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16 января, 17:56

Angry Germany Slams Trump Criticism: Urges US To "Build Better Cars", Accuses Washington Of Causing Refugee Crisis

An angry Berlin has responded with a staunch defense of its policies after President-elect Donald Trump criticized German Chancellor Angela Merkel in two separate Sunday interviews, one with Germany's Bild and one with the Sunday Times, for her stance during the refugee crisis while threatening a 35% tariff on BMW cars imported into the US. Germany’s deputy chancellor and minister for the economy, Sigmar Gabriel, said on Monday morning that a tax on German imports would lead to a “bad awakening” among US carmakers since they were reliant on transatlantic supply chains. “I believe BMW’s biggest factory is already in the US, in Spartanburg [South Carolina],” Gabriel, leader of the centre-left Social Democratic party, told the Bild newspaper in a video interview. “The US car industry would have a bad awakening if all the supply parts that aren’t being built in the US were to suddenly come with a 35% tariff. I believe it would make the US car industry weaker, worse and above all more expensive." Playing Trump's threat off Congress, Gabriel added that he "would wait and see what the Congress has to say about that, which is mostly full of people who want the opposite of Trump" as quoted by The Guardian. In his interviews with Bild and the Times, the US president-elect had indicated that he would aim to realign the “out of balance” car trade between Germany and the US. “If you go down Fifth Avenue everyone has a Mercedes Benz in front of his house, isn’t that the case?” he said. “How many Chevrolets do you see in Germany? Not very many, maybe none at all … it’s a one-way street.” So, when asked what Trump could do to make sure German customers bought more American cars, Gabriel had a simple suggestion: “Build better cars.” Asked what Trump could do to make sure German customers bought more American cars, Sigmar Gabriel said: ‘Build better cars. Trump's interview had an adverse impact shares in carmakers BMW, Daimler and Volkswagen, which fell on Monday morning following the President-elect's comments. BMW shares were down 0.85%, shares in Daimler were 1.54% lower and Volkswagen shares were trading 1.07% down in early trading in Frankfurt. The reason for Trump's latest outburst at Germany's car giants is that all three carmakers have invested heavily in factories in Mexico, where production costs are lower than the US, with an eye to exporting smaller vehicles to the American market, a move which Trump vocally disapproves. Meanwhile, a BMW spokeswoman said a BMW Group plant in the central Mexican city of San Luis Potosi would build the BMW 3 Series starting from 2019, with the output intended for the world market. The plant in Mexico would be an addition to existing 3 Series production facilities in Germany and China. * * * Responding to Trump’s comments that Merkel had made an “utterly catastrophic mistake by letting all these illegals into the country”, Gabriel said the increase in the number of people fleeing the Middle East to seek asylum in Europe had partially been a result of US-led wars destabilising the region. Slamming US foreign policy - and thus the Obama regime, not to mention Angela Merkel's close friend Hillary Clinton - as a culprit for the European refugee crisis, Gabriel said that “there is a link between America’s flawed interventionist policy, especially the Iraq war, and the refugee crisis, that’s why my advice would be that we shouldn’t tell each other what we have done right or wrong, but that we look into establishing peace in that region and do everything to make sure people can find a home there again,” Gabriel said. “In that area Germany and Europe are already making enormous achievements – and that’s why I also thought it wasn’t right to talk about defence spending, where Mr Trump says we are spending too little to finance Nato. We are making gigantic financial contributions to refugee shelters in the region, and these are also the results of US interventionist policy.” Gabriel, who will likely run as the centre-left candidate against Merkel in Germany’s federal elections in September, said Trump’s election should encourage Europeans to stand up for themselves. “On the one hand, Trump is an elected president. When he is in office, we will have to work with him and his government – respect for a democratic election alone demands that,” Gabriel said. “On the other hand, you need to have enough self-confidence. This isn’t about making ourselves submissive. What he says about trade issues, how he might treat German carmakers, the question about Nato, his view on the European Union – all these require a self-confident position, not just on behalf of us Germans but all Europeans. We are not inferior to him, we have something to bring to the table too. “Especially in this phase in which Europe is rather weak, we will have to pull ourselves together and act with self-confidence and stand up for our own interests.” While Merkel has yet to provide a direct response to Trump's statements and refused to comment on the interview during a news conference with New Zealand Prime Minister Bill English, saying she would wait until after Trump's inauguration and then planned to work with him at all levels of government, her spokesman, Steffen Seibert, said the chancellor had read the Trump interview “with interest”, but declined to comment in more detail until the president-elect had been sworn in. “We are now waiting for President Trump to start his term and will then work closely with the new government,” he said, adding that "It’s a clear statement of the positions of the new American president, but the positions of the chancellor on many of these issues are equally clear." Martin Schäfer, a spokesman for the German foreign ministry, rejected Trump’s labelling of the EU as a “vehicle for Germany”. He said: “For the German government, Europe has never been a means to an end, but a community of fate which, in times of collapsing old orders, is more important than ever.” The foreign ministry also rejected Trump’s criticism that creating “security zones” in Syria would have been considerably cheaper than accepting refugees fleeing the war-torn country. “What exactly such a security zone is meant to be is beyond my comprehension and would have to be explained,” said Schäfer, adding that there had not been enough willingness among the international community to lend military support to create a no-fly zone in Syria. * * * Germany was not the only nation unhappy with Trump's statement: Pierre Moscovici, European economic affairs commissioner, also found fault with Trump’s assertion that other European countries would follow in Britain’s footsteps and leave the EU. “I’m not worried, I think this idea that Brexit is going to be contagious is a fantasy, a bad fantasy,” Moscovici told reporters in Paris. “Brexit is not a great thing,” he said, warning Trump that comments advocating a break-up of the EU would not get the trans-Atlantic relationship off to the best start. * * * Yet while Germany and Brussels were unhappy with Trump's criticism, Moscow was delighted, and sure enough Trump’s remarks on Nato were met more favourably in Moscow, where Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, agreed with the US president-elect that the alliance was “obsolete”. “Since Nato is tailored toward confrontation, all its structures are dedicated to the ideals of confrontation, you can’t really call it a modern organisation meeting the ideas of stability, steady growth and security,” he said. But Trump’s suggestion that the US could lift its sanctions on Russia in exchange for an agreement to reduce the countries’ nuclear arsenals elicited a cooler response. Peskov said Russia had not been conducting talks with the US about nuclear arsenal reduction and said cancelling sanctions was not a political goal in Russia. "Russia wasn’t the initiator in introducing these restrictions, and Russia, as the president of Russia has underlined, doesn’t intend to raise the issue of these sanctions in its foreign contacts,” he said. Last month, echoing similar comments by Trump, Putin said Russia needed to strengthen its strategic nuclear forces. Leonid Slutsky, a Russian MP, said he “wouldn’t connect these two issues and make the cancellation of sanctions a negotiating point in such a delicate area as nuclear security”. Konstantin Kosachyov, head of the foreign affairs committee in the Russian senate, said the cancellation of sanctions was “definitely not an end in and of itself for Russia”. “It’s not even a strategic goal for which something needs to be sacrificed, especially in the security sphere,” he told state news agency RIA Novosti. “We think [sanctions] are a bad legacy of the departing White House team that need to be sent after it into history.” * * * And yet, perhaps Trump's bluster was merely the latest ruse to get everyone on the negotiating table. It may be working already: as Reuters reports, Chancellor Merkel is working to set a date this spring for a meeting with Donald Trump, who will be sworn in as U.S. president on Friday, German government sources said on Monday. Merkel had offered to meet Trump in the United States in her capacity as chairman of the Group of 20 leading economies, the sources said. The chancellor has spoken with Trump only once, shortly after his election to succeed U.S. President Barack Obama. Following Trump's latest "stunning" public statements, she now appears to be in a hurry to not only speak with him again, but also meet face to face.

