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30 апреля, 19:53

The Tragedy This Weekend At The "Coachella For The Super Rich"

Please visit full archives at The Entry Points: There is a sad story today at Bloomberg about the "tragedy" (yes tragedy according to the writer) which befell a group of "moneyed millenials" (SJWs) over the weekend. When young SJWs are not pampered, and coddled, and treated like royalty, the rest of us should feel nothing but sorrow for their plight. Because they live such demanding, high-pressure, work-intensive lives. Protesting, rioting, and shouting over the speeches and appearances by conservative speakers, is an exhausting life for these youngsters - so they need time to kickback and chillax. This past weekend was supposed to provide this and be a fun-filled experience, but it was a "disaster" instead. Here's what happened at this "nightmare":   The same young "moneyed millennials" who have been lecturing and berating the rest of us about our "CO2-intensive lifestyles", decided it was perfectly fine for them to fly to the Bahamas for the weekend: "Fyre Festival chartered planes from Swift Air to fly from Miami to Great Exuma Island." It was billed as a "Coachella for the super rich". And ticket holders thought it would be a: "weekend in paradise, but it  turned into a nightmare when a super exclusive music festival in the Bahamas became a disorganized mess, stranding attendees who in some cases paid tens of thousands of dollars. Hyped by glossy ads featuring such supermodels as Kendall Jenner and Emily Ratajkowski, the Fyre Festival promised the culture experience of the decade in a tropical wonderland of yachts, villas, and gourmet cuisine. Ticket prices went into five figures for special VIP treatment, though general admission packages were available starting at $1,200." But it was not anything like what they had dreamed it would be. Their luxury accommodations were disaster relief tents. And their gourmet cuisine did not even take into consideration animal welfare, nor the environment: "For dinner, they were served bread, cold cuts, cheese slices, and a side salad in a styrofoam box." The event was put together by two "moneyed millenials",  Ja Rule and Billy McFarland, but things went a bit awry: "The event was organized by rapper Ja Rule and entrepreneur Billy McFarland, who is also the founder and chief executive officer of Magnises, a social club for “elite” millenials. According to a report by Business Insider, some members of that enterprise claimed last-minute trip cancellations, scheduling failures, and unwanted charges on their cards. McFarland didn’t immediately return a call and text seeking comment."   The two geniuses who organized the event were even reprimanded by the Bahamian government: "The event’s implosion was so calamitous it prompted a Bahamian government agency to issue a statement on the matter. 'We are extremely disappointed in the way the events unfolded yesterday with the Fyre Festival. We offer a heartfelt apology to all who traveled to our country for this event,' the Ministry of Tourism said Friday."    But after the "calamity" which befell the moneyed millenials over the weekend, they decided they wanted their money back: "According to Dylan Caccamesi, who paid about $1,200 to attend, organizers asked those seeking refunds to write their names, email addresses, and phone numbers on pieces of computer paper. He signed the paper in the hope that it would help guarantee a refund. 'I’m not sure what the intent was,' the 22-year-old from New Jersey said in a phone interview from the Bahamas. 'We still have to get a hold of them.' Caccamesi said an email was also sent by the festival promising a refund, citing unforeseen circumstances, but detailed information has yet to be provided." As to be expected of course, and what else is new, the "moneyed lawyers" had to butt in on the "tragic" circumstances: "It sounds like a clear breach of contract case, said Randall Kessler, an attorney in Georgia. 'They didn’t deliver what they promised.” Maybe there's a case here for Gloria Allred, as there certainly must have been some sexism involved in this "tragedy" also.  And "like" is apparently still in, as young Dylan summed it up for us: “I haven’t been on a vacation in a while. I was like, ‘I’ll be living luxurious.’ It was supposed to be good for, like, high-class youth. A higher-expectations festival.” Well obviously young Dylan did not "like" what happened, but as any youngster knows, there's always alcohol to make it all better: "We have no idea what’s going on. We’re just sitting on the beach getting wasted.”

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30 апреля, 18:38

Bastia, the Corsican club with an insatiable appetite for self-destruction | Barry Glendenning

The island’s only top-flight team are mired in fan violence, underinvestment and poor results, and their ultras are heavily culpable for the toxic atmosphereOfficial retribution for the ugly scenes that led to the abandonment of Sporting Club de Bastia’s French league match against Lyon two weeks ago was swift and will almost certainly get more brutal. Corsica’s only top-flight club are bottom of Ligue 1 and members of the Bastia 1905 ultra group may have sealed the club’s descent into the second tier by twice attacking assorted Lyon players before the game was called off. Bastia were ordered to play Saturday’s home game against Rennes behind closed doors at the neutral Stade Parsemain in Fos‑sur‑Mer on the French mainland, where they maintained their hopes of survival with a 1-0 win over the Breton side. However, further sanctions – including a likely points deduction – will soon be announced, and the section of Bastia’s Stade de Furiani that houses away fans has also been closed indefinitely. Related: Bastia v Lyon abandoned after home fans invade pitch and attack players Continue reading...

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30 апреля, 02:04

The rugby buddy movie that tackles homophobia with a laugh

New film Handsome Devil has been hailed as ‘the Irish Moonlight’A while back, the director John Butler decided he wanted to make a mainstream buddy movie with a difference. It was to feature two teenage boys, whose sexuality would never explicitly be revealed, and the backdrop would be a fee-paying rugby-obsessed Irish school with a culture of unthinking homophobia. It would have a dash of Dead Poets Society, a nod to the feelgood John Hughes films of the 1980s, and it would culminate in a classic tale of sporting triumph on the rugby pitch. And Butler wanted to do all this on a shoestring budget and a 25-day shoot.Amazingly, the 44-year-old director managed it. Handsome Devil, which stars young Irish actors Fionn O’Shea and Nicholas Galitzine as the adolescent schoolboys, and Sherlock star Andrew Scott as their inspirational teacher, has just been released to a wave of acclaim. Critics have called it “charming”, “terrific” and swiftly styled it “the Irish Moonlight”. Continue reading...

28 апреля, 18:11

Congress passes stopgap bill to avoid government shutdown

Lawmakers are close to a deal on a broader spending package.

