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04 декабря, 05:46

Две передачи Малкина помогли "Питтсбургу" победить "Детройт" в матче НХЛ

В активе 30-летнего россиянина 25 очков (9+16) по системе "гол+пас" в 25 матчах текущего чемпионата

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03 декабря, 20:18

"Барселона" упустила победу над "Реалом" на 90-й минуте

— Стол уже накрыт. Нож, вилка, соусы для мяса и для птицы… — Но, что? Нет бифштекса? — Точно. Этот диалог из культового фильма "Шулера", когда герой Эдварда Нортона просил деньги на игру у своего друга-гения в исполнении Мэтта Дэймона, не раз и не два всплывал в памяти в ходе субботнего "класико". Газетчики подали 232-й раунд противостояния "Барселоны" и "Реала" под острейшим соусом. Особенно в ударе были каталонцы. El Mundo Deportivo вечером перед игрой выдал в эфир бомбу с мошенничеством главной звезды соперника — Криштиану Роналду — на почве налоговых выплат. На астрономические 150 миллионов евро. Sport раскопал историю, как португалец с галактическим блеском за 11 миллионов евро выкупил своего сына у своей подружки "на одну ночь", которая не только забеременела, но и доказала факт его отцовства. Обсуждение одной налоговой истории займёт годы. Испанские власти уже инициировали все необходимые проверки. А вот бифштекса так и не дождались. Кроме трогательного момента с совместным предыгровым фото в память о разбившейся бразильской команде "Шапекоэнсе", больше в первой половине ничего в душу не запало.   Вот и приходилось многомиллионой интернет-аудитории развлекать себя, кто на что горазд. Сообщество футбольных троллей, например, раскопало момент, когда Жерар Пике и Криштиану одинаковым образом реагируют на спорный момент с попаданием мяча в руку в штрафной… Пади угадай чьей, глядя на фото.   До 53-й минуту форвард хозяев Луис Суарес 17 раз коснулся мяча и нанёс один удар в сторону ворот. После подачи Неймара со штрафного оба показателя выросли на единичку, как и счёт в пользу "Барсы".   Может горячее всё же подоспеет? Не в этот раз. Из эмоциональных берегов игра так и не вышла. На скуку в соцсетях жаловались все: от экспертов, до болельщиков. Хорошо хоть поставку десерта обеспечили мастер паса Андрес Иньеста и "человек-важный-гол-головой-в-концовках-топ-матчей" Серхио Рамос. Если гениальная передача седовласого, но неувядающего хавбека не стала голевой из-за нерасторопности Лионеля Месси, то капитан "Реала" эпизод после навеса со штрафного решил. 91-я победа в "класико" (против 93-х у "бланкос") уплыла из рук каталонцев на последних секундах матча вместе с выбитым с ленточки мячом, как и шанс сократить шестиочковое отставание от мадридцев в турнирной таблице.   Чемпионат Испании. 14-й тур Барселона — Реал — 1:1 (0:0) Голы: Суарес, 53 (1:0). Рамос, 90 (1:1).

03 декабря, 16:45

Tottenham Hotspur v Swansea, FA Cup second round and more – live!

Premier League, FA Cup second round and more: clockwatch latestWest Ham, Arsenal and lessons for football clubs who move groundsAnd feel free to send Lawrence an email or tweet @LawrenceOstlere 5.10pm GMT Crystal Palace 3-0 Southampton – match report: Related: Crystal Palace beat Southampton to ease pressure on manager Alan Pardew 5.09pm GMT So Spurs are back to winning ways in style, Alan Pardew’s losing streak is over, and West Brom are up to sixth – sixth! – in the Premier League table, while National League’s Sutton United have claimed their place in the FA Cup third round. That’s all from me, thanks for reading. Continue reading...