16 января, 16:43

Key Events In The Coming Week: Trump Inauguration, Davos, Theresa May, ECB, China GDP

The week ahead promises to be a full one, with a plethora of events coming up. The Word Economic Forum in Davos could generate some headlines, with particular focus on Chinese President Xi Jinping, who will be the first Chinese president to attend. Tuesday brings Theresa May's long-awaited Brexit speech, while of course Friday marks the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th US president. We will also be keeping a weather eye out for the Supreme Court ruling on Article 50, although there is no set date for its announcement. Central Banks: ECB and BOC No policy change is expected from either the ECB or the BoC, but both press conferences will draw attention, particularly that of President Draghi. The market is convinced that Draghi will do his best to be boring. China Economic Update There is a barrage of Chinese data out on Friday, where the most closely followed number will be China's Real GDP for 4Q will be released in China, as well as IP, retail sales, FAI and December property prices. On Monday, Xi Jinping said China's 2016 GDP is expected to be 6.7%. US: CPI, Industrial Production, Housing, Trump Inauguration There is a busy US calendar ahead, with CPI, Empire Manufacturing, industrial production, housing data and Philly Fed reports. There are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week, including two by Chair Yellen on Wednesday and Thursday. The Beige Book for the January FOMC period will be released on Wednesday. The week culminates in the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th US president. Cabinet confirmation hearings will also be continuing during the week. Eurozone and UK In the Eurozone, the ECB will be the main event, with the German ZEW and final inflation prints the only data releases of note. In the UK, there is an important week ahead with Theresa May’s speech on Brexit the main focus, but also releases of inflation data, retail sales and the labor market report. Keep an eye out out for the UK Supreme Court ruling on Article 50, although there is no set date for the release. Others In Japan, we get machine orders, PPI, tertiary industry index, the final print of November IP and a speech from the BoJ’s Nakaso. In Australia, labor force data is the key release in the week ahead, while housing finance approvals and consumer confidence in both Australia and New Zealand will also be of interest. In Canada, focus will be on the BoC monetary policy meeting, but we also get CPI and retail sales data. It  should be a very quiet week ahead in Switzerland and the Scandies, although we do hear from Norges Bank Governor Olsen, and of course Switzerland hosts the WEF in Davos. There will be monetary policy meetings in Chile, Malaysia and Indonesia. Earnings Earnings will also be in the spotlight with Morgan Stanley tomorrow, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Netflix on Wednesday, IBM on Thursday and Schlumberger and General Electric on Friday due. Davos And Trump Away from that world leaders will also congregate in Davos this week for the World Economic Forum while UK PM Theresa May is due to outline Brexit plans on Tuesday. Clearly the other big focus this week is the inauguration of Donald Trump as US President on Friday. * * * A look at key events by day courtesy of DB: With markets closed in the US today for Martin Luther King Day it’s an unsurprisingly quiet start to the week with just the Euro area trade balance reading in November due. Tuesday kicks off in Japan where industrial production data is due. In Europe there will be plenty of focus on the ECB’s bank lending survey due early on, while the December inflation report in the UK will also be under the spotlight. The January ZEW survey for Germany is also due out. Over in the US tomorrow the only data due out is the January Empire manufacturing print. Turning to Wednesday, Germany and the Euro area will release the final revisions  to December CPI reports while the UK will release the latest labour market data. Over in the US inflation data will also be the focus with the December report due out. Industrial and manufacturing production, as well as the NAHB housing market index will also be due. With little else of note on Thursday morning the main focus will be on the ECB policy meeting. In the US we’ll get housing starts and building permits data as well initial jobless claims and the Philly Fed business outlook print. It’s a blockbuster end to the week in China on Friday with the Q4 GDP print due along with December activity indicators including industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment. During the European session we’ll get PPI in Germany and retail sales in the UK. There’s nothing of note in the US on Friday except for Trump's inauguration of course. There’s also plenty of Fedspeak this week. Both Dudley and Williams are scheduled to speak tomorrow, before Kashkari and Yellen speak on Wednesday. The latter is taking part in a discussion at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco however is also expected to give an economic assessment. The Fed Chair then speaks again on Friday, along with Harker and Williams. The ECB’s Villeroy and Praet also speak today along with the BoE’s Carney while we’ll also get the usual ECB press conference on Thursday. * * * Finally, here is a full breakdown of just US events, together with consensus estimates, courtesy of Goldman Sachs The key economic release this week is CPI on Wednesday. There are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week, including two by Chair Yellen on Wednesday and Thursday. The Beige Book for the January FOMC period will be released on Wednesday. Monday, January 16 US markets are closed in observance of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. There will be no economic data releases. Tuesday, January 17 08:45 AM New York Fed President Dudley (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley will give a speech on “Evolving Consumer Behavior: A View from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York” at an event sponsored by the National Retail Federation. 08:30 AM Empire manufacturing survey, January (consensus +8.5, last +9.0) 10:00 AM Fed Governor Brainard (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard will give a speech on “The Impact of Fiscal Policy on Monetary Policy” at the Brookings Institution in Washington D.C. Audience Q&A is expected. 06:00 PM San Francisco Fed President Williams (FOMC non-voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams will give the keynote speech at the Sacramento Business Review Economic Forecast at Sacramento State University in California. Audience and media Q&A is expected. Wednesday, January 18 08:30 AM CPI (mom), December (GS +0.29%, consensus +0.30%, last +0.20%); Core CPI (mom), December (GS +0.20%, consensus +0.20%, last +0.15%); CPI (yoy), December (GS +2.1%, consensus +2.1%, last +1.7%); Core CPI (yoy), December (GS +2.2%, consensus +2.2%, last +2.1%): We expect that core CPI rose by 0.20% in December or 2.2% on a year-over-year basis. In the November report, core inflation was softer than expected, mainly due to lower inflation in the categories of apparel, medical care, airfares, and lodging away from home. We expect some payback in the apparel category, in part related to colder-than-average December temperatures. Headline consumer prices likely increased by 0.29% in December. On a year-over-year basis, the headline index likely increased by 2.1%. 09:00 AM Dallas Fed President Kaplan (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan will participate in a panel discussion on “Confidence in Uncertain Times”. Media and audience Q&A is expected. President Kaplan is a voting member of the FOMC this year. 09:15 AM Industrial production, December (GS +1.1%, consensus +0.6%, last -0.4%): Manufacturing production, December (GS +0.4%, consensus +0.5%, last -0.1%); Capacity utilization, December (GS 75.8%, consensus 75.4%, last 75.0%): We expect industrial production to rebound by 1.1% in the December report following two months of weakness, based on our expectation of a rebound in the weather-sensitive utilities category. 10:00 AM NAHB housing market index, January (consensus 69, last 70): Consensus expects the NAHB homebuilders’ index—which we have found to be a decent leading indicator of housing starts—to tick down to 69, though still near post-crisis highs. 11:00 AM Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari will give a speech on economic opportunity and inclusive growth at an event hosted by the Minneapolis Urban League. Audience and media Q&A is expected. President Kashkari will be a voting member on the FOMC this year. 02:00 PM Beige Book, January-February FOMC meeting period: The Fed’s Beige Book is a summary of regional economic anecdotes from the 12 Federal Reserve districts. The December Beige Book reported modestly slower activity in a few districts, stronger consumer spending and residential investment, and mixed manufacturing activity. In the January-February Beige Book, we will look for additional anecdotes related to the state of manufacturing activity, price inflation, and wage growth. 03:00 PM Fed Chair Yellen (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will give a speech on “The Goals of Monetary Policy and How We Pursue Them” in front of the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco. Audience Q&A is expected. 04:00 PM Total Net TIC Flows (last +$18.8bn) Thursday, January 19 08:30 AM Housing starts, December (GS +12.0%, consensus +8.6%, last -18.7%); Building permits, December (consensus +1.1%, last -3.8%): We expect housing starts to rebound 12% in December, following a 19% drop in November led by the volatile multifamily category. Despite colder-than-usual December temperatures, favorable single-family fundamentals and a rising backlog of approved permits suggest scope for a meaningful rebound. Consensus expects a more modest rise of 8.6% for housing starts and looks for a 1.1% increase in building permits. 08:30 AM Initial jobless claims, week ended January 14 (GS 265k, consensus 251k, last 247k); Continuing jobless claims, week ended January 7 (last 2,087k): We expect initial jobless claims to rebound 18k to 265k, following two consecutive readings not far from the cycle low. We remain in a period where seasonal adjustment is difficult, and we are hesitant to infer a drop in the trend pace of layoffs based on the most recent two reports. Seasonality-related uncertainty will affect the data for at least two more weeks, and accordingly, confidence around our 265k forecast is low. The drop in initial claims has not yet been mirrored in continuing claims, which have actually risen relative to the levels in early December (as of the week ending December 31). 08:30 AM Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, January (GS +16.0, consensus +16.0, last +19.7): We expect the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey to pull back to +16.0 following last month’s increase to +19.7, remaining at levels signaling expansion in manufacturing activity. Last week, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia conducted its annual historical revision and calculation of new seasonal adjustment factors. For December, the index was revised down modestly to +19.7 from +21.5. 10:00 AM San Francisco Fed President Williams (FOMC non-voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams will give the keynote address at the Solano Economic Development Corporation’s Annual Luncheon Meeting in Fairfield, California. Audience Q&A is expected. 08:00 PM Fed Chair Yellen (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen will give a speech on the economic outlook and US monetary policy at an event hosted by the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. Audience Q&A is expected. Friday, January 20 09:00 AM Philadelphia Fed President Harker (FOMC voter) speaks: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker will participate in a discussion on the economic outlook at the New Jersey Bankers Association’s 6th Annual NJ Economic Leadership Forum. Media Q&A is expected. Last week, President Harker reiterated his support for three rate hikes this year. 01:00 PM San Francisco Fed President Williams (FOMC non-voter) speaks: San Francisco Fed President John Williams will give closing remarks at the Bay Area Council Economic Institute’s 10th Annual Economic Forecast event in San Francisco. Audience Q&A is expected. Remarks will likely be similar to those from his speaking engagement on Tuesday. Source: BofA, DB, Goldman

