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Ричард Хаас
Ричард Хаас
Ричард Хаас (Richard Nathan Haass)– президент Совета по международным отношениям, в 2001–2003 гг. руководил Отделом политического планирования Госдепартамента США. Родился 28 июля 1951 http://globalaffairs.ru/person/p_1016 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_N._Haass

Ричард Хаас (Richard Nathan Haass)– президент Совета по международным отношениям, в 2001–2003 гг. руководил Отделом политического планирования Госдепартамента США. Родился 28 июля 1951



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19 января, 15:14

TRUMP DAY ONE UPDATE -- Who we hear is sitting close to the OVAL -- JACK LEW’s new gig -- Playbook Interview: Suzanne Clark, No. 2 at the CHAMBER -- RICHARD HAASS’ advice for Trump

Listen to Playbook in 90 Seconds http://bit.ly/2iVIDBb … Subscribe on iTunes http://apple.co/2eX6Eay … Visit the online home of Playbook http://politi.co/2f51JnfGood Thursday morning. DONALD TRUMP will be president of the United States by tomorrow afternoon. THE SHOCK OF THE DAY -- The incoming Trump administration is being so tight-lipped about their Day One executive actions that top figures of the GOP leadership have no idea what’s coming. That’s surprising, since they are the people who have been working on unwinding Obama’s policies for years. TRUMP WORLD EXPECTS THE FOLLOWING EXECUTIVE ACTIONS: action to peel back Obama administration directives on health care; a unilateral move to pave the way to build the border wall with Mexico; codifying the five-year lobbying ban; and curbing some energy regulations implemented by Obama. Trump is expected to take action tomorrow and Monday.ALSO… The Trump team got some flak for saying that the hotels in town were filled -- they’re not. But, luxe spots like the Ritz Carlton and Four Seasons are hopping. We heard Steve Wynn was spotted holding court at the Four Seasons Wednesday night. The Marriott Marquis on Massachusetts Avenue is also a top spot for people heading to the inauguration.WEST WING SCUTTLEBUTT -- Hope Hicks, Trump's strategic communications director, is increasingly seen as a prime gateway to the next president. Hicks has been with Trump for the entirety of his campaign, and the president elect trusts her. Some have mused that Hicks -- the pride of Fairfield County -- will be posting up very close to the Oval Office in the coming weeks.PLAYBOOK SCOOPS -- The Trump team is bringing on Makan Delrahim, a partner at Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck. We’ve heard two options for him: a top slot at Justice, or a top White House job, helping handle and manage what’s expected to be a steady flow of judicial nominees. Both are critical jobs. Delrahim is a former deputy assistant U.S. attorney who has also worked for the Judiciary Committee on the Hill. **SUBSCRIBE to Playbook: http://politi.co/1M75UbXHAPPENING FRIDAY AT THE “WINTER WHITE HOUSE” -- PARTY IN HONOR OF TRUMP -- Trump is feting Mar-a-Lago members with a complimentary buffet dinner and viewing in his honor. THE INVITE: “As a thank-you to his Mar-a-Lago members for their loyalty and support, the President Elect of the United States, Donald J. Trump, wishes to invite you to a celebration of his inauguration. Please join us on Friday, January 20, 2017, from 7:00 p.m. to 10:00 p.m. for a complimentary buffet dinner and viewing in his honor.”ANOTHER SCOOP -- NEW JOB ALERT -- JACK LEW, the outgoing Treasury secretary, is going to New York to be a visiting professor at Columbia’s School of International and Public Affairs, and has signed with the Harry Walker Agency to give paid speeches. Lew joined the Obama administration in 2009, working as deputy secretary of state for management and resources, then as the director of Office of Management and Budget, White House chief of staff and Treasury secretary from 2013 until the end. Lew’s post-White House deal was cut by Williams and Connolly’s Bob Barnett and Michael O’Connor.INCOMING FIRST LADY MELANIA TRUMP’S former modeling agent Paolo Zampolli, the man that introduced her to Donald Trump, is hosting a late-night party at Living Room on Vermont Avenue Friday night, Tara Palmeri scoops. They say they have 500 RSVPs, including Kanye West, Jon Voight and Sylvester Stallone, and the guest list is closed. http://politi.co/2jC5ClI JUST ASKING … HAWAII REP. TULSI GABBARD is in the Middle East on a trip to Syria and Lebanon. Her office is refusing to say who she’s with and who paid for the trip. It will become public in records when she returns, but her office is keeping silent for now. Just a tip: Inauguration week would seem to be a great time to get information out.PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: Suzanne ClarkThe recently installed No. 2 of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce is helping shepherd the powerful business lobby into the next generation. “I think at the end of the day, we're pretty optimistic,” Clark said of the incoming Trump administration. “This has been eight years where people weren't focused on some of the things we think are important and now all of a sudden you have a pro-business Congress, a pro-business administration and people talking about things that are important to us like economic growth. It doesn't mean it is not hard work, but we are optimistic.” Under Clark, the Chamber has implemented a new policy council in an effort to make sure departments across the trade group have a voice, and is launching a quarterly small business survey and adding four regional summits on small business this year. Pics http://bit.ly/2iMB64g … http://bit.ly/2jOQTBBTRUMP TARGETING COMPANIES IS ‘A LITTLE SCARY’: “I feel like people are doing what they do with any administration, which is preparing. [It’s thinking about] how do they like to get information, what relationships do we have, how do we think about things. And I think every company now has a Twitter strategy whether they want to or not, but I also think the results of [Trump’s actions] have been pretty good. It looks like it has encouraged CEO-to-administration if not president-elect [to CEO] direct conversations and some results and some quick dialogue, and so I think people are learning that maybe it’s OK. It’s a little scary, but it leads to some conversations and maybe it’s OK.”TRUMP NEEDS TO GET REGULATORY REFORM RIGHT: “I think getting reg reform right and not just repealing some of what we have seen as egregious regulations but also reforming the whole system so that agencies really have to take into account what is the impact of jobs, what is the impact on the economy so that it’s not just a system of one administration putting in executive orders and the next taking them out.”NO ONE KNOWS WHEN CEO TOM DONOHUE IS LEAVING: “I’m probably Tom’s closest adviser and I don’t have any idea when he’s going to retire. I really have no idea. I don’t think he has any idea. I don’t think his wife has any idea. I’m very close to the board. Here’s what I know: He doesn’t want to retire, his wife doesn’t want him to retire and the board doesn’t want him to retire. Is he retirement age? Yeah … For me -- and I’m not even 50 years old -- I was willing to take the trade that he’s a great leader, he’s a strong leader, he’s really good at what he does, he’s a visionary, he’s a master storyteller and I learn from him and I’ll take the trade on the risk … I understand the churn and I understand the parlor game … but he has no intention of that.”SIREN -- “FBI, 5 other agencies probe possible covert Kremlin aid to Trump,” by McClatchy’s Peter Stone and Greg Gordon: “The FBI and five other law enforcement and intelligence agencies have collaborated for months in an investigation into Russian attempts to influence the November election, including whether money from the Kremlin covertly aided President-elect Donald Trump, two people familiar with the matter said. The agencies involved in the inquiry ... are examining how money may have moved from the Kremlin to covertly help Trump win.” http://bit.ly/2jqMOU7IS TRUMP READY? -- NYT A12, “Trump National Security Team Gets a Slow Start,” by Mark Landler: “The Obama administration has written 275 briefing papers for the incoming Trump administration: nearly 1,000 pages of classified material on North Korea’s nuclear program, the military campaign against the Islamic State, tensions in the South China Sea, and every other kind of threat the new team could face in its first weeks in office. Nobody in the current administration knows whether anyone in the next has read any of it. Less than three days before President Obama turns the keys to the White House, and the nuclear codes, over to President-elect Donald J. Trump, Mr. Trump’s transition staff has barely engaged with the National Security Council below the most senior levels. ... [T]he chronic upheaval in Mr. Trump’s transition, a delay in appointing senior National Security Council staff members, and a dearth of people with security clearances have deprived the Trump team of weeks of prep work on some of the most complex national security issues facing the country.” http://nyti.ms/2iEbwDn--“Trump’s National Security Team Is Missing in Action: Trump’s train wreck of a transition stumbles into office with key vacancies in top positions and wracked by infighting,” by Dan De Luce and John Hudson in Foreign Policy: “‘I’ve never seen anything like this,’ one career government official told Foreign Policy. ... At the State Department, senior diplomats said there is little clarity on whether several top career officials will be expected to stay in their positions beyond Friday, when Trump will be sworn in as president. That’s a contrast to the Pentagon, where at least six senior officials have been asked to remain during the Trump administration’s opening weeks.” http://atfp.co/2iEaMOM-- NYT A14, “‘Learning Curve’ as Rick Perry Pursues a Job He Initially Misunderstood,” by Coral Davenport and David E. Sanger: “When President-elect Donald J. Trump offered Rick Perry the job of energy secretary five weeks ago, Mr. Perry gladly accepted, believing he was taking on a role as a global ambassador for the American oil and gas industry ... In the days after, Mr. Perry ... discovered that he would be no such thing -- that in fact, if confirmed by the Senate, he would become the steward of a vast national security complex he knew almost nothing about, caring for the most fearsome weapons on the planet, the United States’ nuclear arsenal. ... For [outgoing Energy Secretary Ernie] Moniz, the future of nuclear science has been a lifelong obsession; he spent his early years working at the Stanford Linear Accelerator Center. Mr. Perry studied animal husbandry and led cheers at Texas A&M University.” http://nyti.ms/2jAoLVs-- “Trump Budget Nominee Did Not Pay Taxes for Employee,” by NYT’s Jennifer Steinhauer: “President-elect Donald J. Trump’s choice for White House budget director failed to pay more than $15,000 in payroll taxes for a household employee, he admitted in a statement to the Senate Budget Committee, the sort of tax compliance issue that has derailed cabinet nominees in the past. In a questionnaire provided to the committee, Representative Mick Mulvaney, a conservative from South Carolina and vocal proponent of fiscal restraint noted, ‘I have come to learn during the confirmation review process that I failed to pay FICA and federal and state unemployment taxes on a household employee for the years 2000-2004.’ Mr. Mulvaney said he had subsequently paid more than $15,000 in taxes and awaits the state tax bill, as well as penalties and interests. His confirmation hearing before the committee is scheduled for Jan. 24. The employee was a babysitter hired when Mr. Mulvaney and his wife had triplets in 2000.” http://nyti.ms/2jBXqlh --“Trump’s ‘beachhead’ teams primed to grab agencies’ reins at noon Friday,” by Andrew Restuccia and Nancy Cook: “At 12:01 p.m. Friday, Donald Trump’s aides will deploy a team of temporary political appointees into federal agencies to begin laying the groundwork for the president-elect’s agenda while his nominees await Senate confirmation … While the transition team has been building the so-called beachhead teams for months, they are taking on outsize importance because few of Trump’s nominees will be confirmed by the time he’s sworn in.” http://politi.co/2iEj6xU--“HHS nominee Price pressed hard on health policy positions, financial dealings,” by WaPo’s Juliet Eilperin and Amy Goldstein: “Rep. Tom Price, President-elect Donald Trump’s choice to head the Department of Health and Human Services, faced a contentious Senate hearing Wednesday as Democrats questioned his ideas for the future of Americans’ health coverage and whether his personal investments in health-care companies presented conflicts during his years in Congress. Democrats on the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee grilled Price (R-Ga.) over his stock transactions in health, biomedical and pharmaceutical companies while he was supporting legislation that could benefit them. … The nominee maintained that he had not sought to take advantage of his public position and that he was not aware of what precise stocks he held in the past or at present. ‘Everything that we have done has been aboveboard, ethical, transparent and legal,’ he said. He denied the existence of any conflict stemming from stock purchases, saying he’d had ‘no conversations with my broker about any political activity at all, other than her congratulating me on my election.’” http://wapo.st/2jC8CON-- A NOTE: Rep. Chris Collins (R-N.Y.) is on the board of Innate Immunotherapeutics, the company Price bought stock in. Collins gave Price the stock tip, but says he didn't provide him non-public information. We expect Price to get confirmed, but this isn't pretty. IT’S OFFICIAL … AS SEEN IN PLAYBOOK 17 DAYS AGO – “Trump to announce Sonny Perdue for Agriculture,” by Helena Bottemiller Evich, Ian Kullgren, Jenny Hopkinson, Catherine Boudreau, Josh Dawsey and Alex Isenstadt: “President-elect Donald Trump plans to nominate former Georgia Gov. Sonny Perdue to be the next Agriculture secretary ... The decision, which is expected to be announced on Thursday, ends weeks of speculation that Trump was looking to name a woman or Hispanic to lead the U.S. Department of Agriculture and answers the pleas of the more than 70 members of Trump’s agriculture advisory council who were hoping to have one of their own put in charge of the lower-profile but far-reaching agency with a $150 billion budget.” http://politi.co/2k6HAQFTHE LOYAL OPPOSITION -- “Dems jockey for big money control: Liberals raise concerns about efforts by Clinton enforcer David Brock,” by Ken Vogel and Gabe Debenedetti: “Some of the left’s most active financiers and groups — including the Democracy Alliance donor club — are bristling at Clinton enforcer David Brock’s plan to officially launch his own donor network this weekend to fund his efforts to rebuild the left ... Brock’s plan ... is seen in liberal finance circles as an implicit challenge to the Democracy Alliance, which was launched in 2005 by billionaire financier George Soros and other major donors. Brock has not exactly discouraged that notion, explaining that his network will be more overtly political than the Democracy Alliance ... Some Democracy Alliance donors and officials have grumbled quietly that Brock ... is plotting a power grab.” http://politi.co/2k6gU2lFIRST LOOK – “Harvard Kennedy School’s Institute of Politics Announces Spring 2016 Resident and Visiting Fellows”: Resident Fellows: “Gina McCarthy ... Chris Shays ... Jon Finer ... R. Gil Kerlikowske ... Sarah Hurwitz ... T.W. Shannon ... Visiting Fellows: Kelly Ayotte ... Peter Shumlin ... Ray Mabus.” http://politi.co/2jOiPW2QUOTE OF THE DAY -- In “Democrats in the Wilderness: Inside a decimated party’s not-so-certain revival strategy,” by Isaac Dovere in POLITICO Magazine: “We’re at a space shuttle moment,’ says Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed. ... ‘The most vulnerable time for the space shuttle is when it re-enters the environment, so that when it comes back into the environment it doesn’t blow up. The tiles need to be tight. I’m concerned about the tightness of the tiles on the space shuttle right now. We have to get through this heat.’” http://politi.co/2iECx9QTOP-ED -- RICHARD HAASS in the WSJ: “Don’t Make Any Sudden Moves, Mr. Trump”: “The U.S. should be especially wary of sudden or sharp departures in what it undertakes abroad. Consistency and reliability are essential attributes for a great power. Allies who depend on Washington for their security need to know that this dependence is well placed. Serious doubt about America would inevitably give rise to a very different and much less orderly world. There would be two reactions. First, ‘self-help’ would increase, as countries take matters into their own hands in ways inconsistent with American interests—including by developing their own nuclear weapons. Second, many countries could fall under the sway of stronger regional states, undermining the balance of power. This is a prescription for instability.” http://on.wsj.com/2k3O4fe INAUGURATION EATS -- “Lobster and Beef, but No Fries, on the Menu for Inaugural Lunch,” by NYT’s Christopher Mele: “[T]he luncheon [for 200 elected officials and dignitaries] will feature J. Lohr 2013 Arroyo Vista chardonnay, Delicato Black Stallion 2012 Limited Release Napa Valley cabernet sauvignon and Korbel Natural ‘Special Inaugural Cuvée’ California Champagne ... The first course will include Maine lobster and Gulf shrimp with saffron sauce and peanut crumble, followed by grilled Seven Hills Angus beef with dark chocolate and juniper juice, accompanied by potato gratin. The Smithsonian Chamber Players and the United States Coast Guard Brass Quintet will provide musical selections. And for dessert? … Guests will be served chocolate soufflé and cherry vanilla ice cream.” http://nyti.ms/2jBWQnM WHAT PETE SOUZA IS READING -- “The Case for Donald Trump’s Official White House Photographer,” by Time’s Olivier Laurent: “In the next 48 hours, as President Barack Obama prepares to leave the White House, his official photographer, Pete Souza, will document the last moments of his history-making presidency. The photographs Souza will take on Jan. 20 will join the more than two million images he has shot in the last eight years, completing a lasting visual record of the first black President’s time in office. When Donald J. Trump takes up the baton, however, his first hours in the White House – and possibly his entire term – might go undocumented. The President-elect has yet to name Souza’s replacement.” http://ti.me/2iEjFI4EAST WING UPDATE -- “Melania Trump considering male social secretary,” by Kate Andersen Brower, author of “First Women: The Grace and Power of America’s Modern First Ladies,” on CNN.com: “Soon-to-be First Lady Melania Trump is considering a man among several other candidates to become the next White House social secretary, according to two people with knowledge of East Wing personnel deliberations. A final decision hasn't been made. The role has historically been filled by a woman until 2011, when the Obamas named Jeremy Bernard to the position, making him the first man and the first openly gay social secretary.” http://cnn.it/2iEjigC … $19.84 on Amazon http://amzn.to/2fRweOa THE HEARINGS TODAY...--WHAT TREASURY NOMINEE STEVEN MNUCHIN WILL SAY: “Since I was first nominated to serve as Treasury Secretary, I have been maligned as taking advantage of others’ hardships in order to earn a buck. Nothing could be further from the truth. ... In the press it has been said that I ran a ‘foreclosure machine.’ This is not true. On the contrary, I was committed to loan modifications intended to stop foreclosures. I ran a ‘Loan Modification Machine.’ ... I am proud to be able to say that our bank was able to modify over 100,000 loans thus allowing people the opportunity to remain in their homes.”--WHAT ENERGY NOMINEE RICK PERRY WILL SAY: “I have spoken several times to Secretary Moniz and his predecessors. ... My past statements made over five years ago about abolishing the Department of Energy do not reflect my current thinking. In fact, after being briefed on so many of the vital functions of the Department of Energy, I regret recommending its elimination. ... I believe the climate is changing. I believe some of it is naturally occurring, but some of it is also caused by manmade activity. The question is how do we address it in a thoughtful way that doesn’t compromise economic growth, the affordability of energy, or American jobs.”#THISTOWN -- “Politics are Off the Record at This Washington, D.C. Bar,” by Derek Brown in Imbibe Magazine: “Off the Record is a Washington monument in that regard. It reflects an older Washington that believed in politics, not just politicking. And while you can still stop by this basement bar and sip an Old Fashioned and hear political talk, today, it’s more typically from black-suited, brown-shoed lobbyists. But if you use your imagination, you can almost hear the echo of past conversations from the most powerful people in the free world, spoken over gin and whiskey.” http://bit.ly/2k6kw4BAL GORE’S NEW MOVIE -- “Al Gore on His ‘Inconvenient Truth’ Sequel, Private Donald Trump Talks, ‘Consoling’ Hillary Clinton,” by The Hollywood Reporter’s Tatiana Siegel: “Even during this last election cycle, Gore largely remained on the sidelines, cutting just one ad and appearing with Hillary Clinton on the podium only late in the campaign. But he says he has been in touch with Clinton since her big loss. ‘She’s experienced enough to not need advice from me, but I offered whatever words I thought might be both consoling and helpful,’ he says. ... If anyone could be consoling, it’d be the one other candidate in modern times who won the popular vote only to lose the presidency.” http://bit.ly/2jO8DNmWHAT BROOKLYN ALUMNI ARE READING -- “Hillary Clinton’s Would-Be West Wingers Have Nothing to Lose,” by The Daily Beast’s Eleanor Clift: Hillary alums “are trying to figure out what to do next in Donald Trump’s strange new political world. ... Jake Sullivan, who would likely have been Clinton’s national security advisor in the White House, is returning to Yale, his alma mater, where he had been teaching in the law school before going to work for the Clinton campaign full time. Staffers who want to stay engaged in politics are deciding whether to join ‘the resistance or the rebirth,’ says Bill Burton.” http://thebea.st/2jbxl9x-- “Obama aides, full of emotion, get ready to turn out the lights,” by Sarah Wheaton: “This week, President Barack Obama’s White House aides have been getting their last taste of Chocolate Freedom. The molten fudge confection (with fro-yo a la mode) is the signature dessert at the White House restaurant known as the mess, and it’s been a must-order item at last meals there for the hundreds of Obama-appointed staffers who need to be out the door before Friday. The marble halls of the Eisenhower Executive Office Building echo with the sounds of colleagues exchanging personal Gmail addresses. Gigantic boxes haphazardly filled with computer monitors are scattered around the corridors. They always knew the end was coming. But that doesn’t make it feel any less abrupt for the dedicated staff who will suddenly no longer have every waking moment consumed by one man and one mission. They’ll no longer be on guard for how any development, anywhere in the world, might require Obama’s and therefore their own response. ‘In the moment, a week of 18-hour days can feel like an eternity,’ said Charlie Anderson, who spent most of the last 10 years working for Obama. ‘In retrospect, it all just compresses.’” http://politi.co/2iMDs3i MICHAEL KRUSE in POLITICO Magazine, “‘He Has This Deep Fear That He Is Not a Legitimate President’: On the eve of the inauguration, Trump’s biographers ponder his refusal to bend his ego to his new office”: “[A]fter more than two months of Trump’s norm-shattering transition, we gathered Gwenda Blair, Michael D’Antonio and Tim O’Brien by conference call ... From his pick of nominees for posts in his cabinet to his belligerent use of Twitter ... to his unwillingness to cut ties with his business to avoid conflicts of interest, they see the same person they’ve always seen—the consummate classroom troublemaker; a vain, insecure bully; and an anti-institutional schemer, as adept at ‘gaming the system’ as he is unashamed. As they look ahead to his inauguration speech in two days, and to his administration beyond, they feel confident predicting that he will run the country much as he has run his company. For himself.” http://politi.co/2iUQhvIHOT ON THE LEFT -- “We Are the Last Defense Against Trump: America’s institutions weren’t designed to resist a modern strongman. That leaves civil society,” by Daron Acemoglu, author of “Why Nations Fail,” in Foreign Policy: “What makes America vulnerable to being blindsided by such a threat is our unwavering — and outdated — belief in the famed strength of our institutions. Of course, the United States has much better institutional foundations and a unique brand of checks and balances, which were entirely absent in Venezuela, Russia, and Turkey. But many of these still won’t be much help against the present threat. Not only are America’s institutions particularly ill-equipped, in this moment, to stand up against Trump; in some cases they may actually enable him.” http://atfp.co/2k6bCEjUSED NEWS – AP, yesterday, “With job announcements, firms appear to seek Trump approval”: http://apne.ws/2jAvZsm ... Politico, Dec. 29, “Companies rush to link jobs to Trump,” by Tony Romm: http://politi.co/2iUUnnyWHAT WORKS -- How Salt Lake City’s 1990’s radical urban planning experiment is paving the path for 2050: In the latest installment of POLITICO Magazine’s “What Works,” read how a liberal city in a conservative state created a bipartisan alliance of business, industrial, religious, political and civic leaders, who solicited ideas from tens of thousands of Utah citizens that yielded longterm benefits in controlling urban sprawl, traffic congestion, and water conservation. http://politi.co/2jBJk3aOOPS – Even though actress and singer Jennifer Holliday has dropped out of participating, she is still listed on the Presidential Inauguration Committee’s website as one of the acts for the Inauguration’s Lincoln Memorial concert later today. She told The View that she “didn’t realize that people weren’t really over the election.” http://bit.ly/2iEpaGtMEDIAWATCH – Major Garrett has a new, weekly podcast set to launch on Inauguration Day. “‘The Takeout’ is a 30-minute, weekly podcast about politics, policy and pop culture hosted by CBS News’ Chief White House correspondent Major Garrett. Each episode will include guests and be recorded over lunch at a D.C. restaurant. Expect Major’s interests (politics, sports, movies) and personality to drive the show’s content. The first guest on Friday’s show will be Corey Lewandowski.”