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03 декабря, 15:51

ЦСКА разгромил екатеринбургский «Урал»

В матче 17 тура чемпионата России московский ЦСКА в родных стенах одержал крупную победу над екатеринбургским «Уралом». «Армейцы» отправили в ворота «шмелей» четыре безответных мяча и закрепились на третьем место в турнирной таблице. Счёт в матче подопечные Леонида Слуцкого открыли на 25-й минуте: после эффектного паса пяткой в исполнении Тошича Ласина Траоре переправил мяч в сетку ворот Заболотного. На 35-й минуте ивуарийский форвард оформил дубль и удвоил преимущество своей команды. Всего через три минуты «армейцы» получили право на пробитие пенальти, который уверенно реализовал Бибрас Натхо. А на 40-й минуте молодой форвард Фёдор Челов забил свой первый гол в основном составе ЦСКА, сделав счёт в матче 4:0. Во второй половине встречи команды уже откровенно доигрывали матч и забитыми голами болельщиков не порадовали. В итоге ЦСКА одержал победу со счётом 4:0 и сократил отставание от первого места до пяти очков.

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03 декабря, 15:50

ЦСКА выдал лучший матч сезона перед каникулами в РФПЛ

ЦСКА забил 4 гола впервые с 9 апреля 2016 года. Причём сделал это за 15 минут — такую потрясающую скорострельность показывал только "Локомотив" в прошлом туре в игре против "Томи" (6:1), тогда 4 из 6 мячей были забиты за 11 минут. Голевое молчание прервал и Ласина Траоре, не забивавший в течение 247 минут. Результативный пас пяткой малийцу отдал Зоран Тошич Первый гол после 281 минуты на поле за ЦСКА забил недавний юниор Фёдор Чалов.  Во 2-м тайме на поле вышел Алан Дзагоев, не так давно восстановившийся после травмы и пропустивший матч предыдущего тура с "Оренбургом". Напомним, несколько дней назад в СМИ появилась информация о том, что после матча Лиги чемпионов против "Тоттенхэма" (7 декабря, Лондон) Леонид Слуцкий покинет ЦСКА. В РФПЛ армейцы сохранили третье место, отставая от лидирующего "Спартака" на 5 очков. При этом у красно-белых есть матч в запасе с "Рубином". Следующую игру в российском чемпионате ЦСКА проведёт уже весной. РФПЛ. 17-й тур ЦСКА — Урал — 4:0 (4:0) Голы: Траоре, 25 (1:0). Траоре, 35 (2:0). Натхо, 38 (3:0 — пенальти). Чалов, 40 (4:0). 

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03 декабря, 06:30

Prophecy Update End Time Headlines 12/2/16

A fast-paced highlight and review of the major news stories and headlines that relate to Bible Prophecy and the End Times…All the signs of the last days are converging at the same time. Bible Prophecy is happening right before our eyes and like birth pains, the predicted events are happening... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://FinanceArmageddon.blogspot.com or http://bobchapman.blogspot.com or http://goldbasics.blogspot.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

03 декабря, 02:32

Can Tech Reduce Your Health Care Costs?

With the Affordable Care Act in jeopardy, many Americans are wondering how they are going to pay for health insurance next year. Hardest hit will be people who have ongoing medical expenses, such as patients with diabetes or think of pregnant moms, who have to contend with numerous office visits. Tech can offer a solution. "There's an app for that" has become something of a punchline these days. Everything, it seems, can be done with a smartphone, from shopping for groceries to making your car payments. Health, thus far, has been under-represented in this revolution. Right now all most people do is track their running pace, cycling speed, or the number of stairs they can climb. So much more is possible. As any expecting mom knows, taking proper care of yourself when pregnant can get expensive. OB-GYN practices, too, are looking to manage costs, and they are facing a lot of uncertainty next year. What will their insurance company reimbursements be like? Some forward looking practices are looking to tech to help manage costs and track patients. The Center for Innovation at the Mayo Clinic has been testing a program called OB Nest that intends to give patients "care at a distance" via remote monitoring of vital signs and metrics. A startup out of Washington, DC called Babyscripts is working with health care providers in Washington, Florida, and other states to provide new digital tools for pregnancy. Babyscripts (a client of mine) has what it calls a "Mommy Kit," a WiFi and Bluetooth enabled monitoring package that allows a doctor to check up on a pregnant mom without an office visit. With mobile remote platforms like Babyscripts, maternity care providers and pregnant women meaningfully interact between office visits. Doctors can keep watch over real-time readings from weight scales, blood pressure monitors and glucometers. All the patient needs is a smartphone, and doctors can get a better picture of a patient's health status. Common Sensing is another promising app for remote monitoring. Its founders are bringing a smart cap for insulin pens to market called the Gocap. The Gocap is a tool created with the intent of helping people improve glycemic control. (Glycemic control is a medical term referring to the typical levels of blood sugar [glucose] in a person with diabetes.) The Gocap generates an insulin logbook that can be shared wirelessly with doctors, care providers and family. It syncs data with every dose of insulin. This is important to patients because insulin can be dangerous if misused. In both examples, the difference tech makes can involve serious health issues, and certainly affect a patient's quality of life. Exciting changes are coming as more personalized forms of health care come into focus, a development that medical professionals are calling precision medicine. If vital signs can be remotely monitored, then doctors can have more accurate, up to the minute information about their patients. It's a market and a technology to watch in 2017. But you don't have to wait until next year. In December, Babyscripts is teaming with Florida Hospital's Innovation Lab to create a conference about remote monitoring. At the Future of Obstetrics Summit, leaders in obstetrics, patient care, remote patient monitoring, and data science will explore the challenges medical experts face in providing precision care to pregnant mothers, discuss what providers can do to improve care, and look at the best tech tools to accomplish these important goals. That conference might just be a glimpse of the future, and we can look forward to more as application developers team up with doctors to make better medical care for patients. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