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28 апреля, 17:39

A World In Change: Shanghai Cooperation Organization

Interested in precious metals investing or storage? Contact us HERE    A World In Change – Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Alasdair Macleod, Craig Hemke and Dave Kranzler Posted with permission and written by Rory Hall CLICK HERE FOR ORIGINAL)       We present a comprehensive review of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, including the members, the economics, the resources involved and the people. We show how this global organization is going to impact every person, business and country world wide. The US Dollar hegemony is dying. The Eastern countries are preparing for what is coming next. We hope you will heed the warning and begin doing your on research and plan accordingly.   Everything is going to change and tomorrow will not look, nor operate, as it does today. Alasdair Macleod from GoldMoney.com and FinanceandEconomics.org begins by introducing who is currently involved and how they relate to one another economically. Craig Hemke from TFMetalsReport.com introduces us to the economics, currency swaps and the possibility of a gold back currency. Dave Kranzler from InvestmentResearchDynamics.com introduces us to some of the history and comprehensive look at the members list and explains how China may be “playing along” with the IMF regarding the SDR (Special Drawing Rights) fiat currency. If you need to have a task completed you usually need people involved. The SCO will encompass approximately 3 billion people. That is not a typo, 3 billion people. This represents approximately half the global population.   Twenty years ago most of these people were considered “poor” and from a “third world country”. Today, their wealth is growing and the countries in which they reside are becoming economic powerhouses. When the United States decided in the 1990’s that we no longer wanted to be bothered with manufacturing, we shipped all those good paying, prosperous jobs to these “third world countries” because they had lots of people willing to work for a lot less money. This is to say nothing of the overbearing regulations that spew from Washington DC and strangle American business. Want to open a new business? Well, you better be prepared to meet with the EPA, OSHA and Codes Administration before you begin pursuing your desire to provide for yourself, your family and your community. All of these “third world countries” are not strapped with regulations on top of regulations.   China and Russia have both opened their form of the SWIFT system. The SWIFT system is a currency clearing system that allows countries to conduct business with one another. Prior to January 2015 all currencies, the world over, were forced to use the US SWIFT. The US abused this privilege in 2012 when Iran was shut out and could not conduct business on a global scale. Their currency immediately experienced a 40% devaluation and Iran went into hyperinflation. Russia stepped in and began trading gold for oil. China quickly followed suit. Iran and Russia have been global enemies every since. What currency will we use to conduct business? Will it be a gold backed currency? Will the US Dollar be around forever? Will China, Russia and the other US creditor nations continue funding the US credit card? While some of these questions seem obvious, they are not as easily answered as you may think. The US Dollar is dying. The Renminbi is rising in prominence and being used in trade all over the world. There are Renminbi/Yuan currency hubs in Vancouver, Los Angeles and The City of London, just to name some of the larger cities where one can easily conduct business, including everyday transactions, in Chinese Renminbi/Yuan. Times are changing and changing very rapidly. According to Voxeu.org the Renminbi (RMB) is rising quickly on the global stage:   Since the Chinese government announced the establishment of its pilot Shanghai free-trade zone (FTZ) in September 2013, the renminbi has gone from being a largely unusable currency to nudging its way into the top-10 most used around the world. However, for a country that dominates international trade flows and with a forecast GDP of 6.3% of 2015 – compared with global forecasts of 3.5% – the currency has not yet reached anything close to its full potential. “The currency is underutilised at an international level,” says Astrid Thorsen, head of business intelligence at Swift. But its modest use is not down to a lack of interest from the global markets. The results on the question around RMB usage recorded in Euromoney’s Trade Finance Survey presented some of the most conclusive figures in the poll. The frequently predicted rise of RMB use looks certain to stay on track, as 38% of respondents stated their belief that 5% of their total trade will be denominated in renminbi in the next 12 to 24 months. The expectation that the use of the RMB will rise is marked. Even more emphatic is that 70% of respondents believe up to 25% of their trade will be conducted in RMB in the next two years. Crucially, this is a trend that goes far beyond China’s near neighbours.     What about war? History has shown time and again when there is a major monetary change there is war. The current regime does not want to relinquish power and wealth. We are hopeful this will change with the current situation. Russia, believe it or not, is actually the wild card. The East is only concerned with doing business. The Chinese are traveling the world over to insure the Yuan/Renminbi is on a steady pace to replace the US Dollar regardless of what happens. We hope you give this a listen, allow it digest and then listen again. Above all, we hope you are aware that tomorrow will not look like yesterday. Everything is changing. Are you ready for your world to function differently?       Questions or comments about this article? Leave your thoughts HERE.         A World In Change – Shanghai Cooperation Organization: Alasdair Macleod, Craig Hemke and Dave Kranzler Posted with permission and written by Rory Hall CLICK HERE FOR ORIGINAL)

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28 апреля, 17:31

Fighter Jet Acrobatics 360: Flying aboard MiG-29 over Moscow in Victory Day Parade rehearsal

The "Swifts" and "Russian Knights" aerobatic teams are preparing for the Victory Day parade on May 9. Take part in the air rehearsal together with the legendary pilots. RT LIVE http://rt.com/on-air Subscribe to RT! http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=RussiaToday Like us on Facebook http://www.facebook.com/RTnews Follow us on Twitter http://twitter.com/RT_com Follow us on Instagram http://instagram.com/rt Follow us on Google+ http://plus.google.com/+RT Listen to us on Soundcloud: https://soundcloud.com/rttv RT (Russia Today) is a global news network broadcasting from Moscow and Washington studios. RT is the first news channel to break the 1 billion YouTube views benchmark.

28 апреля, 16:44

Dreaming Of Impeachment? Be Careful What You Wish For.

