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Тимоти Майкл Кейн
28 октября, 00:43

Remarks by the First Lady at Hillary for America Campaign Event - Winston-Salem, North Carolina

Wake Forest University Winston-Salem, North Carolina 2:53 P.M. EDT MRS. OBAMA:  Well, hey there!  (Applause.)  You guys are pretty fired up, right?  (Applause.)  I like that.  I like that.  (Applause.)  Wow. Well, let me start, of course, because Hillary’s mini tribute to me was -- it’s taken me off of -- it’s kind of thrown me a little bit.  It was very generous.  But I just want to take this moment publicly to thank Hillary.  I mean, there -- it takes a level of generosity of spirit to do what Hillary has done in her career, in her life for our family, for this nation.  (Applause.)  And if people wonder, yes, Hillary Clinton is my friend.  She has been a friend to me and Barack and Malia and Sasha, and Bill and Chelsea have been embracing and supportive from the very day my husband took the oath of office.  (Applause.)   So I am grateful for Hillary -- for her leadership, for her courage, and for what she is going to do for this country.  So it’s going to be good.  It’s going to be good.  (Applause.)   But I also want to take some time to recognize your former Senator, Kay Hagan, who is here.  Kay, it’s good to see you.  (Applause.)  And again, I just want to lend my voice to your outstanding Senate candidate, Deborah Ross.  (Applause.)  Man, Deborah -- as Hillary said, she’s someone who cares deeply about the people in this state.  And she is always going to put your families first.  So let’s make Deborah your next U.S. senator, all right?  (Applause.)  And let’s make Roy Cooper your next governor, how about that?  (Applause.)       Thanks also to all the members of Congress who are joining us, and your Mayor, Allen Joines.  Thank you, Mayor.  (Applause.)   But more importantly, thank you, to all of you, for taking the time, waiting in lines to be here today to help us support the next President and Vice President of the United States, Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine!  (Applause.)  I don’t know about you but I’m fired up.  (Applause.)  We’re going to make this happen.   Now, you may have noticed that I have been doing some campaigning for Hillary.  (Laughter.)  And I know that there are some folks out there who have commented that it’s been unprecedented for a sitting First Lady to be so actively engaged in a presidential campaign.  And that may be true, but what’s also true is that this is truly an unprecedented election.  And that’s why I’m out here.   I’m out here first and foremost because we have never had a more qualified and prepared candidate for President than our friend, Hillary Clinton -- never before in our lifetime.  I say this everywhere I go -- I admire and respect Hillary.  She has been a lawyer, a law professor, First Lady of Arkansas, First Lady of the United States, a U.S. Senator, Secretary of State.  (Applause.)   AUDIENCE:  Hillary!  Hillary!  Hillary!   MRS. OBAMA:  Yeah, that’s right.  Hillary doesn’t play.  (Laughter.)  She has more experience and exposure to the presidency than any candidate in our lifetime –- yes, more than Barack, more than Bill.  So she is absolutely ready to be Commander-in-Chief on day one.  And, yes, she happens to be a woman.  (Applause.)   This election is also unprecedented because I don’t think we’ve ever had two candidates with such dramatically different visions of who we are and how we move forward as a nation.  One candidate has a vision that’s grounded in hopelessness and despair; a vision of a country that is weak and divided, where our communities are in chaos, our fellow citizens a threat.  This candidate calls on us to turn against each other, to build walls, to be afraid.    And then there’s Hillary’s vision for this country that you just heard -- (applause) -- a vision of a nation that is powerful and vibrant and strong, big enough to have a place for all of us.  A nation where we each have something very special to contribute, and where we are always stronger together.  (Applause.)   That is the choice we face –- between those who divide this country into “us” versus “them,” and those who tell us to embrace our better angels and choose hope over fear.  And as we look into the eyes of our children as we send them off to school each morning and tuck them into bed at night, as Hillary said, the stakes in this election could not be more clear.  And let me tell you, this is not about Republicans versus Democrats.  None of that matters this time around.   No, no, no, this election is about something much bigger.  It’s about who will shape our children and the country we leave for them, not just for the next four or eight years but for the rest of their lives.  (Applause.)  Because as Hillary pointed out, we all know -- we know the influence our President has on our children -- how they turn on the TV and they see the most powerful role model in the world, someone who shows them how to treat others, how to deal with disappointment, whether to tell the truth.  They’re taking it all in. And as Hillary said, when you’ve raised children in the White House, like Barack and Hillary and I have, you are reminded every day of the impact that you have.  You start seeing the images of every child in this country in the face of your child.  So when people wonder how Hillary keeps her composure through the overwhelming pressure of not just this campaign but of her career, or how Barack and I have dealt with the glare of the national spotlight these last eight years, that’s the answer:  With every action we take, with every word we utter, we think about the millions of children who are watching us who hang onto our every word, looking to us to show them who they can and should be.    