03 декабря, 01:27

7 Quarterbacks Who Undeservedly Make More Money Than Tom Brady

Tom Brady is still the best quarterback in the NFL. Here's a look at seven quarterbacks who undeservedly make more money than the New England Patriots star.

03 декабря, 01:06

No. 852: November Labor Conditions and Money Supply, October Construction Spending

(SGS Subscription required) • November Help-Wanted On-Line Advertising Fell Month-to-Month, and Declined Year-to-Year at a Pace Not Seen Since the Depths of the Economic Collapse into 2009 • Payrolls Rose by 178,000 in November and 142,000 in October, but Full-Time Employment Gained Just 9,000 in November, Having Declined by 103,000 (-103,000) in October • Drop in Headline November Unemployment Rate Was Dominated by the Unemployed Leaving the Labor Force Faster than They Could Gain Jobs • November 2016 Unemployment Rates Moved Lower: U.3 to 4.6% from 4.9%, U.6 to 9.3% from 9.5%, ShadowStats-Alternate Rate to 22.8% from 22.9% • Participation Rate Declined, with Employment-to-Population Ratio Unchanged • Despite a Monthly Gain and Upside Prior-Period Revisions, Real Construction Spending Remained Down by 23% (-23%) from Recovering Its Pre-Recession High • November M3 Annual Growth Notched Higher to 3.7% Versus an Upwardly Revised 3.6% in October; Still Down from 4.1% in September