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Tradition dictates that a president’s 100th day in office is supposed to touch off a period of evaluation and reflection. Now, it’s President Donald Trump’s turn to face this landmark moment. Let’s be honest, these “100 days” judgments can seem awfully premature. Big legislative projects can take significant amounts of time ― the implementation of those policies even longer. And the truly defining moments of a presidency could occur at any moment. There’s a sense that the “First 100 Days” rubric has become more of a media trope ― and you can tell by the way occupants of the Trump White House have responded with waves of contradictory P.R. that on some level, they agree. Something about this 100-day marker has got Trump shook, desperate to get something major in just under the wire. Perhaps any honest accounting of how things have gone for the young administration is enough to cause consternation. But there’s a lesson for Trump’s critics and opponents in the first 100 days of his presidency as well. That lesson: There are likely to be several hundred more days of the Trump presidency. If Louise Mensch's latest patribotics piece is correct, GAME OVER for Donald Trump.— Rob Reiner (@robreiner) April 16, 2017 The reason I bring this up is that there is a popular sentiment out there among Trump’s most ardent critics that I encounter on a semi-regular basis, in travels through social media and in real life, that holds that some quick solution to the Trump problem is imminent. A shoe drops, and it’s lights out for Donald ― or at least it’s the prelude to yet another shoe making its descent. When will the Trump presidency end? How will it happen? These are questions that have been put to me. In all likelihood, it ends with another election. If it happens prematurely, though, it will be the result of something bad, and that trauma will likely beget further trauma. Presidencies that end abruptly, by definition, don’t end cleanly. We don’t press reset, get a new slate, and walk away clean. After the ignominious end of Richard Nixon’s administration, his successor, President Gerald Ford, tried to make a swift pivot, kicking off his tenure with a ritual incantation: “My fellow Americans, our long national nightmare is over.” But if you trace our history since the end of the Vietnam War and the Nixon presidency, it looks as if that period of unease never really did end. In the decades since, we’ve been more defined by our crises of faith than we have been by our accomplishments, and trust in important institutions has eroded. Perhaps the toughest thing to grapple with right now is the realization that the presidency of Donald Trump is not actually some freak, black-swan event that rose from the ether to shock our system unexpectedly. Rather, it is the natural consequence of decades of choices that we made together. Of course, this doesn’t mean that Trump is a man more sinned against than sinning. Given his unruly nature, manic ego, and history of corruption, this should be a period of high anxiety in its own right. By my reckoning, there is a better-than-average likelihood that Trump will become involved in some serious wrongdoing ― in fact, he might be ensnared in such iniquity at this very moment. This is not, by any means, a call to give up on pursuing truth and justice, inquiry and investigation, wherever evidence may lead. It’s merely a reminder that the solution to this particular moment probably does not lie over the next horizon. It’s also an admonition to remember that should Trump be removed from office, it will likely be due to some sort of traumatizing event. So, if you’re sitting at home, fingers crossed in the hope that this is all to end some time in the near future, think about what you’re wishing for, when you wish for a quick fix. One-hundred days into his presidency, Trump’s impeachment is already branded merchandise. And The Case For Impeachment is already the title of a book, by American University history professor Allan J. Lichtman. You may remember Lichtman ― he was one of the few people during the 2016 election cycle to predict that Trump was destined to prevail, using what he describes as “the same proven method that had led [him] to forecast accurately the outcomes of eight previous elections.” This time out, even Lichtman was surprised that he’d nailed the outcome yet again. Trump took notice. After the election, he sent along a brief note of congratulations: “Professor ― Congrats ― good call.” “What Trump overlooked,” writes Lichtman, “was my next ‘big prediction’: that, after winning the presidency, he would be impeached.” It’s worth pointing out that Lichtman hasn’t based this prediction on some proven statistical model ― he admits he’s making gut predictions based on Trump’s behavior and history, along with the historical record of past capsized presidencies. Sometimes, we go too far when historians try to be pundit stars. But if you’re looking to Lichtman’s text to provide the thing the title of his book immediately implies ― a straightforward, prêt-à-porter legal case against Trump’s continued presidency that can be filed and argued ― you’re going to go home wanting. Lichtman ably explains the impeachment mechanism, describes past presidencies that have fomented crises, and even outlines ways in which “impeachment traps” can be laid. But much of the body of his book simply rehashes things that we already know about Trump: his shady business deals, his various scams, his conflicts of interests, his deceptions, and his shabby treatment of women. Lichtman is correct to note that the misdeeds of yesteryear can become relevant to impeachment proceedings. In a technical sense, they can even serve to animate an impeachment. But it’s hard to believe that any of Trump’s past transgressions, having been digested fully by the public in the years that have just passed, are going to inspire Congress to act on his removal at some point in the future. Nevertheless, there are some areas, capably identified by Lichtman, where Trump could potentially lose his grip on his office. One has to do with his varied business holdings, a ripe ground for all sorts of corruption. His stateside assets raise considerable concerns about conflicts of interest, and the possibility that he’ll be guided more by what’s best for his bottom line than he is about the concerns of the American people. Abroad, his international holdings raise the concern that he’ll be susceptible to foreign favor-trading, and give special treatment to foreign actors who agree to plump his bank account. Just this week, it was reported that the State Department was promoting Trump’s Mar-A-Lago resort ― a move that brought the immediate scorn of ethics watchdogs for the potential violation of the Constitution’s Emoluments Clause. (The State Department subsequently deleted these promotions.) These are the sorts of entanglements that the nation’s founders specifically sought to avoid, and which could be grounds for impeachment. But while there is an emoluments-related lawsuit currently snaking its way through the legal system, you have to remember that the most effective defender of the public interest, where conflicts of interest are concerned, is Congress, and the Republicans who control both houses have elected to turn a blind eye to the problem. Should Democrats, at some point, retake the majority in one or both houses of Congress, oversight could accelerate considerably. But either way, we are not looking at something that’s going to get Trump tossed from office any time soon. And while the Trump administration has brought a lot of attention ― and even some public affection ― to the Office of Government Ethics, this agency is not out there setting impeachment traps. If the OGE gets its way, Trump’s critics won’t even be able to make a case based on his business holdings, because he will be in compliance with OGE advice. The other area on which Trump is vulnerable is the ongoing investigation into possible Russian interference in the 2016 election, and the extent to which Trump and his coterie were knit up in that alleged plot. This particular case has all the high-tension trimmings, complete with the frisson of treason. But again, nothing has reached the point where anyone is moments away from being clapped in irons. This matter will also take time to resolve. And while new speculation into the matter seems to be generated on an hourly basis, depending on who you follow on Twitter, these sorts of cases can be hard to make when they seem makeable. In the end, this whole tawdry affair could end with no one being able to prove a case against Trump and his associates. It could even potentially end with their exoneration. These are outcomes for which you should intellectually and emotionally be prepared to accept. Hopefully, the outcome is the result of a thorough and professional inquiry in which we can have faith, whatever it is. Besides, do you really want the White House to have been compromised by the Russian state? Would you prefer that massive graft takes root at the executive level? Don’t forget that while any of these things might shorten Trump’s tenure, they’re still not good outcomes for the rest of us. And what about the other kinds of things that might suddenly end a presidency? Most of them involve an event that causes widespread damage, misery, or injury. We should be clear-eyed about this. If you’re rooting for a quick end to Trump’s presidential tenure, remember: You’re also rooting for something that will likely bring widespread anguish to your fellow Americans. There has to be a morning after. If Trump is taken down by intelligence community findings, corruption, or some destructive event, we’ll still have to deal with the aftermath. In that sense, impeachment is not necessarily a “peaceful remedy” at all. It would be yet another crisis of faith in fractious times, sowing tension and division, difficult to unwind. We ought to pursue the truth, serve just ends, and punish wrongdoers, but we shouldn’t be up at night, hoping for wrong to be done, just because it will facilitate the electoral outcomes we prefer. So it’s telling that in the penultimate chapter of The Case For Impeachment, Lichtman opts out of shaking the pom-poms for impeachment. Instead, he addresses Trump directly, urging him to simply change his ways, by following “a blueprint for surviving as president.” Lichtman advises Trump to divest his assets, become more forward-thinking on policy, achieve a greater level of grace and generosity in his temperament, suspend his autocratic approach, and stop lying his way out of problems. Here’s Lichtman’s final admonition to Trump: I have one word for you in conclusion, Mr. President, and that word is legacy. It’s easy to get swept up in the adulation and enthusiasm of the crowd. But you can’t build a legacy on rallies and tweets. You need solid accomplishments that make America great and safe and that will secure your re-election in 2020. Above all, you can’t afford to ensnare yourself in on impeachment investigation, like the one that consumed the last two years of Clinton’s presidency. The bar is, frankly, set so low for you that even the small changes I’ve suggested here would sufficiently disarm your critics and clear the path to a successful presidency. You can do this. Too much to ask for? Maybe. Probably. But it’s a pretty optimistic moment to come at the end of a book titled “The Case For Impeachment.” And it shows that Lichtman isn’t actually rooting for a presidency-ending trauma, despite the litany of Trump past misdeeds he catalogues in the preceding chapters. This isn’t really a case for impeachment ― it’s the case for Trump to do enough of the necessary self-reflection to have an effective, respectable, and responsible presidency. That’s something that still might be achieved if Trump took stock of his errors and made the most of this moment. And there is a lesson here for Trump’s critics and opponents as well. This is time for some fearless inventory-taking, for the generation of bold ideas, and for keeping all of your fellow citizens foremost in your thoughts. To say nothing of some relentless campaigning and organizing. This is also a legacy moment for this cohort, a time to do some work. I’ve read a lot of party “autopsies,” in which a party that loses an election attempts to assess what went wrong. In all honestly, they never really boil down to real change. Instead, they become a call to do the same old things, just with better marketing. Democrats in particular have repeatedly gone to the “but our opponents are crazy” well, only to face the law of diminishing returns head-on. Everybody is looking for shortcuts instead of doing honest evaluation, and the shortcuts don’t lead anywhere. Should Trump’s term be shortened by wrongdoing, let it be the result of justice being served as clearly and as honestly as possible. In the meantime, everyone would be well-advised to spend a lot less time and labor crossing their fingers in the hopes of a quick fix. Quick fixes don’t exist. In fact, it can be argued that it was the search for this quick fix that led us to this point in the first place. The real “100 days” lesson for those who hope to one day supplant Trump, is that the first political party or movement that courageously takes stock in itself, generates new ideas, and eschews the temptation of the easy answer is likely to be the next one that builds something that endures. And should Trump’s time in office end in infamy, they’ll be in a better position to help the country heal. That’s what it takes to end a nightmare, if not a presidency. ~~~~~ Jason Linkins edits “Eat The Press” for The Huffington Post and co-hosts the HuffPost Politics podcast “So, That Happened.” Subscribe here, and listen to the latest episode below.   -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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28 апреля, 13:29

Swift to ‘streamline’ cross-border payments with DLT framework

Swift to launch blockchain proof of concept later this year utilising the ‘hyperledger fabric’

28 апреля, 12:05

White House boasts it ‘isolated Russia’ at UN

The White House said it viewed the supposed isolation of Russia at the United Nations as one of the achievements made by Donald Trump during the first 100 days of his presidency. "President Trump has stood up to countries that have threatened our national security after years of failed diplomacy. During his first 100 days, the President has sent a message to the world with his swift and decisive order to strike the Syrian air base that launched a horrific chemical weapons attack on innocent civilians," the White House press service said in a statement, TASS reports. According to the statement, Trump "further isolated Syria and Russia at the United Nations through successful diplomacy with President Xi Jinping of China." In addition, Trump "imposed sanctions on Syria" and "worked to isolate North Korea." According to the White House, the U.S. leader made 70 calls to 38 different world leaders and hosted 17 bilateral meetings with world leaders during the first months of his office.