And that’s why, every day, we try to be the kind of people, the kind of leaders that your children deserve, whether you agree with our politics or not.  (Applause.)  And when I think about this election, let me tell you, that is what I’m thinking about.  I’m asking myself, what do my girls, what do all our children deserve in their President?  What kind of a President do we want for them?  Well, to start with, I think we want someone who is a unifying force in this country, someone who sees our differences not as a threat, but as a blessing.  (Applause.)  As Hillary said, we want a President who values and honors women, who teachers our daughters and our sons that women are full and equal human beings worthy, deserving of love and respect.  (Applause.)   We want a President who understands that this nation was built by folks who came here from all corners of the globe -- folks who work their fingers to the bone to create this country and give their kids a better life.  We want a President who sees the goodness in all our communities, not just the brokenness.  Someone who understands that communities like the one where I was raised are filled with good, hard-working folks -– folks who take that extra shift, who work that extra job because they want something more for their kids.  (Applause.)   And finally, we want a President who takes this job seriously -- (applause) -- and has the temperament and maturity to do it well.  (Applause.)  Someone who is steady.  Someone who we can trust with the nuclear codes, because we want to go to sleep at night knowing that our kids and our country are safe. And I am here today because I believe with all of my heart -- and I would not be here lying to you -- I believe with all of my heart that Hillary Clinton will be that President.  (Applause.)   See, over the years, I’ve come to know Hillary.  I know her -- not just her extraordinary professional accomplishments, but I know her personal values and beliefs.  I know that Hillary was raised like Barack and I -- in a working family.  Hillary’s mother was an orphan, abandoned by her parents.  Her father was a small-business owner who stayed up nights poring over the books, working hard to keep their family afloat.  So believe this, Hillary knows what it means to struggle for what you have and to want something better for your kids.  See, and that’s why, since the day she launched her campaign, Hillary has been laying out concrete, detailed policies that will actually make a difference for kids and families in this country. As she said, she plans to make college tuition-free, to help young people drowning in debt.  (Applause.)  She is going to handle making sure that our climate is protected.  (Applause.)  And let me tell you this about Hillary -- she is involved and engaged in every policy issue that she’s developed.  You go on her website -- she’s going to raise the minimum wage.  She’s going to cut taxes for working folks.  (Applause.)  She’s going to do her best to help women get equal pay for equal work.  (Applause.)  And if you want to know more just go on her website:  HillaryClinton.com.  Because here’s the thing about Hillary -- thankfully, Hillary is a policy wonk.  And let me tell you, when you are President, that is a good thing.  (Applause.)  Because policies matter.  They really matter.  They determine whether our kids have good schools, whether they can see a doctor when they’re sick, whether they’re safe when they walk out door on their way to school.   Policies matter.  And that’s why Hillary has fought so hard for children’s health insurance as First Lady, for affordable child care in the Senate.  That’s why, as Secretary of State, she has gone toe-to-toe with world leaders to keep our kids safe.  And that is why day after day, debate after debate, she has shown us such strength, such grace, refusing to be knocked down, refusing to be pushed around or counted out.  Hillary does all of this because she is thinking of children like her mother, children like her daughter and her grandkids -– children who deserve every chance to fulfill their God-given potential.  That is why Hillary is in this.  She is in this for us.  She’s in this for our families, for our kids, for our shared future.    So let me tell you, that is why I am inspired by Hillary. That is why I respect Hillary -- because she has lived a life grounded in service and sacrifice that has brought her to this day, that has more than prepared her to take on the hardest job on the planet.  She has run an extraordinary campaign.  She has built an impressive grassroots organization.  She’s raised the money.  She’s won all the debates.  (Applause.)  So Hillary has done her job.  Now we need to do our job and get her elected President of the United States.  (Applause.)  Because here’s where I want to get real:  If Hillary doesn’t win this election, that will be on us.  It will be because we did not stand with her.  It will be because we did not vote for her.  And that is exactly what her opponent is hoping will happen.  That’s the strategy -– to make this election so dirty and ugly that we don’t want any part of it.   So when you hear folks talking about a global conspiracy and saying that this election is “rigged,” understand that they are trying to get you to stay home.  They are trying to convince you that your vote doesn’t matter, that the outcome has already been determined and you shouldn’t even bother to make your voice heard.  They are trying to take away your hope. And just for the record, in this country, the United States of America, the voters decide our elections.  They’ve always decided.  Voters decide who wins and who loses.  Period.  End of story.  (Applause.)  