16 января, 16:16

People: RBNZ appoints new CIO; former BoE deputy to chair BBC

Central Banking Reserve Bank of New Zealand appoints new CIO and head of risk assessment; David Clementi, former Bank of England deputy for financial stability, to head new BBC board; and more

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15 января, 22:32

Man who sailed with daughter from New Zealand to Australia charged

Alan Langdon has been charged with taking his six-year-old daughter Que illegally from New Zealand, as she is reunited with her mother in Australia A man who sailed to Australia with his six-year-old daughter on a 6.4-metre catamaran has been charged by New Zealand police.Alan Langdon, 46, and his daughter, Que, sailed into Ulladulla on the New South Wales south coast last week, almost a month after they were seen leaving Kawhia Harbour in New Zealand’s North Island. Continue reading...

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15 января, 21:17

Cable Plunges To Flash-Crash Lows On May's "Hard Brexit" Speech; DB Eyes GBPUSD 1.06; Euro Parity

As cautioned earlier, following headlines about potential comments from UK PM Theresa May calling for a "clean and hard" Brexit in her Tuesday speech, cable has plunged to a 1.19 handle in very early (and illiquid) AsiaPac trading. This is the lowest level for sterling relative to the dollar since the October flash-crash. It appears the New Zealand FX traders are active early, having pushed the pound as much as 1.6% to $1.1986 in Auckland on Monday, the lowest level since Oct. 7. “The prospect of another speech from PM May is likely to see sterling yet again on a something of a roller-coaster,” Jeremy Stretch, head of Group-of-10 foreign-exchange strategy at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, wrote in an e-mailed note before markets opened. “Fresh sterling lows versus the dollar seem almost inevitable.” Meanwhile, in an ad hoc note from the DB FX team, the German banks sees much more downside: "in terms of market implications we see today's press reports as a material negative should they prove accurate and a catalyst for the rmarket beginning to price hard Brexit. As per our recent FX Blueprint publications, we see a deterioration in political rhetoric around Brexit as a key catalyst for further sterling weakness and see the large terms of trade shock from full exit from the Single Market consistent with GBP/USD at 1.06 or EUR/GBP close to parity respectively." Incidentally, should cable tumble to a full "hard Brexit" level of Euro parity, we full anticipate that the FTSE100 will rise above 8,000 in no time.

