of OPW columns: ObamaPollWatch.com   -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

21 января, 01:57

Andy Shallal and the Peace Ball: Voices of Hope and Resistance

It was not the election of Donald Trump that prompted Andy Shallal to come up with the idea of an inauguration eve "Peace Ball." The activist, sometime political candidate, and founder of Washington DC's popular Busboys and Poets group of restaurants/bookstores/performance spaces was concerned with the harsh rhetoric of the campaign so he began to think about some kind of gathering in late summer of 2016. Then, when he visited the Smithsonian's new Museum of African-American History and Culture in September, he decided that he wanted to host the event there. Before he even left the museum, he called scholar and activist Angela Davis, to invite her to help put it together. Shallal saw it as "a gathering of progressives, artists, activists coming together to celebrate. Too often I think we tend to forget about celebrating some of the successes. There have been a lot of changes taking place in the past few decades and we have to stop every now and then, pat ourselves on the back, get energized and go out there and do more." He wanted to include artists because: They see the world from a humanistic perspective as opposed to greed. They look for beauty. They look for moments of creative opportunities to move things forward. They don't always agree on process, on how to get there, but they all want to get to the right place of making sure that we have a better world, of social justice and humanity. Politicians are not leaders. Politicians are basically followers. We know artists and cultural leaders are the ones that actually create the change. Artists are able to reach deep into a person's soul and reach their humanity and find commonality. What politicians look for is divisiveness sometimes, because you know they divide and conquer, but artists actually look for commonality; they look for things that make us unite as humans. In order to convey the "fun and joy and just being active that is what keeps me hopeful," Shallal put together an all-star lineup of "voices of hope and resistance" to appear at the black tie event. He told "those who are overwhelmed" to visit the exhibits and artifacts around them, telling stories from abduction and slavery to Jim Crow, Civil Rights, to Black Lives Matter and the first black President and First Lady: "Look around at this monument to hope, resistance, and resilience." Performance artist Sonya Renee Taylor called on the capacity crowd to make "a connection of art and power and deliciousness." Poet Alice Walker called in by phone to suggest "principles for getting through the Trump years," telling us to "turn up the kindness volume for people you know and people you don't know," keep "the closest possible connection to nature," "maintain respect for our closest biological and spiritual ancestors," and stay physically active. New Jersey Senator Cory Booker talked about the American tradition of challenging our leaders and work toward justice. Journalist Amy Goodman, told the story of being arrested for her coverage of the Dakota Access pipeline protests and urged the group to insist on "fact-based journalism" from independent sources that "cover power, not cover to get power, the fourth estate, not 'for the state.'" Writer Naomi Klein promised to try to follow Shallal's direction to be "upbeat and optimistic," explaining that "pessimism has to be saved for better times." She called the election a "corporate coup d'état" where "conflicts of interest are the whole point." The presentations concluded with rousing musical performances by Esperanza Spaulding and Solange. "We can't be stuck in the past," Shallal said in an interview. "We have to look at the past, see where we've been and see where we come to. The thing about the museum is it really gives you a sense of hope. I mean if you look back sometimes when we're in the middle of something it really feels daunting, it feels really difficult. It feels like there is no progress but if you step back, you see the arc of history bending towards justice. Courage was throughout, the sense of resilience was throughout, the sense of hope was throughout, the sense of resistance was throughout and I think that's why it's very fitting for us to have this ball there, it is the voices of hope and resistance, it is what we are, the Peace Ball." He included in the evening's program a poem from the man who inspired the name of the restaurants, Langston Hughes, perhaps a response to the slogan trademarked by Donald Trump: We the people must redeem The land, the mines, the plants, the rivers. The mountains and the endless plain -- All, all the stretch of these great green states -- And make America again! -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

