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28 апреля, 13:48

In 100 Days, Donald Trump Hasn’t Done Much Except Show Off His Signature

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); KENOSHA, Wisconsin – On Day 89 of his presidency, Donald Trump set down his felt-tipped pen and did what he’s done most and best so far in his new job: held up a piece of paper he had just signed for news cameras to record for posterity. More than four dozen times since taking office, Trump has invited the media he regularly attacks to show off his distinctive cursive on a presidential document ―  a document that, the vast majority of the time, has been completely unnecessary to accomplish the stated goal. Previous presidents have signed executive orders and memoranda. None appeared to be compelled to hold them up and show off their penmanship. “It’s show and tell,” Duke University historian William Chafe said. “It’s basically trying to create the impression of decisiveness.” In Chafe’s view, it’s actually a misimpression, given the lack of a single significant piece of legislation to pass under Trump’s watch, including the 10 he specifically promised he would shepherd through Congress in his first 100 days. “The executive orders are the only substantive things that he’s accomplished,” Chafe said, adding that even those have not been particularly substantial. All but a handful of the objectives described in the directives did not even need a formal presidential authorization for the agency heads to pursue them. In Kenosha, for example, as employees at the Snap-on tools headquarters applauded, Trump signed his “Buy American, Hire American” executive order, which he claimed would “help protect workers and students, like those of you in the audience today.” Except the actual language of the order affects purchasing by federal agencies he controls and asks his own departments to look for ways to tighten some work visa rules. So why issue an executive order ― a tool that historically has reinterpreted laws or rules to achieve a desired goal ― when a simple email or phone call might have done the job? “An executive order is a signal to every single worker in the federal government, including career workers, lifelong workers, every one across the federal government, that this is an order from the president of the United States, memorialized in writing,” a senior administration official said on condition of anonymity on the Air Force One flight from Wisconsin back to Washington, D.C. “There is no higher statement of executive direction than the form of an executive order.” Two days later, Trump signed an official memorandum before the cameras, asking his Commerce Department to look into whether steel imports were unfairly undercutting the U.S. steel industry. Why the formal memo, rather than just asking Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross to look into it? “He has issued this memorandum to stress that he would like us to make this a real priority and to expedite it,” said Ross, who acknowledged that he had already started the review the previous day, before the memo was issued. And the very next morning, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin conceded that Trump’s executive order that afternoon to study the tax code also wasn’t really necessary, despite the televised signing and passing out of pens. “I think the purpose of the orders is to make clear what the president and the administration’s priorities are, and to signify the importance of these issues to the American people,” Mnuchin said. Chafe and other critics remain unimpressed, and argue that the rash of meaningless signing ceremonies is simply more evidence of a White House that cannot figure out a way to get what it wants ― and maybe cannot even figure out what exactly it does want ― and so settles on PR stunts. “This administration is still operating under chaos and capriciousness,” Chafe said of Trump. “He’s erratic. He’s all over the place.”  Promises For 100 Days Trump had been in office for just a few weeks when he began bragging that he was already accomplishing more than any previous president. “There has never been a presidency that’s done so much in such a short period of time,” Trump proclaimed in a Feb. 16 White House news conference. As the days slipped past and it became clear the only bills reaching his desk were feel-good measures such as the one encouraging women to pursue science careers or measures using the Congressional Review Act to undo agency rules passed in the final days of the Obama administration, Trump’s White House began recalibrating its message. Early this month, Trump’s legislative affairs director, Marc Short, asked reporters “to consider” making the CRAs a bigger deal in their news coverage. “I think if you take into [account] in totality what we’ve been trying to do on the regulatory front, it is a news story. And so I do think it’s an accomplishment,” he said. The White House began bragging about the increase in the stock market, decreases in illegal border crossings from Mexico and strong job growth numbers ― and attributed them all to Trump’s election. Eventually, Trump, even as he continued to boast about how great he was doing, began diminishing the whole 100-day concept. “I think the 100 days is, you know, it’s an artificial barrier. It’s not very meaningful,” he said in an interview with The Associated Press last week. Measuring a president by accomplishments in the first 100 days only came into vogue with the presidency of Franklin D. Roosevelt, the Democrat who entered office at the nadir of the Great Depression. Roosevelt jammed through a significant chuck of his New Deal initiatives in those first months, and that yardstick has stuck ever since. It is not necessarily fair, particularly to presidents who take office in times of relative peace and prosperity, said University of Texas historian H.W. Brands. Roosevelt in 1933 and Barack Obama in 2009 had to act quickly or risk seeing the nation fall even deeper into economic peril. Trump, in contrast, took office following 75 straight months of job growth, a 4.7 percent unemployment rate and the wind down of massive, post-Sept. 11 troop deployments. “He didn’t face a crisis, he didn’t face those emergencies,” Brands said. “But he’s bringing it on himself. ... If the tax code isn’t changed in six months or two years, the world’s not going to end.” Trump, nevertheless, has claimed he had to act quickly because he inherited “a mess” from his predecessor. That, in fact, was a central theme of his campaign: that the country was a disaster that only he could fix. And on Oct. 22, just weeks before the election, Trump traveled to Gettysburg, Pennsylvania, and issued a series of promises, some that he would do on his first day in office and the rest that he would accomplish in his first 100. Based on the list Trump himself created, his track record has been abysmal. Trump actually participated in inaugural activities his first day in office, and spent much of the second day complaining about the media coverage of the first day. In the coming days and weeks, though, Trump did follow through on some of the 18 actions he said he would start pursuing on Day One, signing orders to deport more undocumented immigrants, to withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and to require that each new regulation be accompanied by the repeal of two existing regulations. He also appointed a Supreme Court justice off the list he had previously made public, as he had promised. But Trump failed to follow through on other items from that list of Day One actions. He did not propose a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on Congress. Not only did he fail to label China a currency manipulator, as he promised he would, but he later came out and specifically said that China is not one. Most famously, his promises to “cancel all federal funding to sanctuary cities” and to “suspend immigration from terror-prone regions” are tied up in the courts, thanks to poorly drafted language and Trump’s own inflammatory statements about Muslims during the campaign. And among the 10 pieces of legislation Trump promised to fight to pass “within the first 100 days of my administration,” he is zero for 10. The End the Offshoring Act, the Clean Up Corruption in Washington Act, the Affordable Childcare and Eldercare Act ― not one enjoys much of an existence outside of Trump’s October press release. Even his signature campaign promise, to build a “great wall” along the southern border with Mexico, has now been effectively put off until at least October. If his presidency were to end tomorrow, he wouldn’t get a mention at all. Nothing has happened. H.W. Brands, University of Texas historian The only one of those 10 bills that has moved in either chamber ― repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act ― had to be pulled from the House floor just before a scheduled vote last month because of a lack of Republican support, although a revamped version could soon be up for consideration. “If his presidency were to end tomorrow, he wouldn’t get a mention at all,” Brands said. “Nothing has happened.” Trump has even failed to follow through on the very first promise he made in that October Gettysburg speech, which came not long after a series of women went public with accusations of Trump’s inappropriate sexual conduct toward them. “Every woman lied when they came forward to hurt my campaign,” Trump said. “Total fabrications. The events never happened. Never. All of these liars will be sued after the election is over.” In fact, Trump does not appear to have sued even one of those women. A Consistent Track Record To Trump’s many critics, both Democratic and Republican, none of this comes as a surprise. His decades as a publicity-hungry businessman are littered with enterprises he plunged into with impulsive, poorly researched decisions that later failed, sometimes spectacularly ― everything from his Trump Shuttle airline to his branded Trump Steaks. In the early 1990s, Trump’s entire business empire was on the verge of collapse. His Atlantic City casinos were bleeding money, and because he had personally guaranteed nearly $1 billion in business loans, their failure would have meant personal bankruptcy for him, too. Fortunately for Trump, his lenders risked financial ruin themselves if he went down, so they continued to work with him to keep him solvent. Over a period of years, though, his empire shrank as banks forced him to hand over ever-larger portions of his holdings and made him give up extravagances like his 281-foot yacht. They even restricted him to an allowance. Unable to borrow money for construction projects, Trump shifted his business model toward licensing his name to hotels and condominiums that he didn’t own ― a marketing scheme that became far more successful thanks to the adaptation of his 1987 book, The Art of the Deal, into a hit television series. Trump’s track record did not suggest a brilliant and savvy businessman, but that’s what he played on “The Apprentice,” talking tough and making shrewd decisions in every episode. He thinks he’s the best businessman of all time. He thinks he’s the most attractive man to women of all time. He’s a fabulist. None of this is real. Rick Wilson, a Florida Republican political consultant It was an image that burned into the American popular consciousness over a dozen years, and one that tens of millions of dollars of negative advertising featuring Trump’s actual business record could not undo in the months leading up to last November’s election. “He thinks he’s the best businessman of all time. He thinks he’s the most attractive man to women of all time,” said Rick Wilson, a Florida Republican political consultant and longtime Trump critic. “He’s a fabulist. None of this is real. ... This is also because he’s fundamentally an unserious person. He’ll say whatever it takes to get the sucker to sign on the dotted line.” Never Afraid To Brag Unsurprisingly, Trump brought the habit of claiming phenomenal success, regardless of the actual facts of the case, with him into the White House. But with no obvious foils to blame as he had during the presidential campaign, Trump’s own character traits underlying his inability to get things done have become more obvious to more observers: His profound ignorance of both domestic and world affairs, an inability or unwillingness to focus, and an eagerness to lash out at perceived threats. His short attention span and lack of interest in details became clear even to Republican House members during the initial attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act last month. Trump did not appear to know how that law or his proposed replacement actually worked, and seemed more interested in passing something ― anything ― that he could call a victory. His defenders, who say his lack of knowledge is understandable, given his lack of previous political office, argue that Trump will be held to a different standard by voters judging his performance now, just as they did heading into the 2016 election. Ari Fleischer, a former press secretary to President George W. Bush, said that, in any case, the voting public’s verdict about Trump will not be determined in the first 100 days. Rather, their views about whether their individual lives and the lives of their families and friends are improved or made more difficult will decide how Republicans fare in the 2018 midterm elections and whether Trump can win a second term two years later. Be that as it may, the Trump White House this week pulled out all the stops in touting its 100 Day successes ― a new page on the White House website, daily recitations by his press shop of his accomplishments, and a flurry of televised signings of presidential pieces of paper. Among them are orders and memos asking for studies about agriculture, federal education policy and national monuments. All could have been accomplished without a formal presidential declaration. The White House also staged a closed-door briefing with members of Congress about North Korea (members said afterward they did not learn anything new and wondered what the point of it was), released a single page of bullet points of a “tax reform” proposal (it was so vague that it was impossible to determine how any given taxpayer’s bill would be affected), and floated the idea of an order to withdraw from the North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico (pulling out of NAFTA could require congressional approval, which he isn’t likely to get). Fleischer said he agrees the presidential orders have been mainly stagecraft. “Legally speaking, there isn’t a big difference between an executive order and a president telling his agencies to do something,” he said. “But, no harm done in packaging it.” Of course, if Trump’s press team gets truly desperate for accomplishments, they can reach back to a campaign promise he made when announcing his candidacy in June 2015, following his now-famous ride down the Trump Tower escalator. Right after criticizing the Obama administration’s deal to suspend Iran’s nuclear weapons program in exchange for sanctions relief ― ironically, a deal the Trump administration last week acknowledged Iran is living up to ― Trump laid into Obama’s secretary of state, John Kerry, for crashing his bicycle. “Goes into a bicycle race at 72 years old, and falls and breaks his leg. I won’t be doing that,” Trump said. “And I promise I will never be in a bicycle race. That I can tell you.” Trump has not, at least thus far in his presidency, participated in a single bicycle race. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

