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28 февраля, 02:40

Trump giving lawmakers whiplash on Obamacare

The president will have to gain some message discipline if he wants to push through a repeal-and-replace plan.

28 февраля, 01:27

There Are 10 Anti-Refugee Attacks Every Day In Germany

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); For thousands of refugees who’ve sought asylum in Germany, the nightmare doesn’t end once they’ve escaped tyranny in their native countries.  According to a new report released by Germany’s Interior Ministry, there were more than 3,500 attacks on refugees, buildings that shelter them and refugee volunteers and organizations in 2016, amounting to about 10 attacks a day, German outlets reported.   Of those attacks, 2,455 targeted individuals, 988 targeted shelters and 217 targeted organizations and volunteers. The incidents resulted in 560 injured refugees, 43 of whom were children.  “Attacks on people who seek protection with us and attacks on aid workers are attacks on all of us, on our open and free society,” German Interior Minister Heiko Maas tweeted in German on Sunday, listing some of the figures. Angriffe auf Menschen, die bei uns Schutz suchen und Attacken auf Helfer sind Angriffe auf uns alle, auf unsere offene, freie Gesellschaft. pic.twitter.com/MP9QVJrXRJ— Heiko Maas (@HeikoMaas) February 26, 2017 More than half of the world’s refugees hail from Syria, Afghanistan and Somalia, in that order, according to United Nations statistics. While the number of attacks in Germany is high, that may also be related to the amount of refugees the country has accepted in recent years. In 2015, Germany was the largest single recipient of new asylum applications in the world, according to the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees’ most recent report. The 441,900 asylum applications Germany received that year doubled figures from the previous year and marked the eighth consecutive increase. However, the country has since tightened its refugee policy, saying it will send some back to Greece.  Still, there are indicators that attacks in Germany may be on the rise. An Amnesty International report released last year tallied around 2,100 attacks on refugees and their shelters in 2015, marking a sharp increase from just two years prior. Attacks on shelters, for example, were 16 times more common in 2015 than they were in 2013. The problem is partly due to police not carrying out “effective, prompt, adequate and thorough investigations into allegations of racist violence” and “the complexities of the German system for classifying hate crimes,” Amnesty International found.  -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

27 февраля, 23:36

5 Alternative ETFs to Avoid 'Cognitive Dissonance' in Market

If you believe that the market rally is about to end after a stellar run, you can counter risks with these alternative ETFs.

27 февраля, 18:47

White House calls for $54B bump in defense spending, sharp domestic cuts

The Trump administration has not said how much money it will ask Congress to spend in total.

27 февраля, 18:36

Much Ado About Nothing: Bannon and the NSC

Andrew J. Bowen Security, How worried (at all) should we be?  General H.R. McMaster’s appointment as National Security Advisor has revived the debate about the structure, personnel, and focus of the NSC. In particular, Stephen Bannon’s status as a permanent member on the principals committee has received renewed attention. When first announced in President Trump’s executive order, a whole litany of former Obama National Security Council officials condemned his appointment as an abrogation of tradition, process, and function. Tweets and op-eds proliferated on how the NSC is becoming “politicized” and that neither Valerie Jarrett nor Karl Rove held a regular seat in the Situation Room during the Obama and Bush White Houses. There was particularly sharp criticism concerning the decision to remove the Director of National Intelligence and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff from the principals committee. While precedent was indeed neglected by placing a senior political advisor on the principals committee, Bannon’s appointment does not guarantee a significant break in tradition — at least at the level of practice. Karl Rove didn’t sit in on Situation Room meetings, but it would be safe to assume that the President relied on the counsel of Rove to weigh major decisions on politics and national security. Jared Kushner likewise does not sit on the NSC, and yet Kushner has already been deputized to play a leading role on a number of foreign policy priorities, most notably the Arab-Israeli conflict. Read full article

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27 февраля, 17:13

Bubbles for Fama -- by Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer, Yang You

We evaluate Eugene Fama's claim that stock prices do not exhibit price bubbles. Based on US industry returns 1926-2014 and international sector returns 1985-2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns going forward; (2) such sharp price increases predict a substantially heightened probability of a crash; (3) attributes of the price run-up, including volatility, turnover, issuance, and the price path of the run-up can all help forecast an eventual crash and future returns; and (4) some of these characteristics can help investors earn superior returns by timing the bubble. Results hold similarly in US and international samples.