21 января, 00:13

Betsy DeVos' Track Record Doesn't Back Up Her Education Promises

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); U.S. Secretary of Education nominee Betsy DeVos said during her Senate confirmation hearing this week that she supports public education and school accountability ― but her remarks conflict with policies she has pushed in her home state of Michigan, which critics call the “wild West” of the charter school industry. President Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Department of Education is a billionaire who has donated millions to conservative candidates and education reform. DeVos is a longtime advocate for school choice who has promoted charter schools as a way to give students more educational opportunities, and has supported voucher programs that allow students to use public funds to attend private schools. Opponents say her approach is helping dismantle public education in favor of charters, and that it has dangerous implications for students’ right to equal education. Sen. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) asked DeVos on Tuesday what she had learned from struggling charters in Michigan and how those lessons would inform her work in the rest of the country. “There is a lot that has gone right in Detroit and in Michigan with regard to charter schools,” DeVos replied. “And the notion that there hasn’t been accountability is wrong. It’s false news. It is not correct at all. The reality is that charter schools in Michigan have been accountable, fully accountable to their overseeing bodies and to the state.” DeVos went on to say that education reform legislation passed over the summer showed she has a successful track record on accountability. “The recent legislation that was passed now actually brings all schools in Detroit under accountability, including the traditional schools,” she said. “And so finally there, for the people of Detroit, there is accountability across the board. I am pleased and thankful that that’s the case.” DeVos repeatedly talked about accountability during the hearing, but didn’t go into many details about what that should look like. Rules guiding charter schools vary from state to state. Critics point out that charters often aren’t held to the same standards and regulations that schools receiving public funding are, including rules pertaining to financial disclosure, parent representation and student discipline. When there aren’t many regulations dictating who can open charter schools, critics say it can be easier for poor-performing schools to proliferate. DeVos mentioning local education policy might not have stood out to most people watching the hearing. However, it was a reference to a monthslong battle in Michigan, the outcome of which many education advocates say proves DeVos is committed to shielding charter schools from accountability.   The legislation overhauled the education system in Detroit and allocated $617 million to save the debt-ridden Detroit Public Schools district from bankruptcy. Republicans control the state legislature, and plenty of them objected to spending millions of dollars on the school system, which racked up enormous debt as enrollment declined. But the state Senate eventually hammered out a plan that passed with bipartisan support, as well as with the approval of Detroit’s mayor, local education groups, the DPS teachers union and some of the city’s charter operators. The element of the legislation that is relevant to DeVos was a provision to create a Detroit education commission. The commission would oversee all schools and control where new schools can open, a reform that education advocates deemed necessary to control the explosive growth of charter schools in the city. But the state House stripped the commission from the bills and passed them after lawmakers spent hours in closed-door meetings. The charter-friendly version of the legislation narrowly passed the Senate and was signed by Gov. Rick Snyder (R) in June. Democrats blamed the changes on pressure from pro-charter groups and proponents like the DeVos family. In June and July, members of the DeVos family gave $1.45 million to Michigan Republican candidates, PACs and party organizations. Angela Reyes, co-chair of the Coalition for the Future of Detroit Schoolchildren, which gave input on the legislation and supported the oversight commission, refuted DeVos’ remarks on accountability in Detroit.  “The DeVoses used their money and influence to bully Michigan legislators into passing a series of bills that continue to allow for-profit entities to operate charters without any accountability,” Reyes wrote in an email to The Huffington Post. “The legislation that was passed specifically excluded charters from oversight,” Reyes added. “It also allowed for uncertified teachers, but only in Detroit, setting up a legislated separate and unequal education system for children of color.” Great Lakes Education Project, the charter advocacy group founded by DeVos and her husband, praised the legislation for ensuring the preservation of “innovation and educational opportunities” for Detroit families. The state’s cap on the number of charters was lifted in 2011, and there are now more students enrolled in Detroit charter schools than in the public district. A Detroit Free Press investigation revealed Michigan has limited regulations, which has allowed for wide-ranging abuses. About 80 percent of the state’s charter schools are operated for profit.  There are plenty of examples of excellent charter schools, as well as excellent public ones. There’s even some evidence that Detroit’s charter students perform better academically than public school students. But proficiency rates are low overall: Just 13 percent of public school students in the city were proficient in math in 2014, while 17 percent of students at charter schools achieved proficiency. Bennett said during Tuesday’s hearing that he supports charter schools ― but only if school choice policies actually increase the number of positive opportunities for families.  “For a kid from a low-income family, there is no difference … between forced to attend to attend a terrible school and being given a chance to choose among five terrible schools,” he said. “That’s no choice at all.” DeVos evaded questions about whether she would hold all schools to the same standards, but said she would be a strong advocate for great public schools. However, last year she suggested that improving struggling schools wouldn’t work in Detroit, saying it was instead time to “retire” the entire district. “We should liberate all students from this woefully under-performing district model,” DeVos wrote at the time.  -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

