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30 марта, 19:13

EPA climate release tries to praise Trump but blasts him instead

An EPA effort to showcase praise for President Donald Trump’s climate moves went awry Thursday and instead accused Trump of choosing “to recklessly bury his head in the sand.”The criticism came in a quote from Democratic Sen. Tom Carper of Delaware, which EPA inaccurately attributed to Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.), a strong supporter of the coal industry and Trump’s order.“President Trump has chosen to recklessly bury his head in the sand,” said the quote, which appeared at the top of the EPA press release’s litany of reactions to Trump’s climate order. The quote added that the order "calls into question America’s credibility," and said the president and Administrator Scott Pruitt "have chosen to shirk our responsibility, disregard clear science and undo the significant progress our country has made.”Carper is the top Democrat on the Environment and Public Works Committee. Capito’s actual statement, of course, praised Trump and the executive order, which instructed the agency to roll back a series of former President Barack Obama’s most important climate change initiatives.An EPA spokesman said the mix-up was a mistake. “We apologize for the error and are making sure that our process is improved as we build our team,” he said. The agency swiftly issued a new version of the email, which also corrected the spelling of Capito's first name.Trump specifically named Capito at the signing Tuesday at EPA headquarters in thanking various lawmakers, Cabinet members and industry leaders for their work.“And Shelley, thank you very much also, I spotted you in the audience. Thank you,” Trump said. EPA’s list also included praise from Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin and West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, as well as various industry groups, including the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity and the American Petroleum Institute.

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30 марта, 19:11

EU open to May's bid for early post-Brexit trade talks

BRUSSELS (Reuters) - The European Union is wary of Prime Minister Theresa May's call for swift negotiations on a post-Brexit free trade deal while Britain is still settling its withdrawal terms, but the bloc is not ruling out early talks.

30 марта, 19:08

Senate Dems Urge Donald Trump To Veto Bill Allowing Internet Providers To Sell Your Data

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Senate Democrats are urging President Donald Trump to veto a bill passed earlier this week that allows internet service providers to share users’ web history. More than 40 senators, including Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), have signed a letter that will be sent to Trump Thursday arguing that the legislation will “seriously undermine the privacy protections” of private citizens who use the internet. “Reversing these landmark privacy protections would be the antithesis of a pro-consumer Administration,” the letter says. “Consumers deserve the right to make their own decisions about access, use, and sale of their personal, sensitive internet data by their broadband provider.”  Despite backlash, Trump is expected to sign the bill in the coming weeks. Read the text of the letter below: Dear Mr. President: We write today to urge a swift veto of S.J.Res. 34, a resolution that would rescind the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) broadband privacy rules. This legislation will seriously undermine the privacy protections of the overwhelming majority of Americans who believe that their private information should be just that – private – and not for sale without their knowledge.  The rules that this legislation would undo were enacted by the FCC in order to prohibit internet service providers (ISPs) from selling or sharing the sensitive personal data of their customers without first obtaining consent.  The data protected under the rule includes information such as one’s social security number, email contents, web browsing history, precise geo-location, application usage, data about consumer’s health and finances, and even data about their  children.  In deeming this sort of information as sensitive, and requiring explicit opt-in consent before it can be shared, the FCC sent a clear message that the choice should be in the hands of consumers – not the broadband providers. The FCC’s rules were finalized following a lengthy and transparent rulemaking process where members of the public were able to review the rules and submitted more than 250,000 comments, letters, and filings.   S.J.Res. 34, which the Republicans hastily pushed through in the past few days, will not only undo this transparent process, it will prevent the FCC from ever reinstating similar consumer privacy protections in the future. As a result, broadband providers have free rein to share user data without first receiving consent or even notifying consumers. Reversing these landmark privacy protections would be the antithesis of a pro-consumer Administration.   Accordingly, we respectfully urge you to veto S.J.Res. 34 and make sure that the broadband privacy protections stay intact. Consumers deserve the right to make their own decisions about  access, use, and sale of their personal, sensitive internet data by their broadband provider. Sincerely, Dem Senators type=type=RelatedArticlesblockTitle=Related... + articlesList=58d9a4cbe4b00f68a5ca2c7c,58dc076ee4b08194e3b6ca91,58cde456e4b0be71dcf54620 -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

30 марта, 14:15

Climate Change-Deniers 'Spam' Thousands Of Teachers With Anti-Global Warming Packages

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); One of America’s most prominent climate-denying groups, galvanized by the Trump administration listening to their claims, has set it sights on a new target: teachers. The Heartland Institute, a conservative think tank that’s become one of the loudest voices when it comes to climate denial, has sent more than 25,000 science teachers across the country a package of material it hopes they’ll use in the classroom, according to a report from PBS Frontline. Alongside a note from Lennie Jarratt, the group’s project manager for transforming education, the package contains a book called Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming and a 10-minute video about using their guidance. “I’m writing to ask you to consider the possibility that the science in fact is not ‘settled,’” Jarratt says in the memo. “If that’s the case, then students would be better served by letting them know a vibrant debate is taking place among scientists on how big the human impact on climate is, and whether or not we should be worried about it.” However, there’s near universal consensus among climate researchers that the planet is warming ― rapidly ― and human-induced greenhouse gas emissions are the primary cause. Earth experienced its hottest year on record in 2016, and officials have warned we’re running out of time to address the threat of climate change. Jim Lakely, the Heartland Institute’s director of communications, confirmed thousands of copies of the group’s book have been sent out, and more are yet to come. “The number put out by PBS Frontline might be low before it’s all done. We’ll see,” he said in an email. “We’re mailing out the material because the science is not ‘settled’ when it comes to what are the causes and consequences of climate change.” The packages have already drawn swift rebuke. “It’s not science, but it’s dressed up to look like science,” Ann Reid, the executive director of the National Center for Science Education told Frontline. “It’s clearly intended to confuse teachers.” The National Council for Special Education published survey findings this month that 75 percent of public science educators devote time to teaching about climate change. But around 30 percent of the 1,500 teachers surveyed cast doubt on the cause, disputing scientific consensus about the phenomenon. Some teachers expressed their dismay on Twitter at receiving the Heartland Institute packages: Received this junk in my university mailbox today. Thanks but no thanks #HeartlandInstitute pic.twitter.com/1n9F1EBRnY— Matt Cover (@matthewrcover) March 29, 2017 After teaching about #climatechange all day, it was kind that the Heartland Institute, an organization funded by petroleum, sent me this pic.twitter.com/lLpyixvLsE— Brandie Freeman (@sustainteach) March 29, 2017 Oh look, the Heartland Institute sent me a care package. And they want my feedback. #science #ActOnClimate pic.twitter.com/HG7GSSfCmV— Rich Bykowski (@SandRaider25) March 29, 2017 The Heartland institute is spamming my workplace with bullshit. pic.twitter.com/n74M3FJroU— Rach (@CityLightsUF) March 29, 2017 Heartland has been riding high since the election of President Donald Trump, a who’s called climate change a hoax invented by the Chinese. The group hosted its 12th annual conference on climate denial this month. The event drew pro-Trump billionaire Robert Mercer and his daughter Rebekah Mercer, along with Myron Ebell, the man in charge of the Trump campaign’s transition at the Environmental Protection Agency. Lakely said the group has been “meeting a demand” with the packages and that it’s been “contacted by many teachers who’ve asked us for science-based materials that will help them tell their students the truth.” However, a Gallup poll published on March 14 found concern about global warming at a three-decade high, with 71 percent of Americans saying they believe the phenomenon is occurring. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