03 декабря, 00:12

5 Common Mistakes you should Avoid as a Freelance Writer

You'll agree with me - freelancing is exciting because of the freedom that comes with it. You get to not hate Mondays; to decide how to spend your day; spend quality time with friends and family; take a vacation whenever you think fit; and even more relieving, kick away thoughts of keeping a lackluster, low-paying desk job. Many people dream of this kind of a life, but it surely isn't everyone's reality.  To avoid losing out as a freelance writer, here are some common mistakes you should avoid. Not guest blogging The value of guest blogging is intangible. Guest blogging has got what I like to call an "hegemonic capacity" - it lets you break away from your comfort zone and fight for a large audience base in unexplored areas. By guest blogging, you keep pace with the demands of freelance writing by getting your work in front of more people, building gainful relationships, and driving potential clients along your path. However, not so many freelance writers appreciate the obvious importance of contributing to other blogs besides theirs. It is in fact very normal for tons to believe they are made for life by publishing on their blogs alone. Avoid this. Have an eye for popular blogs within your niche in which you should contribute top-notch content, because only then will you see some magic. Not owning a blog Having a website with just a fancy homepage to showcase your services is never enough. A blog is indispensable. Your blog helps to further exhibit samples of your work regardless of where you've landed your guest posts. I mean, after reading a brilliant guest post of yours, many readers (including potential clients) will troop to your website, anticipating to read more from you. You'd however disappoint by repaying their interest with only advertisements of yourself and your work. Aim at being a better freelance writer by starting a blog and publishing content. Asides earning you clients, you'll also grow your audience.  Not cold pitching I get it - you've always thought of freelancing as a merry ride. Well, believe me, it is - but only if a merry ride means doing what you enjoy, not endure, and getting paid handsomely for it. If your definition poses a different meaning, such as having everything all nice and easy, then I'm sorry, you've boarded your intentions on a falling ride. Tons of freelancers lack the will to fight for themselves. Majority are contented with 'ransacking' freelance job sites while seeking clients. This, however, isn't sufficient. For many reasons... First off, most freelance job sites aren't picky with the sort of gigs they accept for display. Thus, you'd find tons of gigs with low pay, which makes it imperative for you to work for some nasty price. Second, there is a usual scrambling for few jobs by hundreds of people, narrowing down one's opportunities of getting consistent pay. More so, a couple these sites serve as an intermediary between clients and freelancers; thereby, cutting a specified amount of money from the meager payments meant for the latter. These are appalling, to say the least. To step out of this uncomfortable zone, try cold pitching - shooting emails to businesses and private persons who you believe are in need of your expertise. By doing this, you'd be presenting yourself to people who may be in need of what you've got in store. Not divulging information about your services Some freelancers fail to explicitly state in their website the services they render. And some even shield their status as a freelancer (for reasons unknown). Please, resist the urge. You can't go around seeking clients without making known the services you render. That's more like feigning to be single while you've got a wedding ring on. Divulge your services concisely. Write about why an average businessperson needs what you offer. I mean, don't focus on only features, but also benefits. Not having a niche Before starting out your freelance career, ask yourself these questions: Who are you? What do you want to be known for? What kind of clients do you wish to attract? Answering these questions will most likely position you on a good path. Although it's quite easy, not all freelance writers task themselves in that regard, which is evident from the way many consider freelancing a deep but safe ocean unto which they can plunge head long, all for the sake of being a 'Jack of all trades'. Well, just so you know, being Jack doesn't make the cut in the freelance world. Besides portraying you as a master of no trade, it also shows how confused a writer you are. To come off as a professional, pick a niche which you are really passionate about - one which you can keep writing on even if you aren't going to earn a nickel by doing so. If you're passionate about more than a niche or two, you can as well broaden your base, but not unnecessarily. It all boils down to prioritizing your expertise. Conclusion Freelancing has its ups and down but it behooves freelancers to make the most of it. This article has listed 5 common mistakes freelance writers make and explained how to avoid them. Beware of falling into the same abyss. Start taking the right steps, today!   5 Common Mistakes you should Avoid as a Freelance Writer was originally posted on Due Freelancer Blog by Deji Atoyebi. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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02 декабря, 23:55

Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller Index to "continue to accelerate" in October

The Case-Shiller house price indexes for September were released Tuesday. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller a month early, and I like to check the Zillow forecasts since they have been pretty close.From Zillow: October Case-Shiller Forecast: Continuing to put the Recession in the RearviewAccording to Zillow’s October Case-Shiller forecast, annual growth in the national index is expected to continue to accelerate, along with upticks in monthly growth in both smaller 10-city and 20-city indices. Sustained growth in the national index will continue to put pre-recession housing peaks in the rearview mirror, as September marked the first month in which national home prices exceeded those set prior to the recession.The September Case-Shiller national index is expected to grow 5.7 percent year-over-year and 0.8 percent month-to-month (seasonally adjusted), even with the pace of monthly growth and up from 5.5 percent annual growth pace set in September. We expect the 10-city index to grow 4.2 percent year-over-year and 0.4 percent (SA) from September. The 20-City Index is expected to grow 5 percent between October 2015 and October 2016, and rise 0.5 percent (SA) from Septmber.Zillow’s October Case-Shiller forecast is shown in the table below. These forecasts are based on today’s September Case-Shiller data release and the October 2016 Zillow Home Value Index. The October S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices will not be officially released until Tuesday, December 27.The year-over-year change for the 10-city and 20-city indexes will probably be about the same or slightly lower in the October report as in the September report.  The change for the National index will probably be slightly higher.