21 января, 00:08

Weak vetting led to Cabinet confirmation surprises

Team Trump has been blindsided by potentially scandalous revelations about Cabinet nominees.

20 января, 22:58

Disillusioned in Davos

Larry Summers: Disillusioned in Davos: Edmund Burke famously cautioned that “the only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.” I have been reminded of Burke’s words as I have observed the behavior of...

20 января, 22:05

Procrastinating on January 20, 2017

**Over at [Equitable Growth](http://EquitableGrowth.org): Must- and Should-Reads:** * **Duncan Black**: _[Conservative Health Care Plan][]_: "Liberal Trump fanfic scenarios aside... * **Kevin Drum**: _[Why Do Republicans Hate Obamacare?][]_: "Why the continued rabid opposition to Obamacare?... * **Nick Rowe**: _[AD/AS: A Suggested Interpretation][]_: "Many macroeconomists don't like the Aggregate Demand/Aggregate Supply framework.......

20 января, 19:59

Newcastle pushing for Andros Townsend loan from Crystal Palace

• England winger keen to return to north-east after £13m move in summer• Palace could bring in Middlesbrough’s Stewart Downing as replacementAndros Townsend is understood to be keen on returning to Newcastle United only six months after they sold him to Crystal Palace for £13m.With Rafael Benítez similarly enthusiastic about a potential reunion with the sometime England winger on Tyneside and Sam Allardyce willing to lose Townsend, the stumbling block is Newcastle’s desire for a loan deal with a view to a more permanent transfer in the summer. Continue reading...

20 января, 19:56

Firms halt publishing of home price data

At least two major Chinese private providers of home price data have stopped publishing the figures, at a time when economists are split whether the red-hot property market will remain a driver of the

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20 января, 19:37

Stoke City complete £12m signing of West Brom’s Saido Berahino

• Watford and West Ham were also interested in 23-year-old striker• Berahino has not played for West Brom since SeptemberStoke City have completed the signing of Saido Berahino, beating off competition from Watford and West Ham United. Mark Hughes has shown interest in the West Bromwich Albion striker in the past two transfer windows and the Stoke manager had thought his hopes of sealing a transfer were fading.However, with Berahino’s contract expiring in the summer and the 23-year-old having failed to make a first-team appearance since September, West Brom were keen to resolve the issue before the end of the month and accepted a bid of an initial £12m, with a further £3m potentially due in bonuses. Berahino has signed a five-and-a-half-year deal. Continue reading...

20 января, 19:25

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**Should-Read: N. Gregory Mankiw and Lawrence H. Summers** (1984): _[Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary?][]_: "If consumer spending generates more money demand than other components of GNP... [Are Tax Cuts Really Expansionary?]: http://www.nber.org/papers/w1443 >...then tax cuts may... increasing the demand for money, [may] depress aggregate demand. We examine a variety of...

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20 января, 19:22

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**Note to Self:** I always find it interesting that Friedman and the monetarists formulated money demand as a function of income rather than of private spending, or even of private consumption spending. You don't need or want money when your income is high, unless you want to spend it. And...

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20 января, 18:14

Diego Costa wants to stay at Chelsea, says Antonio Conte

• Costa could return to side at home to Hull City on Sunday• Conte: ‘The idea of a move to China is far from his mind’Diego Costa is ready to return to the Chelsea side and wants to stay at the club until the summer, Antonio Conte has insisted.The Chelsea manager said Costa’s absence from the team last weekend was owing to a back injury and refused to even acknowledge the striker had been in conflict with the club over a multimillion-pound offer from a Chinese Super League club. Continue reading...