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27 февраля, 16:06

PRIORITIES: Trump Seeks Sharp Increases In Military Spending, “Drastic Cuts” To State Department, EP…

PRIORITIES: Trump Seeks Sharp Increases In Military Spending, “Drastic Cuts” To State Department, EPA. It ought to be an entertaining speech he gives to Congress tomorrow night. I’ll report in to the PJMedia homepage at about 8:45pm Eastern for the first Trump Administration primetime drunkblog.

27 февраля, 12:16

Jeremy Hunt rejects claims he covered up loss of 500,000 patient documents - Politics live

Rolling coverage of the day’s political developments as they happenNumber 10 lobby briefing - SummaryLunchtime summary 6.29pm GMT 6.18pm GMT Peter Hain is now winding up the debate.He says everyone is agreeing with him. But, as Lord Kerslake (the former head of the civil service) said in the debate earlier, the harder the Brexit, the harder the border. Continue reading...

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27 февраля, 11:00

Utopian thinking: our prisons are broken – here’s how to fix them | Eric Allison

The penal system in England in Wales is expensive, overcrowded and failing. So let’s throw out old assumptions and embrace the model of HMP GrendonI received my first taste of custody in 1957, aged 14: three months in a detention centre. They were new on the scene, planned to administer a “short, sharp shock” to us young miscreants and deter us from the criminal path we had set out on. It didn’t work, of course. During my subsequent criminal/penal journey I bumped into virtually every single member of that class of ’57. And I made it my business to understand the system that prosecuted and occasionally imprisoned me. I knew my enemy well. Related: What can save our prisons from chaos? The governors | John Podmore Continue reading...

27 февраля, 09:00

Relative pricing dynamics driving European gas hubs

Relative gas, oil & coal price dynamics have driven the evolution of the European gas market over the last year, e.g. contract prices & power sector gas demand.

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27 февраля, 04:54

China sees sharp decline in ivory smuggling in 2016

The amount of smuggled ivory tracked down in China fell 80 percent in 2016 from previous peak years, the State Forestry Administration (SFA) said Sunday.

26 февраля, 04:17

GOP governors split on Obamacare replacement

At the National Governors Association Winter Meeting, leaders from 33 GOP-controlled states say they’re trying to find consensus.

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26 февраля, 01:30

Leicester’s present dangers made Claudio Ranieri’s past glories irrelevant | Paul Wilson

Unpleasant decisions have to be made at this time of year when club owners decide whether a change could ward off relegationThere is no doubt the Premier League lost one of the good guys when Claudio Ranieri was sacked and, as José Mourinho rightly says, the Italian’s towering achievement last season will never be forgotten, though the key element in that sentiment is “last season”.Last season is history, last season counts for nothing in football, the game is all about the present. Mourinho knows that better than most and if Ranieri did not see what was coming he is not quite as sharp as he is portrayed. Continue reading...

25 февраля, 16:25

Scotland 29-13 Wales: Six Nations – live!

Six Nations updates from the 2.25pm GMT game at Murrayfield Wales looking for Halfpenny’s boot to end Scotland’s revivalAnd feel free to email to email Gerard or tweet @gerard_meagher 4.20pm GMT A superb victory for Scotland. They began the second half so brightly, scored two excellent tries and defended resolutely, Wales unable to score a point in the second half. It’s Scotland’s first win over Wales in 10 attempts.Russell was superb, Watson made a mockery of the fact that he didn’t start whereas Wales, impressive in the first half, were poor in the second. 4.17pm GMT 80 mins: Webb puts in and then has a run himself. Jonathan Davies takes it up on the left. But Scotland turn it over - Dunbar I believe, and that’s all she wrote. Continue reading...

25 февраля, 12:00

The Contradictory Claims About Trump's Deportation Plan

The president has said his administration is targeting “really bad dudes,” but his policy targets people who haven't been charged or convicted of anything.