28 апреля, 12:27

Trump loves corporate tax cuts. Voters, not so much

President Donald Trump loves the idea of cutting the corporate tax rate, but voters?The proposal, the centerpiece of the administration's new tax plan, is hardly a political winner, with recent polling showing that most Americans — including 44 percent of Republicans — believe corporations are not paying enough already. “It just doesn’t sell,” said one former longtime Republican tax aide. “Most [Republican lawmakers] come from rural districts. They don’t have big corporate headquarters in their districts, and their constituents don’t care if GE gets a 25 percent rate.” “If anything, there could be a backlash,” he said. The only way to make a Trump-sized cut in the corporate rate — which he’d reduce to 15 percent, from the current 35 percent — politically salable is to slather on lots of other tax cuts for everyone else, tax veterans say. Historically, going back to at least Ronald Reagan, lawmakers have rarely cut business taxes without simultaneously offering far bigger tax cuts for individual taxpayers — though in this case, that would send the price of Trump's already costly plan soaring.Trump appears to be giving more to businesses, and his Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday he couldn’t guarantee the middle class would see a tax cut.“This is a partisan plan to give advantages to the most influential special interests in the country and crumbs for working people,” said Sen. Ron Wyden, the top Democrat on the tax-writing Finance Committee. Details are still sketchy, but the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) figures Trump’s plan would dole out roughly $3.7 trillion in tax cuts to businesses, between his plan to cut the corporate rate and offer a similar tax reduction to unincorporated businesses. He’s also offering individuals a number of tax cuts, including lower rates, a bigger standard deduction and expanded breaks for child care expenses. But he’s simultaneously taking away breaks, including most itemized deductions, including a long-standing write-off for the state and local taxes. That would net out to a roughly $1.8 trillion tax cut for individuals, the CRFB estimates. Asked about the plan’s emphasis on corporations, National Economic Director Gary Cohn said: “This tax reform package is about growing the economy, creating jobs.” “That’s how we’re looking at this plan,” he said in a briefing with reporters. On Thursday, Mnuchin said he hoped — but couldn’t guarantee — the plan would mean a tax cut for the middle class. “That’s our objective absolutely,” Mnuchin told ABC’s “Good Morning America.” “I can’t make any guarantees until this is done and on the president’s desk.” Many economists applaud the focus on the corporate rate — now the highest among 34 industrialized democracies — calling it one of the biggest problems with the tax code. Lawmakers have not cut the corporate rate in 30 years.“Lowering the corporate rate is like the chicken soup of tax policy — it makes everything better,” said Marty Sullivan, chief economist at the nonpartisan Tax Analysts. “There’s more incentives to invest in the United States and there’s less incentive to engage in tax shelters.” The problem for lawmakers is all the people who aren’t economists. Sixty-two percent said they are bothered “a lot” by a sense that corporations don’t pay enough in taxes, according to a survey by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center, making it a bigger concern than the code’s complexity or how much they pay in taxes. And if lawmakers agree to cut the corporate tax, they will face enormous pressure from other types of businesses or complaints they are helping Home Depot but not their local hardware stores. Trump's plan to cut rates on those “pass through” companies — whose profits are passed directly to the owners and taxed as personal income — will cost an additional $1.5 trillion, on top of the $2.2 trillion cost of the corporate-rate cut, the CRFB says. But that won’t be enough for many Republicans who, for all their friendliness to the business community, don’t want to be see cutting business taxes without doing something commensurate for individual taxpayers. When Reagan pushed through massive tax cuts in 1981, he was careful to include more than twice as much for individuals than businesses. When George W. Bush cut taxes in 2001 he almost entirely ignored businesses, focusing on cutting individual taxes. Even the last big cut in the corporate rate — in 1986 — was actually a tax increase in disguise that lawmakers used to finance tax cuts for everyone else. That seminal legislation slashed the corporate rate to 34 percent from 46 percent, but lawmakers simultaneously took away so many business tax deductions and other narrow preferences that corporations ended up swallowing a $120 billion tax increase. Lawmakers used that money to offset the cost of similarly sized breaks for individuals. But not everyone agrees that lawmakers must follow that formula. Stephen Moore, a former Trump tax adviser, says Republicans ought to focus on simply cutting taxes on corporations and individuals, throw in some infrastructure spending, and sell it to the public as a jobs bill. “The big beneficiaries of business tax cuts will be workers,” he said. “We’re cutting taxes for employers so they can create more jobs — that’s the argument.”

Выбор редакции
27 апреля, 18:48

5 ETFs to Buy if Trump Tax Reform is Enacted by Year End

Trump Tax Reform Plans Put These ETFs in Focus.