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20 января, 17:56

Pep Guardiola denies discussing Sergio Agüero’s contract with striker

• Guardiola seen meeting Manchester City player at restaurant on Thursday• ‘He has a lot of money and want to invite his coach to dinner,’ says GuardiolaPep Guardiola has denied he discussed Sergio Agüero’s contract with the striker when they met in a Manchester restaurant on Thursday night.Guardiola was photographed dining with Agüero’s and his agent. There is a lack of clarity regarding when the 27-year-old’s terms end at Manchester City as Agüero’s signed a deal until summer 2019 three years ago, yet the club have indicated he agreed an extension for a further season. Continue reading...

20 января, 17:49

The Time of decision. Атака на Исторические вершины? Russell2000, S

Rick Santelli (СNBC, Chicago CME) summed it up nicely when he was a guest host on Squawkbox over summer. «Most of our guests work in financial services, and to put it bluntly, they make their money from seeing the market go up» Вчера в четверг окно коррекционной Волны 4 закрывалось и кукл изрядно пощекотал нервы быкам. Но беспредельщину не устроил- ведь самому же нужен рост и новые инвесторы в BULL MARKET. Сегодня позитивное открытие рынка США очень похоже на начало Волны 5. Путь S&P до 2317 открыт. к 1 февраля. Вот так аккуратно был доведен до края пропасти RUSSELL2000 Small-Caps. Но картинку IWM кукл не испортил- вежливо остановился на красной трендовой линии поддержки с начала декабря. Ниже график IWM (Russell2000 Small Caps) monthly. 2007-2016 Настало Время решительных действий- или сработает Правило-(Rule of 4) -Это  3 проверки уровня и 4й пробой (BreakOUT) — или откат назад и крушение всех надежд? Индекс RUSSELL2000 Small Caps- это лидирующий и ключевой индикатор спекулятивных сил рынка. Именно сейчас важно, чтобы он обновил исторические вершины и вел за собой S&P500 и др. broad market indexes. Момент исторический во многих отношениях сейчас. Через 2 часа начинается Инаугурация Президента США Дональда Трампа. В 12РМ Eastern Time. P.S. Прошу мужиков выпить за здравие нормального мужика, любящего баб-ставшего Президентом США Дональда Трампа! Это редкость в сегодняшнем затухающем Западном мире. Думаю всем от этого будет хорошо в мире. position: Long IWM.