--GABE BROTMAN returning to the U.S. – Poppy McDonald emails colleagues: “This new year presents a huge opportunity for POLITICO – a new U.S. administration, robust footprints in Washington, across six (soon to be seven with our expansion into Texas) U.S. states and four European countries, a new leadership team, and a new generation of POLITICOs to power the newsroom and business teams into the publication’s second decade. ... I’m thrilled that Gabe Brotman has agreed to join my team, returning to Washington from Brussels in a new role—executive director of strategy and growth.”--NYT A1, “From Headline to Photograph, a Fake News Masterpiece,” by Scott Shane in Annapolis, Maryland: “Cameron Harris, a new college graduate with a fervent interest in Maryland Republican politics and a need for cash ... started by crafting the headline: ‘BREAKING: “Tens of thousands” of fraudulent Clinton votes found in Ohio warehouse.’ ... He pushed the button and the story was launched on Sept. 30, blazing across the web like some kind of counterfeit comet. … The ballot box story, promoted by a half-dozen Facebook pages Mr. Harris had created for the purpose, flew around the web, fueled by indignant comments from people who were certain that Mrs. Clinton was going to cheat Mr. Trump of victory and who welcomed the proof. It was eventually shared with six million people, according to CrowdTangle, which tracks web audiences.” http://nyti.ms/2jqFd88--“Daily White House press briefing to stay in the West Wing - for now,” by Hadas Gold: “Trump has ordered his staff to keep the daily press briefing in the James S. Brady room in the West Wing of the White House. ‘The press went crazy, so I said, “Let’s not move it.” But some people in the press will not be able to get in,’ Trump told ‘Fox & Friends’ in an interview broadcast on Wednesday.” http://politi.co/2k6xuPM --“Trump’s D.C. hotel bans press during inauguration week,” by Daniel Lippman: “A POLITICO reporter attempted to enter the hotel Wednesday morning for a previously scheduled breakfast meeting but was stopped at the door. He then identified himself as a journalist and was told ‘media’ was not allowed. President-elect Donald Trump and his three adult children … have a 60-year lease with the federal General Services Administration, which owns the property. ... D.C. legal code prohibits public places like hotels from denying ‘the full and equal enjoyment’ of its facilities to people based on ‘source of income,’ among other reasons, calling it an ‘unlawful discriminatory practice.’ ‘Source of income’ could reasonably include one’s occupation as a journalist.’” http://politi.co/2jnZDyD --GABE SHERMAN in NYMag.com, “CNN’s Jeff Zucker on Covering Donald Trump — Past, Present, and Future”: “It doesn't worry me that Donald Trump hasn’t done an interview with CNN in eight months. I think our credibility is higher than ever, and our viewership is higher than ever, and our reporting is as strong as ever. One of the things I think this administration hasn't figured out yet is that there's only one television network that is seen in Beijing, Moscow, Seoul, Tokyo, Pyongyang, Baghdad, Tehran, and Damascus - and that’s CNN. The perception of Donald Trump in capitals around the world is shaped, in many ways, by CNN. Continuing to have an adversarial relationship with that network is a mistake.” http://nym.ag/2jAppCs--“Fox News 9 p.m. ratings soar as Tucker Carlson takes over for Megyn Kelly,” by Business Insider’s Oliver Darcy: “In the show’s debut prime time week, ‘Tucker Carlson Tonight’ averaged 3 million viewers and 576,000 in the key 25-54 demo … Those numbers represented a 10% increase in total viewers over the 2016 average for ‘The Kelly File.’ The key 25-54 demo also saw a 12% spike. Carlson, a conservative journalist fighting an on-air war with elites, was also up 21% in total viewers from the same time last year and 52% in the key demo.” http://read.bi/2jbnUHm [email protected]: “Psyched to welcome @katieglueck and @Alex_Roarty to @McClatchy & @McClatchyDC: great reporters to cover the right and left, respectively.”-- @rebeccarnelson: “Some #news: Stoked I’m joining @Cosmopolitan as a senior writer covering politics!” She was previously with GQ, National Journal and Washingtonian.RICK STENGEL is the commencement speaker at Hunter College this afternoon in New York. Hunter is part of the City University of New York. “My speech is a kind of prebuttal to the Inaugural and I will tell them that they -- not politicians -- determine what the [American] Dream is and that they are what makes America great, today and tomorrow.”SPOTTED: Rex Tillerson and his wife last night walking down the hall at the Jefferson Hotel … Tucker Carlson holding court last night in a booth at Martin’s Tavern in Georgetown … John Bolton walking up K Street yesterday morning toward the White House ... At Joe’s yesterday: David Perdue and Joni Ernst (separately) ... Team MSNBC last night at Le Diplomate: Jesse Rodriguez, Hallie Jackson, Dana Haller, Katy Tur, and Michael LaRosa ... Ben Carson at last night’s Insight America inaugural gala at the Watergate Hotel ... Nigel Farage at the Mississippi State Society’s Magnolia Soirée party last night at Airbus Group North America (the building across from the Trump Hotel near Fogo de Chao).INAUGURATION PARTY CIRCUIT – SPOTTED last night at the British Ambassador’s residence, during which Amb. Kim Darroch discussed the democratic values that the U.S. and the U.K. share and spoke warmly of how he looked forward to working with the incoming Trump administration: Justice Stephen Breyer, Jim DeMint, Newt Gingrich, Rudy Giuliani, Sally Quinn, Reps. Devin Nunes, Michael McCaul, Debbie Dingell, Joe Wilson, Mike Shields, The Advisory Board Company’s Mary Lunde, Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Richard Shelby (R-Ala.), Rand Paul (R-Ky.), Gov. Chris Christie, Corey Lewandowski, Lord Ashcroft, Robin Wright, Fred Ryan, Andrea Mitchell, Marc Short, Geoff Morrell, Bob Woodward, Tom Barrack, Susan Pillsbury, Lenwood Brooks, Donald Graham, David Frum, EJ Dionne, Steve Rattner, Gloria Dittus, Stu Rothenberg, Sebastian Gorka, Iraqi Amb. Fareed Yasseen, Jordan Amb. to U.S. Dina Kawar, Emily Heil, Charlie Black, Lucky Roosevelt, Fred Ryan, Scott Pastrick, Stewart Holiday, Dan Poneman. Pix http://bit.ly/2jbnkcBMORE INAUGURATION PARTY HOT TICKETS – French Amb. to the U.S. Gérard Araud is hosting an inauguration reception tonight from 5 to 7:30 p.m. at the “Residencé de France.” ... Tomorrow, the LBJ Washington Center is hosting an Inauguration Day Open House and Viewing Reception at its Greyhound Suite at 1100 New York Avenue NW from 10 a.m. to 4 p.m.OUT AND ABOUT -- Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen hosted a party last night at RPM Italian for the launch of their new media venture, Axios. Ben Chang was the DJ of the shindig. SPOTTED: Outgoing Vice President Joe Biden, Jill Biden, Sean and Rebecca Spicer, Josh and Natalie Earnest, Valerie Jarrett, Roy Schwartz, outgoing Defense Secretary Ash Carter, Debra Messing, Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.), Kellyanne Conway, Andy Lack, Jeff Zucker, Chuck Todd, Jake Tapper, Wolf Blitzer, Greta van Susteren and John Coale, Tony Blinken, Mike Froman, Craig Melvin, Nick Johnston, Bubba Atkinson and Samantha Smith, Peter Cherukuri, Lauren Culberson, Kate Snow, Katy Tur, Hallie Jackson, Tammy Haddad, Jeremy Bash, Gordon Johndroe, Jesse Rodriguez, Michael LaRosa, Kate Bedingfield, Adrienne Elrod, Geoff Morrell, Stephanie Cutter, Frank Thorp, Dan Bartlett, Amos Snead, Stephanie Schriock, Bob Woodward, Ken Strickland, Marcy Stech, Nihal Krishan, Nika Nour, Dana Haller, Glenn Thrush, Jonathan and Betsy Fischer Martin, Alex and Caitlin Conant, Jeff Mason, Julie Pace, Kate Gaertner, Mo Elleithee, Nate Tibbits, Jeremy Bash, Ambassador Kim Darroch, Amanda Downes, Stuart Holliday, Tony Blinken, Hans Nichols, Erin McPike, Stuart Siciliano, Jon Allen, Fran Holuba, Bill McQuillen, Nic Breeding.-- A cadre of campaign embed reporters gathered at Satellite Room in Shaw last night to reminisce and catch up – SPOTTED: Alex Jaffe, Vaughn Hillyard, Candace Smith, Jordan Frasier, Dan Merica, Monica Alba, Betsy Kline, Dan Gallo, Danny Freeman, Alan He, Jason Donner, Cassie Spodak, Kylie Atwood, Liz Landers, Lauren Selsky, Kailani Koenig, Ines De La Cuetara. Pic http://bit.ly/2jbNtYB WELCOME TO THE WORLD – David Shuster, a broadcast journalist and alum of AJAM and MSNBC, and Kera Rennert, freelance producer for CBS News, post on Facebook: “It is with great joy that we announce the arrival of Ezekiel ‘Zeke’ Arden Rennert Shuster. He was born on January 4th, weighing in at 7 pounds, 11 ounces. Everyone is doing well...and Mom, Dad, and big sister Ayala are all thrilled beyond words!”TRANSITIONS -- “Third Way [is] announcing that former Congressman Steve Israel will join their ‘New Blue’ campaign as a Visiting Fellow. New Blue is Third Way’s $20 million multi-year project to help Democrats reconnect with middle class voters and provide Democrats with an alternate path out of the wilderness. Mr. Israel will be bringing to the organization a deep expertise in middle class economic issues, evolving swing districts, and extensive network of thought leaders from across the country.” http://bit.ly/2iIkZEZ-- Melissa Salmanowitz is joining the Gates Foundation on Monday as a senior program officer on the U.S. policy, advocacy and communications team in D.C. Melissa is wrapping up her job at the Education Department, where she was the senior communications adviser to Education Secretary John King.SUNDAY SO FAR – “Fox News Sunday”: Panel: Bret Baier, Mo Elleithee, Kim Strassel, Juan WilliamsBIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Sandy Cannold, EP for CNBC’s “Power Lunch” ... Anna Morris, senior adviser in Treasury’s office of terrorist finance and financial crimes (hat tip: Ben Chang) BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: His Excellency Yousef Al Otaiba, Ambassador of the United Arab Emirates to the United States and a Georgetown fan, celebrating with “a quiet dinner with his wife Abeer – read his Playbook Plus Q&A: http://politi.co/2iVD3yC BIRTHDAYS: Ann Compton (h/t her Harvard IOP fellows who miss wine on grant with her) ... Jon Karl is 49 ... PBS alumnus Robert MacNeil is 86 ... Chase Deckard, third son of Ali and Josh Deckard ... John Avlon, editor in chief of Daily Beast, is 44 ... the incomparable Jacquelyn Fain Duberstein, “celebrating the anniversary of her 39th birthday by attending parties to commemorate this great event” (hubby tip: Ken) ... No Labels co-founder and treasurer Jerry Howe (h/t Dennis Craig) ... Civic Nation’s Jason Waskey (h/t wife Elena) … Evan McMorris-Santoro, correspondent for “Vice News Tonight” on HBO, is 36 … Caitlin Rush, digital account manager at The Herald Group (h/t Kurt Bardella) ... Melissa Boteach, VP of the Poverty to Prosperity Program at the Center for American Progress (hubby tip: Adam Kaplan) ... Beth DeFalco, comms director for the MTA and a Cory Booker, NY Post and AP alum ... Politico Europe’s Giulia Paravicini ... Kristin Mitchell, special events manager at The Corcoran Group ... WashPost’s Drew Harwell is 3-0 ... Brooks Kochvar, SVP at GS Strategy Group ... Emily Berman Pevnick, deputy director of strategic partnerships and global affairs in Rahm’s office and an AIPAC alum ... Paul Thacker ... … Sarah Farnsworth, an NSC alum now SVP for public affairs with the San Diego Padres ... Rep. Gregorio Kilili Camacho Sablan (D-North Mariana Islands) is 62 ... Maury Devine ... South Dakota state Sen. Angie Buhl ... Joe Milicia, AP alum now director of PR and comms at Cleveland Clinic Akron General ... Jonathan Monteith, a DNC alum now director of comms at State Innovation Exchange (SiX) ... Subrata De, VP of multi-platform newsgathering at ABC News ... Aruna Kalyanam of House Ways and Means ... Brita Stevenson of the Aspen Institute ... Tim Valentiner … Brian Hawthorne ... Preston Elliott ... Chicago Tribune alum Adam Sege, now doing comms at Everytown for Gun Safety, is 27 ... Patty Link … Charlotte Hudek … Laura Pena … Marc Schloss … David Green ... Heather Roth … Rebekah Kessler ... Sandy Blitz ... Brennan Hart ... Jonathan Steed, director of media relations at Vital Strategies ... Philip Reeker ... Dolly Parton is 71 (h/t Morning Hangover creator and publisher Kurt Bardella)… former U.N. Secretary-General Javier Perez de Cuellar is 97 ... Paula Deen is 7-0 ... Olympic gold medal gymnast Shawn Johnson is 25 (h/ts AP)