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02 декабря, 21:58

Срочный рынок

Срочный рынок тайный кукловод Срочный рынок трейдинг круглый год Срочный рынок весело живём Срочный рынок песенку поёмЭтот рынок чудо-остров Жить на нем легко и просто Жить на нем легко и просто Срочный рынок Наше счастье постоянно Котировочки в стакане Пир валюты иностранной Срочный рынокСрочный рынок места лучше нет Срочный рынок мы не знаем бед Срочный рынок кто здесь прожил час Срочный рынок не покинет насЭтот рынок чудо-остров Жить на нем легко и просто Жить на нем легко и просто Срочный рынок Наше счастье постоянно Торговать как наркоманы Денег полные карманы Срочный рынокСрочный рынок производный плод Срочный рынок пена мутных вод Срочный рынок виски с колой пьём Срочный рынок и лосей пасёмЭтот рынок чудо-остров Жить на нем легко и просто Жить на нем легко и просто Срочный рынок Наше счастье постоянно Это график на экране Мы любить не перестанем Срочный рынок Срочный рынок

02 декабря, 21:26

Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.6 Percent in November, a New Low for Recovery

Dean Baker: Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.6 Percent in November, a New Low for Recovery: The unemployment rate fell to 4.6 percent in November, almost equal to the pre-recession lows in 2007. However, the sharp decline was partly due to...

02 декабря, 21:00

Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama

By request, here is another update of an earlier post through the November 2016 employment report including all revisions.  And, yes, I will post these graphs during the next Presidential term.NOTE: Several readers have asked if I could add a lag to these graphs (obviously a new President has zero impact on employment for the month they are elected). But that would open a debate on the proper length of the lag, so I'll just stick to the beginning of each term.Note: We frequently use Presidential terms as time markers - we could use Speaker of the House, or any other marker.Important: There are many differences between these periods. Overall employment was smaller in the '80s, however the participation rate was increasing in the '80s (younger population and women joining the labor force), and the participation rate is generally declining now.  But these graphs give an overview of employment changes.First, here is a table for private sector jobs. The top two private sector terms were both under President Clinton. The third best growth for the private sector is Obama's 2nd term.Reagan's 2nd term saw about the same job growth as during Carter's term.  Note: There was a severe recession at the beginning of Reagan's first term (when Volcker raised rates to slow inflation) and a recession near the end of Carter's term (gas prices increased sharply and there was an oil embargo).TermPrivate SectorJobs Added (000s)Carter9,041Reagan 15,360Reagan 29,357GHW Bush1,510Clinton 110,884Clinton 210,082GW Bush 1-811GW Bush 2415Obama 11,921Obama 29,4881146 months into 2nd term: 9,901 pace.The first graph shows the change in private sector payroll jobs from when each president took office until the end of their term(s). Presidents Carter and George H.W. Bush only served one term, and President Obama is in the final months of his second term.Mr. G.W. Bush (red) took office following the bursting of the stock market bubble, and left during the bursting of the housing bubble. Mr. Obama (blue) took office during the financial crisis and great recession. There was also a significant recession in the early '80s right after Mr. Reagan (yellow) took office.There was a recession towards the end of President G.H.W. Bush (purple) term, and Mr Clinton (light blue) served for eight years without a recession. Click on graph for larger image.The first graph is for private employment only.The employment recovery during Mr. G.W. Bush's (red) first term was sluggish, and private employment was down 811,000 jobs at the end of his first term.   At the end of Mr. Bush's second term, private employment was collapsing, and there were net 396,000 private sector jobs lost during Mr. Bush's two terms.  Private sector employment increased slightly under President G.H.W. Bush (purple), with 1,510,000 private sector jobs added.Private sector employment increased by 20,966,000 under President Clinton (light blue), by 14,717,000 under President Reagan (yellow), and 9,041,000 under President Carter (dashed green).There were only 1,921,000 more private sector jobs at the end of Mr. Obama's first term.  Forty six months into Mr. Obama's second term, there are now 11,409,000 more private sector jobs than when he initially took office. A big difference between the presidencies has been public sector employment.  Note the bumps in public sector employment due to the decennial Census in 1980, 1990, 2000, and 2010.  The public sector grew during Mr. Carter's term (up 1,304,000), during Mr. Reagan's terms (up 1,414,000), during Mr. G.H.W. Bush's term (up 1,127,000), during Mr. Clinton's terms (up 1,934,000), and during Mr. G.W. Bush's terms (up 1,744,000 jobs).However the public sector has declined significantly since Mr. Obama took office (down 334,000 jobs). This has been a significant drag on overall employment.And a table for public sector jobs. Public sector jobs declined the most during Obama's first term, and increased the most during Reagan's 2nd term.TermPublic SectorJobs Added (000s)Carter1,304Reagan 1-24Reagan 21,438GHW Bush1,127Clinton 1692Clinton 21,242GW Bush 1900GW Bush 2844Obama 1-708Obama 23741146 months into 2nd term, 390 paceLooking forward, I expect the economy to continue to expand through the two months of Mr. Obama's presidency, so I don't expect a sharp decline in private employment as happened at the end of Mr. Bush's 2nd term (In 2005 and 2006 I was warning of a coming down turn due to the bursting of the housing bubble - and I predicted a recession in 2007).For the public sector, the cutbacks are over.  Right now I'm expecting some further increase in public employment during the last months of Obama's 2nd term, but obviously nothing like what happened during Reagan's second term.Below is a table of the top four presidential terms for total non-farm job creation.Currently Obama's 2nd term is on pace to be the 3rd best ever for private job creation.  However, with very few public sector jobs added, Obama's 2nd term is only on pace to be the fifth best for total job creation.Note: Only 374 thousand public sector jobs have been added during the forty six months of Obama's 2nd term (following a record loss of 708 thousand public sector jobs during Obama's 1st term).  This is about 25% of the public sector jobs added during Reagan's 2nd term!Top Employment Gains per Presidential Terms (000s)RankTermPrivatePublic Total Non-Farm1Clinton 110,88469211,5762Clinton 210,0821,24211,3123Reagan 29,3571,43810,7954Carter9,0411,30410,3455Obama 219,4883749,862  Pace29,90139010,291146 Months into 2nd Term2Current Pace for Obama's 2nd Term The last table shows the jobs needed per month for Obama's 2nd term to be in the top four presidential terms. Right now it looks like Obama's 2nd term will be the 3rd best for private employment (behind Clinton's two terms, and ahead of Reagan) and probably 5th for total employment.Average Jobs needed per month (000s)for remainder of Obama's 2nd Termto RankPrivateTotal#1698857#2297731#3-66467#4-224242