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08 декабря 2014, 16:00


 Михаил Хазин Бреттон-Вудская система начиналась, когда экономика США составляла более 50% мировой. В 1944-45 гг. Сегодня экономика США меньше 20%. Первыми поняли, что дело – швах международные финансисты. Там ведь тоже нет единства. Своя рубашка ближе к телу!Они решили повторить старый трюк Моргана. Для спасения мировой финансовой системы и ее стабильности создать аналог ФРС не в национальном, а в мировом масштабе. Чтобы Центробанки государств могли печатать деньги на национальном уровне только в рамках тех квот, которые устанавливает «Центробанк Центробанков».Идея, в отличие от Моргана со товарищи, широко обсуждалась в 2010-2011 гг. В документах G-8 и G-20, внутренней переписке и в публичных разговорах. Чтоб не создавать новую структуру, решили использовать МВФ. На его базе делать эмиссию валюты МВФ – «специальных прав заимствований». Есть такая! Организовывал процесс глава МВФ - француз Стросс-Кан, который был чистым исполнителем. В том числе, он "разруливал" дискуссию об изменении квот в МВФ. Тот же Китай стал требовать увеличить свою квоту в соответствии с размером экономики. Что разрушило бы монополию США. Ведь вся система была создана под их интересы.Соединенные Штаты Америки быстро осознали, чем грозит для них реализация плана “Центробанка Центробанков”. Фактически им запрещали бы печатать доллары в тех количествах, которые необходимы для поддержания своего бюджета.И в июне 2011 года началось дело Стросс-Кана.- Очень странное! Человека из высшей мировой элиты вдруг обвиняют в США в изнасиловании темнокожей горничной отеля, надевают наручники, под прицелом телекамер тащат беднягу в камеру. Позор на весь мир! Изваляли главу МВФ в грязи. Вынудили подать в отставку.- Как только Доминика Стросс-Кана арестовали, тема "Центробанка Центробанков” из всех документов исчезла. Как корова языком слизнула. Мне серьезные российские чиновники рассказывали, что они даже удивились: вот им приходят письма от западных партнеров – по два-три в день, иногда больше, в которых эта тема главная. И вдруг неожиданно бац, письма приходят, а темы нет.- Вот за что, оказывается, янки устроили публичную порку Стросс-Кану.- Именно за попытку посягнуть на могущество ФРС. Хотя, еще раз повторю, Стросс-Кан здесь был чистым "стрелочником" - просто оказался не в том месте не в то время. да и сам он к элите не очень-то относится … Позже международные финансисты пытались протащить на пост руководителя Федеральной резервной системы США своего человека Лоуренса Саммерса, который, кстати, как раз к элите относится, его посадить не так-то просто, хотя даже в США его почти открыто называют "клептократом". Но и это не получилось.Сегодня Бреттон-Вудская модель подошла к естественному концу. Все активы, которые есть в мире, в том числе нефть в недрах России, уже оценены в долларах.- При чем здесь российская нефть?- Она входит в долларовую капитализацию наших компаний, которым принадлежат месторождения.Нет в мире больше новых долларовых активов. И печатать новые баксы больше невозможно. В этой ситуации, я склонен считать, скоро произойдет взрыв, который полностью разорвет долларовую Бреттон-Вудскую систему.- Как скоро?- Может быть, в течение года-полутора. Об этом уже много кто говорит. Даже премьер Великобритании Кэмерон заявил на днях, что нужно ждать новый кризис.- И что будет дальше? Неужто янки, спасая доллар, развяжут новую мировую войну?- Если у вас кризис падения спроса, то войной дело не спасешь. Война только увеличивает спад спроса. Война нужна только финансистам, как способ получения форс-мажора, с целью списать свои обязательства (частично эта задача уже решалась на Кипре). Так что пока, до спада, большой войны, скорее всего, не будетПо материалам КП.ru http://dynacon.ru/content/articles/4336/ 