27 апреля, 17:46

Steven Mnuchin gets started on tax reform but there is more to do

OF THE things that investors and bosses have come to like about Donald Trump, the most important is his promise to redraw America’s knackered corporate-tax system. On April 26th Steven Mnuchin, the treasury secretary, laid out a guide for reform. After weeks of anticipation, Wall Street will be relieved. The thrust of the plan is just what business folk want—a simpler system, with lower bills. But whether it helps the wider economy and ordinary citizens remains to be seen. And Mr Trump will have to push the reforms through a bitterly divided Congress. The actual tax rate America’s businesses pay in aggregate, of 20-25%, is much lower than the high, headline federal tax rate, of 35%. But in the home of free enterprise the taxman’s treatment of business is a muddle. There are three distortions. First, the treatment of overseas profits. Unlike most countries America taxes them when they are remitted back home, at high rates. The result is that American firms refuse to repatriate all their earnings, and collectively stash some $1trn of cash abroad. The second distortion is that loopholes encourage firms to change their legal status from ordinary “C-Corporations”...

Выбор редакции
27 апреля, 16:42

Mnuchin won't guarantee middle-class tax cut

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Thursday the Trump administration’s goal in tax reform is a middle-class tax cut, but he couldn’t guarantee one.“That’s our objective, absolutely,” Mnuchin told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on "Good Morning America." “I can’t make any guarantees until this is done and on the president’s desk.”“Although we’re not releasing the specific numbers,” as what the administration wants to do to the tax code that would help middle-class Americans, Mnuchin said. “This is about creating economic effects and tax cuts for the middle class.”The plan rolled out by the administration Wednesday was light on specifics or new details, mostly setting goals to lower taxes across the board and simplify the code without detailing how to achieve that or pay for it.Two specifics provided were lowering of business income rate by more than half, as well as eliminating the alternative minimum tax.Pressed as to how the tax plan might affect the president’s own taxes, Mnuchin begged off.“Let me just say this isn’t about President Trump’s tax returns. This is about the American public’s tax returns,” the Treasury secretary said.

27 апреля, 15:36

МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом

На фоне раскола в области торговой политики, Международный валютный фонд отказывается от своих прежних обещаний бороться с протекционизмомThe post МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом appeared first on MixedNews.

27 апреля, 15:36

МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом

На фоне раскола в области торговой политики, Международный валютный фонд отказывается от своих прежних обещаний бороться с протекционизмомThe post МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом appeared first on MixedNews.

27 апреля, 15:36

МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом

На фоне раскола в области торговой политики, Международный валютный фонд отказывается от своих прежних обещаний бороться с протекционизмомThe post МВФ отказывается от борьбы с протекционизмом appeared first on MixedNews.

27 апреля, 13:58

PUNT: GOP readies a one-week government funding bill -- NAFTA here to stay -- PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin -- EXCLUSIVE: Ivanka’s new book’s preface -- WHCA weekend party guide