15 января, 10:29

Фуфлономика_в двух коротких частях

Р.Смирнов снова сетует на экономические диспрропорции нашего безумного мира:"Текущая монетарная система не соответствует реальным экономическим процессам, способствует дальнейшей виртуализации финансовой системы, снятию сливок с мировых цепочек добавленной стоимости за счет владения станком...Ну и конечно наделению некоторых асоциальных дегенеративных элементов неоправданными преимуществами в естественном отборе, впрочем это отдельная тема ).Один из самых ярких примеров с текущей моделью "денег", натяжения совы на глобус это конечно механизм присвоения так называемой кадастровой стоимости, не говоря уж о "рыночной" - особенно актуально в контексте _возможного_ принятия закона - первого шага к лишению права на жилье, приравнивающего Россию к остальному несчастному миру....(уверен, что не примут).Так вот по поводу кадастровой стоимости, когда интересовался Дальним Востоком - выгрузил весь кадастр по Сахалину.150 тысяч участков.Приведу часть таблички (отсортировано по цене):Если сложить их кадастровую стоимость.Как думаете что получится -- 350 миллиардов рублей это только земля.Сахалинский округ не такой уж большой и освоенный, при том, что у нас в стране всего сейчас 36,5 триллионов ( http://www.cbr.ru/statistics/?PrtId=ms ) денег, то уверен что сумма "ценностей" по кадастру в десятки раз больше (база большая еще грузится).Но уже понятно Москва или Питер, даже только земля, без висящих в воздухе нескольких кубометров пустоты между бетонных стенок, "стоимостью" эквивалентной оплате труда нескольких поколений обычных людей, это десятки триллионов.Т.е. это такой конкретный дериватив или растянутый во времени кидок.По идее в идеальном мире сумма всех бабок независимого государства должна быть равна приведенной сумме всех его ресурсов + немного на операционные расчеты между населением и если это не так, то любой перекос в доллароцентричной мировой экономике рано или поздно может привести ее к "венесуэле", не смотря на все ресурсы оной.Кстати никто не задумывался о том, чтобы перевести по текущим курсам денежные агрегаты всех стран к одному знаменателю, то что получится?Ведь границы стираются прямо на глазах - даже Белорусь уже включила "безвиз", шенген, америкосовские зоны...И рост населения беспокоит наших "партнеров" еще и потому, что эти триллиарды "потребителей" в африке с азией и арабском мире, даже имея по 10 баксов в кармане, даже с учетом того, что они резанные, при относительной политической стабильности, мгновенно приводят к нулю базу первого мира, при открытых границах, а они уже по большому счету открыты.10 миллионов обеспеченных немцев со средним миллионом тугриков на депозите, менее интересны транснацикам 1 миллиард китайцев с 10 тысячами у каждого.Тем более что скорость оборота у 10 тысяч гораздо выше чем у 1 миллиона.Задумайтесь на досуге.У западоидов уже поджилки трясутся от перспектив.Без военной машины подавления будет очень тяжело.Последние 20 лет еще как то держали с помощью изобретенного ЦРУ интернета с его гуглами и фейсбуками, вацапами ..., до этого за счет скупки мозгов экспердов или марионеточных правительств по всему миру, но... просто перестает работать. Отсюда и убийства от Милошевича с Хусейном, до Ассада с Кадафи.Еще на эту тему.Один сербский программист, работавший в гугле, уволившись запустил в 2009 простенький, но достаточно интересный сайт - numbeo, где САМИ пользователи могут сообщить текущие цены на жилье, еду и прочее, типа сколько что стоит в его местности.Основные индексы - цена за квадрат, средняя зарплата по отраслям, уровень преступности, загрязнения, цена на такси, на бензин, сколько стоит машина и все остальное, вплоть до индекса макдака, вобщем чел реально заморочился и сделал относительно адекватное описание реальной экономической реальности.База данных достаточно точная, ибо независимая - алгоритмы отсева инфомусора в отличии от статистики еврокомиссии или мирового банка хорошо описаны и вроде адекватны ( https://www.numbeo.com/common/motivation_and_methodology.jsp )Например цены на макдаки:Currency:Search:RankCountryMcMeal at McDonalds(or Equivalent Combo Meal)1 Switzerland 13.882 Iceland 13.823 Bermuda 12.004 Israel 11.785 Norway 11.776 Denmark 10.027 Luxembourg 9.058 Uruguay 8.929 Belgium 8.5110 France 8.5111 Malta 8.0112 Iraq 8.0013 Tanzania 8.0014 Lebanon 8.0015 Italy 7.9816 Ireland 7.9817 Sweden 7.8618 Brazil 7.7619 Argentina 7.5720 Dominican Republic 7.5221 Australia 7.5022 Finland 7.4523 Germany 7.4524 Spain 7.4525 Austria 7.4526 Netherlands 7.4527 New Zealand 7.1328 Jordan 7.0629 Ghana 7.0030 Fiji 7.0031 United States 7.0032 Costa Rica 7.0033 Bahamas 6.9934 Libya 6.9835 Canada 6.8636 Puerto Rico 6.8637 United Arab Emirates 6.8138 Palestinian Territory 6.5439 Oman 6.5040 Greece 6.3941 Cyprus 6.3942 Kuwait 6.3843 United Kingdom 6.0944 Uganda 6.0945 Qatar 6.0446 Mongolia 6.0047 Panama 6.0048 El Salvador 6.0049 Ecuador 6.0050 Honduras 6.0051 Guatemala 5.9752 Trinidad And Tobago 5.9553 Portugal 5.8554 Japan 5.8555 Bolivia 5.7956 Bangladesh 5.6757 Chile 5.5758 Bahrain 5.5759 Singapore 5.5760 Mauritius 5.5661 Saudi Arabia 5.3362 Latvia 