19 января, 09:51

Последний рубеж неоконсерватизма: «это все Россия»

В 1992 году, после окончания холодной войны, один американский политолог провозгласил «конец истории»: либеральная демократия и капиталистическая система одержали победу, и остальной мир в конечном счете поймет, что западные идеи лучше их собственных, поскольку  только они способны привести к миру и процветанию.

10 января, 19:02

CFR President Richard Haass Explains In New Book How We Arrived at "A World in Disarray" and What to Do About It

“These are no ordinary times. It will not be business as usual in a world of disarray; as a result, it cannot be foreign policy as usual,” writes Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), in his latest book, A World in Disarray: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old Order—a timely examination of a world increasingly defined by disorder. In three parts, the book contemplates the history of world order from the rise of the modern state system to the end of the Cold War; accounts for the momentous shifts in the last quarter century to shed light on the current state of affairs, and outlines specific steps to tackle the many challenges ahead.

05 января, 23:00

'A World in Disarray: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old Order'

CFR President Richard Haass will discuss A World in Disarray: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old Order with David Remnick of the New Yorker

16 декабря 2016, 00:08

Richard Haass under consideration for State Department deputy

Haass has served as director of policy planning at the State Department and as a senior director on the National Security Council.

16 ноября 2016, 01:56

Donald Trump's Cabinet-in-waiting: What we know so far

The list features a wide range of political insiders, mixed with people from the business world.