Listen to the Playbook Audio Briefing http://bit.ly/2p6PiM4 ... Subscribe on iTunes http://apple.co/2eX6Eay ... Visit the online home of Playbook http://politi.co/2f51JnfGood Thursday morning. And welcome to the beginning of the White House Correspondents Dinner weekend. PLAYBOOK EXCLUSIVE -- IVANKA TRUMP’S NEW BOOK PREFACE -- Ivanka Trump has said she won’t be doing the typical press and tour for her upcoming book “Women Who Work: Rewriting the Rules for Success,” but the first daughter did write the preface to the book just days before her father’s inauguration. -- EXCERPT OF THE PREFACE: "At the time I was writing this book, my father was running for president of the United States. ... Inspiring and empowering women who work -- at all aspects of their lives -- has been my mission throughout my entire career. Today, I have the opportunity to take that work to new heights and advocate for change on a far greater scale than I’d ever imagined... "[I] will take a formal leave of absence from both The Trump Organization and my apparel and accessories brand. On paper, this separation is straightforward, but emotionally, this was not an easy decision for me to make. I have known since I was a child that I wanted to be a developer and an entrepreneur. It is diffcult to step away from businesses that I have worked hard to build and that I believe in so fully, but the potential to improve the lives of countless women and girls has caused me to fundamentally consider where my work will do the greatest good. "I recognize the privilege and responsibility I have to use my voice to make positive impact where I can. I am committed to working harder than ever to help unleash the full power of women and girls to accelerate the pace of progress both in our country and around the world -- and I look forward to furthering the cause together.” The full preface http://politi.co/2pkZ4Zb … $14.56 on Amazon http://amzn.to/2pC6omuBIG THINGS HAPPENING -- We expect Congress to pass a week-long stop-gap government funding bill. That means a shutdown will be averted, giving the two parties time to iron out more details, but pushing this crisis into another week. That’s a bad sign for other legislative priorities. By the way: no money was included to build a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border. -- RACHAEL BADE and JOHN BRESNAHAN posted a story at 12:49 a.m., which says a vote on the new health-care bill is “increasingly unlikely this week” because moderates still remain opposed to the measure. http://politi.co/2pozBjY Speaker Paul Ryan moved to strip from the bill language that exempted lawmakers’ health care from the new bill. WHAT WE HEAR -- THE WHITE HOUSE is pushing extremely hard for a vote this week, which has sent the GOP leadership team into a frenzy. On the Hill, the push is seen as illogical. But still, there are those in senior levels of Republican leadership who see a vote as a possibility this week. The text of the legislation has been posted, so they can vote at any time, in theory. The mantra on Capitol Hill is: when you have the votes, you vote. But the GOP clearly doesn’t at this moment. There is some buzz about a Saturday vote, which would, of course, be pretty ripe with drama. No one likes working on the weekends. Will this bill ever get through? It looks more likely than ever, but it’s miles and miles from a sure thing. But, as one conservative aide told us on the Hill yesterday, Republicans are as close as ever to repealing Obamacare. At the moment, it’s not conservatives standing in the way, it’s moderates. -- THE STAKES: The White House wants to show progress by passing the bill. (They’ll never be able to muscle Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) like they are House leaders). House leadership, of course, wants to make good on their promise to repeal Obamacare, and recover from pulling the bill a few weeks ago. The conservative Freedom Caucus -- which has never dug into legislation like this -- wants to show they aren’t only a roadblock, but could be a legislative player. -- FOR THE PRESIDENT -- THE WHIP LIST: Republicans can lose roughly 22 lawmakers and still pass this bill. At least 10 have said they’re not so hot on it. Here’s the list of 10 lawmakers who have expressed their opposition in the last few days, from a Democratic strategist trying to defeat the bill. Of course, this could change at any moment. Rep. Jeff Denham (Calif.) (http://bit.ly/2qaKNl0), Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (Fla.) (http://bit.ly/2p6H9XU), Rep. Thomas Massie (Ky.) (http://bit.ly/2poDh57), Rep. Frank LoBiondo (N.J.) (http://politi.co/2qaqDHy), Rep. Leonard Lance (N.J.) (http://politi.co/2qaqDHy), Rep. Dan Donovan (N.Y.) (http://politi.co/2oOThtS), Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (Pa.) (http://bit.ly/2oz7kbc), Rep. Charlie Dent (Pa.) (http://washex.am/2p6WLul), Rep. Barbara Comstock (http://bit.ly/2oLTPQw), Rep. Andy Biggs (Ariz.) (http://bit.ly/2oOGB6d). SUPPORTERS NOW WAFFLING: Reps. Mike Coffman (Colo.), Ryan Costello (Pa.), Mario Diaz Balart (Fla.) and Tom Reed (N.Y.). SUPPORTERS WHO HAVEN’T COMMENTED: Reps. David Young (Iowa), Chris Smith (N.J.), Mark Amodei (Nev.), John Katko (N.Y.), Jaime Herrera Beutler (Wash.). NAFTA? NOT DEAD AFTER ALL -- “Trump Tells Foreign Leaders That Nafta Can Stay for Now,” by NYT’s Mark Landler and Binyamin Appelbaum: “President Trump told the leaders of Mexico and Canada on Wednesday that he would not immediately move to terminate the North American Free Trade Agreement, only hours after an administration official said he was likely to sign an order that would begin the process of pulling the United States out of the deal.“In what the White House described as ‘pleasant and productive’ evening phone calls with President Enrique Peña Nieto of Mexico and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Canada, Mr. Trump said he would quickly start the process of renegotiating Nafta -- not abandon it, as he said he would do during the 2016 presidential campaign if he could not rework the deal to his satisfaction.“‘It is my privilege to bring NAFTA up-to-date through renegotiation,’ Mr. Trump said in a statement issued by the White House at 10:33 p.m. ‘I believe that the end result will make all three countries stronger and better.’ … The suggestion of withdrawal, reported by Politico on Wednesday, raised anxieties in financial markets. The peso fell more than 2 percent against the dollar, and the Canadian dollar fell about 0.3 percent.” http://nyti.ms/2pCdxD3 MUST READ -- “Trump Unveils Broad Tax-Cut Plan: Broad package seeks to spark sustained 3% economic growth; Democrats hint at objections,” by WSJ’s Rich Rubin: “With Wednesday’s proposals -- which include a 15% tax rate for all businesses, lower individual rates, a bigger standard deduction to benefit middle-income households and the repeal of the estate and alternative minimum taxes -- Mr. Trump hopes to speed up economic growth and make his mark as a historic tax cutter. Still, the sweeping tax plan departed in important ways from congressional Republican proposals and alienated Democrats, giving the president a narrow path to victory through Congress. …“The [plan, which was crafted by advisers is] an outline that is heavy on ambition, light on technical detail and likely to drive up budget deficits. …“Despite their broad support for the plan, Republicans cautioned that differences remained to be worked through, and they have little margin to lose members of their own party. Republicans are split on how big a tax cut they think is feasible and what tax breaks should go away, and there are plenty of details that may divide GOP lawmakers along regional lines. Sen. Richard Shelby (R., Ala.) said he would remain wary until he saw what it would cost and how it would be paid for. ‘If it’s not paid for, were going to run a huge deficit, and we don’t want to do that,’ Mr. Shelby said.” http://on.wsj.com/2pC0Qs1 PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: Treasury Secretary Steven MnuchinSteven Mnuchin is a new player in Washington, but he’s already been thrust into President Donald Trump’s top priority: overhauling the tax code. As part of Trump’s 100-day push, Mnuchin and other top White House officials laid out the broad brushstrokes for Trump’s vision for tax reform -- they are calling it “the largest tax cut in the history.” The devil, of course, is always in the details when trying to get things done in Washington. Mnuchin said the Treasury Department has more than 100 people focused on crunching the numbers for tax reform and they have had regular meetings with the House and Senate tax writing panels.“I think this is all about creating economic growth, creating jobs and this is really the president’s priority,” Mnuchin said in a Playbook Interview following the rollout. “We’re excited to move forward fast. We had a very productive meeting [Tuesday] night at the Senate with the leadership and we’re committed to working with them closely to go through all the details and turning this into a bill that can be passed and the president can sign.”OTHER HIGHLIGHTS:TRUMP WILL TAKE AN ACTIVE ROLE: “I think it’s clear that the president has strong views on tax reform and will be playing a leadership role, but this is an absolute partnership with the House and the Senate to get this done.”EXPECT MASSIVE CUTS: “On the personal side what we announced [Wednesday], is that our intention is to keep the mortgage interest deduction and keep charitable deductions. Those are two things that we think are just critically important. The housing markets are a very big part of the economy. We want to continue to encourage people to support charitable contributions, but a starting point is we’re cutting everything else. That’s a pretty massive change. On the business side, we’re going to be going through and again we’ll come back with the details, but in return for lowering rates we are going to get rid of a bunch of deductions.”DEMOCRATS ARE WELCOME: “I hope there are a lot of Democrats that cross the aisle and support this. I don’t know why they wouldn’t since this is about creating jobs for Americans and making American business competitive and creating a middle income tax cut, so I hope that’s the case. If it’s not the case, we’ll consider using reconciliation.” FIRST STEP IS LISTENING SESSIONS: “We’re starting with listening sessions … I think we’ll move this forward. And again, as I said, I’m hopeful that there are Democrats who come on board.”THIS BILL IS GOOD NEWS FOR K STREET: “We’ve reached out to lots and lots of business groups, small businesses, big businesses from all different sectors and we’ll continue to take input both from the Hill and people in the economy.”JOSH DAWSEY, SHANE GOLDMACHER AND ALEX ISENSTADT on Trump’s 100 Days: “The education of Donald Trump”: “The 70-year-old leader of the free world sat behind his desk in the Oval Office last Friday afternoon, doing what he’s done for years: selling himself. His 100th day in office was approaching, and Trump was eager to reshape the hardening narrative of a White House veering off course. So he took it upon himself to explain that his presidency was actually on track, inviting a pair of POLITICO reporters into the Oval Office for an impromptu meeting. He sat at the Resolute desk, with his daughter Ivanka across from him. One aide said the chat was off-the-record, but Trump insisted, over objections from nervous-looking staffers, that he be quoted. “He addressed the idea that his senior aides weren’t getting along. He called out their names and, one by one, they walked in, each surprised to see reporters in the room—chief of staff Reince Priebus, then chief strategist Steve Bannon, and eventually senior adviser Jared Kushner. ‘The team gets along really, really well,’ he said. He turned to his relationships with world leaders. ‘I have a terrific relationship with Xi,’ he said, referring to the Chinese president, who Trump recently invited for a weekend visit at his Mar-a-Lago resort.