28 апреля, 09:21

U.S. says failure to act on North Korea could be catastrophic

UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson warned on Friday that failure to curb North Korea's nuclear and missile abilities could lead to 'catastrophic consequences,' while China and Russia cautioned Washington against threatening military force to solve the problem.

28 апреля, 08:13

Карта «Мир» и финансовый суверенитет

Перевод бюджетников на карты платёжной системы "Мир" - ещё один шаг к полному суверенитету и самодостаточности российской финансовой системы. Несколько дней назад произошло событие, которое как-то прошло почти незамеченным для значительной части граждан. Государственная Дума Российской Федерации в третьем, окончательном чтении приняла закон о поэтапном переводе бюджетников и пенсионеров на использование отечественных платёжных карт «Мир».

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28 апреля, 04:12

Trade War, Round 2: Boeing Accuses Bombardier Of Dumping Jets; Canada Retaliates

Just days after the US Commerce Department imposed duties averaging 20% on Canadian softwood lumber, accusing Chinese timber companies of getting an unfair government subsidy, on Thursday round two of the trade war between the US and Canada broke out when Boeing asked the U.S. Commerce Department to investigate dumping, subsidies and unfair pricing for Canadian planemaker Bombardier's new CSeries airplane, a competitor to the Boeing 737, confirming that the trade tensions between the two neighboring countries are set to get far worse. Specifically, the Chicago-based aerospace giant has asking the International Trade Commission to rule that it has suffered injury to its business at the hands of Bombardier and to recommend that the Commerce Department impose duties on the Canadian jet builder (amusingly, Boeing also complained about the very existence of Bombardier itself, a company which has been aggressively bailed out by the Canadian government as recently as October 2015, when in exchange for $2.5 billion in taxpayer funds, the company fired 7,000 Canadian workers). In its petition, Boeing said that Bombardier, determined to win a key order from Delta Air Lines after losing a competition at United Airlines, had offered its planes to the airline at an "absurdly low" $19.6 million each, well below what it described as the aircraft’s production cost of $33.2 million. "Propelled by massive, supply creating and illegal government subsidies, Bombardier Inc has embarked on an aggressive campaign to dump its CSeries aircraft in the United States," Boeing said in its ITC complaint. A comparable 737-700 model by Boeing has a list price of $83.4 million, with the new 737-MAX 7 priced at $92.2 million. While sales discounts from list prices are typically 40 percent to 50 percent in the industry, another question is just how much of that price is courtesy of the implicit taxpayer subsidy of the Ex-Im bank, but that is a topic for another post. The spat between the two companies came to a climax in April 2016, whe Bombardier won the Delta order, its biggest yet, for 75 CS100 jets, worth an estimated $5.6 billion based on the list price of about $71.8 million.  And now that Trump has given the green light to challenge Canadian trade competitors, Boeing is certainly not wasting time. In its complaint against Bombardier, Boeing argued that the CSeries program would not exist without hundreds of millions of dollars in launch aid from the governments of Canada, Quebec and Britain, nor the abovementioned $2.5 billion equity infusion from Quebec in 2015. Boeing wasn't finished: the company also took a shot at European rival Airbus, which it accuses of benefiting from similar "unfair" government subsidies in a long-running dispute before the World Trade Organization. “Evidently taking a page out of the Airbus strategy book, Bombardier has blatantly and intentionally demonstrated its goal of muscling its way into the U.S. aviation market by offering its heavily subsidized planes at cut-rate pricing,” Boeing said. A Commerce Department spokesman told Reuters that the petition would be given "a thorough review" and further comment was premature. In recent week, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has taken swift action to protect the U.S. steel and aluminum industries from foreign competition, launching national security investigations that could lead to import restrictions. An investigation could lead to duties on the aircraft to offset any below-cost pricing or any subsidies deemed unfair. Shortly after the complaint was filed, the Canadian government issued a statement objecting to Boeing's allegations and noted that the CSeries has many U.S. suppliers, including for engines, and supports thousands of U.S. jobs. "The Government of Canada will mount a vigorous defense against these allegations and stand up for aerospace jobs on both sides of the border," it said. Full statement below: The Government of Canada today made the following statement regarding the filing of a petition by Boeing Aerospace Corporation with the United States Department of Commerce, alleging the dumping of Bombardier aircraft in the United States market:   "The Government of Canada objects to the allegations made by Boeing. We are confident that our programs are consistent with Canada's international obligations.          "The aerospace industries of Canada and the United States are highly integrated and companies on both sides of the border benefit from this close partnership. For example, many C Series suppliers are based in the United States and it is projected that more than 50 percent of the components for the C Series, including the engine, will be supplied by American firms directly contributing to high quality jobs in that country. The C Series is a great example of how the North American industrial base can develop and produce a globally competitive product with industry-leading clean technologies.   Bombardier also has a significant presence in the U.S. across its aerospace and transportation divisions, directly employing more than 7,000 workers. In addition, the company works with more than 2,000 suppliers headquartered in states across the country thereby generating thousands of well-paid, high-tech American jobs.   "The Government of Canada will mount a vigorous defence against these allegations and stand up for aerospace jobs on both sides of the border." Curiously, Bombardier’s chief executive conceded the company had been “aggressive” on pricing in order to win, and sources familiar with the deal pegged the discount closer to two-thirds off the nominal list price. It added that it was reviewing the petition and structures its dealings to ensure compliance with all relevant laws. * * * In a separate development, Premier Christy Clark of British Columbia, wrote a letter to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Wednesday asking him to ban coal shipments from the U.S., sending shares of US coal giant Cloud Peak Energy (among others) tumbling. According to Bloomberg, Clark's demand was in response to Trump's lumber tariffs. Trudeau said he would consider the request "carefully and seriously." Some context: a little over 6 million metric tons of U.S. thermal coal were shipped through the port of Vancouver in 2016. Needless to say, it would be especially absurd if as a result of Trump's Canadian tariffs, it is the US coal mining industry - the one which the president vowed to reincarnate - that suffers the most. And now, we sit back and wait for round three in the increasingly hostile trade wars between the US and its peaceful northern neighbor.

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28 апреля, 03:26

Без заголовка

**Live from Microsoft Office Hell: Swift on Security**: _How to figure out why the Excel file on the network share is locked_ **Witch Princess Livvi**: "The only option from 'Install updates' being an arrow labelled 'no' speaks to me on an IT management level..."

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28 апреля, 01:02

Activists seek swift passage of bill on tougher penalties for rape

Activists campaigning against sexual violence urged the ruling Liberal Democratic Party on Thursday to ensure the swift passage of a bill to toughen penalties for rape and other…

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27 апреля, 22:40

Новые ноутбуки Acer Swift 3 и Swift 1 получили экран Full HD

Ассортимент портативных компьютеров Acer пополнился новыми моделями Swift 3 и Swift 1 под управлением Windows 10, предназначенными для повседневной работы. Серия Swift 3 включает модификации с дисплеем размером 14 и 15,6 дюйма по диагонали, в то время как модель Swift 1 получила 13,3-дюймовый экран. При этом разрешение во всех случаях одинаково — 1920 × 1080 точек, что соответствует формату Full HD.

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27 апреля, 22:33

One-week stopgap spending bill slated for House vote Friday

A House vote is expected Friday on a one-week stopgap spending bill, according to a House GOP appropriations aide. The House Rules Committee plans to meet Thursday afternoon to approve parameters for debate on the bill House Appropriations Chairman Rodney Frelinghuysen rolled out Wednesday night. Republican leaders have voiced confidence that the short-term measure will pass the lower chamber despite Democratic threats to oppose the legislation if Republicans pursue a repeal of Obamacare. House Democratic appropriations spokesman Matt Dennis declined to predict whether Democrats would vote for the one-week patch, given uncertainty about how much progress will be made on negotiating the full-year package before the short-term measure is taken up.But Rep. Rosa DeLauro said she assumes most Democrats will vote for the short-term legislation. “I’m assuming we’ve got a clean CR that’s just to get us to finish up,” said DeLauro, ranking Democrat on the appropriations subcommittee that handles funding for the departments of Labor, and Health and Human Services.Reps. Charlie Dent and Tom Cole, both appropriators, have said GOP leaders could probably pass the short-term continuing resolution without Democratic votes, if necessary. AshLee Strong, spokeswoman for House Speaker Paul Ryan, said she doubts Democrats would hold up the short-term bill on Friday. “We do not believe they will shut the government down over a one-week CR,” Strong said. In the Senate, leaders have started the “hotline” process for the one-week patch, giving senators a chance to object before leaders in the upper chamber pursue swift passage of the measure.