5.3263 Estonia 5.3264 Slovenia 5.3265 Slovakia 5.3266 Lithuania 5.3267 Pakistan 5.2568 Hungary 5.2069 Colombia 5.1370 South Korea 5.1171 Russia 5.0372 Iran 5.0073 Venezuela 5.0074 Belarus 5.0075 Zimbabwe 5.0076 Morocco 4.9977 Croatia 4.9478 Ethiopia 4.9379 Kenya 4.8180 Jamaica 4.7781 Nigeria 4.7782 Czech Republic 4.7383 Sri Lanka 4.6784 Namibia 4.6385 Nepal 4.5886 Thailand 4.5287 Kazakhstan 4.5188 Hong Kong 4.5189 Peru 4.4690 Macao 4.4491 Vietnam 4.4392 Georgia 4.4293 Bulgaria 4.3594 China 4.3595 Bosnia And Herzegovina 4.3096 Romania 4.2697 Poland 4.1398 Armenia 4.1299 Serbia 4.04100 Turkey 4.03101 Zambia 4.02102 Cambodia 4.00103 Moldova 3.97104 Taiwan 3.80105 Mexico 3.72106 South Africa 3.70107 Algeria 3.63108 Tunisia 3.44109 Syria 3.40110 Indonesia 3.38111 Azerbaijan 3.32112 Montenegro 3.19113 Albania 3.11114 India 2.93115 Malaysia 2.69116 Egypt 2.64117 Macedonia 2.59118 Ukraine 2.43119 Philippines 2.41Если отбросить некоторые экстремумы обусловленные национальной культурой видно, кто и где.Тоже самое с недвигой и зарплатами - причем картинка с каждым годом меняется не в пользу "первого" мира.Страны, точнее мега города постепенно выравниваются - ранжируются, провинция, что в Уругвае, что в Польше остается примерно одинаковая, также следующий этап секционирование городов с гетто.Кстати сейчас монетаристы пытаются сохранить позиции путем внедрением "лохчейна" - не даром его вслед за нарко и работорговцами из албании, поторопилась запустить для сервисов, используемых сотрудниками, гвардейская пехота транснацистов - большая четверка (Пивиси, маккинзи, делойт энд туш, кепеэмжо).Эти уродцы прекрасно понимают, что реальное решение проблемы давления растущих рынков это двухконтурная система денежных потоков с фильтром между ними - ибо роскошь безумия сранивать цены на землю для добычи ресурсов и цены на макдаки в постинформационном мире могут позволить себе уже далеко не все экономики.Поэтому "биткоинами" никогда не будут рассчитываться транснациональные корпорации между собой. А вот за макдаки... почему бы и нет. Жрите, не обляпайтесь.Второй вариант это конечно война всех со всеми и окукливание людских масс внутри своих контуров, ну тогда советую читателям поторопиться поездить по миру, пока еще можно.В России при любых раскладах на мировом фоне будет ок.Хотя с учетом малочисленности населения и огромных запасов ресурсов, уже построенной дешевой и качественной инфраструктуры, можно сделать так, чтобы было супер ок, даже с учетом климата.Правда только не с морально и техническими устаревшими экономиздами вроде тех, что на днях трындели на гайдаровском форуме.=============Японцы собираются сделать IPO своего мессенджера Line, фишка которого в обмене "стикерами" (причем платными), а не словами.Цена компании составит порядка 7 миллиардов баксов, это 500 миллиардов рублей.Для понимания Норникель со всеми потрошками оценивается спекулями примерно в 1,5 триллиона. Совсем сдурели.Несколько средненьких датацентров, далеко не самое сложное ПО и не такой уж долговременный "мем" в головах нескольких сот миллионов потенциальных камикадзе...Пожалуй скоро даже до самых упоротых хипстеров дойдет бредовость текущей ситуации и массовое бегство обратно в коммодитис не за горами.Ссылка на новость - http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-07-14/line-an-ipo-worth-its-8-6-billionПри этом вот щелкнул бегущую строку того же блумберга: падение - золото, серебро, платина, палладий, каучук, кофе ...Коммуникации становятся все проще и проще, при этом информационный поток нарастает, а его плотность падает, что ведет к дальнейшей деградации человечества.Для "высокоскоростного" конструктивного обмена знаниями необходимо, чтобы у всех сторон был одинаковый и самое главное объемный "багаж" этих самых общих знаний, это позволит сократить размер и сложность "вводных", сэкономить время и сосредоточиться на сути.Когда же с утра до вечера в уши массам льется примитивная, повторяющаяся, мгновенно устаревающая жвачка "новостей", ни о каком накоплении багажа и тем более конструктивном "обмене" и речи быть не может.Обмен же "стикерами" тем более платными это просто дно.Попробуйте ими с нуля объяснить, что такое например агрегат М2 или откуда "бабки" у ФРС )).Падение качества информ обмена ведет и к тому, что те, кто тупо пытается повторить механизмы используемые западоидами для так называемых "инноваций", попадают в ловушку разницы менталитета и мотивационных моделей.Попытки воссоздать среду, сформировавшуюся вокруг того же МИТа с крупными транснациональными корпорациями ради всего лишь "общего глобального языка", как мы видим по отчетности роснано, ни к чему хорошем не привели.Результат обезъяничания с созданием "общего языка" практиками "корпоративного управления" тоже вызывает только усмешку.Ни один совет директоров в России не спас акционеров от вывода дивидендов, не говоря уж о вакханалиях в некоторых "гос компаниях".Способы оценки "активов", как видим из бредовости стоимости уберов с фейсбуками или этими торгующими смайликами "лайнами" тоже вызывают конкретные такие вопросы.Так может стоит задуматься о каких то своих экономических и управленческих подходах?тыц