“Finally, he rattled off the biggest hits of his first three months and promised more to come. It was classic Trump: Confident, hyperbolic and insistent on asserting control. But interviews with nearly two dozen aides, allies, and others close to the president paint a different picture – one of a White House on a collision course between Trump’s fixed habits and his growing realization that this job is harder than he imagined when he won the election on Nov. 8.” http://politi.co/2p6VJyr TIM ALBERTA in Politico Magazine, “Social Conservatives Are ‘Over the Moon’ About Trump: Nearly 100 days into his presidency, Donald Trump has become the unlikely champion of the Christian right: “Once a punch line in conservative circles and a walking worst-case-scenario for many on the religious right, Donald Trump has emerged in the early days of his administration as something else entirely: a crusader for traditional social values.” http://politi.co/2poD81l HMM – “Exclusive interview: Trump ‘absolutely’ looking at breaking up 9th Circuit,” by Washington Examiner’s Sarah Westwood: “‘Absolutely, I have,’ Trump said of considering 9th Circuit breakup proposals during a far-ranging interview with the Washington Examiner at the White House. ‘There are many people that want to break up the 9th Circuit. It’s outrageous.’” http://washex.am/2q9883m -- FOR THE RECORD: This won’t happen. THE JUICE …-- JORDAN LIERMAN is launching Civic Advisors, a social-impact strategy and consulting group to work with “mission driven companies, non-profits, philanthropy, advocacy organizations and sports and entertainment leaders.” The group’s work includes Obama and Biden legacy initiatives like It’s On Us, Better Make Room and the effort to make two-years of community college free. And, they’re working with UNICEF USA and have partnered with talent management agency Montag Group on social responsibility in sports. The veteran Obama-Biden staffer is teaming up with 16 White House alums, including Alex Sopko, Elias Alcantara, Noland Chambliss, Devin Hampton, Hannah Hankins, Marie Harf and David Heifetz, among others. http://bit.ly/2pC2nye-- NBC’S CHUCK TODD has an exclusive interview with Vice President Mike Pence Saturday to air on Sunday’s “Meet the Press.”-- THE CAFE MILANO CROWD, WED. NIGHT EDITION: At separate tables: Lyndon Boozer, Rep. Joe Kennedy (D-Mass.) and Vinoda Basnayake, CNN Chairman Jeff Zucker dining with Wolf Blitzer.-- FIRST LOOK: SEN. JEANNE SHAHEEN (D-N.H.), the only woman on Senate Foreign Relations and a member of the Armed Services Committee, will deliver a keynote speech today at noon on Russia’s attacks on the U.S. democracy and the need for a strategy to fight back. Excerpt: “Putin’s challenge to us is about more than hacking America’s democracy. The architecture of alliances and partnerships that has been at the heart of America’s national security for more than seven decades is also at risk. This is not acceptable. We need a bolder, more aggressive strategy for punishing Russia and countering its efforts to undermine our democracies. I believe this strategy should have at least four components: imposing more rigorous sanctions, bolstering NATO, demonstrating stronger support for Ukraine, and countering the Russian propaganda juggernaut.”-- REP. JOE CROWLEY (D-N.Y.) is also speaking today to the Center for American Progress Action Fund on a theme of “broken promises and President Trump’s first 100 days”: “Since election day, I’ve struggled to reconcile what voters told us, and what Democrats stand for. That’s because Democrats are the ones focused on lifting up hardworking Americans. But unfortunately, too many Americans didn’t hear us – they don’t believe that we share their same vision for America. So, I think that’s how we got to this point – Donald Trump was able to capitalize at the right moment, when people were looking for someone to make these kinds of promises. As hard as it’s been for Democrats, we have to acknowledge that for whatever reason, people were listening to this guy – because he was telling them what they wanted to hear.”-- JON ALLEN and AMIE PARNES' "Shattered" is No. 1 on the combined print/e-book NYT best-seller list. SEN. ELIZABETH WARREN is No. 1 on the non-fiction list, and No. 2 on the combined list. HEADS UP -- "Metro workers planning ‘sick-out’ Friday," by WaPo's Martine Powers: "Members of Metro’s largest labor union are planning a 'sick-out' Friday to protest the transit agency’s new absenteeism policy. Metro said in a statement that the agency had received nearly 500 requests for advance absences for Friday, 'a rate that is many times higher than normal.' All of those requests were denied. 'We expect to offer full bus and rail service for our customers as scheduled on Friday,' Metro said in a statement." http://wapo.st/2p6N6nGMARK YOUR CALENDARS -- PLAYBOOK EXCHANGE EVENT IN SAN FRANCISCO -- We’re coming to San Francisco May 10 for conversations over cocktails. We’re looking forward to talking with HOUSE MAJORITY LEADER KEVIN MCCARTHY (R-CALIF.) in his home state. California Playbookers Carla Marinucci and David Siders will chat with CALIFORNIA ATTORNEY GENERAL XAVIER BECERRA and we’ll also lead a conversation with REP. ERIC SWALWELL (D-CALIF.). Interested in attending or learning more? Email us [email protected] DIVE -- NYT A1, “Bribe Cases, a Jared Kushner Partner and Potential Conflicts: President Trump’s son-in-law, a top adviser, had help building a real estate empire from a member of one of Israel’s wealthiest families,” by Jesse Drucker: “It was the summer of 2012, and Jared Kushner was headed downtown. His family’s real estate firm, the Kushner Companies, would spend about $190 million over the next few months on dozens of apartment buildings in tony Lower Manhattan neighborhoods including the East Village, the West Village and SoHo. For much of the roughly $50 million in down payments, Mr. Kushner turned to an undisclosed overseas partner. Public records and shell companies shield the investor’s identity. But, it turns out, the money came from a member of Israel’s Steinmetz family, which built a fortune as one of the world’s leading diamond traders.“A Kushner Companies spokeswoman and several Steinmetz representatives say Raz Steinmetz, 53, was behind the deals. His uncle, and the family’s most prominent figure, is the billionaire Beny Steinmetz, who is under scrutiny by law enforcement authorities in four countries. In the United States, federal prosecutors are investigating whether representatives of his firm bribed government officials in Guinea to secure a multibillion dollar mining concession. In Israel, Mr. Steinmetz was detained in December and questioned in a bribery and money laundering investigation. In Switzerland and Guinea, prosecutors have conducted similar inquiries. ... Dealings with the Steinmetz family could create complications for Mr. Kushner. The Justice Department, led by Trump appointees, oversees the investigation into Beny Steinmetz.” http://nyti.ms/2qi60WyREPLACING JASON CHAFFETZ -- “GOP's latest Freedom Caucus headache: Oversight chairmanship,” by Rachael Bade and John Bresnahan: “Speaker Paul Ryan and House GOP leaders are facing their worst nightmare: a Freedom Caucus-run House committee. But Trey Gowdy might bail them out. House Oversight Chairman Jason Chaffetz’s announcement last week that he might soon resign from Congress has triggered a behind-the-scenes battle for one of the highest-profile chairmanships on Capitol Hill. And the power vacuum has the potential to cause GOP leaders serious heartburn.“[Ohio Rep. Jim] Jordan is next in line if the most senior member, Rep. Jimmy Duncan of Tennessee, decides not to run. Former Oversight Chairman Darrell Issa of California is third in seniority, but he’s chaired the panel before. So GOP leaders could face a quandary whether to reward someone whose past behavior has tripped up their agenda and infuriated most of the GOP conference. Jordan wouldn’t say whether he would run, though people close to him believe he will. ‘We’ll see,’ was all Jordan would say when asked Wednesday whether he wanted the gavel. ‘Right now, Chaffetz is the chairman, and I want to continue to support the chairman.’ … “GOP leaders and their allies are so worried about a Jordan candidacy that they've begun buttonholing Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-S.C.) -- the former chairman of the House Benghazi Committee and a dark-horse candidate for the Oversight post -- to run, according to multiple House sources. While Gowdy often jokes that he hates the high-profile nature of his job and would rather be home watching Hallmark movies with his wife, insiders say he is now considering a bid.” http://politi.co/2q9lxbF -- JUST SAYING … This whole Jason Chaffetz thing is getting weirder by the day. He announced he would not run again, and then started hinting he’d resign early. He spoke with Jake and told him he wanted to make money, and would love a TV contract. Last night, he posted on Instagram (http://bit.ly/2p6EAFo) that he’s having a plate and screws removed from his foot or else he would be “at risk for serious infection.” He said he’d be gone for between three and five weeks. WE HEAR … Chaffetz met with Speaker Paul Ryan last night.HILL WATCH -- “House Russia investigators agree on schedule, get new access to documents after ‘reset,’” by CNN’s Tom LoBianco, Manu Raju and Jeremy Herb: “The House Russia investigation is not just back on track, it’s chugging on -- with an agreed-upon plan to call high-profile witnesses from the campaign of President Donald Trump, new access to intelligence documents and plans to work longer hours in Washington. ... House Russia investigation leader Mike Conaway ... and Rep. Adam Schiff, the lead Democrat on the investigation, met and agreed on a likely witness schedule, culled from a witness list that investigators say includes 3-4 dozen names.” http://cnn.it/2qhHc0P BEYOND THE BELTWAY – “Democrats turn the screws on border wall builders: The idea is to punish businesses that work on Donald Trump’s project,” by California Playbooker David Siders: “Democrats in cities and statehouses across the country are pressing forward with a calculated, long-range effort designed to undermine Trump’s plan by turning the screws on the businesses that work on the project. In California, Democratic lawmakers on Tuesday advanced a measure to bar the state from awarding contracts to any company involved in the wall’s construction, while a bill to prevent the state’s massive pension funds from investing in those companies stands pending. Lawmakers introduced similar measures in New York and Rhode Island. The city of San Francisco is considering a blacklist, and Berkeley adopted one last month.” http://politi.co/2oOXONd -- FOR YOUR RADAR: “Isis faces exodus of foreign fighters as its ‘caliphate’ crumbles,” by The Guardian’s Martin Chulov in Istanbul, Jamie Grierson in London and Jon Swaine in New York: “Large numbers of foreign fighters and sympathisers are abandoning Islamic State and trying to enter Turkey, with at least two British nationals and a US citizen joining an exodus that is depleting the ranks of the terror group. ... Dozens [of] foreigners have fled in recent weeks, most caught as they tried to cross the frontier, as Isis’s capacity to hold ground in Syria and Iraq collapses. Some – it is not known how many – are thought to have evaded capture and made it across the border into Turkey.” http://bit.ly/2qaLZEL COUNTERPROGRAMMING -- FIRST IN PLAYBOOK -- Americans for Responsible Solutions, the anti-gun violence PAC started by former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.), who survived a constituent shooting in 2011, and her husband Mark Kelly, is out with a new report “Dangerous and Deceptive: The State of the Gun Lobby in 2017.” The effort comes as the National Rifle Association is holding its annual convention, which Trump is slated to speak at Friday. The report http://bit.ly/2potDiQ … Release http://politi.co/2q9lGfd ISLAND SWAP -- “John Kerry is switching islands,” by Boston Globe’s Mark Arsenault and Mark Shanahan: “Could a Nantucket guy ever really be happy on Martha’s Vineyard? … Last year, Kerry and his wife put their Nantucket compound on the market, and in March, the couple bought an historic waterfront home in Chilmark, the up-island Vineyard town where the Obama family retreated for summer vacation when they inhabited the White House. Kerry’s exclusive new enclave at Seven Gates Farm is remote and secluded, far from the crowds that jam Edgartown and Oak Bluffs in the summer. The sale was first reported by the Vineyard Gazette.” http://bit.ly/2poPQNP MEDIAWATCH – “Daniel Halper joins Drudge Report,” by Hadas Gold and Daniel Lippman: “Matt Drudge, the founder and editor of the influential site DrudgeReport.com, has hired Daniel Halper, two sources familiar with the move confirmed to POLITICO. Halper was most recently Washington bureau chief of The New York Post, a position he held for just under a year. Halper was previously online editor at the conservative magazine The Weekly Standard and in 2014 published the book ‘Clinton Inc.’” http://politi.co/2pAMCaH -- per Morning Media: ALEXANDER MARQUARDT is joining CNN as a senior national correspondent. The ABC news veteran, who’s spent the last decade as a foreign correspondent based out of Beirut, Jerusalem and Moscow, will shift his beat stateside, covering domestic and breaking news out of New York.