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02 декабря, 19:12

Since 2014 The US Has Added 571,000 Waiters And Bartenders And Lost 34,000 Manufacturing Workers

As another month passes, the great schism inside the American labor force get wider. We are referring to the unprecedented divergence between the total number of high-paying manufacturing jobs, and minimum-wage food service and drinking places jobs, also known as waiters and bartenders. In October, according to the BLS, while the number of people employed by "food services and drinking places" rose by another 18,900, the US workforce lost another 4,000 manufacturing workers. This is the fourth consecutive month of declining manufacturing workers, and the 7th decline in the past 10 months. The chart below puts this in context: since 2014, the US had added 571,000 waiters and bartenders, and has lost 34,000 manufacturing workers. While we would be the first to congratulate the new American waiter and bartender class, something does not smell quite right. On one hand, there has been a spike in recent restaurant bankruptcies or mass closures (Logan's, Fox and Hound, Bob Evans), which has failed to reflect in the government report. On the other hand, as the National Restaurant Association's Restaurant performance activity index showed in October, overall industry sentiment is the worst since the financial crisis, due to declines in both same-store sales and customer traffic, suggesting that restaurant workers should now be in the line of fire for mass layoffs.     However, what we find more suspect, is that according to the BLS' seasonally adjusted "data", starting in March of 2010 and continuing through September of 2016, there has been just one month in which restaurant workers lost jobs, and alternatively, jobs for waiters and bartenders have increased in 80 out of the past 81 months, with just one month of job losses, something unprecedented in this series history. Putting this divergence in a long context, since the official start of the last recession in December 2007, the US has gained 1.8 million waiters and bartenders, and lost 1.5 million manufacturing workers. Worse, while the latter series had been growing, if at a slower pace than historically, it has now clearly rolled over, and in 2016, some 60,000 manufacturing jobs have been lost. Like last month, we remain curious what this "data" series will look like after it is revised by the BLS shortly after the NBER declares the official start of the next recession.