13 января, 21:55

The 7 Biggest Challenges of Starting a Consulting Business

For experienced professionals looking to break out of the traditional game, consulting has a lot of appeal; you can set your own hours, share your expertise with others, and quite possibly, make a lot of money. In fact, there are over 600,000 consultants in the United States making an average of close to six figures. Unfortunately, the reality of consulting is less glamorous than it appears on the surface. It’s not an easy path to take, and if you want to be successful, you’ll need to be aware of the unique challenges associated with starting a consulting business. Major Challenges to Overcome Regardless of whether you’re consulting individually or as the head of a consulting firm, you need to be aware of these challenges: Finding the right target audience. First, you need to have a niche target audience that can afford to pay your rates, needs your services, and isn’t already being served. It’s hard to find an audience with this combination of qualities, so you may need to expand your search beyond your usual realms. For example, New Zealand native Sam Ovens ended up moving his consulting business to the United States because the audience potential was far more lucrative. Study your key demographics closely, and be willing to adjust your approach accordingly. Building credibility. Vault.com annually ranks some of the best consulting firms in the world. These prestigious firms don’t have any trouble attracting clientele due to their existing reputation—and even have to turn clients down. Reputation is your greatest asset as a consultant, but when you first get started, you won’t have anything to work with. You’ll have to rely on your experience in your past profession, along with any portfolio pieces you might have. It’s a long road to build a reputation for yourself, and you need to be prepared for a steep curve. Finding your first client. In the same vein, your first client won’t come easily. You won’t have any reviews or testimonials—other than some words of recommendation from your past professional relationships. Chances are, you’ll find your first client through word-of-mouth or circumstantial meetings, so turn to networking to start building your business’s momentum. Even with a large network, you may find your first client to be a strenuous obstacle to overcome. Establishing consistent revenue. Your early days as a consultant will see clients coming and going. You may engage with your clients in limited relationships, or you may see high turnover. Either way, your revenue stream will start out inconsistent and borderline unpredictable. Crafting that into something predictable and reliable will present a major challenge, but you’ll need to do it if you want to keep your cash flow positive and make accurate projections about your business’s growth. Differentiating yourself from the competition. There are a ton of consultants out there, both within and outside your niche. If you want a chance at winning the attention of potential clients, you need to differentiate yourself from that competition. The best way to do that is through your branding and approach—research the competition, and find a unique angle that you can take. How are you different? What’s your unique value proposition? If you want some inspiration, Hubspot has a great article filled with examples of brand differentiators. Setting the right price. As Eileen Figure Sandlin and Entrepreneur Press write, you’ll need to find a fee structure that pays what you’re worth but also doesn’t dramatically exceed your average client’s budget. This is notoriously difficult, especially when deciding between hourly, project-based, or retainer-based rates. Do some research on consultants in your area and set your prices accordingly, keeping your level of experience and reputation in mind. You can always make adjustments later. Scaling. Finally, consider how you might scale your operation over time. You may start out as a solo consultant, but would you be willing to grow into a larger firm, with other individual consultants and a wider client base? How can you keep your customers around for the long term? How will you invest in more resources for your business? Unless your goal is to merely stay afloat, scaling your firm will be a major challenge. Why Consulting Isn’t For Everyone Yes, consulting is appealing on the surface, but it isn’t the right career move for everyone. It’s definitely possible to be successful—even lucratively so—but only if you’re willing to invest the time and energy necessary to overcome these key obstacles. Before quitting your job or investing your capital in a consulting business, make sure you understand the stakes and are committed to making this dream a reality. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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13 января, 20:25