27 апреля, 18:55

Александр Роджерс: Карта «Мир» и финансовый суверенитет

Перевод бюджетников на карты платёжной системы "Мир" - ещё один шаг к полному суверенитету и самодостаточности российской финансовой системы.

27 апреля, 13:57

Stocks Dazed After Trump NAFTA Flop, Tax Plan Disappointment; ECB Looms

European shares are lower, pressured by disappointing results by Deutsche Bank and ending a six-session gain, as Asian equities and S&P futures were little changed after a record-setting rally in world stocks which pushed the MSCI World index to over $50 trillion yesterday, fizzled after Trump released unconvincing tax cut plans prompting traders to "sell the news" while caution set in as the ECB met. Markets were disappointed after Trump's plans to slash company tax rates to 15 percent from the current 35 percent and 39.6 percent for small firms offered no details on how they would be paid for. Billed beforehand as the biggest tax cut in history, it amounted to little more than a one-page plan and fueled the suspicion that it could run into opposition from U.S. lawmakers worried about increasing the country's debt levels. "There was virtually no new information, just as expected. He was essentially repeating his campaign promises," said Tomoaki Shishido, senior fixed income strategist at Nomura Securities. In Europe, key markets traded as much as 0.7% lower as traders pulled back after six days of unbroken gains fueled by relief at the outcome of the first round of France's presidential election and encouraging earnings and economic data. As Reuters observes "Asia felt groggy too" despite the BOJ offering its most upbeat economic assessment in nine years but Asia-Pacific shares ended flat a day after hitting their highest in almost two years.The yen slipped as the Bank of Japan kept its stimulus policies unchanged. Deutsche Bank shares fell as much as 3.5 percent even as its first-quarter net profit more than doubled following a rebound in bond trading. It shares have nearly doubled though after worries about its future late last year. Elsewhere, upbeat results from the likes of SKF, Bayer and Subsea 7, companies closely geared to economic growth, were cheered as more investors piled into the European recovery story. For currency traders, it was a session full of drama as the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar jumped, reversing earlier declines, after the White House said it won’t immediately terminate participation in the North American Free Trade Agreement. As reported previously, Trump’s top advisers have been embroiled in a debate over how aggressively to proceed on reshaping U.S. participation in Nafta, with hard-liners favoring a threatened withdrawal as soon as this week and others advocating for a more measured approach to reopening negotiations with Canada and Mexico. Elsewhere in FX, a surprise move by Sweden to expand its stimulus program pushed the crown down sharply. The focus now turns to the ECB and what its head Mario Draghi and his colleagues have made of the recent improvement in euro zone economic data. The bank is not expected to make any changes to its record low interest rates or mass-stimulus program, so market reaction to this meeting may hinge on just a few crucial words (see our ECB preview here). “We would expect the commentary to remain relatively upbeat on the growth outlook,” Mike Bell, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management said in a note. He expects the ECB to wait until January to begin withdrawing stimulus. “Despite the result of the first round of the French election soothing market fears of potential euro disintegration risk we still expect this week’s ECB meeting to be too early to signal any meaningful shift in policy.”  However, "it is possible that the ECB will remove the language stating that the risks (to the economy) "remain tilted to the downside," Bell added. Euro zone government bond yields nudged up along with the euro which dropped sharply below 1.0900 having been as high as $1.0950 this week after pro-EU centrist Emmanuel Macron topped the first round vote in France. Investors are searching for fresh impetus after an underwhelming tax cut plan from U.S. President Donald Trump. The Nafta statement emerged as a distraction for the currency market, while in the bond market, the next flashpoint will be the tone of the European Central Bank’s meeting Wednesday. Emmanuel Macron’s ascent in the French election blunted euroskepticism, creating room for policy makers to chart out their stimulus exit plan. China's growth accelerated at the fastest pace since mid-2015 in the January-March quarter, while South Korea on Thursday also reported stronger than expected first-quarter growth, fueled by improving global demand. Among commodities, industrial metals steadied though oil prices dipped again on concerns about globally bloated markets[O/R]. Brent futures dropped to $51.60 per barrel, down 22 cents, or 0.42 percent, from their last close. Brent is almost 9 percent below its April peak. The dollar, meanwhile, slipped to 111.23 yen from near a one-month high of 111.78 yen scored earlier on Wednesday. Economic data include durable goods orders, initial jobless claims. Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and AbbVie are among companies scheduled to publish results. Global Market Snapshot S&P 500 futures are unchanged to 2,383. STOXX Europe 600 down 0.45% to 387.00 MXAP unchanged at 149.33 MXAPJ down 0.03% to 487.46 Nikkei down 0.2% to 19,251.87 Topix down 0.05% to 1,536.67 Hang Seng Index up 0.5% to 24,698.48 Shanghai Composite up 0.4% to 3,152.19 Sensex up 0.01% to 30,135.83 Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 0.2% to 5,921.48 Kospi up 0.07% to 2,209.46 German 10Y yield unchanged at 0.353% Euro up 0.2% to 1.0920 per US$ Italian 10Y yield rose 4.4 bps to 2.016% Spanish 10Y yield unchanged at 1.7% Brent Futures down 1% to $51.29/bbl Gold spot down 0.4% to $1,264.34 U.S. Dollar Index down 0.2% to 98.87 Top Overnight News from Bloomberg Trump Rules Out Swift Nafta Withdrawal in Favor of Renegotiation Trump’s Corporate Tax Rewrite Faces Major Obstacle: Its Cost Samsung Gives Activist Elliott Concessions But Not Restructuring World’s Most Indebted Developer Battles Short-Sellers Again China Aims to Reach Airworthiness Pacts With U.S., EU This Year Chinese Coal Miner Said to Vie for Singapore Mobile Carrier M1 Oil Declines as Investors Weigh U.S. Output Against Stockpiles Draghi Has History Lesson to Tell in ECB’s Exit Discussion New Cholesterol Drug Falls Short as Sales Driver for Amgen BOJ Cuts Inflation Forecast While Keeping Stimulus Unchanged STMicro Delays Succession as Apple, Cars Boost Chip Demand Bayer Raises Profit Outlook on Chemicals, Crops Rebound Asian equity markets traded mixed following the similar lead from Wall St. where the announcement of Trump's tax plans left much to be desired and failed to provide the impetus many had hoped for. As such, mild weakness was seen in Nikkei 225 (-0.2%) with participants also uninspired following a mundane BoJ policy decision, while ASX 200 (+0.2%) was resilient as strength in financials offset losses across commodity-related sectors. Shanghai Comp. (+0.4%) and Hang Seng (+0.5%) benefited from encouraging Chinese Industrial Profits which surged 23.8% Y/Y last month. Price action in 10yr JGBs was also subdued as the BoJ provided no surprises, while a cautious tone in stocks only resulted to minimal support for the Jun'17 contract. BoJ maintained its QQE with yield curve control policy and kept NIRP at -0.10% as expected. BoJ raised its economic assessment and stated that Japan's economy is turning towards moderate expansion. BoJ also said Japan is likely to see inflation hit 2% target around fiscal 2018, although added that momentum towards target is lacking and that risks for economy and prices are tilted to the downside. Top Asian News Mizuho Sec. Buys 8.59% of Seibu, Says It Will Sell Immediately South Korea’s Economy Rebounds as Exports, Investment Improve China to Step Up Measures Preventing Financial Risks: PBOC Nomura Returns to Profit on Trading, Overseas Recovery This morning has seen European earnings crank up a notch with plenty of large caps reporting including the likes of Deutsche Bank who stated that profits rose 143% Y/Y, however shares are trading lower as the bank announced a 9% fall in revenue. The broad tone in Europe in negative following the soft lead from their US and Asian counterparts with investors seemingly disappointed by Trump's tax plan announcement. While the BoJ also stuck to the script by keeping all policy tools unchanged, as expected. In credit markets, price action has been somewhat tame with Bund yields a touch lower by 0.5bps, while many investors will be awaiting the ECB's rate decision to guide price action. Additionally, as we approach the end of the month, Citi note that EGB's are set to benefit from moderate month-end extension buying needs, while Gilts will only see a very marginal extension. Top European News Deutsche Bank Return to Growth Delayed as Trading Trails Gazprom Profit Jumps on Currency Gain, Exports to Europe U.K. Regrets Brexit for First Time Since Referendum, Poll Says Switzerland March Watch Exports Rose 7.5% Y/Y Total’s Profit Beats Estimates as French Giant Plans Growth Nordea CEO Says Swedish HQ Exit Highly Likely Unless Rules Eased Dijsselbloem Says He’s Confident of Greek-Aid Deal ‘Very Soon’ Italy Manufacturing Confidence Rises to Highest Since Early 2008 U.K. Seen Benefiting From Lower Cost of Offshore Wind in Auction In currencies, it was a busy session so far, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was steady as of 10:13 a.m. in London, after increasing 0.3 percent on Wednesday. The Mexican peso jumped 0.8 percent after tumbling 1.7 percent on Wednesday. The Canadian dollar rose 0.2 percent, after a four-day selloff. The yen slid 0.3 percent to 