30 марта, 13:42

S&P Futures Fade Overnight Gains As Euro Slides; China Stumbles

Asian shares and oil are lower, European shares are little changed, and S&P futures are fractionally in the red after gaining for most of the overnight session, perhaps troubled by warnings from two Fed presidents who warned that markets and valuations appear frothy, and the Federal Reserve may have to raise rates more times than currently forecast. The latest round of Fed hawkishness helped the dollar gain further after recent losses which earlier this week pushed it to 4 month lows. That said, overnight the USDJPY appeared to fade much of yesterday's gains, dipping back under 111 around the European open, only to see another unexplained jerk higher shortly before 6am eastern. Summarizing some of yesterday's key macro events, SocGen's Kit Juckes writes that "the unnamed ECB source is back, telling Reuters that markets had over-interpreted Mario Draghi's comments at the last meeting and that a further rise in bond yields would be problematic. Cue lower bond yields, and a slightly weaker Euro. If this morning's preliminary March German CPI data deliver the expected base—effect-induced slip from 2.2% to 1.6%, we can look forward to this trend going a little further. I'm not sure how far we can go in the absence of a return of political concerns however. The FX market doesn't have a significant Euro long position that can be flushed out (it probably has a small euro short, instead). And I'm not convinced that interest rate expectations can go that far." Juckes was right, and the EURUSD indeed slid further after a series of weak German regional CPIs, which has seen continued pressure following yesterday's ECB rumors and hawkish Fed commentary. European traders will now look at German prices which are expected to rise 1.8% from the year before after CPI accelerated 2.2% in February. The ECB’s dovish tone has once again established the diverging outlook between U.S. and European monetary policy, manifesting itself in some recent spread widening between German and US 10-Year yields. Juckes had some observations on this too, and said that "in recent months, the US/German nominal yield differential has overtaken the real yield differential in terms of its correlation with EUR/USD. Both are better-correlated with the exchange rate than shorter-dated rates. The 10-year yield spread had narrowed from a wide position of 235bp in late December to as little as 196bp last week and is back above 200bp this morning. If the ECB is trying to anchor bond yields (and if they succeed in limiting how much they follow US moves), then the real driver of EUR/USD for a while will be what happens to US yields. The 2.3-2.65% range looks pretty strong and dooms EUR/USD to its current 1.04-1.09 range. That'll change if the ECB's view of the world changes after the French elections (which i suspect it will) and there's a greater tolerance of higher Bund yields in particular. But for now, we're stuck." Back to equities, where we find Asian shares turning mildly lower on Thursday after touching near two-year highs.  MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.2 percent, stepping back from morning trade when it nudged close its loftiest levels since June 2015. Australian shares firmed 0.4 percent, helped by an overnight gain in oil prices.  China stocks were headed for a fourth day of losses amid worries over property market prospects, sharp declines in newly-listed stocks, and liquidity stress as the month-end approached. The CSI300 index was down 1.0 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1 percent. The tightening trend in China continued, with the one-day loan rate on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, which reflects demand from non-bank financial institutions, jumping before a long weekend (China markets closed Monday and Tuesday) and as the PBOC holds off on using a liquidity tool for the fifth day in a row. The overnight repurchase rate traded on the Shanghai exchange surges as much as 21.67% points to 32%, before closing at 14.96%; in Hong Kong’s offshore market, yuan tomorrow next forward points surge as much as 44 points, the most since Jan. 25. The PBOC again skipped reverse-repurchase operations for the fifth day in a row, taking net withdrawals during the period to 290 billion yuan due to maturities. On the first two days, the PBOC cited “high liquidity,” then over the next two days it referred to “appropriate liquidity.” On Thursday the monetary authority said that there was “high liquidity” in the banking system, and that fiscal spending toward the end of the month offsets reverse repo maturities. In Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.1% at 10:29 a.m. in London after closing Wednesday at the highest since December 2015; the Germany's DAX continues to close in on record highs seen in 2015. The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of six major rivals, was slightly up on the day at 100.030 . It was lifted to a one-week high overnight as the euro slipped on concerns about the impact of Brexit as well as news that ECB policymakers are keen to reassure investors that their easy-money policy is far from ending.  Sterling steadied at after skidding to a one-week low of $1.2377 previously. "Brexit, to some extent, has been covered in the market already. People went short, covered, and went short again," said Kaneo Ogino, director at foreign exchange research firm Global-info Co in Tokyo. "As for the dollar, demand is still steady from pure commercial orders, but the Japanese fiscal year ends this week and Tokyo investors don't want to take new positions," Ogino said. Despite the dollar's gains on the day, it was far lower than levels above 115 yen hit a few weeks ago, and Japan's Nikkei stock index shed 0.8 percent. "Investors have bought Japanese stocks mainly because of the strong dollar-yen trend. Trump's healthcare defeat threw a wet blanket on the Japan market's rally since last November," said Takuya Takahashi, a strategist at Daiwa Securities. As we observed yesterday, comments from Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and San Francisco Fed President John Williams also backed multiple rate hikes, though those officials are non-FOMC voters. "There's a huge political fog around the world, in Asia, in the U.S., but underneath it, there's actually quite a decent economic recovery. And that's what's driving markets more than the worries about politics," said Sean Taylor, Asia Pacific chief investment officer at Deutsche Asset Management.  "The U.S. is continuing to do well. Europe isn’t doing as badly as it was and because of the commodity pickup last year, emerging markets are doing okay," he said. The commodity space saw some profit taking, with West Texas Intermediate dropping 0.3% to $49.38 a barrel, after surging 2.4% on Wednesday after a bigger-than-forecast decline in U.S. gasoline stockpiles. Gold slipped 0.2 percent to $1,250.48 an ounce. Today, traders will look for the latest data on jobless claims and personal spending. * * * Bulletin Headline Summary from RanSquawk German regional CPIs add pressure on the EUR which continues to remain out of favour from yesterday's source comments Away from the German data, European equities have had a slow start to the morning with little in terms of firm direction Looking ahead, highlights include US GDP, Fed's Mester, Kaplan, Dudley and Williams Market Snapshot S&P 500 futures unchanged at 2,357.00 STOXX Europe 600 up 0.09% to 378.87 MXAP down 0.5% to 148.19 MXAPJ down 0.2% to 482.36 Nikkei down 0.8% to 19,063.22 Topix down 0.9% to 1,527.59 Hang Seng Index down 0.4% to 24,301.09 Shanghai Composite down 1% to 3,210.24 Sensex up 0.1% to 29,564.01 Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 