-- ERICA ORDEN is leaving the Wall Street Journal’s headquarters in New York to move to D.C. to join the paper’s politics team as a White House investigative reporter.BRET STEPHENS INTERVIEW – “The NYT’s new columnist defends his views on Arabs, Black Lives Matter, campus rape,” by Vox’s Jeff Stein: http://bit.ly/2qhCvnx SPOTTED -- Joe Biden courtside last night at the Wizards-Hawks game. The former VP was sitting with Mark Ein, and exchanged pleasantries with Playbook Palm Beach correspondent Luke Russert. Biden -- or Russert, we’re not sure -- got a standing ovation. … former Bush White House Counsel and Supreme Court nominee Harriet Miers yesterday in the Longworth House Office Building … Valerie Jarrett yesterday going into Blue Duck Tavern, which is right across from the Obama offices in the West End.OUT AND ABOUT – The Food Policy Action Education Fund and the Environmental Working Group hosted more than 30 award-winning chefs at their Plate of the Union Farm Bill Summit on Wednesday at Republic Restoratives Distillery in Northeast D.C. Top chefs and food policy leaders met to talk about the farm bill. The summit ended with a lively reception kicked off by Michelin-star chef Jose Andres. Pics http://bit.ly/2pC232y … http://bit.ly/2qb5VY7 SPOTTED: Food Policy Action co-founder Tom Colicchio, Chef and Bizarre Foods host Andrew Zimmern, Rep. James McGovern (D-Mass.), Rep. Chellie Pingree (D-Maine), Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-Ore.), EWG Chairman Ken Cook and the James Beard Foundation’s Katherine Miller.--SPOTTED at last night’s kickoff party for the 2017 Congressional Women’s Softball Game, held at the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association Capitol Hill townhouse: Reps. Cheri Bustos (D-Ill.), Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fla.), Ed Perlmutter (D-Colo.), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-N.M.), Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.), Martha Roby (R-Ala.), Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), Lynn Sweet, Emmarie Huetteman, Amy Walter, Brianna Keilar, Elena Schneider, Lisa Desjardins, Atalie Ebersole of Grant Thornton, Aimee Vargas of Anheuser-Busch, Tom Manatos of Spotify and Jenn Richey of Young Survival Coalition.--On Wednesday evening, David Litt and Brad Jenkins of Funny or Die hosted the writers from “Full Frontal” for drinks at The Gibson. SPOTTED: Travon Free, Mike Memoli, Hadas Gold, Ben Chang, Olivia Pavco Giaccia, Alexis Krieg, Ashley Chang, Sopan Deb, Heather Wild, Luis Miranda, Jon Ward.SPOTTED last night at the Tribeca Film Festival premiere of “From The Ashes,” a documentary about coal (trailer: http://bit.ly/2oOXIFd): Mike Bloomberg, John Kerry, Diane Lane, Ed Norton, Kevin Sheekey, Jane Rosenthal, Diane Taylor, Patti Harris, Mitchell Moss, Michael Brune, Lisa Belzberg, Tammy Haddad, Jane Hoffman, Liz Robbins, Richard Cohen, Katie Thomson, David AdlerTRANSITIONS -- Brooke Lillard, former deputy director of broadcast media in the Obama White House, is joining the Blue Dog Coalition as communications director. … Longtime Capitol Hill staffer Christopher Barkley has been named as policy director for the Senate Republican Policy Committee. Barkley, currently senior policy adviser to Senator Ben Sasse (R-Neb.), replaces Arjun Mody, now a principal at S-3 Group. … Johanna Maska, former senior Obama White House official and marketing executive, has started as the new CEO of the international consulting firm the Global Situation Room, Inc. http://politi.co/2q9rDcg STATE VISIT -- MSNBC’s Morning Joe Senior Producer Jesse Rodriguez celebrated his birthday early last night at Del Campo in DC with colleague Michael Larosa and friends Michael Zona, CNN’s Richard Hudock and Peter Morris, Greg Martin, Mike Valerio, Robert Edmonson, Mitchell Rivard and Kyle Hill.OUT AND ABOUT: There was a big send off for Mitch McConnell’s outgoing chief of staff, Brian McGuire at Sidecar last night. SPOTTED: Burgess Everett, Seung Min Kim, Jim Rowley, Michael Steel, Molly Ball, Glenn Thrush, Jonathan Martin, Donna Cassata, Erica Werner, Jon Ward, Sahil Kapur, Alex Bolton, Paul Kane, Sean Sullivan, Don Stewart, Antonia Ferrier, David Popp, Josh Holmes, John Ashbrook, Rich Edson, Kevin McLaughlin, Alex Conant, Joe Pounder, Jahan Wilcox, Brian Callanan, Joel Gehrke, Kristina Peterson, Shane Goldmacher and Alex Rogers.-- Crossroads Strategies and JDA Frontline threw a party Wednesday night for more than 300 people to showcase their new office space. SPOTTED: Becky Tallent, Kristin Smyth, Joanna Acocella, Chet Lott, Elizabeth Baker, Catherine Bohigian, Bobby Thomson, Pace Bradshaw, Ryan Guthrie, Sam Whitfield, Chip Burkhalter, James Dozier, Lee Dunn, Stewart Jeffries, AJ Bhadelia, Jim Papa, Marissa Padilla, Hugh Gamble, Michael Lewan, Tim Clark, former Sen. Trent Lott (Miss.), Brian Yates, Michael Thompson, Lane Penry, Steve Tilton, Matt Sulkala, Mary Pat Lawrence, Richard McDonnell, Todd Dupler, Michael Lewan.WHCA PARTY GUIDE – THURSDAY: Washingtonian president and CEO Cathy Merrill Williams and Gloria Dittus of Story Partners are hosting the 4th Annual Washington Women in Journalism Awards reception at Dittus’ home in Kalorama from 6 to 9 p.m. ... Allen Gannett, Eric Kuhn, John McCarthy and Susanna Quinn are hosting the “Bytes and Bylines” party from 7 to 10 p.m. at DTR Modern Gallery in Georgetown. ... IJR is hosting “The Golden Age of Journalism” party from 8 to 11 p.m. at the Carnegie Library. ... … FRIDAY: Katherine and David Bradley are hosting a VIP “celebratory dinner” starting at 6:15 p.m. at their house in Georgetown. ... Capitol File Magazine, the British Ambassador and Lady Darroch are hosting a party from 6 to 9 p.m. at the British Ambassador’s residence. ... Real Clear Politics is hosting a “Toast to the First Amendment” from 7 to 10 p.m. at the National Restaurant Association. … Mother Nature Network is hosting its third annual White House Correspondents’ Jam at The Hamilton from 7-11 p.m., headlined by Billy Bob Thornton and his band, The Boxmasters, and featuring Chuck Leavell of the Rolling Stones, as well as 4 other journalist-led bands. ... The New Media Party, featuring DJ Sylo, is from 8:30 p.m. to midnight at WeWork White House at 1440 G St NW ... United Talent Agency, Jay Sures and Dan Abrams are hosting a party to celebrate “the First Amendment and excellent in journalism” from 9 p.m. to 1 a.m. at Fiola Mare. ... ... SATURDAY: Tammy Haddad and her friends are hosting her annual Garden Brunch from 11 a.m. to 2 p.m. in Georgetown at the home of Jefferson Hotel owner Connie Milstein. ... Samantha Bee and her show “Full Frontal” is taping the “Not the White House Correspondents’ Dinner” at 3 p.m. (dress code: black tie) at DAR. ... BuzzFeed is hosting a “Red White & Banned” party from 8 p.m. to 12:30 a.m. at the Brixton at 901 U St., NW. ... Atlantic Media and CBS News host a pre-dinner reception at the Washington Hilton starting at 6 p.m. ... Thomson Reuters is hosting pre-party (from 6 to 7:30) and after-dinner drinks (until midnight) at the Washington Hilton. ... #DemsInExile is hosting a WHCD after-party at the Exiles Bar on U Street from 10 p.m. to 2 a.m. ... MSNBC is hosting its traditional after-party, this time at the Organization of American States. ... … SUNDAY: CNN is hosting a “Political Hangover” brunch from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. at Longview Gallery. ... Elena and Robert Allbritton and Politico are hosting their annual garden brunch from 11 a.m. to 2 p.m. at their residence in Georgetown. ... Thomson Reuters is hosting its annual brunch from 11 to 2 p.m. at the Hay Adams Hotel. … Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) is hosting a women’s correspondents brunch and mimosas reception from 11:00 am to 2:00 pm at her residence on Capitol Hill.BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: WaPo columnist Dana Milbank, the pride of Merrick, N.Y. How he’s celebrating: “Having friends over to choose wines for my wedding next month to Anna Greenberg.” Read his Playbook Plus Q&A: http://politi.co/2ozlJ78 BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Toby Tyler of Sen. Lindsey Graham’s office (hat tip: Megan McKinley, who was on time)BIRTHDAYS: Christina Reynolds ... Adam Clymer ... Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) is 48 ... Rep. GK Butterfield (D-N.C.) is 7-0 ... Hannah Kim ... West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice is 66 ... James Prussing ... Lee Whack Jr. is 33 ... Politico California Playbook co-author Carla Marinucci ... Rep. Daniel Webster (R-Fla.) is 68 ... Weesie Vieira, founder of Cadette Public Relations and a BuzzFeed and CBS alum (h/t Katie Rayford) ... Alex De Luca, deputy press secretary for EMILY’s List ... Doug Rediker of International Capital Strategies (h/t daughter Caroline) ... Auburn fan Erica Elliott, principal at Jochum Shore & Trossevin PC ... Politico’s Aubree Weaver ... Marin Watters, all around good kid and Playbook loyalist, is 11 ... Mark Gardner ... Anna Soellner, comms at Reddit ... Michael Crittenden, SVP at Mercury and a WSJ alum ... Gail Hoffman … Will Marshall, president and founder of the Progressive Policy Institute ...Charlie Thornton, director of leg affairs for the CFTC and previously was senior professional staff and counsel for House Ag, is 31 (h/t Zack Roday) … Max Everett, Fortalice Solutions Cyber guru and Bush 43 alum ... Sonia Holman, president of the Mt Vernon Group and the pride of Andover, Massachusetts (h/ts Ed Cash) ...... Dan Gerstein, president of Gotham Ghostwriters (h/t Jon Haber) ... David Hudson, digital strategist at Precision Strategies, who was the associate director of content in the White House Office of Digital Strategy where he helped manage email outreach, the We the People petitions platform, and the White House blog (h/t Tom Zigo) ... Dan Lindner, comms director for Rep. Raul Grijalva ... Lee Brenner of Microsoft ... Seth Mnookin, co-director of MIT’s Graduate Program in Science Writing ... Eric Gioia … Adam Dickter … Connor Walsh, founder and managing director at Build Digital and a Cantor alum ... Mebus Behrle, USC Schwarzenegger Institute’s director of special projects ... Lauren Camera, national education reporter at U.S. News ... Bryan Denton, a star photojournalist based in Beirut and frequent contributor to the NYT … Alicia “Lisa” Shepard ... Wayne Laugesen, editorial page editor at Colorado Springs Gazette ... Andrew Brenneman ... Jon Fasman, Southeast Asia bureau chief for The Economist ... Chicago’s Jamie Citron, an Obama alum ... Joseph Ricca ... Sondy Pope Roberts (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) ... Emily Hogin ... Ken Reidy … Artyom Matusov ... Molly Magarik ... rhythm-and-blues singer Cuba Gooding is 73 (h/t AP)