12 ноября 2016, 00:58

Однако 10.11.2016

Однако, здравствуйте! А вот теперь самое время вернуться к расхожей легенде о непредсказуемости Трампа. Д. Трамп: «Я хочу заверить весь мир, что, продолжая ставить на первое место интересы США, мы при этом будем честно поступать со всеми в мире, со всеми народами и нациями. Мы за партнерство, а не за конфликты». Здесь ключевое слово «американские интересы». Именно американские, не российские, не дай бог, не китайские, не общечеловеческие, прости, Господи! Напомним, «непредсказуемый» Трамп сформулировал в апреле еще принципы своей внешней политики. Д. Трамп: «Во-первых, наши ресурсы тотально, чрезмерно растянуты. Во-вторых, наши союзники не оплачивают свою долю расходов по справедливости. В-третьих, наши друзья начинают думать, что на нас нельзя положиться. В-четвертых, наши соперники более нас не уважают. И, наконец, у Америки более нет ясного понимания наших внешнеполитических целей. С конца холодной войны и распада СССР нам не хватает цельной внешней политики». Невозможно разговаривать с людьми, преследующими неясные цели, прикрываемые лживой идеологизированной пропагандой. Трамп предсказуем настолько, настолько предсказуемы американские интересы. Он говорит, во всяком случае пытается, на языке национальных интересов. Это наш общий язык. Интересы разные -язык общий. Хотя бы разговаривать уже можно. Д. Трамп: «Мир должен знать, что мы не ищем врагов. Мы всегда рады, когда старые враги становятся друзьями. Мы хотим жить в мире и дружбе с Россией и Китаем. У нас серьезные различия с этими двумя нациями, но мы не должны быть противниками. Мы должны искать общую почву на основе совместных интересов». Мир Трампа - это старый добрый мир мировых центров силы. Что наше - то наше. А что ваше - то ваше. Если вы сможете это доказать. Это жесткий мир раздела сфер влияния. А кто обещал, что все будет легко?! Трамп -первый из американских президентов, который открыто назвал проблемы, стоящие перед Америкой. Этот перечень таков, что ответить на них, не сломав шею, практически невозможно. Еще раз повторим: реальные полномочия американского президента гораздо скромнее его публичной позиции. И, как заметил глава самой влиятельной американской аналитической структуры, что случится с Америкой после выборов, не знает никто. «Но единственная настоящая уверенность есть только в одном: 96% мирового населения, которое не участвует в президентских выборах в США, ощутит на себе эти последствия не меньше, чем сами американцы», - заявил президент Совета по международным отношениям Ричард Хаас. Трамп - это вызов. И конфигурация этих самых последствий зависит от способностей ответить на этот вызов. Однако, до свидания! http://www.fb.com/0dnako CopyRight by: Первый Канал (1TV) & Однако + Однако,Контекст (М.Леонтьев)

11 ноября 2016, 09:19

Аналитическая программа «Однако» с Михаилом Леонтьевым

Однако, здравствуйте! А вот теперь самое время вернуться к расхожей легенде о непредсказуемости Трампа. Д. Трамп: «Я хочу заверить весь мир, что, продолжая ставить на первое место интересы США, мы при этом будем честно поступать со всеми в мире, со всеми народами и нациями. Мы за партнерство, а не за конфликты».

11 ноября 2016, 06:25

Аналитическая программа «Однако» с Михаилом Леонтьевым

Д. Трамп: «Я хочу заверить весь мир, что, продолжая ставить на первое место интересы США, мы при этом будем честно поступать со всеми в мире, со всеми народами и нациями. Мы за партнерство, а не за конфликты». Здесь ключевое слово «американские интересы». Именно американские, не российские, не дай бог, не китайские, не общечеловеческие, прости, Господи! Напомним, «непредсказуемый» Трамп сформулировал в апреле еще принципы своей внешней политики.

08 ноября 2016, 11:17

Текст: Выборы президента в США: особенности кампании 2016 и ожидание Maydana ( Владимир Матвеев )

Агрессивная президентская кампания в США проиллюстрировала, что американское общество расколото и сдвигается влево, политическая атмосфера подогревается дебатами, вышедшими на личностный уровень, а не реальным обсуждением общественно значимых вопросов. Исход президентских выборов могут определить "колеблющиеся штаты" и явка избирателей. Окончательное решение по победителю, скорее всего, будет зависеть от коллегии выборщиков. "Продолжающаяся президентская кампания в США выделяется отсутствием вежливости… Кампания выявила глубокий раскол внутри американского общества и нанесла вред международной репутации страны", — считает президент Совета по международным отношениям Ричард Хаас. По мнению многих западных политиков, кандидаты в президенты ...

27 октября 2016, 09:23

Текст: C чем столкнется новый президент США ( Ричард Хаас )

Ричард Хаас, президент Совета по международным отношениям: Кто бы ни победил 8 ноября, решение вопросов, требующих сотрудничества конгресса и Белого дома, будет сильно затруднено Нынешняя президентская кампания в США резко выделяется дефицитом порядочности и огромным различием двух основных кандидатов — выступающего против истеблишмента бизнесмена Дональда Трампа и лощеного политика Хиллари Клинтон. Это соперничество выявило глубокий раскол внутри американского общества и уже навредило международной репутации страны. Неудивительно, что в чем у американцев, наверное, нет разногласий, так это в том, что кампания длится уже слишком долго. Но очень...