02 декабря, 19:01

US jobless rate falls to 9-year low of 4.6%

US employers added a solid 178,000 jobs in November, reflecting the steady economy President-elect Donald Trump will inherit.

02 декабря, 18:27

Upbeat Nonfarm Payroll Data

Upbeat Nonfarm Payroll Data

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02 декабря, 17:40

Historian Johan Norberg on the pace of human progress

Johan Norberg talks about the pace of human progress, claiming it has never been so good.

02 декабря, 17:30

The Employment Situation in November

The economy added a solid 178,000 jobs in November as the longest streak of total job growth on record continued. U.S. businesses have now added 15.6 million jobs since early 2010. The unemployment rate fell to 4.6 percent in November, its lowest level since August 2007, and the broadest measure of underemployment fell for the second month in a row. Average hourly earnings for private employees have increased at an annual rate of 2.7 percent so far in 2016, faster than the pace of inflation. Nevertheless, more work remains to ensure that the benefits of the recovery are broadly shared, including opening new markets to U.S. exports; taking steps to spur competition to benefit consumers, workers, and entrepreneurs; and raising the minimum wage. FIVE KEY POINTS ON THE LABOR MARKET IN NOVEMBER 2016 1. U.S. businesses have now added 15.6 million jobs since private-sector job growth turned positive in early 2010. Today, we learned that private employment rose by 156,000 jobs in November. Total nonfarm employment rose by 178,000 jobs, in line with the monthly average for 2016 so far and substantially higher than the pace of about 80,000 jobs per month that CEA estimates is necessary to maintain a low and stable unemployment rate given the impact of demographic trends on labor force participation.  In November, the unemployment rate fell to 4.6 percent, its lowest level since August 2007. The labor force participation rate ticked down, though it is largely unchanged over the last three years (see point 3 below). The U-6 rate, the broadest official measure of labor underutilization fell 0.2 percentage point for the second month in a row in part due to a reduction in the number of employees working part-time for economic reasons. (The U-6 rate is the only official measure of underutilization that has not already fallen below its pre-recession average.) So far in 2016, nominal hourly earnings for private-sector workers have increased at an annual rate of 2.7 percent, faster than the pace of inflation (1.6 percent as of October, the most recent data available). 2. New CEA analysis finds that State minimum wage increases since 2013 contributed to substantial wage increases for workers in low-wage jobs, with no discernible impact on employment. In his 2013 State of the Union address, President Obama called on Congress to raise the Federal minimum wage, which has remained at $7.25 an hour since 2009. Even as Congress has failed to act, 18 States and the District of Columbia—along with dozens of local government jurisdictions—have answered the President’s call to action and have raised their minimum wages. (In addition to the States that have already raised their minimum wages, voters in four States approved measures to raise the minimum wage in November.) To assess the impact of minimum wage increases implemented by States in recent years, CEA analyzed data from the payroll survey for workers in the leisure and hospitality industry—a group who tend to earn lower wages than those in other major industry groups and thus are most likely to be affected by changes in the minimum wage. As the chart below shows, hourly earnings grew substantially faster for leisure and hospitality workers in States that raised their minimum wages than in States that did not. By comparing trends in wage growth for the two groups, CEA estimates that increases in the minimum wage led to an increase of roughly 6.6 percent in average wages for these workers. At the same time—consistent with a large body of economic research that has tended to find little or no impact of past minimum wage increases on employment—leisure and hospitality employment followed virtually identical trends in States that did and did not raise their minimum wage since 2013. (See here for more details on CEA’s analysis.) 3. The strengthening labor market is drawing individuals into the labor force, offsetting downward pressure on employment growth from the aging of the population. Employment growth depends on three factors: population growth, the rate at which the population participates in the labor force, and the share of the labor force that is employed. The chart below decomposes employment growth (from the household survey) into contributions from each of these factors for each year of the current recovery. It further decomposes labor force participation into shifts attributable to demographics (such as the aging of the U.S. population) and shifts attributable to other factors (such as the business cycle). Throughout the recovery, demographic changes in labor force participation—primarily driven by a large increase in retirement by baby boomers that began in 2008—have consistently weighed on employment growth. In recent years, however, non-demographic changes in labor force participation have supported employment growth, as the strengthening of the labor market and increasing real wages have drawn more individuals into the labor force. The entry (or reentry) of workers into the labor force has helped employment growth maintain its recent solid pace even as the unemployment rate has fallen more slowly. These two shifts in labor force participation—demographic and non-demographic—have largely offset one another in recent months, and as a result the overall labor force participation rate has remained broadly stable since the end of 2013. 4. The number of unemployed workers per job opening, an indicator of labor market slack, is near its lowest level prior to the recession. Using data from the household survey and the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the chart below plots the ratio of unemployed workers to total job openings. In the recession, unemployment rose rapidly while job openings plummeted, sending the ratio of unemployed workers to job openings to a record peak of 6.6 in July 2009. As the unemployment rate has decreased over the course of the recovery, and as job openings have climbed to record highs this year, the ratio of unemployed workers to openings has fallen steeply, standing at 1.4 as of September (the most recent data available for openings). This is close to the ratio’s lowest level in the 2000s expansion, another indicator—in addition to recent increases in real wages—of a strengthening labor market. 5. The distribution of job growth across industries in November diverged from the pattern over the past year. Above-average gains relative to the past year were seen in professional and business services (+49,000, excluding temporary help services), while mining and logging (which includes oil extraction) posted a gain (+2,000) for the second time in recent months amid moderation in oil prices. On the other hand, retail trade (-8,000), information services (-10,000), and financial activities (+6,000) all saw weaker-than-average growth. Slow global growth has continued to weigh on the manufacturing sector, which is more export-oriented than other industries and which posted a loss of 4,000 jobs in November. Across the 17 industries shown below, the correlation between the most recent one-month percent change and the average percent change over the last twelve months was -0.06, the lowest level since September 2012. As the Administration stresses every month, the monthly employment and unemployment figures can be volatile, and payroll employment estimates can be subject to substantial revision. Therefore, it is important not to read too much into any one monthly report, and it is informative to consider each report in the context of other data as they become available.