0.4% to 5,896.23 Kospi down 0.1% to 2,164.64 German 10Y yield fell 0.9 bps to 0.335% Euro down 0.2% to 1.0740 per US$ Brent Futures down 0.2% to $52.30/bbl Italian 10Y yield fell 2.4 bps to 2.137% Spanish 10Y yield fell 0.5 bps to 1.638% Brent Futures down 0.2% to $52.30/bbl Gold spot down 0.3% to $1,250.22 U.S. Dollar Index up 0.1% to 100.13 Top Overnight News Trump Travel Ban Blocked for as Long as Court Battle Goes On Oil Stays Above $49 as U.S. Fuel Demand Blunts Crude Supply Gain Zuma Said to Face Mass Cabinet Walkout If He Fires Gordhan Turkey’s TAI Renews 787 Dreamliner Parts Contract With Boeing Autodesk Says It Expects Revenue Growth in Next Two Quarters Hikma, Vectura Fall as Mylan Advair Generic Fails to Get Nod Great Elm Capital to Start Tender Offer for Up to $10m in Shrs Lazard’s Peter Kuo to Join Canyon Bridge as Founding Partner GE CEO Says ‘Climate Change Is Real,’ Science ‘Well Accepted’ GE Renewable Energy Gets $56m Hydro Contract in China Lululemon 1Q EPS View Misses Est. Partners in Leviathan, Aphrodite Mull Joint Gas Pipeline: Delek Ford South Africa Recall to Include Fiesta Model: Star Asian equities traded mostly in the red after the region shrugged off the mostly positive lead from Wall Street where the energy sector outperformed following a smaller than expected build in DoEs. Nikkei 225 (-0.8%) failed to benefit from a weaker JPY amid fiscal year-end rebalancing, while ASX 200 (+0.4%) bucked the trend and was led by the strength in the commodities complex. Hang Seng (-0.3%) and Shanghai Comp. (-1.0%) were dampened despite a positive earnings report from Big 4 bank China Construction Bank, as the PBoC refrained again from conducting open market operations for the 5th consecutive day while there were also reports the Trump administration are to make preparations to keep large tariffs on Chinese goods. 10yr JGBs were lower despite the cautious risk tone with demanddampened after the latest weekly securities transactions data showed foreign investors increased their selling of Japanese bonds by more than 3-fold, while today's 2 year auction also failed to provide any meaningful support with the b/c and lowest accepted price below prior. PBoC refrained from open markets operations again, which resulted to a net daily drain of CNY 40bIn. Top Asian News PBOC Seen Raising Money Rates Twice This Year in Leverage Battle Thailand Says National Oil Co. to Be Set Up Only When Time Right Hong Kong Feb. Retail Sales Value Fall 5.7% Y/y; Est. -0.6% Ajinomoto Seeks Overseas Deals With $1.8 Billion War Chest Kotak Mahindra Bank Approves Issue of Up to 62m Shares China’s Xi to Meet Trump Next Week at Mar-a-Lago, Xinhua Reports Posco Almost Doubles Profit as Global Steel Rally Sustained In European markets, the notable highlight of the morning has come in the form of the regional CPIs from Germany, which have generally printed lower than previous, while also coming in under the expected figure for the national reading. The softer CPI numbers have seen upside in Bunds. While periphery yields are lower in tandem this morning, with much of the attention here falling on the supply from Italy, which was relatively well digested. Away from the German data, European equities have had a slow start to the morning with little in terms of firm direction. On a sector specific basis, energy names are the significant outperformers, with this coming in tandem with WTI futures briefly retaking USD 49.50/bbl to the upside. Elsewhere H&M are firmly at the bottom of the Stoxx 600 after a downbeat sales update. Top European News Italy Finance Chief Says Le Pen Victory Would Add Permanent Risk May’s Opening Brexit Bid to Tie Security to Trade Hits Wall OPEC Oil-Cuts Extension Unlikely, Russian VEB Economist Says SNB Will Scrap Negative Rate as Soon as Possible, Maechler Says H&M 1Q Pretax Beats; New Brand to Be Launched in 2H In currencies, the euro fell 0.3 percent to $1.0736, after declining 0.9 percent over the previous two days. The British pound was little changed. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2 percent.  Not too much to note in the FX markets other than some calm in GBP trade. Some modest weakness seen early on, but this looks to have dissipated in the wake of the Article 50 activation yesterday. All eyes on EUR/GBP to see whether the usual month end flow will impact, but the pair looks well contained in the mid 0.8600's for now. From the EUR perspective, regional German inflation has softened in March, while the EU wide sentiment indices for business and consumers have missed on expectations, softening a tad on the month also. EUR/USD has drifted (very) steadily lower through the session, but we expect to find support around 1.0700 - if we get there - with close to 2 yards rolling off at the NY cut later today. USD/JPY has traded a very tight range around 111.00, with limited movement in UST yields to trade off. The key 10yr rate is hemmed inside 2.35-2.40%, with the recent Fed speak doing little to spark fresh movement on the curve. More to come from Mester, Kaplan, Williams and Dudley, but we see little that can change sentiment other than from Yellen herself. Hard data now counts for more - as the FOMC consistently communicate data dependency - with core PCE prices due out alongside the final reading of Q4 GDP today and the usual weekly claims data. In commodities, the broader recovery in the global risk mood looks to have aided the rise in base metals if nothing else, with little to differentiate in terms of the latest gains seen across the board. Copper gains have pushed tentatively through USD2.65, and is struggling a little, with similar price action elsewhere. Given the recent pull-back in the USD, some would have expected a little more upside, which has also helped Oil prices to a modest degree, but the lower rise in inventory as reflected in both the DoE and APIs has largely been the driver here, further 'supported' by the disruptions in Libya. WTI still struggling ahead of USD50.00 however. Gold still trading on a USD1250.00 handle, as Silver is above USD18.00, with the tentative recovery in the greenback prompting cautious trade from here. On today's calendar, in the US this afternoon we’ll get the third and final revision to Q4 GDP (expected to be nudged up to +2.0% qoq annualized) along with core PCE. The latest weekly initial jobless claims print will also be released. It’s another busy day for Fedspeak with Mester, Kaplan, Williams and Dudley all scheduled to speak. Over at the ECB board members Praet and Nowotny are also due to speak this morning. Also worth watching today is a meeting between President Trump and head of the National Economic Council Gary Cohn where it is expected that the President will be briefed on outlines over options for tax reform. US Event Calendar 8:30am: GDP Annualized QoQ, est. 2.0%, prior 1.9%; Personal Consumption, est. 3.0%, prior 3.0%; GDP Price Index, est. 2.0%, prior 2.0%; Core PCE QoQ, est. 1.2%, prior 1.2% 8:30am: Initial Jobless Claims, est. 247,000, prior 261,000; Continuing Claims, est. 2.03m, prior 1.99m 9:45am: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort, prior 51.3 Central Banks 9:45am: Fed’s Mester Speaks in Chicago on Payment System Improvement 11am: Dallas Fed’s Kaplan Speaks in Washington 11:15am: Fed’s Williams Speaks at Learning Community Event in New York 4:30pm: Fed’s Dudley Speaks in Sarasota DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap So the grind higher in markets following the AHCA vote debacle last week continues to trudge along in a fairly orderly fashion. With the S&P 500 nudging up another +0.11% yesterday the index is now up +1.68% from Monday’s low point and has barely looked back. We’ve highlighted a few times this week