27 апреля, 13:45

PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin

Steven Mnuchin is a new player in Washington, but he’s already been thrust into President Donald Trump’s top priority: overhauling the tax code. As part of Trump’s 100-day push, Mnuchin and other top White House officials laid out the broad brushstrokes for Trump’s vision for tax reform -- they are calling it “the largest tax cut in the history.” The devil, of course, is always in the details when trying to get things done in Washington. Mnuchin said the Treasury Department has more than 100 people focused on crunching the numbers for tax reform and they have had regular meetings with the House and Senate tax writing panels.“I think this is all about creating economic growth, creating jobs and this is really the president’s priority,” Mnuchin said in a Playbook Interview following the rollout. “We’re excited to move forward fast. We had a very productive meeting [Tuesday] night at the Senate with the leadership and we’re committed to working with them closely to go through all the details and turning this into a bill that can be passed and the president can sign.”OTHER HIGHLIGHTS:TRUMP WILL TAKE AN ACTIVE ROLE: “I think it’s clear that the president has strong views on tax reform and will be playing a leadership role, but this is an absolute partnership with the House and the Senate to get this done.”EXPECT MASSIVE CUTS: “On the personal side what we announced [Wednesday], is that our intention is to keep the mortgage interest deduction and keep charitable deductions. Those are two things that we think are just critically important. The housing markets are a very big part of the economy. We want to continue to encourage people to support charitable contributions, but a starting point is we’re cutting everything else. That’s a pretty massive change. On the business side, we’re going to be going through and again we’ll come back with the details, but in return for lowering rates we are going to get rid of a bunch of deductions.”DEMOCRATS ARE WELCOME: “I hope there are a lot of Democrats that cross the aisle and support this. I don’t know why they wouldn’t since this is about creating jobs for Americans and making American business competitive and creating a middle income tax cut, so I hope that’s the case. If it’s not the case, we’ll consider using reconciliation.”FIRST STEP IS LISTENING SESSIONS: “We’re starting with listening sessions … I think we’ll move this forward. And again, as I said, I’m hopeful that there are Democrats who come on board.”THIS BILL IS GOOD NEWS FOR K STREET: “We’ve reached out to lots and lots of business groups, small businesses, big businesses from all different sectors and we’ll continue to take input both from the Hill and people in the economy.”

27 апреля, 12:43

План Трампа увеличит долг США до 111% ВВП

Администрация Трампа обнародовала основные принципы налоговой реформы, однако, по мнению Комитета за ответственный федеральный бюджет (CRFB) в плане содержится конкретика, как будут сокращаться налоги, но не указано, сколько за это придется заплатить.

27 апреля, 12:43

План Трампа увеличит долг США до 111% ВВП

Администрация Трампа обнародовала основные принципы налоговой реформы, однако, по мнению Комитета за ответственный федеральный бюджет (CRFB), в плане содержится конкретика, как будут сокращаться налоги, но не указано, сколько за это придется заплатить.

27 апреля, 11:43

Налоговая реформа Трампа может привести к росту дефицита бюджета

Влияние на рынок:3Devata TsengМинистр финансов США Стивен Мнучин анонсировал план налоговой реформы Трампа в ходе вчерашней пресс-конференции; это может стать крупнейшей налоговой реформой с 1986 года.Трамп предложил сократить корпоративный налог с текущих 35% до 15%; таким образом, речь идёт о том, чтобы один из самых высоких налогов в мире превратить в один из самых низких. В рамках подоходного налога 7 текущих ставок (минимум 10%, максимум 39.6%) хотят упростить до 3 (10%, 25%, 35%). Трамп также призвал к отмене налога в 3.8% на доходы от инвестиций, а также на наследство.Цель плана заключается в том, чтобы усилить конкурентоспособность корпораций, направить американские компании в сторону репатриации средств из-за границы, создания рабочих мест, а также придать импульс экономическому росту до целевых 3%.Индекс доллара и рынок американских акций росли перед пресс-конференцией на росте ожиданий от налогового плана Трампа. Тем не менее, после пресс-конференции началась коррекция. Индекс Dow Jones и S&P 500 не смогли пробить психологические уровни 21.000 и 2.400, соответственно.Хотя снижение корпоративного налога будет стимулировать экономический рост, это также снизит доходы в бюджет более чем на $600 млрд. в год, что выльется в рост дефицита.Трамп планировал сокращение налогов за счёт отмены Obamacare. Когда эта инициатива провалилась 24 марта, перспективы для финансового стресса стали более ощутимыми. Теперь Трамп ожидает, что издержки на снижение налогов придадут импульс экономическому росту до 3%.Трамп также пообещал инфраструктурный план на $1 трлн. вместе с ростом расходов на оборону, что и далее будет расширять дефицит бюджета.Налоговая реформа также должна быть одобрена Конгрессом. Если же рассматривать перспективы роста дефицита, вероятно, даже консервативные республиканцы не поддержат налоговую реформу. Если Трамп не сможет получить достаточный уровень поддержки, вероятно, это вновь приведёт к разочарованию рынков, что выльется в распродажу доллара и акций.ЕЦБ объявит решение по процентным ставкам в 14:45 МСК. Следом пройдёт пресс-конференция ЕЦБ в 15:30 МСК. Рынки ожидают, что ЕЦБ сохранит ставки неизменными, тоже самое и насчёт программы количественного смягчения. Тем не менее, нужно следить за тем, какие намёки будет делать ЕЦБ в отношении перспектив постепенного сокращения количественного смягчения. Данные по заказам на товары длительного пользования, а также базовое значение этого показателя за март будут опубликованы в 15:30 МСК.Статья взята с Блога FxPro - http://blog.fxpro.ru/daily-forex-outlook/27042017-nalogovaya-reforma-trampa-mozhet-privesti-k-rostu-defitsita-byudzheta/ ..Источник: FxTeam