02 декабря, 17:27

Multiple Jobholders Hit New All Time High As Part-Time Jobs Soar

While today's headline jobs number was essentially Goldilocks, with the payrolls print missing the expected print of 180K by just 2,000 jobs, it was accompanied by a plunge in the unemployment rate to 9 year lows as a result of a jump in the number of people leaving the labor force, and rising to a new all time high of over 95 million. But while the quantitative headline aspect is open to interpretation, the qualitative component of the November jobs print was - just like in the case of October - quite clear: it was ugly, again. Recall that in October, the Household Survey revealed that the number of full-time workers tumbled by 103,000 as part-time workers jumped by 90,000. The trend continued in November, when another 118,000 part-time jobs were added, paired with a far more modest 9,000 increase in full -time jobs. The divergence is even uglier when looking at the non-seasonally adjusted jobs, i.e., real change: here we see a drop of 628,000 full-time jobs in November, offset by a surge in 678,000 part-time, mostly retail jobs. Going back to the seasonally adjusted number, we find a troubling trend: as noted above, it was not just November: in the past three months, full-time jobs have declined by 99,000 while part-time jobs have surged by 638,000, which more than anything should explain the unexpected slide in the average hourly earnings, which as noted previously, dropped by -0.1%, the worst monthly change since 2014. But perhaps even more troubling than the breakdown in November job quality, was another seldom-touted series: the number of Multiple jobholders, or people who are forced to hold more than one job due to insufficient wages or for other reasons. It was here that the red flashing light came on because while on a seasonally adjusted basis, the series rose once again by 61,000 to 7.8 million; when looked on an actual, unadjusted basis, the number of multiple jobholders increased again, rising by 57, and hitting 8,107 million, the highest number this century. The again begs the question: how many of the 178K headline jobs "added" in November were double counted as a result of the ongoing rise in the number of multiple jobholders. So yes: overall job growth continues to chug along - even if unconfirmed by the troubling drop in wages - if at a modestly disappointing pace at least in October, but the quality of the added jobs remains woeful. Source: BLS

25 июня 2015, 23:01

ПАСЕ официально признала Россию «агрессором» в резолюции по Украине

ПАСЕ проголосовала за решение признать Россию «страной-агрессором» в поправках к резолюции о пропавших без вести в ходе конфликта на Украине. Кроме того, в документе территория Крыма названа «оккупированной»