that we think that Trump trades had already been priced out to a large degree and so therefore the disappointment over last Friday’s news may be limited with global growth being the most important factor for now. Indeed it perhaps tells you something that yesterday was the third lowest volume day for the S&P 500 this year and the VIX declined for the fourth session in a row and is not far off the lows of the recent year to date range again. While politics will continue to be an important theme – indeed there are reports this morning suggesting that Republicans are considering a resurrection of the healthcare bill vote again next week - global data surprises are approaching six-year highs and for now it feels like this might be the more important near term driver. The more significant moves in markets yesterday however came in bonds where yields fell across the board seemingly sparked by a Reuters story which suggested that ECB policymakers are becoming wary of making any new change to their policy message next month. This follows concerns at the ECB that the market over interpreted the message sent out at its March 9th meeting and were swift to start pricing in hikes. The article stated that the intention of the ECB was to communicate reduced tail risk but that instead the market took it as a step to the exit. The article also quoted its sources for the report saying that a previously mentioned deposit rate hike prior to the unwind of QE purchases “would be a communication nightmare” and that “if you raise rates, you can’t communicate that it’s a one-off” and that instead “the market would immediately price in a new rate path”. As is always the case with these stories there’s always a validity question with regards to the origin of the content and in this case the report quotes ‘six sources’ without any more specifics. That said there’s no smoke without fire and bond yields were quick to move lower in the wake of the story hitting the wires. By the end of play 10y Bund yields had finished 4.5bps lower at 0.342% and are now at the lowest yield in 3 weeks. Yields in Spain, Italy and Portugal fell 4.6bps, 2.3bps and 6.0bps respectively also. Market implied pricing for a 15bp hike in the deposit rate was also pushed back from April 2018  to August 2018 midway through the day. The story also appeared to be attributed to the decent bid for Treasuries which saw the 10y yield tumble 4.1bps and hit the lowest closing yield, at 2.377%, since February 27th. That was despite a chorus of relatively hawkish Fedspeak which we’ll touch on shortly. The Euro (-0.45%) was also the second worst performing G10 currency yesterday while European Banks fell nearly -1% intraday but pared losses to a more modest -0.21% decline. Still, that was in the context of a +0.33% gain for the broader Stoxx 600 after the energy complex rose on the back of a +2.36% rise for WTI Oil and the most in two weeks. Away from that there was also a close eye kept on UK PM Theresa May’s statement to the House of Commons yesterday as well as the official withdrawal letter following the confirmation of Article 50 being triggered. In a nutshell there wasn’t a huge amount new on the UK side of things compared to what was revealed in the government’s White Paper last month. As our economists noted the UK continues to want to reach agreement on a comprehensive new deal with the EU27 in parallel with the terms of the divorce by March 2019, an unrealistic timetable and one the EU27 opposes. From the EU27 side, EU Council President Donald Tusk responded with a statement of his own and the EU Council released an official statement. The body language from Tusk was negative. Tusk mentioned damage limitation as the primary goal. Combined with last week's comments from Commission negotiator Barnier on the priority of divorce negotiations and recent press reports, an early assessment of the EU's stance is that they plan to offer the UK a take-it-or-leave-it option (settlement of the divorce including the UK's budgetary commitments, then a limited transitional deal), but are preparing for a hard outcome. So with mutually contradictory goals and significant political obstacles for compromise it looks set to be a long drawn out negotiation process with the two year clock now quietly ticking away. It’s also worth highlighting that today the UK government will release a White Paper concerning the repeal of the EU acquis, and its translation into domestic law. Our economists highlight that this is important for negotiations as the EU27 argue the UK will have to remain under the authority of the ECJ under a transitional deal. On April 27th a special EU Council will be convened to discuss the broad framework for the negotiations. Detailed negotiations are only likely to start in June. In the next few days, it will also be worth closely monitoring rhetoric from both the UK and EU27. So a few things to watch out for. To the latest in Asia now where bourses have slowly drifted lower over the course of the session despite there being little in the way of newsflow. The Nikkei (-0.25%), Hang Seng (-0.40%), Shanghai Comp (-0.86%) and Kospi (-0.23%) are all in the red while the ASX (+0.30%) is just about holding on to gains. It’s possible that the moves reflect some quarter end profit taking following a strong run for Asia equities so far this year. Futures in the US are little changed and in commodities Oil is holding onto yesterday’s gains while Gold is slightly lower. Back to that Fedspeak yesterday which as we briefly mentioned earlier was fairly hawkish despite limited market reaction. Boston Fed President Rosengren said that “my own view is that an increase at every other FOMC meeting over the course of this year could and should be the committee’s default”, in other words suggesting that he favours 4 hikes this year. This was a view somewhat echoed by the San Francisco Fed President Williams who said that he “would not rule out more than three increases total for this year” and also that the Fed could look to begin shrinking its balance sheet before knowing the size it ultimately should be. Away from that the economic data was especially thin on the ground yesterday. In the US pending home sales rebounded +5.5% mom in February and more than expected. In the UK mortgage approvals nudged down to 68.3k while net consumer credit printed at £1.4bn in February which was a slowdown compared to the £1.6bn average over the prior six months. Before we look at today’s calendar, it’s worth highlighting that yesterday our Global Economics Perspectives team published a new report in which they provide ‘quick’ answers to a list of questions they have received from clients globally in recent days. The bulk of the questions this week have been on policy (both fiscal and monetary) and the team also detail their views on US growth and inflation prospects. You can find the link to the report here https://goo.gl/AtY36U. To the day ahead now where this morning in Europe we’ll be kicking off with the latest confidence indicators for the Euro area before we then get the March CPI report out of Germany. Over in the US this afternoon we’ll get the third and final revision to Q4 GDP (expected to be nudged up to +2.0% qoq annualized) along with core PCE. The latest weekly initial jobless claims print will also be released. It’s another busy day for Fedspeak with Mester (1.45pm GMT), Kaplan (3.00pm GMT), Williams (3.15pm GMT) and Dudley (8.30pm GMT) all scheduled to speak. Over at the ECB board members Praet and Nowotny are also due to speak this morning. Also worth watching today is a meeting between President Trump and head of the National Economic Council Gary Cohn where it is expected that the President will be briefed on outlines over options for tax reform.