111.36 per dollar, bringing its weekly loss to 2 percent. The euro was little changed at $1.0903, while the pound strengthened 0.4 percent. It will likely be a just as volatile session ahead as the market has 'set' some expectations from the ECB press conference later today. Early in the week, 'source' stories have suggested the governing council may take a less dovish stance (not hawkish as some have suggested), in preparation for some policy tweaking later on in the year. The EUR has adjusted higher in this respect, but clearly 1.0950 was a step too far, and we have held off this level this morning after a brief upturn. Back under 1.0900, buyers anticipated ahead of 1.0850, but the larger orders lie in the mid 1.0700's, if not a little higher. A good morning for GBP as the Cable rate has put in another test on 1.2920 resistance higher up. We usually look to highlight resistance areas rather than levels, but in this case, this one data point looks fairly solid. An eventual breach is likely, but once the ECB trade is out of the way, we will watch out for more month end demand to kick in. EUR/GBP has slipped under the 0.8450 mark this morning, but with very little momentum. CAD has weakened again despite the Trump withdrawal of his threat to abandon NAFTA. In the wake of meeting hits counterparts in Canada and Mexico, the president has softened his tone — again — and this may have wider implications on his future remarks, but we will consider these points later. For now, USD/CAD has retested 1.3600, but held. This was a tech based re-push higher from the 1.3525-30 support, but lower levels may be a little more vulnerable given extended CAD levels. In commodities, oil prices have pulled back in the wake of the EIA rally seen yesterday, with the drawdown in Crude inventories more than double what was expected. However, WTI met a wall of selling interest just in front of USD50.00, and we are back at the lows seen ahead of the report. We continue to hear talk from both OPEC and non OPEC members that they are open to an extension to the production cuts, but this is doing little to support price. Marginal movement seen in base metals as the risk mood largely dictates from here, with little impetus offered from the initial tax plans reported by the Trump administration last night. Precious metals remain heavy but Gold hold off USD1250.00 as Silver has now slipped under USD17.50. It’s a busy session , with preliminary March data due for durable goods orders (+1.3% expected), capital goods orders (+0.5% expected) and wholesale inventories (+0.2%). We will also see March numbers for the advance goods trade balance (-$65.2bn expected; -$64.8bn previous), and pending home sales (-1.0% expected; +5.5% previous). We also get the initial and continuing jobless claims numbers, and the Kansas City Fed’s manufacturing survey for April (17 expected; 20 previous) . Earnings season also continues as Alphabet, Amazon, Intel, Ford Motor and Microsoft are due to report today amongst other US Event Calendar 8:30am: Advance Goods Trade Balance, est. $65.2b deficit, prior $64.8b deficit, revised $63.9b deficit 8:30am: Wholesale Inventories MoM, est. 0.2%, prior 0.4%; Retail Inventories MoM, prior 0.4% 8:30am: Durable Goods Orders, est. 1.3%, prior 1.8%; Durables Ex Transportation, est. 0.4%, prior 0.5%; Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air, est. 0.5%, prior -0.1% 8:30am: Initial Jobless Claims, est. 245,000, prior 244,000; Continuing Claims, est. 2.01m, prior 1.98m 9:45am: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort, prior 49.9 10am: Pending Home Sales MoM, est. -1.0%, prior 5.5%; Pending Home Sales NSA YoY, prior -2.4% 11am: Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity, est. 16.5, prior 20 DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap The Trump administration has much loftier ambitions fiscally and yesterday we received the long awaited tax principles that will start negotiations. It mirrors much of the campaign promises albeit with differences including one repealing a code allowing individuals to deduct state and local taxes from their reported income. This will apparently hit high tax states like California, NJ and NY and may cause problems for Republicans there. Elsewhere the highlights of the plan are reducing 7 tax brackets to 3 (10%, 25%, 35%) and cutting the top rate from 39.6%, a 15% business rate tax, a territorial tax to "leveling the playing field" for US companies and a onetime repatriation tax. However details remain vague in this one-page document, especially on the costing side and as we know unless its budget neutral (which it's hard to see at this stage) then all we may get is a temporary tax cut for a decade. However such a temporary cut might still boost short-term activity but at what point would worries about the deficit kick in (assuming blockbuster growth didn't offset it) and at what point would we debate Ricardian equivalence. Maybe not for a while but as we'll see below markets were left a little disappointed after all the anticipation. If we're right in our long held belief that helicopter money will become more normal across the globe over say 3-10 years maybe we need a big unfunded budget expansion to set the wheels in motion. We definitely think 2016 marked an inflection point in the balance between global monetary and fiscal policy even if the journey will be full of bumps. On a very busy day in Washington we also saw speculation from Politico that Mr Trump was close to scrapping Nafta but the same organisation claiming that a White House compromise on Obamacare government payments is reducing the risk of a shutdown on Friday. It really was hard to keep up. Overnight we've learnt from the White House that Mr Trump won't immediately abandon Nafta after speaking with the leaders of Mexico and Canada and agreeing to renegotiate the accord "to the benefit of all three countries". The S&P 500 gave up gains of around half a percent to close -0.05% with the reversal seemingly coinciding with the abandon Nafta story, although a lack of tax reform detail didn't help. Earlier European equities (STOXX +0.5%) continued to gain, with the STOXX now posting its sixth straight day of gains and hitting its highest levels since August 2015. However Eurozone banks finally ran out of steam with the index dropping by -0.3% after five consecutive days of positive returns. The CAC (+0.2%) and DAX (+0.1%) edged higher on the day. Over in government bond markets we saw the US yield curve flatten somewhat as 2Y yields fell 1bp while the 10Y and 30Y points were about -3bp lower after the late sell-off in stocks, and thus ending a 5 day climb in yields. European bond markets saw Bund and OAT yields drop across all maturities, with the 10Y points falling by -3bps and -1bp respectively. However BTP yields rose across the curve with 10Y yields up by +5bps on the day. Asian equities have retreated after a 5 day rally with the Nikkei -0.2%, the Hang Seng flat and Shanghai Comp -0.55% as we go to print. The BOJ meeting has just ended and they've kept their policy settings unchanged but have lowered their inflation forecast which backs up comments last week from Governor Kuroda that accommodative policies and asset purchases will continue for some time on low inflation. China is weak on continued concerns of governmental crackdown in financial markets. Elsewhere overnight the dollar has fallen with the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar reversing the declines after the initial Nafta fears. There was no market moving data out yesterday. Over in Europe French consumer confidence for April came in at 100 as expected, unchanged from the month before. There was no data of note out of the US. It’s a busier day ahead today and the key event in Europe will be the ECB rate decision around midday with Draghi due to speak afterwards. The consensus remains that there will be no change of policy rates, and DB rates strategist Abhishek Singhania reiterated this view in a note yesterday. He noted that despite the market friendly outcome of the first round of the French presidential election the ECB is unlikely to indicate any change in its policy stance as yet. He argues that (from the ECB’s perspective) there is still limited evidence of self-sustaining improvements in underlying inflation - the recent fluctuations in  Eurozone core inflation due to the timing of Easter could make the ECB wait for inflation to settle down before being able to decisively interpret the recent dynamics. The link to the report is as follows: https://goo.gl/dhtxQt. A reminder that the house view is for forward guidance to be adjusted in June, tapering to be pre-announced in September and a one-off deposit rate hike in December; the probability of the latter has declined but it remains the baseline. Our economists expect tapering in H1 2018 and the first refi hike around the end of 2018. Aside from the rate decision we’ll get preliminary German CPI numbers for April (+1.9% YoY expected; +1.5% previous). In terms of other data we will get the German GfK consumer confidence survey indicator for May (9.9 expected; 9.8 previous) as well as the final Euro area consumer confidence reading for April which is not expected to be revised from the preliminary reading (-3.6). It’s a busier session over in the US as well, with preliminary March data due for durable goods orders (+1.3% expected), capital goods orders (+0.5% expected) and wholesale inventories (+0.2%). We will also see March numbers for the advance goods trade balance (-$65.2bn expected; -$64.8bn previous), and pending home sales (-1.0% expected; +5.5% previous). We also get the initial and continuing jobless claims numbers, and the Kansas City Fed’s manufacturing survey for April (17 expected; 20 previous) . Earnings season also continues as Alphabet, Amazon, Intel, Ford Motor and Microsoft are due to report today amongst others  