Oil production restarts from Maari field offshore New Zealand

OMV Group’s Maari oil field in the Taranaki basin offshore New Zealand’s north island is being progressively brought back on stream this week.

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13 января, 19:36

UK to begin talks with New Zealand on post-Brexit trade deal

After meeting New Zealand PM at Downing Street, Theresa May says she hopes deal can be reached in ‘reasonable space of time’The international trade secretary, Liam Fox, is to be dispatched to New Zealand to begin talks on a post-Brexit deal, Theresa May has announced after talks with the country’s prime minister.Speaking alongside Bill English at Downing Street, May said New Zealand was a perfect example of the sort of country with which the UK could tie down a trade deal relatively rapidly. Continue reading...

13 января, 19:05

Trade outlook to remain challenging

CHINA’S foreign trade slowed in December, renewing worries over external and domestic demand under the prospect of a trade war. Yuan-denominated exports edged up 0.6 percent year on year in December,

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13 января, 18:24

UK and New Zealand plan free trade deal after Brexit

New Zealand's PM says he wants a "high quality" free trade agreement with the UK after Brexit.

13 января, 13:24

Фондовые индексы АТР слабо снизились в пятницу, завершили неделю в плюсе

Фондовые индексы Азиатско-Тихоокеанского региона (АТР) незначительно опустились в пятницу, однако выросли по итогам недели.

13 января, 11:17

Азиатские фондовые индексы снижаются в пятницу, дешевеют акции Samsung

Фондовые индексы Азиатско-Тихоокеанского региона (АТР) опускаются в пятницу, инвесторы реагируют на статданные из Китая.

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13 января, 04:47

After 26 Days at Sea, Missing Father and Daughter Arrive in Australia

New Zealand had been searching for the 6-year-old girl and her father since Dec. 26 following their disappearance after departing from a harbor there.

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13 января, 02:40

Bruce Springsteen: ‘This is the only thing I’m qualified to do. It matters how I do it’

Ahead of his shows in Australia, the Boss explains the art of performance and never taking an audience for grantedYou must feel an incredible sense of power, standing in front of 80,000 people. And with great power comes great responsibility, as Spider-Man put it. Do you feel that responsibility, too?Well, you’ve got to look at it … you go out on stage each night as if, one, it’s the most important thing in your life you can do, two, it’s only rock’n’roll. You’ve got to be able to keep those conflicting points of view in your mind at the same time without letting either of them drive you crazy, or taking either of them at 100% face value. That’s sort of how you live with it. But it is something you asked for. You can’t get around that part of it. You just do your best with it. Continue reading...

12 января, 19:01

Firms fuel rise in new yuan loans

BANKS in China lent more than expected in December, with analysts saying that this signaled a recovery in corporate demand. New yuan loans stood at 1.04 trillion yuan (US$151 billion) in December, 446.6

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12 января, 16:26

Lost British birdsong discovered in New Zealand birds

Recordings of New Zealand yellowhammer accents enable scientists to hear how their British relatives might have sounded 150 years agoA new study reveals that a type of native birdsong, now lost in Britain, can still be heard in New Zealand where the birds were introduced in the 19th century.By comparing recordings of yellowhammer accents in both countries scientists were able to hear how the birds’ song might have sounded in the UK 150 years ago. Continue reading...

12 января, 16:22

Mylan/Biocon's Herceptin Biosimilar under Review in the U.S.

Mylan (MYL) and Biocon Ltd. announced that the FDA had accepted the BLA for their biosimilar version of Herceptin (trastuzumab), MYL-1401O.

12 января, 15:54

Доллар США в четверг дешевеет к основным мировым валютам

Курс американского доллара в четверг снижается относительно основных мировых валют на итогах выступления избранного президента США Дональда Трампа.