30 марта, 12:17

Tomi Lahren Was Made for the Trump Era

The rising TV starlet might have run afoul of social conservatives. But with her wide reach and trademark sass, her future could be positively Trumpian.

30 марта, 08:54

Вынесено из комментариев

Коля Мяготин • 2017-03-30-07:56> Теперь уже не важно, будет апелляция или нет. Дело в том, что компания The Law Debenture Trust Corporation Plc (гарант по сделке), после вынесения решения Высокого Суда Лондона получает право блокировать абсолютно любые платежи через систему SWIFT в адрес государства Украина и из государства Украина, при этом зачислять блокированные платежи на особый счёт в обеспечение судебного решения. И именно поэтому МВФ (1 млрд баксов), ВБ (650 млн. баксов) и ЕС (600 млн. евро) «притормозили» все транши, так как они (в том числе) будут блокированы, то есть направленные Украине деньги на погашение предыдущих долгов перед этими фин. структурами — «зависнут», а им это надо? Мышеловка захлопнулась…

30 марта, 08:23

Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT

Глобальное положение вещей может кардинально измениться. Если говорить напрямую, то до войны за установление нового мирового финансового порядка осталось недолго.

30 марта, 07:14

North Carolina Announces Deal To Repeal Transgender Bathroom Bill

function onPlayerReadyVidible(e){'undefined'!=typeof HPTrack&&HPTrack.Vid.Vidible_track(e)}!function(e,i){if(e.vdb_Player){if('object'==typeof commercial_video){var a='',o='m.fwsitesection='+commercial_video.site_and_category;if(a+=o,commercial_video['package']){var c='&m.fwkeyvalues=sponsorship%3D'+commercial_video['package'];a+=c}e.setAttribute('vdb_params',a)}i(e.vdb_Player)}else{var t=arguments.callee;setTimeout(function(){t(e,i)},0)}}(document.getElementById('vidible_1'),onPlayerReadyVidible); Lawmakers in North Carolina announced late Wednesday they had reached a deal to repeal the state’s controversial bill that bars transgender people from using bathrooms associated with their gender identity. Full details of the measure to repeal the legislation, known as House Bill 2, were not announced, but it’s expected to be put up for a vote in the Senate at 9:15 Thursday morning. The House would quickly follow, according to The Charlotte Observer. State Senate President Pro Tem Phil Berger and House Speaker Tim Moore announced the agreement made with North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper at a press conference about 10:30 p.m. local time. They declined to answer any questions related to the replacement measure, House Bill 142, and said details about the legislation would be released later Wednesday night. “I support the House Bill 2 repeal compromise that will be introduced tomorrow,” Cooper said in a statement. “It’s not a perfect deal, but it repeals House Bill 2 and begins to repair our reputation.” While the move would strike down one of the most controversial pieces of anti-LGBT legislation in the country, the proposal was met with swift resistance from some civil right groups. The Human Rights Campaign noted the new legislation would prohibit cities from passing individual non-discrimination protections through 2020 and return such power to the states.  This proposal is unacceptable to the countless LGBTQ people caught in the crosshairs of this debate over the last year. #RepealHB2 #ncpol— HumanRightsCampaign (@HRC) March 30, 2017 “The rumored HB2 ‘deal’ does nothing more than double-down on discrimination and would ensure North Carolina remains the worst state in the nation for LGBTQ people,” HRC President Chad Griffin said in a statement. “The consequences of this hateful law will only continue without full repeal of HB2. Sellouts cave under pressure. Leaders fight for what’s right.” We at @HRC sincerely hope that pro-equality lawmakers & companies who have stood with us will not sell out the #LGBTQ community. #RepealHB2— HumanRightsCampaign (@HRC) March 30, 2017 FACT: If passed this #HB2 "deal" will box #LGBTQ people out of local nondiscrimination protections in a state w/out statewide protections.— HumanRightsCampaign (@HRC) March 30, 2017 The Associated Press on Monday reported the fallout from the bathroom bill would cost the state more than $3.76 billion over the next 12 years. Dozens of companies have pulled their business from North Carolina, including the NCAA, which threatened to boycott the state for the next six years unless the bill was repealed. The NCAA released a final, pointed warning last Thursday ahead of the release of its championship event schedule, which comes out April 18. “As the state knows, next week our various sports committees will begin making championships site selections for 2018-2022,” the NCAA said in a statement at the time. “Once the sites are selected … those decisions are final.” -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

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30 марта, 04:46

No, Trump Will Not Be Building The Border Wall On Mexico's Side Of The Border

The Trump administration is not planning on claiming land on the Mexican side of the U.S.-Mexico border for purposes of building a border wall, an administration official confirmed to The Huffington Post. The possibility of such a seizure was raised in vague remarks by Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke this week, when he spoke about the difficulty of building a partition between the two countries along the Rio Grande. “The border is complicated, as far as building a physical wall,” Zinke reportedly said. “The Rio Grande, what side of the river are you going to put the wall? We’re not going to put it on our side and cede the river to Mexico. And we’re probably not going to put it in the middle of the river.” Democrats argued that Zinke’s remark implied that the administration was actively contemplating building a wall in Mexico, which would be both legally dubious and diplomatically problematic. But Zinke’s spokeswoman Heather Swift said this was a misreading.  “Secretary Zinke was talking about a combo of natural boundaries, fence, wall, towers, surveillance, etc. and regarding the river he was noting challenges that are being looked at,” she emailed. “He wasn’t proposing any policy.” And so, the U.S. government won’t be making eminent domain claims in Mexico. But the clarification of Zinke’s statement is still newsworthy in its own right. Trump, after all, spent the campaign insisting that he would build a big, beautiful wall along the Mexican border that would have a large door to let in legal immigrants and would be entirely paid for by the Mexican government. Mexico has refused to pay for it. And now, it appears, the administration is conceding that it won’t be an actual, physical wall along huge swaths of the southern border, at least for the Rio Grande portions. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