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27 апреля, 12:30

Manchester City v Manchester United: a long season boiled down to one game | Paul Wilson

A derby draw could suit both teams but Mourinho is unbeaten in the league since October and would clearly love to make life even more miserable for GuardiolaThe race is not always to the swift, according to Ecclesiastes, although as Damon Runyon and thousands of others subsequently pointed out, that is never the way to bet.Picking the winners and losers in this season’s title and top-four race has been an unusually fraught business, mainly because Chelsea dropped so far out of the running last time out. Continue reading...

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27 апреля, 09:33

U.S., South Korea warn defiant North against new provocation

South Korea and the United States agreed on Thursday on "swift punitive measures" against North Korea in the event of further provocation, as a North Korean official vowed…

16 января 2015, 16:07

Итоги 2014 и прогноз на 2015

Не могла пройти мимо статьи в Ведомостях: На чем заработали и сколько потеряли инвесторы в 2014 году.  Судя по этой статье, самый высокий доход показывает т.н."инвестиции в доллар" или долларовые депозиты или наличные. Это и понятно- за счет резкого обесценения рубля против доллара , как нам говорится в статье," долларовые депозиты оказались самыми доходными (+78,7%)". Иными словами, в статье как бы намекают,что лучше доллара вы ничего не найдете,чтобы сберечь свои накопления. Я уже как-то говорила о том,что доллар - это не деньги, вот сейчас всем нам эту разницу- разницу между деньгами и финансовым иструментом- мы и узнаем. Деньги помимо расчетной функции обладают функцией накопления капитала, финансовый инструмент  обладает "инвестиционной возможностью" , являясь "инвестицией". Инвестиция в финансовый инструмент- это спекуляция, риск неизвестности получения дохода и возможной полной его потери вместе с "инвестицией", который берет на себя обладатель "инвестиции",т.е. это предпринимательский риск, который вы берете на себя, оперируя теми же валютами. Пример такого риска нам показал только что банк Швейцарии и валютные брокеры. Читаем Зерохедж Numerous FX Brokers Shutter After Suffering "Significant Losses" Following SNB Stunnerили на русском это ВестифинансШторм от Банка Швейцарии. Есть пострадавшие "Большое количество клиентов с позициями в швейцарском франке оказались в проигрышной ситуации и понесли потери намного большие, чем объем их депозитов.Брокер также сообщает, что тем клиентам, которые не смогли вовремя закрыть позиции из-за отсутствия ликвидности, он не может компенсировать потери. В Excel Markets обращают внимание на то, что даже на межбанковском рынке франк был неликвидным в течение нескольких часов после решения Банка Швейцарии". Разница валютного депозита с валютной спекуляцией на рынке форексе будет заключатся в том,что вы участвуете в этом ввиду полной интеграции российской банковской системы в валютную расчетную систему SWIFT- Россия на втором месте по интеграции банков в эту систему, поэтому все общания ЦБ РФ в том,что они подготовят альтернативу SWIFT так и останутся обещаниями. Напомню,что глава ЦБ РФ входит в американский долларовый институт Бреттон-Вуда- МВФ, поэтому ничего удивительного нет в том,что ЦБ РФ тупо выполняет все инструкции МВФ- ЦБ РФ- это одна из марионеток американской системы.МОСКВА, 16 января. /ТАСС/. "Период резких изменений курса рубля завершается, правительственные меры по поддержке национальной валюты заработали, сказал ТАСС глава российского представительства Международного валютного фонда Бикас Джоши".  Десятка стран, лидирующих по числу кредитных организаций, подключенных к SWIFT (по данным SWIFT, 2013) по факту Россия слишком глубоко интегрирована в западную систему, зависима от нее. У страны нет возможностей создать собственную альтернативную сеть (разве только на двусторонней основе с Китаем), а разговоры о переходе расчетов на внутреннюю систему, как и в случаях других предложений  власти, останутся разговорами. Вчера было озвучено,что европарламентарии требуют от Совета ЕС распространить уже действующие санкции на предприятия атомной промышленности России, а также ограничить все международные финансовые транзакции РФ. Сегодня продолжили: БРЮССЕЛЬ, 16 января. /Корр. ТАСС Александр Шишло/. Действующие санкции Евросоюза против России могут быть усилены в случае значительного ухудшения ситуации на востоке Украины. Об этом заявил в пятницу высокопоставленный чиновник ЕС, близкий к руководству институтов сообщества. Давление усиливается и разговор идет уже о полной капитуляции России перед США. Как это принято у бандитов, клиента "поставили на счетчик", например, это дело ЮКОСА МОСКВА, 16 января. /ТАСС/. С сегодняшнего дня начинается начисление процентов за несвоевременное исполнение арбитражных решений о выплате РФ $50,1 млрд бывшим акционерам ЮКОСа. Но наездом на государство дело не ограничивается. Уже против Лукойла возбудили дело о "коррупции в рамках финансирования терроризма":КИЕВ, 16 января. /ТАСС/. Служба безопасности Украины (СБУ) возбудила уголовное дело по статье "Финансирование терроризма" против бизнес-структур, входящих в группы компаний ЛУКОЙЛ и ВЕТЭК.   Если внимательно смотреть за происходящим во Франции, то можно увидеть,что Франция на этот раз выполнила роль этакого подопытного кролика, где начинают претворяться идеи будущей Европы- будущего фашизма- зомбированные марионеточные европейские чиновники и послушное население, готовое быть рабом и идти в этом на все. Все,кто мог более-менее осмыслить происходящее, были жестоко не только подавлены, но и наказаны за "инакомыслие", включая несовершенолетних. Или еще можно так сказать,что фашизм начинается с Франции и с Великобритании. В целом,на мой взгляд, глава Raiffeisen прав, говоря, что Америка не пойдет на уступки и «будет сражаться с Путиным до последнего европейца». При этом можно обратить внимание на очень похожие случаи в Армении и в Германии. В Германии, в Дрездене, активно выступала PEDIGA против мусульманской колонизации Европы. Недавно там был зарезан чернокожий юноша на фоне вот этого антиисламского движения,что послужило обвинением антиисламского движения в экстремизме. В Армении произошел очень странный случай в Гюмри, закончившийся беспорядками, при этом мы читаем: ЕРЕВАН, 16 января. /Корр.ТАСС Тигран Лилоян/. Европейский союз предоставил Армении 77,5 млн евро на продолжение реформ, проводимых при его помощи.В правительстве республики состоялась церемония "запуска" восьми соглашений, которые были заключены месяц назад по различным направлениям сотрудничества - от сельского хозяйства до территориального развития. Иными словами, похожие процессы на Украине ,с высокой вероятностью, будут запущены в Армении. Поэтому, никакого разговора не может быть ни о каком ЕВРАЗЭС- это пустышка, если никто всерьез этим не собирался заниматься. Все это фантазии россиянской элиты, которая сама никогда ничего не создавала. Военная обстановка, к которой прибавится Казказ и Азия: Сегодня США оказывают жесткое давление на Россию по трем направлениям: северному – из Прибалтики, центральному – из Польши и южному – через Румынию. То есть мы с вами наблюдаем то,как США защищают собственные интересы- вполне себе бандитскими способами, не чураясь никаких угроз и шантажа, используя в своих приемах гражданское население, убив его , запугав террором, превратив послушных в своих рабов, чтобы получить желаемое. А что Россия? Вопрос уже всем понятный- дни нынешней России уже сочтены, поэтому нам с вами стоит приготовиться к разным вариантам. Например, это отключение банков от SWIFT и попыткой переключения на внутреннюю систему. Я не исключаю невозможности работать банкам в стандартном режиме, поэтому запас  наличности должен быть дома- у каждого по возможностям. Скорее всего, в этом случае вклады получить будет проблематично. Далее. Очень вероятно,что появится натуральный обмен и бартер. Например, вспоминаем, всем известную валюту- водку. Значит, делаем запасы этой натуральной валюты. В общем, вспоминаем советское время и готовимся к сложным временам. 