25 февраля, 08:35

New York Police Link Hate Crime Surge To Presidential Campaign

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Hate crimes in New York City have skyrocketed, especially against Jews, in the last three months, and police officials are blaming it on the vitriolic rhetoric of the presidential campaign. “Based on the timing and the extraordinary increase we’ve been seeing, not only in New York but around the nation, you have to conclude that the presidential campaign was the major factor,” NYPD spokesman Stephen Davis told Bloomberg. Since the election that put Donald Trump in the White House, the number of hate-crime complaints has jumped 42 percent from the same period last year, up to 143 incidents, according to police department statistics. Of those, 72 percent targeted Jews, compared with 39 percent the previous year, Bloomberg reported. Incidents included “terroristic threats,” harassment and criminal mischief. Earlier this month, swastikas were drawn in fresh snow on several cars parked in the largely Jewish neighborhood of Borough Park, Brooklyn. Hate crimes have spiked as well across the nation and New York state. The Southern Poverty Law Center has tallied more than 700 hate incidents nationally since the election. There have been at least 69 bomb threats called into 55 Jewish community centers across the country from Jan. 1 to Feb. 24, and vandals caused extensive damage at a Jewish cemetery in St. Louis this week. When the president finally spoke out Tuesday to condemn anti-Semitic attacks, some Jewish leaders blasted it as too little and too late. Hate complaints in New York state typically average about 16 a month and were on the decline last year. Since the election, the numbers have doubled, according to Gov. Andrew Cuomo, The Wall Street Journal reported. In response to the hate-crime increase largely against Jews, Muslims and the LGBT community in New York, Cuomo has announced that the state will spend $25 million on extra security, including training, personnel and surveillance technology, at schools and day care centers at risk, especially those associated with religions. The state is also launching a Hate Crimes Text Line for easy reporting. “Any acts of bias or discrimination will be met with the full force of the law,” Cuomo vowed. Davis didn’t single out Trump’s campaign for blame, noting that “heated” rhetoric existed on “both sides,” but it was Trump who targeted Muslims, branded many Mexican immigrants “rapists” and characterized African-American communities as hellholes in his speeches. The Ku Klux Klan expressed its support for his campaign. Shortly after Trump won the election, NYPD Commissioner James O’Neill noticed a sharp increase in hate complaints.  “I have no scientific evidence as to why, but you’ve been paying attention to what’s been going on in the country over the last year or so, and the rhetoric has increased, and I think that might have something to do with it,” he told a local radio station. New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, a Democrat, was not quite so circumspect. “The horrible, hateful rhetoric that was used in this election by candidate Trump and by a lot of his supporters directly connects to an increase since the election in anti-Semitic incidents, anti-Muslim incidents and anti-LGBT incidents,” he said at a news conference last week. type=type=RelatedArticlesblockTitle=Related Coverage + articlesList=58af0c27e4b0ea6ee3d03689,58ab3f7be4b0a855d1d8b074,58ab6a6ee4b03250fc905e20 -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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24 февраля, 21:36

Here Are The Key Takeaways From Vale's Q4 Earnings

Vale reported a sharp year-over-year improvement in both revenue and earnings in the fourth quarter of 2016, as a result of the recovery in commodity prices in the last two months of the year.