30 марта, 03:50

You Will Never Hear These Truths Discussed In The Mainstream

Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.com, The general public truly lives in two separate worlds. We have the world of the mainstream media, popular culture and political rhetoric; a world which constantly and desperately seeks to twist or destroy any legitimate measure of reality, leading people into a frenzied fog.   Then, we have the world of concrete facts; an ugly, brutal world that upsets many people when they see it and leaves them with little more than the hope that the most innovative of us will perhaps reverse the disastrous course, or at least, survive to carry on a meaningful level of civilization. The sad thing is, if a majority of the population studied and accepted the world of fact, then preparation and intelligent or aggressive action might negate any destructive outcome. Reality only grows more ugly because we continue to ignore it. Have you ever come to a logical or practical conclusion in response to a national or global problem and waited in vain to hear it represented in the mainstream? Have you ever thought — if I can figure this out, why can’t they? And by “they,” I mean the people most commonly offered a mainstream platform. This includes so called “professional journalists,” political leaders, mainstream economists, highly paid “analysts,” etc. Well, I think more and more Americans in particular are finally considering the notion that these “professionals” are either not very smart, or they have an agenda that seeks to perpetuate the problem rather than fix the problem. Yes, the intellectual class, the longtime gatekeepers of public thought and consent, are actually mostly morons and/or liars with a terrible purpose in mind. I understand that this does not come as a surprise to many of my readers, but remember, the masses are still trapped in a stupefying fog. The goal here is to bring just a few more of them out of the doldrums whenever possible. In the meantime, they are being fed one dishonest narrative after another, and there are certain truths, suggestions, solutions and philosophies they will never stumble across in their daily lives. Here are just a few questions and ideas on very specific mainstream events and propaganda memes which just don’t seem to receive the light of day. The Healthcare Bill Debacle If you happen to take note of stock market reactions to legislative events, you may have observed that equities recently suffered a swift sidekick to the solar plexus (read the section on stocks below as to why this matters little). This is, according to the mainstream, due to the failure of the Trump administration’s Obamacare repeal efforts. The first assumption here is that stock markets exploded higher after Trump’s election win purely because the investment world was placing bets that Trump would ram through tax cuts and pro-business legislation within his first year. The second assumption is that because Trump’s first piece of major legislation, the repeal of Obamacare, has failed, he will not be able to achieve any of his other stated goals, including tax cuts. There are perhaps some minor truths within this narrative. A repeal of Obamacare might have helped free up billions in capital which could have been used for Trump’s infrastructure programs among other things. With the health care act still bleeding Americans dry and overextending the expenses of government, that border wall is looking a little less likely right now. Unless, of course, taxes remain the same or even increase in the near term. My question is, why isn’t anyone in the mainstream questioning why a “new” healthcare bill was necessary at all? What was the point of this debacle? To marginally shift Obamacare so that it still exists but with reduced funding? Why not just get rid of the damn thing completely? That is what people voted Trump in for. Instead of chasing a pointless piece of legislation through congress trying to make every special interest happy, why won’t Trump simply remove enforcement of the Obamacare tax? It is, after all, a perfect example of taxation of without representation. If businesses and individuals no longer had to worry about the fines for not paying into Obamacare, then most of them would not voluntarily pay for it. Thus, Obamacare would be defunded naturally. It seems to me that the most obvious solution to the problem is being completely ignored in the mainstream. Russian Hackers And Political Influence This narrative just refuses to die, and the only point I can see to it so far is that it is a way for establishment elites to keep the political left constantly agitated. The left becomes more and more insane in their rhetoric and behavior exactly because the mainstream continues to perpetuate the rationale that Trump is “not really president.” Think about it — the left was already hurtling towards the madness of full blown communism, but in order to reach a crescendo of schizophrenic violence, they need a little more psychological justification. If they can be convinced that Trump is now a “Russian agent,” they have all the justification they need to take their mob actions to the next level. Just one problem — why is no one in the mainstream asking for the evidence that supposedly proves that Trump’s campaign was influenced by the Russian government? I keep hearing it exists, but where is it? The media is more than willing to demand hard evidence that the Trump team was being electronically tapped by the Obama administration; but so far there is more evidence coming to light of Obama wiretapping than evidence that Trump is working for the Russians. Beyond this, as far as the Russian “hacking” of the DNC during the election is concerned, why is no one presenting the most important point — that point being, WHO CARES who actually hacked the DNC? It does not matter. What matters is that extreme corruption was found, along with regular collusion between the Clinton campaign and the media. It is the corruption that people should be up in arms about, NOT the hacking. Clinton Corruption Why are the Clintons still running around free? Why is no one talking about prosecution anymore? This question is for Trump, of course. Now, I predicted post election that Trump would indeed abandon all talk of Hillary Clinton going to prison almost immediately, but I would like to hear his argument as to why this should no longer be pursued. Stock Market Relevancy Why do mainstream economists hyper focus on the stock market? The stock market is nothing more than a trailing indicator of economic decline, and is ultimately irrelevant to the bigger fiscal picture. Yet, the health of the economy is almost always first tied to stock market performance (and to unemployment numbers which are also highly manipulated). If stocks are in complete reversal by June/July as I predicted right after the election in my article 'World Suffers From Trump Shellshock — Here’s What Happens Next', does this mean that the economy is finally considered “in decline?”  Or, does it mean that the economy has been in steady decline for years and only now is the stock market reflecting that reality? Also, why do people still listen to mainstream economists? They are almost always wrong, and alternative economists are almost always right. Shouldn’t these supposed “professionals” be out of a job by now? Illegal Immigration Why is enforcement of existing immigration laws, laws which have been a standard for decades, such a divisive issue? Most countries in the world have stringent immigration laws, why is it that America is not allowed to enforce similar laws? Why does the left in particular consider the removal of illegal immigrants representative of “racism” or “fascism?” I realize they are mostly insane, but I would just like to hear one valid and practical argument from them as to why the U.S. specifically should be saddled with wide open borders and why American conservatives in particular are racist merely for demanding that the current laws be followed? I don’t want to hear nonsensical mainstream arguments about how we are a “nation of immigrants.” We are NOT a nation of immigrants. I was born here. Most of us were born here. Our ancestors settled here and built this nation from nothing. This nation is established now and has been for generations. Times change and we don’t need a flood of random immigrants. If anything, we need highly selective immigration of only the best and brightest and most skilled from around the world. Illegal immigration is not a debate. There is no logical reason to defend it, unless your goal is to overwhelm the American system with potential democrat voters or to completely destabilize the country altogether. Why are we still arguing about this? The Mainstream Media Is Dying The bastion guardian of all that is “mainstream,” the arbiter of who is “fake news” and who is “real news,” is actually in rapid decline, but you will never hear them admit it publicly. Many alternative media outlets are crushing the readership and viewership numbers of many mainstream media publications and shows, but much of the public still clings to the faulty concept that there is a particular level of “professionalism” that goes into the production of these narrative peddlers. We have been brainwashed with stories of “journalistic integrity” that lead us to consider media a higher calling. This is, of course, pure garbage. As was made fully evident this past election, there is absolutely no integrity whatsoever in the journalistic field. There are only people with agendas and people who whore themselves out for people with agendas. That’s it. You may find a few honest souls on the conservative side of the media apparatus, but in large part, journalism is like a Vegas brothel. Unfortunately, our society is in a period of transition in which the public is skeptical of mainstream media influences, but still pays attention to them. While people are rapidly abandoning these “news sources” for more independent fair, this may be too little too late. As I have outlined above, there are numerous questions which are never asked; numerous solutions that are never presented. The majority remains oblivious to practical options and practical actions. They remain oblivious to certain truths. The mainstream may have already done all the damage it can do. All that is left is for alternative analysts to pick up the pieces, ask the right questions, fight for the right causes and see if we can salvage this mess in time.

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30 марта, 00:09

6 Charts Screaming Buy GOLD – Sell USD! Are US Equities On The Verge Of A Major Sell-Off?

1.) Long-term readers of Palisade Research know this chart well. We are now 297 trading days into a bull market on the TSX Venture Exchange, as depicted by our 1990 to Present – Bull & Bear Markets Chart. During that time, the TSX Venture has had some sell-offs, but history says this is inevitable. In fact, we are currently mired in a several month long pull-back. So what comes next? We took a look at the USD and the US equities market to formulate an idea. 2.) The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCI) is a diversified price index distributed by Bloomberg Indexes. Since January 2016, gold has outperformed its peers, with a significant divergence taking hold. However, the recent pull-back has allowed the BCI to catch-up. That is until recently, when gold started to charge ahead, yet again. 3.) Gold bugs are paying close attention to the US equity markets, which have been embroiled in a multi-year bull market. If money continues to pour into the S&P, little capital is left to fuel a gold bull market. The following chart looks at company leverage, calculated as debt/EBITDA. This is a common metric to assess a company’s ability to pay off its debt. This ratio has been increasing in tandem with the market caps of the S&P 500 companies. When looking at these two numbers as a ratio, it appears debt loads are reaching capacity, and can no longer fuel growth. It seems there is still some runway, but the downtick suggests a swift fall. 4.) Another key indicator and Warren Buffett’s favourite – The S&P 500 market cap to GDP ratio. This ratio is often used to gauge market sentiment and determine if the overall market is under or overvalued. When the metric is greater than 100%, it is often a sign the market is overvalued. In 2000, the ratio was 153%, and the markets fell sharply due to the dot-com bust. We are currently over 100%, a good deal higher than the average of 0.86. 5.) But maybe one of the most compelling cases to be made for exhaustion in the bull market can be seen when looking at margin. When buying on margin, investors borrow funds from their brokers to buy shares. The debit margin is the total money owed by an investor; the higher this number, the more leveraged he is. Buying on margin has been a good bet to date, however, margins are hitting all-time records, and investors are very vulnerable to any sort of market shock. Selling will be exaggerated as margins unwind, which in turn can extend the length of any sort of market downturn. 6.) No one knows what will mark the top for US equity markets. We feel they are due for a major correction, but that correction could be months or years away. What we can say for certain is that the USD is weakening despite the Fed increasing rates. The weakness can be attributed to Yellen’s dovish tone. Another major factor? Trump’s repeal of Obamacare was a major pledge, and its failure only emphasized the rifts within the GOP, which has the potential to derail other major promises, including tax reform and spending. In times of uncertainty, gold is the go to safe haven for every investor!

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30 марта, 00:00

Новая статья: Обзор игрового Full HD-монитора ASUS ROG Swift PG258Q: переход на новый уровень

Споры о необходимости увеличения частоты развёртки мониторов выше 120 Гц будут идти ещё долго, но производителей это не останавливает. Вслед за 165- и 180-Гц моделями компания ASUS запускает в продажу новинку с частотой 240 Гц и поддержкой G-Sync. Быстрее просто некуда!

29 марта, 20:27

AI & The Future of Work: US Shouldn't Lag in Artificial Intelligence

AI & The Future of Work: US Shouldn't Lag in Artificial Intelligence but if we listen to Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, it's not even on his radar! Venture Capital is pouring investments into AI and creating great opportunity, but other nations will seize the day if the US doesn't move swiftly.