12 января, 11:00

The Cost Of Being An American Tourist

Good news for globe-trotting Americans: most countries around the world are free or very cheap to get in to. But, as this map from HowMuch.net shows, some countries do charge through the nose for a visa. And it's not the ones you would expect. Source: HowMuch.net First, let's get a persistent myth out of the way, the one that says Americans don't travel overseas. That so-called fact is proven by an oft-cited statistic: only 10% of U.S. citizens – or thereabouts – have passports. Wrong! According to the State Department, the actual figure is closer to 46%. And that corresponds to more than 131 million American passport holders. And that passport is all you need to gain entry in most countries. The official at the border will stamp one of the pages at the back of your booklet and off you go, to explore other climes and cultures. But quite a few nations are not satisfied with passports alone. They require a visa – and to obtain that visa, you must pay. Sometimes you can purchase it on arrival, often you must get it at the embassy or consulate of your destination country. So, who wants how much? Entry into Europe is completely free for U.S. citizens, from Monaco to Moldova, from Liechtenstein to Lithuania, from the UK to Ukraine. And just about anywhere nearby or in between. With a few exceptions. A visa for Belarus costs $65. For that price, you get to visit the landlocked Russian satellite state often branded “the last dictatorship in Europe”. It is highly advised to say only nice things about its president Alexander Lukashenko, in power since 1994. Talking about countries with long-lasting leaders, the Russia of Putin (in power since 2000, alternately as president and prime minister) currently charges an entry fee of $160. That sounds like a lot, but Russia is the biggest country in the world. Azerbaijan, that Maine-sized ex-Soviet republic on the extreme southeastern edge of Europe, wants exactly as much. In comparison, that seems a bit steep. Lest you think that it's just post-communist near-autocracies that want a visa fee, check out the Czech Republic. Want to see the splendor of Prague? That'll cost ya $98 to get in. Not cheap, but still not as much as a day pass to Walt Disney's Magic Kingdom. And all the Czech castles are real. Plus, this is if you want to stay longer than 90 days. Shorter visits are still free. Eat that, Mickey! Free entry is a lot rarer in Asia, but there is still plenty of choice. Americans can get in for free in Mongolia and Kazakhstan, Japan and South Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. There is also free entry for countries many not even have heard of – so why not go see Brunei or Kyrgyzstan? The diving is supposed to be good in the Maldives. In the Middle East, you don't pay a cent to get into Lebanon, Israel or the United Arab Emirates, where out of the empty sand dunes the global metropolis of Dubai has arisen almost overnight. Get your Israeli stamp on a separate leaf if you plan to visit any other places in the Middle East: they don't take kindly to people who visit a state they see as mercilessly oppressing Palestine. All the other Asian countries require visas. The cheapest ones, color-coded light green, are Nepal and Tajikistan (both $25); Cambodia, Jordan, Pakistan, Qatar, Sri Lanka and Timor-Leste (all $30); and Kuwait and Laos (both $35). In the slightly more expensive yellow bracket, we find Bangladesh, India, Iraq and Oman ($50). Communist North Korea wants 70 of your capitalist dollars, and Bahrain ($77), Uzbekistan ($80) and Vietnam ($85) think you will afford a bit more for the privilege of visiting them. In the orange band, things turn political – or so it would seem. Iran wants $100 before you get a visa. Even more like a shakedown is the $140 you need to get a Chinese single-entry visa... if you're an American. The same type of visa can be had for as little as $30, if you're not an American citizen. The Afghans ($160) want even more, but we doubt if it's that fee which is keeping away all those tourists. Bhutan is a small kingdom jammed between India and China, trying hard to take from the modern world only what it deems culturally appropriate. Perhaps that is why the $200 visa seems a bit dissuasive. Same for the other pink-coded Asian country: Burma, a.k.a. Myanmar, tentatively emerging from decades of isolationist military dictatorship. By all means go see its fly-in-amber culture, but be prepared to fork out $250 for a visa. The most expensive country in the world, visa-wise, charges more than double. For a visa to get into the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, you will have to part with no less than 533 of your hard-earned dollars. Well, at least you won't be spending that amount of money on the Riyadh club and bar scene. Africa is a mixed bag, visa-price-wise. Some of the continent's most fabled and popular holiday destinations can be visited free of charge. Island paradises such as the Seychelles and Mauritius. Fabulous South Africa and its neighbors Lesotho, Swaziland and Namibia. Northern African dream destinations Morocco and Tunisia. Senegal in West Africa. Egypt would like $20 before you get a live look at the pyramids. Togo and Zimbabwe want $30, while the island paradises of the Comoros ($32) and Cabo Verde ($43), also in the green category, are not as free as the others. Many African countries charge an entry fee between $50 and $100, i.e. the yellow band. These include Kenya, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Somalia (it'll be a while before its fee turns into a moneyspinner), Tanzania, Angola, Djibouti, Sao Tome and Principé, Malawi, Benin, Ghana, Mali and Madagascar – to be precise. Yes, buying the movie Madagascar is a lot cheaper, but the island itself is much more awe-inspiring. The most popular color in Africa is orange ($100-$200), with Burundi, Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Niger, Sierra Leone, Sudan and Uganda all charging an entry fee equal to one Ben Franklin. Gabon charges you two Bens, as does the neighboring Republic of the Congo – not to be confused with the Democratic Republic of the Congo, which wants $175 for a visa. Both Congos are the only two countries in the world with their capitals right across from each other. Land in Kinshasa, take off from Brazzaville, and you'll have spent $375 on visa fees alone. That is more than you would spend touching down in Lagos, although Nigeria is the African country with the highest visa fee: $253. So what about Oceania? There is a whole list of island paradises that you can fly to visa-free, from Fiji and Kiribati to Micronesia and Palau; from Samoa to the Solomon Islands, and from the Marshall Islands to Vanuatu; and of course Tonga and Tuvalu. Let's throw in another, slightly larger island paradise for free: New Zealand. But cross the Tasman Sea, and be prepared to fork out $20 to enter Australia. That's half as much as Papua New Guinea wants, and a fifth of Nauru's entry fee. For Americans, it is a bit cheaper to stay closer to home, even if you discount the air fare. You have to travel pretty far on the American continent to find a country that wants money for your visit. It's a pretty short list, even across the entire hemisphere: Suriname, the former Dutch colony marooned on the northern shore of South America, wants $35 for your visit. Paraguay charges at least $100 before you enter the country and its neighbor Brazil takes the cake by taking $160 for your entry visa. Some of the visa fees come across as deliberately dissuasive – Saudi Arabia nor Bhutan seem keen on becoming major tourist destinations. In general, the richer countries are visa-free, while the poorer ones charge higher fees, no doubt not in an attempt to keep out visitors, but to fill the state coffers. That should not keep away the determined visitor: all things considered, none of the fees is prohibitive, especially considering the fact that higher visa fees are likely to be offset by the lower cost of living in most of those destinations.