21 октября 2016, 00:31

HUFFPOST HILL - America Nostalgic For Bush v. Gore, Somehow

Like what you read below? Sign up for HUFFPOST HILL and get a cheeky dose of political news every evening!  Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will be cracking jokes tonight with the New York elite, something not witnessed since Donald Trump’s wedding. As if Tim Kaine’s year couldn’t get any better, Trump name checked his band, the Bad Hombres, last night. And despite all the Janet Jackson jokes, we still can’t shake the idea that a “Nasty Woman” is a disgusting hoagie sandwich only available in parts of Eastern Pennsylvania. This is HUFFPOST HILL for Thursday, October 20th, 2016: TRUMP BASICALLY THREATENING TO UNDERMINE DEMOCRACY IF WE DON’T ELECT HIM - Trump/Pence: Don’t do anything stupid and no one gets hurt. Christina Wilkie: “Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump opened a rally on Thursday by mocking widespread concerns that he may not accept the results of November’s presidential election. ‘Ladies and gentleman, I wanna make a major announcement today,’ Trump told a rowdy crowd in Delaware, Ohio. ‘I would like to promise and pledge, to all of my voters and supporters and to all of the people of the United States, that I will totally accept the results of this great and historic presidential election’ he paused, ‘If I win.’ The crowd went wild. Trump made headlines Wednesday night, during the final presidential debate, by refusing to say whether or not he would accept the election results. In recent weeks he has stoked fears of voter fraud and claimed the election would be ‘rigged,’ despite a complete lack of evidence for either.” [HuffPost] Oh, ffs: “Hillary Clinton received the questions for the third presidential debate ahead of time, Donald Trump appeared to claim Thursday ― without offering any evidence, of course. ‘Why didn’t Hillary Clinton announce that she was inappropriately given the debate questions - she secretly used them! Crooked Hillary,’ [Trump tweeted]. Although the GOP nominee didn’t specify which debate he was referring to, the timing of the tweet suggested he was speaking about Wednesday’s debate at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. The event was moderated by Fox News host Chris Wallace. The prospect of the conservative network ‘rigging’ the debate in Clinton’s favor is laughable. Wallace was widely praised for his fine job of focusing on the issues, and he pressed both candidates equally.” [HuffPost] The Trump talking point that his skepticism about election results is no different than Al Gore’s actions in 2000 is total bunk, Nick Baumann explains.   ANOTHER WOMAN ACCUSES TRUMP OF ASSAULT - Just another instance of Donald Trump being the victim of a vast, globalist conspiracy making him violate other people’s bodies. Christina Wilkie: “A New York-based yoga instructor on Thursday said that Republican nominee Donald Trump groped her at a tennis tournament in 1998. Karena Virginia is the 13th woman in the past month to allege that Trump sexually mistreated her. Speaking at a press conference organized by attorney Gloria Allred, Virginia described waiting for a car to pick her up at the 1998 U.S. Open in Queens, New York, when she noticed Trump and a few other men looking at her. ‘Hey, look at this one, we haven’t seen her before,’ Trump allegedly said to his friends. ‘Look at those legs.’ Virginia said Trump then walked over to her and grabbed her right arm. ‘And then his hand touched the right inside of my breast,’ she recounted. She says she flinched, and Trump turned and said to her, ‘Don’t you know who I am?’ Right then, Virginia said, her car arrived, and she didn’t see Trump again for many years. The next time she saw him, he didn’t remember her.” [HuffPost] WE’RE GUESSING TRUMP HASN’T READ ‘LEAN IN’ -  Sam Levine: “Donald Trump, the Republican nominee for president, didn’t understand why the women on the first season of ‘The Apprentice’ didn’t do so well when they were paired with men. The two teams on the first season of the show started out separated by gender, but were mixed up after a few episodes after the women kept winning. Trump said he was shocked the women dominated the men at the beginning of the show. ‘What surprised me most was how easily the women dominated initially,’ Trump said at a 2004 press conference about the show, according to the Houston Chronicle. ‘Yet when the women were put with the men, they lost their dominance. I don’t know why. Maybe that’s a reflection of real life.’” [HuffPost] Like HuffPost Hill? Then order Eliot’s new book, The Beltway Bible: A Totally Serious A-Z Guide To Our No-Good, Corrupt, Incompetent, Terrible, Depressing, and Sometimes Hilarious Government Does somebody keep forwarding you this newsletter? Get your own copy. It’s free! Sign up here. Send tips/stories/photos/events/fundraisers/job movement/juicy miscellanea to [email protected] Follow us on Twitter - @HuffPostHill FLAKE URGES MOVEMENT ON GARLAND NOMINATION - Burgess Everett: “Arizona Republican Sen. Jeff Flake has maintained for months that Republicans should take up Merrick Garland’s Supreme Court nomination if it looks like the presidential contest is a lost cause for the GOP. It’s looking about that time, Flake said in an interview on Thursday. ‘I said if we were in a position like we were in in ‘96 and we pretty much knew the outcome that we ought to move forward. But I think we passed that awhile ago,’ Flake said. ‘If Hillary Clinton is president-elect then we should move forward with hearings in the lame duck. That’s what I’m encouraging my colleagues to do.’ The political calculus is straightforward: Better to deal with Garland now and avoid swallowing a more liberal nominee from Hillary Clinton. Flake, a member of the Senate Judiciary Committee, would not explicitly say that he expects Clinton will win. But he all but admitted that Donald Trump — whom Flake opposes — is toast.” [Politico] GOP CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP SILENT ON TRUMP’S ELECTION REMARKS - Michael McAuliff: “The failure of Republican leaders to denounce Donald Trump’s refusal to abide by a potential electoral loss is worsening the damage the GOP presidential nominee is already doing to America’s democratic system, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) charged Thursday.... Yet, the two top-ranking Republicans in the United States ― Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) and House Speaker Paul Ryan (Wis.) ― have been entirely quiet. Neither office had anything to say to HuffPost’s repeated queries on the subject, although Ryan’s spokeswoman, AshLee Strong, pointed to what she said on Saturday: ‘Our democracy relies on confidence in election results, and the speaker is fully confident the states will carry out this election with integrity.’ … McConnell and Ryan have both criticized some of Trump’s statements in the past, but neither have withdrawn their endorsements of the ill-tempered mogul. Their reluctance may owe to Trump’s strong standing among Republicans. Indeed, a Bloomberg Politics survey released Thursday found 51 percent of Republicans think Trump’s views best match their vision for the Republican Party, compared to just 33 percent who feel that way about Ryan. “ [HuffPost] VOTER FRAUD IS VERY HARD - This is in response to Rudy Giuliani’s claim that Democrats will commit fraud in Pennsylvania by bussing in voters to vote multiple times. Philip Bump: “Assuming 6 million people vote, that means that we’d expect the final vote tally in the state to be 2.8 million votes for Clinton and 2.4 million votes for Trump, with a margin of 372,000 votes. Meaning that we’d need to bus 372,000 people into Pennsylvania to vote, assuming the results are rigged.... The always-useful site SchoolBusInfo.com tells us that 72 people can fit on a regular school bus. That’s little kids, mind you. Only 48 high schoolers can fit on the same bus. But let’s assume we really pack these fraudsters in, have them standing in the aisles and so on. So: 72 each. We need to line up 5,167 buses to make our plan work… Oh, wait. No. We only need to line up 74,400 people, since each one will vote five times, according to Giuliani. Simple to round up 75,000 people in New York, and that decreases our necessary bus count to a more-manageable 1,033 buses. That’s a line of buses that would only stretch 9 miles. Barely noticeable.” [WaPo] LOL, EVAN BAYH - Next thing you know, the students from the university job he never took will turn on him. Carl Hulse: “Until just a few months ago, Evan Bayh was working for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Now the chamber is working as hard as it can against him. In a campaign twist with significance in the battle for the Senate, the nation’s leading business lobby is going all out to defeat Mr. Bayh, the former Democratic senator from Indiana trying to reclaim his old seat. The chamber is doing so despite the fact that Mr. Bayh, considered a business-friendly centrist, was on the chamber payroll as recently as June and made appearances on the organization’s behalf after leaving the Senate in 2011.... For Mr. Bayh, the chamber’s move is a disappointment that illustrates what is wrong with Washington. ‘I was disappointed to see the U.S. Chamber putting partisan politics over a longstanding relationship,’ Mr. Bayh said in a statement issued by his campaign. ‘I was pleased to work with the chamber for many years and have actually agreed with them on several important issues. Their decision reflects just how polarized and partisan Washington has become.’” [NYT] WHEN YOU’VE LOST PAUL LEPAGE - Pretty amazing comments from a guy who was hyping up authoritarianism all but, oh, six seconds ago. Adam Hamze: “Donald Trump’s refusal to commit to accepting the outcome of the election in Wednesday night’s debate has unnerved one of his most vocal supporters. Maine Gov. Paul LePage (R), who has proudly defended the GOP nominee amid his many controversies, finally reached his breaking point Thursday, rebuking Trump for not vowing to follow democratic tradition and accept a likely election loss. ‘It’s a stupid comment. I mean, come on, get over yourself,’ LePage said during an interview with WGAN. ‘Donald, take your licks, and let’s move on four years.’ ... LePage has been an adamant supporter of Trump, even going far enough to say he would like the New York real estate mogul to ‘show some authoritarian power.’ Trump has awarded his admiration, saying he’d offer LePage a spot in his cabinet if he were to win the White House.” [HuffPost] MERRICK GARLAND: STILL AROUND - “For now, Judge Merrick Garland is in limbo. That is, if heaven is serving on the Supreme Court and waiting in limbo involves a bunch of paperwork. Each morning, Garland does what he’s always done: he goes to work. That’s not so unusual. But these days, when he leaves his quiet Bethesda, Maryland, neighborhood, he’s riding in an SUV with federal agents.... [E]ver since President Barack Obama nominated him to replace the late Justice Antonin Scalia, Garland hasn’t been wielding a gavel in the courtroom — Supreme Court nominees often don’t hear cases while they’re awaiting confirmation. For seven months now, Garland has focused on administrative duties such as overseeing the court’s budget and preparing for a Senate hearing on his nomination that may not happen.” [Roll Call] BECAUSE YOU’VE READ THIS FAR - Here’s a cat who is bad at fetch. BAD LAWYER IS BAD - This could be an “It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia” plotline. Cristian Farias: “[S]omeone in the Kansas attorney general’s office apparently thought it was a good idea to cite to Dred Scott v. Sanford, the 1857 pro-slavery ruling, in a pending case where the state is defending an anti-abortion bill that was earlier ruled unconstitutional. Elizabeth Wydra, president of the legal think tank Constitutional Accountability Center in Washington, noted the citation on Tuesday, which led to outrage on social media and a barrage of breathless coverage in multiple outlets.… In an accompanying media statement, Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt acknowledged the citation to Dred Scott ‘should not have been made.’ ‘Neither the State nor its attorneys believe or were arguing that Dred Scott was correctly decided,” Schmidt said. ‘Nonetheless, the reference to that case was obviously inappropriate, and as soon as I became aware of it today, I ordered the State’s brief withdrawn.’” [HuffPost] COMFORT FOOD - The origin of the internet’s favorite dumpster fire. - Dog does an incredible TIE fighter impression. - A look at how the 1990s treated computer hacking in films. TWITTERAMA @resnikoff: Everything Halperin says is intended to preserve off-the-record access to Steve Bannon so he can write HALF TIME or whatever it’ll be called @MikeGrunwald:I always expected Obama to coopt the phrase “Obamacare” but coopting the phrase “Thanks Obama” is really next level. @SimonMaloy: MORNING JOSEPH: ugh, these elites, they’re the danged worst; amirite Tom Brokaw, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Richard Haass, and Jon Meacham?   Got something to add? Send tips/quotes/stories/photos/events/fundraisers/job movement/juicy miscellanea to Eliot Nelson ([email protected]) or Arthur Delaney ([email protected]). -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 октября 2016, 15:58

Текст: Даг Кейси о глупости самозванных элит ( Даг Кейси )

Источник 04.10.2016 Марк Твен (Mark Twain) сказал: «Если вы не читаете газет, вы не информированы. Если вы их читаете, вы дезинформированы». Вот почему я хочу обратить ваше внимание на статью под названием «Соблазн изоляционизма», опубликованную в Уолл-стрит джорнал 7 августа. Её написал Ричард Хаас (Richard Haass), президент Совета по международным отношениям (Council on Foreign Relations). Статью не стоило бы читать, если бы она не давала реальное представление о том, что думает «элита». СМО относится к десят...

22 сентября 2016, 15:46

Антироссийские санкции и хаотичная Европа

В среду вице-президент США Джо Байден побеседовал с председателем Совета по международным отношениям Ричардом Хаасом. Совет по международным отношениям – это частная организация, которая имеет значительное влияние на внешнюю политику США. Интервью с Байденом опубликовано на сайте организации. Беседа продолжалась больше часа и была посвящена перспективам внешней политики США. В частности, обсуждали ситуацию на Ближнем Востоке, прежде всего в Сирии и Ираке; затрагивали перспективы Транс-тихоокеанского партнерства (в условиях того, что обоим нынешним кандидатам в президенты США этот проект не нравится); упоминали напряженность отношений с Китаем; ссылались на северокорейскую ядерную угрозу. Среди прочего, речь зашла об Украине. Этот эпизод заинтересовал некоторых комментаторов. Так, Reuters пишет, что в среду вице-президент США подчеркнул, что Украине нужно проводить обещанные экономические и политические реформы, потому что иначе ЕС может отменить свои антироссийские санкции. Байден отметил, подчеркивает автор, что как минимум пять стран-участниц ЕС на настоящий момент не хотят поддерживать эти санкции. Автор также поясняет, что ЕС ввел против России санкции по итогам присоединения Крыма в 2014 г. Кроме того, санкции мотивировались тем, что на востоке Украины, несмотря на условия перемирия, в соответствии с минскими соглашениями, продолжаются боевые действия. США и другие западные союзники предоставили Украине финансовую поддержку, а в обмен на это Украина пообещала провести реформы. Между тем, отмечает автор, успехи реформирования неоднозначны.   Украинские военные. Фото: mil.gov.ua Этими высказывания заинтересовался и EUObserver. В первую очередь, автор обращает внимание на сопутствующую характеристику Европы. Мотивируя готовность ЕС снять санкции, Байден заявил, что никогда еще за всю свою карьеру не наблюдал Европу в таком хаотичном состоянии, как сейчас, по итогам миграционного кризиса и решения Британии отсоединиться от блока. Также Байден отметил, что ему пришлось давить на Францию, Германию и Италию, чтобы всё же немного продлить санкции. При этом он отметил, что если раньше канцлер Германии Ангела Меркель и президент Франции Франсуа Олланд были убеждены в том, что санкции надо продлевать, то теперь эта уверенность начала ослабевать. Смягчение в случае с Меркель Байден связал с ее растущей непопулярностью в стране из-за миграционной политики. Автор добавляет, что параллельно с этим левоцентристская Социал-демократическая партия Германии начала призывать к восстановлению связей с Россией в рамках своей предвыборной агитации в ожидании выборов, которые состоятся в следующем году. Более того, лидер партии, он же вице-канцлер Зигмар Габриэль в среду встретился в Москве с президентом России Владимиром Путиным. Габриэль, правда, отметился также высказываниями о том, что снятие санкций с России обязательно нужно привязать к выполнению обязательств по минским соглашениям. Однако его тут же раскритиковали коллеги, говоря, что антироссийские санкции себя исчерпали. Автор поясняет, что, по соглашениям, Россия должна вывести свои вооруженные силы из восточных областей Украины, а Украина, со своей стороны, должна предоставить этому региону больше автономии. Также автор напоминает, что в ЕС сейчас действует три пакета санкций против России: запрет на поддержание деловых связей с Крымом; черный список, состоящий примерно из 150 граждан России и Украины, против которых введены индивидуальные санкции; и экономические санкции, направленные против российских банков и энергетических компаний. Сроки экономических санкций, если они не будут продлены, истекают в январе 2017 г. Тему продления европейские лидеры начнут обсуждать в следующем месяце. Остальные два пакета действуют до середины 2017 г.