29 марта, 19:29

A race against time: The two-year countdown to Brexit has begun

Print section Print Rubric:  The two-year countdown to Brexit has begun. It leaves Britain little time to get through a bulging, contentious agenda Print Headline:  A race against time Print Fly Title:  Britain and the European Union UK Only Article:  standard article Issue:  Britain’s brutal encounter with reality Fly Title:  A race against time Main image:  20170401_brd001.jpg BACK in October Theresa May promised to invoke Article 50, the legal procedure for leaving the European Union, by the end of March 2017. On March 29th the prime minister duly sent a six-page letter to Donald Tusk, the president of the European Council of heads of EU governments. Article 50 sets in motion a negotiating process with a two-year time limit that can be extended only by unanimous agreement of all EU governments. Mrs May told Parliament this was a time for the country to come ...

29 марта, 19:26

Van Riet appointed EVP, CFO of Swift Energy

Gleeson Van Riet has joined Swift Energy Co., Houston, as executive vice-president and chief financial officer. He succeeds Alton Heckaman, who announced his retirement in August 2016.

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29 марта, 17:16

France's Macron plans no early tax blitz but big bang of structural reforms

PARIS (Reuters) - Emmanuel Macron would resist swift, hefty tax cuts to revive France's sluggish economy if he wins the presidential election and instead embark on a big bang of structural reforms to strengthen long-term growth, his economics advisers said.

29 марта, 08:57

Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT

Санкции и угрозы отключить Россию от системы SWIFT могут привести к расколу финансовой системы и к войне за установление нового мирового финансового порядкаThe post Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT appeared first on MixedNews.

29 марта, 08:57

Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT

Санкции и угрозы отключить Россию от системы SWIFT могут привести к расколу финансовой системы и к войне за установление нового мирового финансового порядкаThe post Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT appeared first on MixedNews.

29 марта, 08:57

Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT

Санкции и угрозы отключить Россию от системы SWIFT могут привести к расколу финансовой системы и к войне за установление нового мирового финансового порядкаThe post Россия создаёт свою альтернативу межбанковской системе SWIFT appeared first on MixedNews.

16 января 2015, 16:07

Итоги 2014 и прогноз на 2015

Не могла пройти мимо статьи в Ведомостях: На чем заработали и сколько потеряли инвесторы в 2014 году.  Судя по этой статье, самый высокий доход показывает т.н."инвестиции в доллар" или долларовые депозиты или наличные. Это и понятно- за счет резкого обесценения рубля против доллара , как нам говорится в статье," долларовые депозиты оказались самыми доходными (+78,7%)". Иными словами, в статье как бы намекают,что лучше доллара вы ничего не найдете,чтобы сберечь свои накопления. Я уже как-то говорила о том,что доллар - это не деньги, вот сейчас всем нам эту разницу- разницу между деньгами и финансовым иструментом- мы и узнаем. Деньги помимо расчетной функции обладают функцией накопления капитала, финансовый инструмент  обладает "инвестиционной возможностью" , являясь "инвестицией". Инвестиция в финансовый инструмент- это спекуляция, риск неизвестности получения дохода и возможной полной его потери вместе с "инвестицией", который берет на себя обладатель "инвестиции",т.е. это предпринимательский риск, который вы берете на себя, оперируя теми же валютами. Пример такого риска нам показал только что банк Швейцарии и валютные брокеры. Читаем Зерохедж Numerous FX Brokers Shutter After Suffering "Significant Losses" Following SNB Stunnerили на русском это ВестифинансШторм от Банка Швейцарии. Есть пострадавшие "Большое количество клиентов с позициями в швейцарском франке оказались в проигрышной ситуации и понесли потери намного большие, чем объем их депозитов.Брокер также сообщает, что тем клиентам, которые не смогли вовремя закрыть позиции из-за отсутствия ликвидности, он не может компенсировать потери. В Excel Markets обращают внимание на то, что даже на межбанковском рынке франк был неликвидным в течение нескольких часов после решения Банка Швейцарии". Разница валютного депозита с валютной спекуляцией на рынке форексе будет заключатся в том,что вы участвуете в этом ввиду полной интеграции российской банковской системы в валютную расчетную систему SWIFT- Россия на втором месте по интеграции банков в эту систему, поэтому все общания ЦБ РФ в том,что они подготовят альтернативу SWIFT так и останутся обещаниями. Напомню,что глава ЦБ РФ входит в американский долларовый институт Бреттон-Вуда- МВФ, поэтому ничего удивительного нет в том,что ЦБ РФ тупо выполняет все инструкции МВФ- ЦБ РФ- это одна из марионеток американской системы.МОСКВА, 16 января. /ТАСС/. "Период резких изменений курса рубля завершается, правительственные меры по поддержке национальной валюты заработали, сказал ТАСС глава российского представительства Международного валютного фонда Бикас Джоши".  Десятка стран, лидирующих по числу кредитных организаций, подключенных к SWIFT (по данным SWIFT, 2013) по факту Россия слишком глубоко интегрирована в западную систему, зависима от нее. У страны нет возможностей создать собственную альтернативную сеть (разве только на двусторонней основе с Китаем), а разговоры о переходе расчетов на внутреннюю систему, как и в случаях других предложений  власти, останутся разговорами. Вчера было озвучено,что европарламентарии требуют от Совета ЕС распространить уже действующие санкции на предприятия атомной промышленности России, а также ограничить все международные финансовые транзакции РФ. Сегодня продолжили: БРЮССЕЛЬ, 16 января. /Корр. ТАСС Александр Шишло/. Действующие санкции Евросоюза против России могут быть усилены в случае значительного ухудшения ситуации на востоке Украины. Об этом заявил в пятницу высокопоставленный чиновник ЕС, близкий к руководству институтов сообщества. Давление усиливается и разговор идет уже о полной капитуляции России перед США. Как это принято у бандитов, клиента "поставили на счетчик", например, это дело ЮКОСА МОСКВА, 16 января. /ТАСС/. С сегодняшнего дня начинается начисление процентов за несвоевременное исполнение арбитражных решений о выплате РФ $50,1 млрд бывшим акционерам ЮКОСа. Но наездом на государство дело не ограничивается. Уже против Лукойла возбудили дело о "коррупции в рамках финансирования терроризма":КИЕВ, 16 января. /ТАСС/. Служба безопасности Украины (СБУ) возбудила уголовное дело по статье "Финансирование терроризма" против бизнес-структур, входящих в группы компаний ЛУКОЙЛ и ВЕТЭК.   Если внимательно смотреть за происходящим во Франции, то можно увидеть,что Франция на этот раз выполнила роль этакого подопытного кролика, где начинают претворяться идеи будущей Европы- будущего фашизма- зомбированные марионеточные европейские чиновники и послушное население, готовое быть рабом и идти в этом на все. Все,кто мог более-менее осмыслить происходящее, были жестоко не только подавлены, но и наказаны за "инакомыслие", включая несовершенолетних. Или еще можно так сказать,что фашизм начинается с Франции и с Великобритании. В целом,на мой взгляд, глава Raiffeisen прав, говоря, что Америка не пойдет на уступки и «будет сражаться с Путиным до последнего европейца». При этом можно обратить внимание на очень похожие случаи в Армении и в Германии. В Германии, в Дрездене, активно выступала PEDIGA против мусульманской колонизации Европы. Недавно там был зарезан чернокожий юноша на фоне вот этого антиисламского движения,что послужило обвинением антиисламского движения в экстремизме. В Армении произошел очень странный случай в Гюмри, закончившийся беспорядками, при этом мы читаем: ЕРЕВАН, 16 января. /Корр.ТАСС Тигран Лилоян/. Европейский союз предоставил Армении 77,5 млн евро на продолжение реформ, проводимых при его помощи.В правительстве республики состоялась церемония "запуска" восьми соглашений, которые были заключены месяц назад по различным направлениям сотрудничества - от сельского хозяйства до территориального развития. Иными словами, похожие процессы на Украине ,с высокой вероятностью, будут запущены в Армении. Поэтому, никакого разговора не может быть ни о каком ЕВРАЗЭС- это пустышка, если никто всерьез этим не собирался заниматься. Все это фантазии россиянской элиты, которая сама никогда ничего не создавала. Военная обстановка, к которой прибавится Казказ и Азия: Сегодня США оказывают жесткое давление на Россию по трем направлениям: северному – из Прибалтики, центральному – из Польши и южному – через Румынию. То есть мы с вами наблюдаем то,как США защищают собственные интересы- вполне себе бандитскими способами, не чураясь никаких угроз и шантажа, используя в своих приемах гражданское население, убив его , запугав террором, превратив послушных в своих рабов, чтобы получить желаемое. А что Россия? Вопрос уже всем понятный- дни нынешней России уже сочтены, поэтому нам с вами стоит приготовиться к разным вариантам. Например, это отключение банков от SWIFT и попыткой переключения на внутреннюю систему. Я не исключаю невозможности работать банкам в стандартном режиме, поэтому запас  наличности должен быть дома- у каждого по возможностям. Скорее всего, в этом случае вклады получить будет проблематично. Далее. Очень вероятно,что появится натуральный обмен и бартер. Например, вспоминаем, всем известную валюту- водку. Значит, делаем запасы этой натуральной валюты. В общем, вспоминаем советское время и готовимся к сложным временам. 