26 декабря 2014, 11:49

ЦБ запустил аналог SWIFT для операций внутри России

Банк России с декабря предоставил кредитным организациям новую услугу по передаче финансовых сообщений в формате SWIFT по внутрироссийским операциям. Банки подключаются к услуге на основе договоров с Банком России.   "Новый сервис реализован в целях обеспечения бесперебойности и безопасности передачи финансовых сообщений внутри страны и является очередным шагом в направлении совершенствования системы услуг, предоставляемых Банком России", - сообщает ЦБ. Новая услуга позволит кредитным организациям передавать сообщения в форматах SWIFT через Банк России во всех регионах страны и без ограничений. ЦБ намерен обезопасить банки от возможных проблем в случае отключения системы международных расчетов SWIFT. ЕС в сентябре призвал к новым ограничительным мерам в отношении России, в том числе к отключению России от системы SWIFT. Однако сама компания SWIFT неоднократно заявляла, что не собирается отключать Россию от своих услуг. ЦБ заявил ранее, что цены на новую услугу окажутся конкурентоспособными.

05 июня 2014, 17:29

США все активнее используют юань во внешней торговле

  США вышли на третье место в мире после Сингапура и Великобритании по объемам использования китайской валюты. Все больше американских компаний переходят на юань при оплате импорта из КНР. Международная межбанковской системы передачи информации и совершения платежей SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications) опубликовала пресс-релиз "The United States jumps ahead of Taiwan as an offshore RMB clearing centre". По данным организации, со стороны США наблюдается заметная активизация в использовании китайской валюты. Общая доля юаней в торговле между США и Китаем остается сравнительно небольшой, однако динамика использования юаня в расчетах со стороны США говорит сама за себя. По сравнению с апрелем 2013 г. в этом году доля использования юаня в сделках между США и Китаем выросла с 0,7% до 2,4%. При этом, в апреле 2014 г. объем платежей США с использованием китайской валюты в годовом отношении увеличился на 327%. Общая доля платежей в юанях с американской стороны в общемировом контексте выросла с 1,3% в апреле 2013 г. до 2,6% к апрелю 2014 г. Юань в торговле США – Китай/Гонконг; США – остальной мир: Графика: SWIFT США опередили Тайвань и вышли на третье место в мире – после Сингапура и Великобритании – по использованию юаня. Майкл Мун, директор подразделения платежей SWIFT в Азиатско-тихоокеанском регионе отметил, что это очередное свидетельство растущей роли юаня в международной торговле:  “На мой взгляд, повышение объемов платежей в юанях в сделках между США и Китаем/Гонконгом – это серьезный сигнал, который будет способствовать дальнейшему использованию китайской валюты. Хотя американский доллар все еще занимает доминирующее положение в торговле между странами, тем не менее, данные говорят о том, что США все более активно используют юань для того, чтобы поддержать свои корпорации, которые хотят расширять свои производственные мощности в Китае и все чаще оплачивают продукцию своих китайских поставщиков в юанях. Это хорошие новости для дальнейшей глобализации юаня в качестве мировой валюты”.

04 декабря 2013, 01:06

Сенсация! Юань - вторая торгуемая валюта... точно? )))

Китайский юань обошел евро в рейтинге самых торгуемых мировых валют, следует из отчета Международной межбанковской электронной системы платежей (SWIFT). Коэффициент использования юаня поднялся с 1,89% в январе 2012г. до 8,66% в октябре 2013г. Опережает китайскую национальную валюту лишь доллар США, который лидирует с коэффициентом 81,08%. Между тем доля евро упала с 7,87% в январе 2012г. до 6,64% в октябре 2013г.: сейчас единая европейская валюта занимает третье место в рейтинге самых торгуемых. По данным на октябрь 2013г., больше всего в финансовой торговле юанем пользовались Китай, Гонконг, Сингапур, Германия и Австралия. Так, на долю КНР приходится 59% сделок с юанем, на Гонконг - 21%, Сингапур - 12%, Германию и Австралию - по 2%. http://top.rbc.ru/economics/03/12/2013/892600.shtml _______________________________________ РБК, мягко говоря, отжигает .... Если реально SWIFT очень любит юань и публикует ежемесячно отчеты о расчетах в нем (надеясь на активный рост роли юаня). Собственно сам отчет на основе которого и появился материал. Читаем внимательно: RMB now 2nd most used currency in trade finance, overtaking the Euro, with a activity share of 8.66%. Что именно имеет ввиду SWIFT смотрим здесь "traditional trade finance - Letters of Credit and Collections" Торговое финансирование, конкретно инкассо и аккредитивы ...как бы это далеко не "рейтинг самых торгуемых валют". 59% из них - сам Китай, ещё 21% - Гонконг, ещё 12% - Сигнапур и только оставшиеся 8% - остальные страны из которых по 2% Германия и Австралия. Причем бурный рост, скорее всего, обусловлен во многом более корректным учетом операций самого континентального Китая. Доля Китая в международных платежах в отчете на 6-й странице и составляет в октябре0.84%. Она выросла с 0.25% в январе 2012 года, до 0.63% в январе 2013 года (когда юань обогнал рубль), после этого рост несколько затормозился: март - 0.74%, июнь - 0.87%, сентябрь - 0.86%, октябрь - 0.84%. По-хорошему, с лета экспансия юаня в общем объеме платежей прекратилась ... но все ищут сенсации. P.S.: В перспективе доля юаня в платежах, конечно, должна существенно вырасти (при либерализации рынка юаню есть куда расти), но только в перспективе. P.P.S.: Кому интересно: ссылка на раздел с отчетами SWIFT