21 сентября 2016, 16:21

Vice President Biden Participates in a Discussion with Richard Haass

Vice President participates in a discussion at the Council on Foreign Relations.

16 сентября 2016, 00:52

Powell's persona takes a hit from email flap

'I am most concerned about what this will do to his image,' one close confidant says.

10 августа 2016, 17:30

Мнения: Патрик Бьюкенен: Понятно, что Хаас расстроен

Нам, американцам, следует преобразовать Сирию, Ирак, Ливию, Йемен и Афганистан в прозападные демократические страны, а также принять беженцев из этих стран, даже если это убьет нашу экономику. Если же вы отказываетесь от этого, вас обзовут изоляционистом. «Изоляционисты не должны иметь преобладающего голоса в дискуссии по поводу новой внешней политики США, – предупреждает Ричард Хаас, президент Совета по международным отношениям. – Последствия американского отхода от дел внешнего мира были бы плачевными». Борясь с «изоляционистским искушением», Хаас создает карикатуру, шарж на американских патриотов, и в то же время кричит, что мы не можем стать «гигантами закрытого общества». Конечно, понятно, что Хаас расстроен. Для него это означало бы потерю страны. Были допущены промахи, которые довели до кровотечения американскую экономику и обесценили все то, что было достигнуто США по итогам холодной войны, а именно – глобального первенства. Это сделали не изоляционисты. Отнюдь. Виноватые – Совет по международным отношениям, неоконы и либеральные интервенты, которые играют в империю, создавая новый мировой порядок и считая себя хозяевами вселенной. Рассмотрим лишь некоторые из решений, принятых в те годы, которые якобы большинство американцев одобряют и хотят снова применить. После того как Советский Союз вывел Красную армию из Европы и был разделен на 15 республик, Россия протянула руку к США, а мы отбросили эту руку и пододвинули НАТО поближе к российским границам. Разъяренные русские обратились к человеку, который восстановил международное уважение по отношению к их стране. Неужели мы думаем, что они будут отказываться от него? Каким образом нахождение Литвы, Латвии и Эстонии в НАТО делает Америку сильнее, безопаснее и надежнее? Скорее, наоборот, мы стали ближе к военному столкновению с использованием ядерного оружия. В 2014 году Джон Маккейн и американские дипломаты приветствовали Майдан на площади Независимости в Киеве, в результате которого было свергнуто пророссийское, демократически избранное правительство и установлен пронатовский режим. Каким был ответ Путина? Обеспечена защита военно-морской базы в Севастополе, Крыма, а также предложена гуманитарная помощь пророссийским украинцам в Луганске и Донецке, которые предпочли отделение вместо того, чтобы терпеть американских марионеток. К счастью, нашим американским интервентам не удалось включить Грузию и Украину в НАТО. Если бы им это удалось, мы почти наверняка были бы на грани войны с Россией. Сделало бы это нас сильнее, безопаснее, увереннее? После атаки 11 сентября Джордж Буш ввязал страну в Афганистан, чтобы уничтожить гнездо убийц из «Аль-Каиды». После того как были уничтожены некоторые ячейки, Буш решил остаться и намеревался превратить эту дикую землю пуштунов, хазарейцев, таджиков и узбеков в подобие штата Айова. Пятнадцать лет прошло, мы все еще там. Потом мы все же ушли, но вернулись талибы, которые свели на нет все, что мы сделали, и убивали тех, кто сотрудничал с американцами. Если бы нам пришлось делать это снова, мы бы послали армию США и гражданский корпус, чтобы сделать Афганистан похожим на нас? Буш затем вторгся в Ирак, сверг Саддама, провел чистки в партии Баас и распустил иракскую армию. Результат: разрушенная, разделенная нация с проиранским режимом в Багдаде, ИГИЛ, занявшее Мосул, а также проблема курдов. Большинство американцев сейчас считают, что Ирак был кровавой ошибкой, стоившей нам триллион долларов, последствия которой будут нами ощущаться в течение многих десятилетий. В восстании против Башара аль-Асада США помогали повстанцам. Теперь 400 тысяч сирийцев мертвы, половина территории страны вырвана с корнем, миллионы находятся в изгнании, а режим Асада в Дамаске при поддержке России, Ирана и «Хезболлы» держится спустя пять лет после начала войны. В то же время мы не можем даже решить, хотим ли мы, чтобы Асад выжил или все же пал, и мы также не знаем, кто придет к власти после него. Кто-то еще считает хорошей идею вторжения в Сирию и поддержку повстанцев? Кто-то еще считает хорошей идею поддержать Саудовскую Аравию в войне против хути в Йемене, которая опустошила страну и ставит под угрозу выживание миллионов ее жителей? Кто-то считает все еще хорошей идею нападения на Ливию и свержение Муаммара Каддафи теперь, когда ИГИЛ и другие исламисты и конкурирующие режимы борются за куски этой измученной земли? «Ближний Восток, возможно, является самым ярким примером того, что происходит, когда США отступают назад», – пишет Хаас. То есть, по его мнению, проблема заключается не в том, что мы с головой окунулись в этот омут тирании, трайбализма и терроризма, но в том, что мы пытались выкарабкаться. Разговоры и советы, что Америка должна покинуть Ближний Восток, говорит Хаас, «вносят большой вклад в нестабильность в регионе». То есть должны остаться там на неопределенный срок? По мнению Хааса, видимо, роль Америки в мире заключается лишь в том, чтобы загнать подальше Россию, защищать Европу, сдерживать Китай, изолировать Иран, сдерживать Северную Корею, а также бороться с «Аль-Каидой» и ИГИЛ, где бы они ни находились, за счет жертв среди наших военных. Но это еще не все. Нам следует, по мысли Хааса, также преобразовать Сирию, Ирак, Ливию, Йемен и Афганистан в прозападные демократические страны, а также принять беженцев из этих стран, даже если это будет стоить 800 миллиардов долларов торгового дефицита и убьет экономику. Если же вы отказываетесь от этого, вас обзовут изоляционистом. Источник: WND.com Теги:  США, война в Ираке, Ближний Восток, Афганистан, внешняя политика США Закладки:

10 августа 2016, 00:00

Who Got Us Into These Endless Wars?

Pat Buchanan, Pittsburgh Tribune-Review"Isolationists must not prevail in this new debate over foreign policy," warns Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations. "The consequences of a lasting American retreat from the world would be dire." To make his case against the "Isolationist Temptation," Haass creates a caricature, a cartoon, of America First patriots, then thunders that we cannot become "a giant gated community." Understandably, Haass is upset. For the CFR has lost the country.

04 августа 2016, 02:20

Donald Trump's Musings On Nukes May Be The Most Disqualifying Thing He's Done Yet