06 ноября 2014, 15:20

Проблема стагнации развитых экономик

  Вот уже несколько месяцев продолжается острая дискуссия, начавшаяся после февральского выступления бывшего министра финансов США Ларри Саммерс, о причинах “векового застоя” (secular stagnation). Разумеется, экономическая стагнация в развитых странах появилась не сразу.  Если взглянуть на статистику последних десятилетий, то тренд на снижение четко просматривается: линия номинального ВВП постоянно шла вниз и сегодня находится ниже 4%, а линия реального ВВП ниже 2% (в Италии этот показатель уже негативный). Существует много объяснений движения по наклонной, но большинство из них, так или иначе, связаны с демографией. Рост был динамичным сразу после Второй мировой войны, когда Европа восстанавливалась, и некоторые довоенные технологические достижения начали внедряться в экономику; затем с середины 1960-х гг. поколение “бэби-бумер” приходит на рынок труда. Но уровень рождаемости снижается, и поколение “бэби-бумер” сегодня начинает уходить на пенсию, пишет британский журнал The Economist. Согласно данным ОЭСР коэффициент поддержки пожилых людей (число работников в возрасте от 20 до 64 лет по отношению к числу тех, кто старше 65 лет), безусловно, вызывает тревогу.  Страна 1950 1980 2010 2050 (прогноз) США 6,97 5,04 4,59 2,53 Великобритания 5,58 3,74 3,59 2,14 Германия 6,26 3,68 2,91 1,54 Франция 5,13 3,96 3,50 2,04 Италия 6,99 4,21 3,00 1,46 Япония 9,98 6,67 2,57 1,27  Источник: The EconomistПочему зависимость старшего поколения является проблемой? В конце концов, низкий уровень рождаемости означает снижение числа зависимых детей. Однако цена поддержки пожилых людей для общества намного выше, если учитывать расходы на пенсии, медицинское обслуживание, содержание домов для престарелых, при этом увеличивается средняя продолжительность жизни (сегодняшний 65-летний европеец, скорее всего, проживет еще 20 лет или больше). Самое основное - численность работающих граждан больше не увеличивается, а в Италии, Германии и Японии по прогнозу даже уменьшится. Ожидается, что Евросоюз потеряет 40 млн работников в ближайшие 40 лет; без мигрантов эта цифра взлетит до 96 млн человек. Экономический рост состоит из постоянного увеличения числа работников и роста производительности труда. И для того чтобы хоть как-то снизить негативный эффект старения населения, необходимо еще быстрее повышать производительность труда. Какие еще есть причины “векового застоя”? Как заметил Ларри Саммерс, периоды с быстрым экономическим ростом были отмечены увеличением долга и пузырями активов. Иногда пузыри могут иметь позитивный экономический эффект: железные дороги и каналы были построены на спекулятивной волне конца XIX века. Большое количество инвесторов потеряли деньги, но экономика довольно много получила от возросших объемов и снижения транспортных расходов. Экономическая выгода от пузыря на рынке недвижимости не так велика, особенно если после него остаются кварталы новых незаселенных домов (как в Ирландии и Испании). Почему в последнее время было так много пузырей? Снижение уровня реальных процентных ставок – главное объяснение этой тенденции, считает Саммерс; снижение процентных ставок поощряет инвестиции в финансовые активы по целому ряду причин. По мнению Саммерса, ряд факторов привел к падению фактических процентных ставок: снизился спрос компаний на заимствование (отчасти от того, что новые хайтек-фирмы нуждаются в меньшем объеме инвестиционного капитала); замедление роста населения связывают с более низкой процентной ставкой; увеличивающееся неравенство означает больше прибыли в руках богатых, которые сберегают больше, чем бедные; центральные банки также все активнее увеличивают свои резервы. Следует заметить, что некоторые из этих трендов самовосстанавливающиеся. Более высокие цены на активы углубляют неравенство, так как богатые получают в собственность больше активов, чем бедные. Низкие фактические ставки и стремление центральных банков спасать обваливающиеся рынки также стимулирует финансовый сектор, который имел наибольший относительный рост зарплат. Итог – высокий уровень долговой нагрузки во всем развитом мире. Правда, некоторые экономисты не видят особую угрозу в уровне задолженности, отмечая, что обязательства одного есть актив другого; когда M&G недавно объявила о приближении глобального размера долга к $100 трлн, кто-то написал, что чистая задолженность все еще равна нулю. И последнее: факт кредитования – признак доверия; кредитор и заемщик должны быть уверены, что долг будет возвращен с процентами. Эта уверенность чаще всего присутствует в мире быстрого экономического роста и более высоких цен на активы. Но этот мир может быстро исчезнуть, что усложнит задачу по снижению долговой нагрузки. Спираль дефлирования долга остается реальной угрозой. Следует лишь решить, что необходимо сделать, чтобы появился экономический рост?

14 января 2014, 04:18

Sochi: What "The Safest Games Ever" Cost?

Russia is spending $51 billion on the Sochi Games; far exceeding the lavish-at-the-time $40 billion spent on China's 2008 Summer Olympics - which, as BusinessWeek notes, had more than three time the events. However, it is Sochi Organizing Committee President Dmitry Chernyshenko's promise that it will be "the safest games ever" that is really starting to add up in the face of suicide bombings and explosive device discoveries. As Al Jazeera shows, securing Sochi is costing twice the 2010 Vancouver Olympics and involves double the security forces of the London Olympics...   Bloomberg sums it up...     Cost per event...   Securing Sochi...         

09 сентября 2013, 22:28

Кто сядет в кресло Бернанке: Саммерс, Кон или Йеллен?

Кто сядет в кресло Бернанке: Саммерс, Кон или Йеллен?  Рынку, который любит традиции и с трудом приемлет новшества, предстоит пережить одно из важнейших потрясений: смену главы американского Федрезерва. Ведь это ... From: Моше Кац Views: 0 0 ratingsTime: 03:02 More in News & Politics