27 апреля, 09:50

"Евромедведи" наготове перед заседанием ЕЦБ

В четверг, 27 апреля, единая европейская валюта по отношению к доллару на утренних торгах консолидируется у отметки 1,09, возле которой финишировала днем ранее. Вчера, в среду, американская валюта окрепла против евро на фоне благоприятных новостей, поступивших из Соединенных Штатов. Похоже, что Дональд Трамп отступился от своего требования о строительстве стены на границе с Мексикой на бюджетные деньги, и это повышает вероятность консенсуса по вопросу о потолке заимствований, срок которого истечет 28 апреля, т.е. за день до 100-дневной даты президентства Трампа. Кроме того, американская администрация вчера представила некоторые детали налоговой реформы, которую Трамп обещал еще давно, но так и не приблизился к исполнению обещания на практике. Согласно предложенной реформе налог на прибыль компаний будет снижен до 15% с 35%, как пояснил министр финансов США Стивен Мнучин.

27 апреля, 08:48

Трамп собрался снизить налог на прибыль компаний в США с 35% до 15%

Президент США Дональд Трамп в своей налоговой реформе предлагает снизить налог на прибыль компаний с 35% до 15%, сообщил министр финансов страны Стивен Мнучин.

27 апреля, 08:42

Белый дом представил крупнейшую налоговую реформу в истории США

Американский Белый дом обнародовал план налоговой реформы, обещанной президентом Дональдом Трампом в ходе предвыборной кампании, сообщает Reuters. План реформы представили министр финансов США Стивен Мнучин и главный экономический советник Белого дома Гэри Кон. Как заявил Мнучин, это «крупнейшая налоговая реформа и крупнейшие сокращения налогов» в истории Соединенных Штатов. В рамках реформы предлагается более чем наполовину сократить налог на прибыль бизнеса и вывести из-под налогообложения зарубежные прибыли американских корпораций. Сокращение налогов на бизнес будет частично профинансировано за счет разового пониженного налога на прибыль американских корпораций, репатриированную из-за рубежа. Кроме того, Белый дом предлагает снизить максимальную ставку подоходного налога для физлиц – сократить с семи до трех количество ставок, применяемых к доходу индивидуального налогоплательщика или семейной пары в рамках прогрессивной системы налогообложения.

27 апреля, 08:01

Утренний обзор

Доброе утро! Американские площадки скорректировались после роста на фоне озвучивания налоговой реформы Д.Трампа. Нынешняя администрация США намерена массово снизить налог на прибыль компаний и подоходный налог на физлиц в надежде, что оживление экономической активности приведет к росту налогооблагаемой базы и в результате не скажется на доходах бюджета. Как сообщил министр финансов Стивен Мнучин, план Трампа предполагает снижение налога на прибыль компаний до 15% с 35%. Администрация также обсуждает с конгрессом конкретную ставку налога на возвращение прибыли из-за рубежа. Для физических лиц Трамп предлагает упростить налоговое законодательство и также уменьшить налоги. Республиканцы контролируют Белый дом и обе палаты конгресса, что теоретически позволяет им провести налоговую реформу в одиночку. Однако, как показали дебаты по здравоохранению, разногласия в партии порой слишком велики для того, чтобы продвигаться вперед. Инвесторы разочарованы отсутствием более подробной информации по предлагаемому налоговому плану. «Рынок ждал большей конкретики по ставкам и снижению облагаемых сумм, однако ставка по налогу на возвращение прибыли – самый важный вопрос – так и осталась не озвученной», — сказал Николас Колас из ConvergEx Group агентству MarketWatch В среду  министерство энергетики США сообщило, что  коммерческие запасы нефти в стране на прошлой неделе упали на 3,641 млн баррелей — до 528,702 млн баррелей. Аналитики Goldman Sachs оценивают как высокую вероятность продления соглашения ОПЕК и не-ОПЕК о сокращении добычи нефти. Если так произойдет, WTI будет торговаться в диапазоне $55-60 за баррель. В случае отказа от этих договоренностей есть риск падения котировок на $3-5 за баррель. Базовый сценарий предусматривает котировки WTI в $57,5 за баррель и Brent — $59 за баррель, заявил глава сырьевого отдела Goldman Sachs Джеффри Карри в интервью Bloomberg. При этом в обзоре аналитиков банка говорится, что укрепление рубля и высокая стоимость привлечения денег снижают выигрыш российских компаний и бюджета страны от роста нефтяных цен и делают продление соглашения с ОПЕК менее интересным для РФ. Министр энергетики, промышленности и природных ресурсов Саудовской Аравии Халид аль-Фалих заявил журналистам в среду в Баку, что на следующей неделе в России проведет переговоры с российским коллегой Александром Новаком по вопросу продления соглашения между странами ОПЕК и не-ОПЕК по вопросу сокращения добычи нефти. «Газпром»  в 2016 году заработал почти 1 трлн рублей чистой прибыли по международным стандартам, что на 19% больше, чем в 2015 году. При таком результате менеджмент компании настроен выплатить дивиденды за 2016 год в размере 7,89 рубля на акцию, что в общей сложности составляет 186,784 млн рублей или около 20% от прибыли по МСФО. Правительство выражало заинтересованность в получении дивидендов госкомпаний в размере 50% от прибыли по МСФО. В бюджет 2016 года Минфин включил дивиденды «Газпрома» в размере 18,86 рубля на акцию, немного недооценив годовую прибыль «Газпрома» (893 млрд рублей). Окончательное решение о размере дивидендов принимает совет директоров концерна в середине мая. В IV квартале 2016 года, как ожидается, выручка составит 1,683 трлн рублей, EBITDA — 366 млрд рублей, прибыль — 212 млрд рублей. Индекс ММВБ завершил безоткатным ростом четвертую сессию подряд , что повышает вероятность коррекции. Ближайшей поддержкой здесь выступает отметка 1995п, закрепление под которой усилит продажи, сопротивление 2038п   проход и закрепление над которым открывает дорогу  к 2058 — 2070п. На фРТС складывается следующая ситуация, пробой и закрепление под 110000 п отправит фьючерс в район 108000 п, закрепление над 112000 п даст повод для продолжения роста к 113500 п . Для регулярного выхода утреннего обзора ставьте пожалуйста плюсы.

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27 апреля, 05:05

27.04.2017 05:05 : Власти США представили план реформы, предусматривающей крупнейшее сокращение налогов в истории страны

Об этом сообщил министр финансов Стивен Мнучин. Президент США предложил сократить ставку федерального налога на прибыль компаний с 35 до 15%. План также предусматривает упрощение процесса взимания подходного налога и понижение налога на зарубежную прибыль американских компаний.

27 апреля, 04:10

Глава Минфина США: Трамп не намерен обнародовать налоговую декларацию

Министр финансов США Стивен Мнучин заявил, что президент Дональд Трамп не будет обнародовать свою налоговую декларацию.

20 января, 17:30

Трамп прийде, порядок наведе!

В должность 45 президента США вступает Дональд Трамп, часто сравниваемый с Рональдом Рейганом Давайте взглянем на его кабинет и на него самого более пристально WASP,пресвитерианец, изоляционист, консерватор (в хорошем смысле этого слова) и натоящий мужик!

01 декабря 2016, 06:45

Команда Трампа. Голдман Сакс снова на коне

Дональд Трамп объявил имя будущего министра финансов США: им станет Стивен Тёрнер Мнучин (Steven Terner Mnuchin). Для кого-то это явилось неожиданностью. Ведь среди претендентов на высокий пост называли исполнительного директора банка JPMorgan Джейми Даймона, члена палаты представителей Джеба Хенсарлинга... У Стивена Мнучина, однако, было важное преимущество: в предвыборной кампании Трампа он работал финансовым менеджером. Кроме того, что...