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Donald Trump has denigrated Mexicans and Muslims, threatened to break international prohibitions on torture and shown a shocking disregard for the importance of a free press. But none of that may be as disqualifying for the presidency as his casual attitude toward the use of nuclear weapons ― particularly in light of a news report from Wednesday morning. The report came from Joe Scarborough, the host of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” during a segment about national security issues that featured former CIA director Michael Hayden. When Hayden said he knew of no prominent experts working with Trump, Scarborough jumped in: I’ll have to be very careful here. Several months ago, a foreign policy expert on international level went to advise Donald Trump, and three times he asked about the use of nuclear weapons. Three times he asked, at one point, if we have them, why can’t we use them? That’s one of the reasons he just doesn’t have foreign policy experts around him. Three times, in an hour briefing, why can’t we use nuclear weapons. It’s just one secondhand account ― and just a few hours later, Trump campaign manager Paul Manafort told interviewers on Fox News that Scarborough’s story was all wrong. “The idea that he’s trying to understand where to use nuclear weapons?” Manafort asked. “It just didn’t happen. I was in the meeting, it didn’t happen.” But Scarborough, a former Republican congressman, is as well-connected as anybody in Washington these days. One of his show’s regular guests is Richard Haass, the president of the Council on Foreign Relations, who met with Trump at least once, in August 2015. More important, as The Huffington Post’s Igor Bobic points out, Trump’s previous statements suggest he is far less reluctant to contemplate the use of nuclear weapons than any other recent president or major presidential candidate. In a March interview with Bloomberg Politics, for example,Trump was asked whether he would rule out using tactical nuclear weapons against the self-described Islamic State, also known as ISIS. He replied, “I’m never going to rule anything out — I wouldn’t want to say. Even if I wasn’t, I wouldn’t want to tell you that because at a minimum, I want them to think maybe we would use them.” Later, during an MSNBC town hall, he said, “I’m not going to use nuclear, but I’m not taking any cards off the table.” It’s hard to overstate how unsettling Trump’s posture on nuclear weapons is. Although precise details of launch procedures are classified, the U.S. has a two-person rule in place for the use of nuclear weapons, according to several published accounts. And under this rule, the secretary of defense must confirm a presidential order before it becomes effective. But in a Trump administration, the defense secretary would be a Trump appointee. In theory, that official would have a legal obligation to verify Trump’s command. “In military law and discipline, orders must be followed ― as long as they are legal,” Heather Hurlburt, a national security expert at New America, told HuffPost. “So one could easily imagine a President Trump ordering a nuclear strike that military officers thought failed to meet Geneva standards.” Trump is an elephant jumping up and down on one side of the scale. So damn dangerous. Republican national security expert John Noonan The drama has played out in movies, usually with an unhinged president launching weapons against the Soviet Union or Russia ― or in response to some kind of false alarm. (Yes, false alarms have happened before.) But to imagine a first strike happening with Trump in the White House, it helps to imagine a different kind of scenario ― say, a terrorist attack somewhere in the U.S. In the fevered, panicked environment that a homeland incident could provoke, it’s not so crazy to imagine Trump ordering a nuclear strike against ISIS targets in Syria ― even though such a strike would, in fact, be crazy. Probably the most generous interpretation of Trump’s statements is that Scarborough’s account is somehow inaccurate and that Trump merely intends to dangle the possibility of using nuclear weapons as part of his negotiating technique to intimidate foreign adversaries. But even musing about the use of nuclear weapons would be profoundly destabilizing, because one of the most important checks on the use of such weapons is the knowledge that no nation that possesses them would actually use them without facing an existential threat. As Hurlburt told HuffPost in an email: If you are a government that the US sees as an adversary, the more you think the US might stage a bolt-from-the-blue strike, the more you are incentivized to act first to protect your interests, or to structure your security in ways that would survive and enable retaliation. Which heightens the possibility for misunderstanding and inadvertent conflict. The US and the Soviet Union, and even India and Pakistan, found it to be a wise choice to have nuclear doctrines that were quite transparent and predictable.  Commanders and officers in the field ― the people who would have to drop the bombs or launch the missiles ― are the final check on a president ordering first use of nuclear weapons. One person who knows all about that is John Noonan, who spent nearly four years manning an Air Force missile silo underneath the soil of Wyoming. On Monday, following Scarborough’s comments, Noonan explained why Trump’s dalliance with nuclear weapons, however casual, makes him so unfit to be president. The “idea that nukes would be used, say over Raqqa or Mosul, simply because we have no more allies and it’s a simple, easy fix is nauseating,” Noonan wrote in a series of tweets. “Simply signaling that you’re open to using strategic weapons as a tactical solution rewrites the rule book. Russia, China, others will respond. Nuclear deterrence is about balance. Trump is an elephant jumping up and down on one side of the scale. So damn dangerous.” In a subsequent interview, Noonan noted that some of Trump’s other comments ― like saying he would “take out” the families of terrorists ― would demonstrate a willingness to break with conventions about the proper use of nuclear weapons. “Once concern about civilian casualties and collateral damage is out the window,” he said, “what’s to stop you from launching a couple of B-61 gravity bombs off a pair of F-16s in Syria?” After Noonan left the military in 2010, he got involved in politics ― as a writer for the conservative Weekly Standard and, later, an adviser to Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Jeb Bush. He is, in short, nobody’s idea of a wimp. And he’s scared. Maybe you should be, too. Editor’s note: Donald Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims ― 1.6 billion members of an entire religion ― from entering the U.S.   -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

19 июля 2016, 19:00

MiB: Richard Haass

This week on our Masters in Business podcast, we speak with Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations. This conversation covered everything from Terrorism to Trade to Immigration to Brexit, and given all of the recent events overseas, could not ossibly be more timely. Haass, who has a B.A. from Oberlin College and an M.A.… Read More The post MiB: Richard Haass appeared first on The Big Picture.

04 декабря 2011, 10:20

Мировая революция развивается строго по плану МФО, изложенному Генри Киссинджером*

Оригинал взят у alexandr_palkin в Мировая революция развивается строго по плану МФО, изложенному Генри Киссинджером*Ричард Н. Хаас Изменение курса Америки НЬЮ-ЙОРК. Около 40 лет назад, когда я поступил в Оксфордский  университет  в  качестве аспиранта,  я заявил о своем интересе к Ближнему Востоку. Мне сказали, что эта часть мира попала под рубрику «Востоковедение» и что мне будет назначен соответствующий профессор. Но когда я приехал на первую встречу в офис профессора, на его книжных полках стояли тома с китайскими иероглифами. Он был специалистом в том, что было, по крайней мере для меня в то время, не тем Востоком.Что-то похожее на эту ошибку произошло и с американской внешней политикой. Соединенные Штаты стали озабочены Ближним Востоком в какой-то степени не тем Востоком и не обращали должного внимания на Восточную Азию и Тихоокеанский регион, где будет написана большая часть истории двадцать первого века.Хорошей новостью является то, что этот фокус смещается. В действительности в американской внешней политике происходит тихая трансформация, которая является столь же значительной, как и запоздалой. США заново открывают Азию.«Заново» самое главное слово здесь. Азия была одним из двух главных театров второй мировой войны и снова разделила центральное место с Европой во время холодной войны. В действительности, два величайших конфликта этого периода войны в Корее и Вьетнаме велись на территории Азии.Но с окончанием холодной войны и распадом Советского Союза Азия ушла из сферы американских интересов. В первое десятилетие после окончания холодной войны США посвятили большую часть своего внимания Европе. Американские политики сосредоточились главным образом на расширении НАТО, чтобы охватить многие из бывших стран Варшавского договора, а также на борьбе с пост-югославскими войнами.Второй этап эры после холодной войны начался с террористических нападений 11 сентября. За этим последовало десятилетие сосредоточенности США на борьбе с терроризмом и крупномасштабных операций американских военных сил в Ираке и Афганистане. В двух конфликтах погибли более 6000 американских солдат, было потрачено более 1 трлн долларов США, а также истрачено огромное количество времени двух президентов и их старших сотрудников.Но теперь эта фаза американской внешней политики подходит к концу. Президент США Барак Обама объявил, что американские вооруженные силы будут выведены из Ирака к концу 2011 года. В Афганистане американское военное присутствие достигло своего пика и сейчас снижается; остаются только вопросы относительно темпов вывода войск, размера и роли возможного остаточного военного присутствия США после 2014 года.Это вовсе не означает, что Ближний Восток не имеет никакого значения, или что США должны его игнорировать. Напротив, он по-прежнему обладает огромными запасами нефти и газа. В этой части мира террористы активны, а конфликты являются обычным явлением. Иран все ближе подходит к созданию ядерного оружия; и если это произойдет, другие вполне могут последовать этому примеру. И этот регион сейчас переживает то, что может оказаться историческим внутриполитическим потрясением. Существует также уникальная американская связь с Израилем.Тем не менее, у США есть основания меньше участвовать в делах Большого Ближнего Востока, чем это было в последние годы: ослабление Аль-Каиды, плохие перспективы для миротворческих усилий и, прежде всего, все большее количество свидетельств того, что, по любым меркам, массивные инициативы государственного строительства не приносят результатов, соизмеримых с инвестициями.В то же время есть сильные аргументы в пользу большей вовлеченности США в Азиатско-Тихоокеанском регионе. При многочисленном населении и быстро развивающейся экономике региона трудно переоценить его экономическое значение. Американские компании каждый год экспортируют более чем на 300 миллиардов долларов США товаров и услуг в страны региона. Между тем, страны Азии являются важнейшим источником инвестиций для экономики США.Таким образом, поддержание стабильности в регионе имеет решающее значение для экономического (и глобального) успеха США. У США есть многочисленные обязательства по участию в альянсах с Японией, Южной Кореей, Австралией, Филиппинами и Таиландом которые необходимы, в частности, для сдерживания северокорейской агрессии. Более того, американская политика должна создать условия, в которых растущий Китай не будет испытывать соблазн использовать свою растущую мощь принудительно в пределах или за пределами региона. По этой причине усилия США в последнее время по укреплению связей с Индией и странами Юго-Восточной Азией имеют здравый смысл.США правы в переключении своего внимания с Ближнего на Дальний Восток. Хорошей новостью является то, что этот вывод, кажется, общий для всего американского политического спектра. Митт Ромни, вероятный кандидат от республиканцев на пост президента, призывает ускорить темпы судостроения – обязательство, связанное с ростом присутствия США в Тихом океане. И государственный секретарь США Хиллари Клинтон говорит о повороте Америки от Большого Ближнего Востока: «Стратегический и экономический центр тяжести мира смещается на восток, и мы больше ориентируемся на Азиатско-Тихоокеанский регион».Независимо от того, станет ли двадцать первый век еще одним «американским веком», несомненно то, что это будет азиатско-тихоокеанский век. Вполне естественно и разумно, что США займут центральное место в любой эволюции этого факта.Ричард Н. Хаас - бывший директор Отдела стратегического планирования Госдепартамента США, является президентом Совета по международным отношениям.Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011.www.project-syndicate.orgПеревод с английского – Николай Жданович*Генри Киссинджер "Три революции"  http://alexandr-palkin.livejournal.com/125030.html