26 декабря 2014, 11:49

ЦБ запустил аналог SWIFT для операций внутри России

Банк России с декабря предоставил кредитным организациям новую услугу по передаче финансовых сообщений в формате SWIFT по внутрироссийским операциям. Банки подключаются к услуге на основе договоров с Банком России.   "Новый сервис реализован в целях обеспечения бесперебойности и безопасности передачи финансовых сообщений внутри страны и является очередным шагом в направлении совершенствования системы услуг, предоставляемых Банком России", - сообщает ЦБ. Новая услуга позволит кредитным организациям передавать сообщения в форматах SWIFT через Банк России во всех регионах страны и без ограничений. ЦБ намерен обезопасить банки от возможных проблем в случае отключения системы международных расчетов SWIFT. ЕС в сентябре призвал к новым ограничительным мерам в отношении России, в том числе к отключению России от системы SWIFT. Однако сама компания SWIFT неоднократно заявляла, что не собирается отключать Россию от своих услуг. ЦБ заявил ранее, что цены на новую услугу окажутся конкурентоспособными.

05 июня 2014, 17:29

США все активнее используют юань во внешней торговле

  США вышли на третье место в мире после Сингапура и Великобритании по объемам использования китайской валюты. Все больше американских компаний переходят на юань при оплате импорта из КНР. Международная межбанковской системы передачи информации и совершения платежей SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications) опубликовала пресс-релиз "The United States jumps ahead of Taiwan as an offshore RMB clearing centre". По данным организации, со стороны США наблюдается заметная активизация в использовании китайской валюты. Общая доля юаней в торговле между США и Китаем остается сравнительно небольшой, однако динамика использования юаня в расчетах со стороны США говорит сама за себя. По сравнению с апрелем 2013 г. в этом году доля использования юаня в сделках между США и Китаем выросла с 0,7% до 2,4%. При этом, в апреле 2014 г. объем платежей США с использованием китайской валюты в годовом отношении увеличился на 327%. Общая доля платежей в юанях с американской стороны в общемировом контексте выросла с 1,3% в апреле 2013 г. до 2,6% к апрелю 2014 г. Юань в торговле США – Китай/Гонконг; США – остальной мир: Графика: SWIFT США опередили Тайвань и вышли на третье место в мире – после Сингапура и Великобритании – по использованию юаня. Майкл Мун, директор подразделения платежей SWIFT в Азиатско-тихоокеанском регионе отметил, что это очередное свидетельство растущей роли юаня в международной торговле:  “На мой взгляд, повышение объемов платежей в юанях в сделках между США и Китаем/Гонконгом – это серьезный сигнал, который будет способствовать дальнейшему использованию китайской валюты. Хотя американский доллар все еще занимает доминирующее положение в торговле между странами, тем не менее, данные говорят о том, что США все более активно используют юань для того, чтобы поддержать свои корпорации, которые хотят расширять свои производственные мощности в Китае и все чаще оплачивают продукцию своих китайских поставщиков в юанях. Это хорошие новости для дальнейшей глобализации юаня в качестве мировой валюты”.

04 декабря 2013, 01:06

Сенсация! Юань - вторая торгуемая валюта... точно? )))

Китайский юань обошел евро в рейтинге самых торгуемых мировых валют, следует из отчета Международной межбанковской электронной системы платежей (SWIFT). Коэффициент использования юаня поднялся с 1,89% в январе 2012г. до 8,66% в октябре 2013г. Опережает китайскую национальную валюту лишь доллар США, который лидирует с коэффициентом 81,08%. Между тем доля евро упала с 7,87% в январе 2012г. до 6,64% в октябре 2013г.: сейчас единая европейская валюта занимает третье место в рейтинге самых торгуемых. По данным на октябрь 2013г., больше всего в финансовой торговле юанем пользовались Китай, Гонконг, Сингапур, Германия и Австралия. Так, на долю КНР приходится 59% сделок с юанем, на Гонконг - 21%, Сингапур - 12%, Германию и Австралию - по 2%. http://top.rbc.ru/economics/03/12/2013/892600.shtml _______________________________________ РБК, мягко говоря, отжигает .... Если реально SWIFT очень любит юань и публикует ежемесячно отчеты о расчетах в нем (надеясь на активный рост роли юаня). Собственно сам отчет на основе которого и появился материал. Читаем внимательно: RMB now 2nd most used currency in trade finance, overtaking the Euro, with a activity share of 8.66%. Что именно имеет ввиду SWIFT смотрим здесь "traditional trade finance - Letters of Credit and Collections" Торговое финансирование, конкретно инкассо и аккредитивы ...как бы это далеко не "рейтинг самых торгуемых валют". 59% из них - сам Китай, ещё 21% - Гонконг, ещё 12% - Сигнапур и только оставшиеся 8% - остальные страны из которых по 2% Германия и Австралия. Причем бурный рост, скорее всего, обусловлен во многом более корректным учетом операций самого континентального Китая. Доля Китая в международных платежах в отчете на 6-й странице и составляет в октябре0.84%. Она выросла с 0.25% в январе 2012 года, до 0.63% в январе 2013 года (когда юань обогнал рубль), после этого рост несколько затормозился: март - 0.74%, июнь - 0.87%, сентябрь - 0.86%, октябрь - 0.84%. По-хорошему, с лета экспансия юаня в общем объеме платежей прекратилась ... но все ищут сенсации. P.S.: В перспективе доля юаня в платежах, конечно, должна существенно вырасти (при либерализации рынка юаню есть куда расти), но только в перспективе. P.P.S.: Кому интересно: ссылка на раздел с отчетами SWIFT