24 февраля, 20:10

How You Could Fall Victim To Conspiracy Theories

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); You don’t have to be a Lady Gaga fan to disagree with the Facebook video Alex Jones posted before the pop star’s Super Bowl performance this month. Jones, a member of the so-called “alt-right” and founder of the conspiracy website InfoWars, told viewers to avoid watching Gaga’s performance because, he claimed, Gaga is part of a totalitarian “new world order.” “She’s reportedly going to be on top of the Super Bowl, they’re saying she may cancel doing this, on top of the stadium, ruling over everyone with drones everywhere, surveilling them in a big swarm,” says conspiracy theorist Jones in the video. “To just condition them that I am the Goddess of Satan, ruling over you with the rise of the robots in a ritual of lesser magic.” While this sounds ridiculous to the outside viewer, devotees will see this as yet another example of the powerful elite conspiring to overthrow the government. In fact, conspiratorial thinking and social exclusion can trigger a vicious cycle that further isolates those who believe false narratives, according to a study published in the March edition of the Journal of Experimental Social Psychology that’s already available online. This can lead to real world consequences, like when an armed man entered a Washington, D.C., pizza restaurant to investigate Pizzagate, an outlandish conspiracy theory that some alleged 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and campaign chairman John Podesta were running a child sex ring from the venue. The claim was debunked, but not before people including retired Gen. Mike Flynn, who went on to briefly become National Security Advisor under President Donald Trump’s administration before resigning, tweeting the outrageous claims. It works like this: You feel socially excluded and begin believing conspiracy theories. Endorsing those theories, unsurprisingly, prompts your family and friends to exclude you even more. You’re left out again and again, so you double down on your conspiratorial beliefs. The final stage of the cycle: You seek out a like-minded community that accepts and reinforces your conspiratorial beliefs.  “At that point they become unchangeable,” Study author Alin Coman, assistant professor of psychology and public affairs at Princeton University, told The Huffington Post. “Social exclusion leads to search for meaning,” Coman continued. “We believe that this search for meaning ‘overshoots’ in a way that makes people assign meaning to situations that are highly ambiguous and meaningless.” Part one of the study included 119 participants recruited using Amazon Mechanical Turk. Participants wrote about a unpleasant experience they’d had with a close friend recently, then rated how socially excluded they felt after the event. Next, participants filled out a meaning in life questionaire, which included statements such as “I have discovered a satisfying life purpose.” Finally, participants assessed how much they believed in the following conspiracy theories: Pharmaceutical companies withhold cures for financial reasons. Governments use messages below the level of awareness to influence people’s decisions. Events in the Bermuda Triangle constitute evidence of paranormal activity. Part two of the study included 102 Princeton University students aged, on average, 20. The second part of the study mirrored the first, also requiring participants to write descriptions of themselves and the people they wanted to be, in addition to the exercises above. Researchers concluded that when the participants felt excluded, they were more likely to endorse conspiracy theories. And intelligent people aren’t immune to conspiracy theories, either. Even highly educated affluent individuals can fall prey to conspiracy theories and superstitious beliefs. Study author Alin Coman Notably, many of the participants in Coman’s study were Ivy League students, a sharp contrast to the popular perception that conspiracy theorists are an uneducated lot.  “Even highly educated affluent individuals can fall prey to conspiracy theories and superstitious beliefs,” Coman said. “It can happen to anyone.” And while the new study didn’t specifically address today’s post-factual political climate, Coman did have a few suggestions for disrupting the cycle if a friend or family member falls prey to a conspiracy. First-line defenses include fostering inclusive environments and disputing unproven facts and conspiracies in group discussions settings. You can also educate yourself about your own biases and take a critical look at your media consumption, experts believe. If you agree with every political post in your social media feed, as well as all of the pundits in the news shows you watch, you’re setting yourself up for confirmation bias. Confirmation bias, or seeking out information that supports your previously established beliefs, isn’t just lazy. It’s dangerous. If you ignore factual or scientific evidence because it is at odds with your worldview, you’re an easy target for conspiracy theories ― regardless of your political affiliation or intelligence (see: anti-vaxxers, conspiracy theorists against Genetically Modified Organisms, climate change deniers and 9-11 “Truthers”).  There’s also value in interacting with people on social media, and in the real world, who you disagree with. “Make an effort to connect and interact with individuals who hold dissenting views,” Coman said. “A society in which very few members feel excluded is probably more resistant to the propagation of misinformation.” This reporting is brought to you by HuffPost’s health and science platform, The Scope. Like us on Facebook and Twitter and tell us your story:[email protected] -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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24 февраля, 18:12

New Home Sales Disappoint As Median Home Price Rises 7.4%

"Soft", survey and optimism-based, data may (still) be euphoric, but when it comes to "hard", actual economic data, moments ago the Census reported the latest disappointment when it comes to New Home Sales, which rose to 555K in January, missing expectations of 571K, and up 3.7% from a downward revised 535K in December. The data for all three prior months was revised lower (Dec from 536 to 535), November (598 to 575 and October 571 to 568), as US housing remains unable to capitalize on so-called economic recent strength. More troubling, however, is that one decade after the last housing peak, new home sales are well below half their peak hit in 2005. Despite the miss, both New and Existing home sales continue to rise, although if mortgage applications are any indication, sales of housing are due for a sharp pullback in coming months. Finally, what is notable is that while the Median Home Price dipped in January from $316,200 to $312,900, it was still 7.4% higher compared to a year ago, suggesting that somehow many Americans can still afford to keep chasing offers even without the benefit of new mortgages, which for us is a big red flag, that the Census Bureau is largely goalseeking trends and numbers, if only for the time being.

24 февраля, 17:00

Italy’s Conor O’Shea: ‘We’re going into our Colosseum this weekend’

Two heavy home Six Nations defeats have given the new Italy head coach an early experience of the pitfalls of the job, but also extra motivation for the daunting prospect of facing England at Twickenham on SundayConor O’Shea knows how Italian rugby is perceived by many outsiders. He has been the Azzurri’s head coach for only eight months but the noises off are wearily familiar. “Everybody is having a pop,” says O’Shea, clearly irritated beneath his ever-positive exterior. “People look for cheap and easy headlines. I would question whether some actually believe it but the world in which we live has no grey areas, only black and white. We know that.”If this was just a case of a national team losing a couple of early home matches to Wales and Ireland, the barbs could be largely dismissed. Some of the dagger-sharp verdicts on Italy’s status prior to Sunday’s date with England, however, would make a latter-day Brutus wince, with Georgia’s position above them in the world rankings having further revved up the perennial Six Nations relegation debate. Even as O’Shea offers the Guardian his own snappy soundbite – “We’re going into our Colosseum this weekend” – he is keenly aware where his players risk being thrown. Continue reading...