And right now, thankfully, folks are coming out in droves to vote early.  It’s amazing to see.  We are making our voices heard all across this country.  Because when they go low --  AUDIENCE:  We go high! (Applause.)   MRS. OBAMA:  And we know that every vote matters.  Every single vote.  And if you have any doubt about that, consider this:  Back in 2008 -- I say this everywhere I go -- Barack won North Carolina by about 14,000 votes -- (applause) -- which sounds like a lot.  But when you break that number down, the difference between winning and losing this state was a little over two votes per precinct.  See, I want you all to take that in, because I know that there are people here who didn’t vote.  Two votes.  And people knew people who didn’t vote.  If just two or three folks per precinct had gone the other way, Barack would have lost that state, could have lost the election. And let’s not forget, back in 2012, Barack actually did lose this state by about 17 votes per precinct.  Seventeen.  That’s how presidential elections go.  They are decided on a razor’s edge.  So each of you could swing, in this stadium -- just think about it -- each of you could swing an entire precinct and win this election for Hillary just by getting yourselves, your friends and your family out to vote, just doing what you’re supposed to do.  You can do this.  (Applause.)  But you could also help swing an entire precinct for Hillary’s opponent with a protest vote or by not voting at all. So here’s what I’m asking you:  Get out and vote.  Get out and vote for Hillary.  Vote early.  Vote right now.  Leave here, go vote.  (Applause.)  And don’t let anyone take that right away from you. As Hillary mentioned, you may have seen in previous weeks that folks were trying to cut early voting places, and cut the hours they were open.  But that didn’t stop people in this state.  That’s beautiful.  Now, I understand there are more locations that are opening, and I want you all to crowd those places.  I want you to remember that folks marched and protested for our right to vote.  (Applause.)  They endured beatings and jail time, they sacrificed their lives for this right.  (Applause.)  So I know you can get yourselves to the polls and exercise that right. Because make no mistake about it, casting our vote is the ultimate way we go high when they go low.  (Applause.)  Voting is our high.  That’s how we go high:  We vote.  How do we go high? AUDIENCE:  We vote! MRS. OBAMA:  How do we go high? AUDIENCE:  We vote! MRS. OBAMA:  That’s it.  And after you vote, volunteer.  No, no, no, no -- we need you to volunteer.  Roll up your sleeves.  Make calls.  Knock on doors.  Get people to the polls.  It’s turnout that’s going to make the difference.  We have to turn our people out.  (Applause.)  Do not let yourself get tired or frustrated or discouraged by the negativity of this election.  As you are out there working your hearts out for my girl -- (laughter) -- here’s the thing that I just want to tell you all, because this has been a draining election.  But I urge you to please, please be encouraged.  I want our young people to be encouraged.  Because we still live in the greatest country on Earth.  We do.  (Applause.)  And I have never felt more hopeful about the future.  And I want -- our young people deserve that.  Be encouraged. I feel that way because for the past eight years, I have had the great honor of being this country’s First Lady.  (Applause.)  First Ladies, we rock.  (Applause.)  But I have traveled from one end of to this country to the other, and I have met people from every conceivable background and walk of life, including folks who disagree with just about everything Barack and I have ever said, but who welcome us into their communities.  Remember, our neighbors are decent folks.  These are all good people, who are open-hearted and willing to listen.  And while we might not change each other’s minds, we always walk away reminded that when it comes to what really matters, when it comes to our hopes and dreams for our children, we’re just not all that different. And I want you to remember that it’s that part of us as Americans, it is that piece of us that is in all of us.  That’s what drives folks like Hillary’s mother, who said to herself, I may not have grown up in a loving family but I will build a loving family of my own, I will give my children what I never had, I will pour my heart into raising a strong, smart, loving daughter.  (Applause.)  That’s what drives people like my father, who kept getting up and putting in those long hours, who said, I may not have gone to college, but I’m going to keep working because maybe my son, maybe my daughter will.  Because in this country, anything is possible.  (Applause.)   As we walk away from this election, remember:  That is what makes us who we are.  Remember that.  It’s a country where a girl like me from the South Side of Chicago, whose great-great grandfather was a slave, can go to the finest universities on Earth.  A country where a bi-racial kid from Hawaii, the son of a single mother can make it to the White House.  (Applause.)  A country where the daughter of an orphan can break that highest and hardest glass ceiling and become President of the United States.  (Applause.)   That is who we are.  That is what’s possible here in America, but only when we come together.  Only when we work for it and fight for it.   So that’s why, for the next 12 days, folks, we need to do everything possible to help Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine win this election.  (Applause.)  Are you with me?  (Applause.)  Are you with me?  I can’t hear you!  Are we going to do this?  (Applause.)  We’re going to vote!  We’re going to vote early!  We’re going to stand in line!  We’re going to make our voices heard!  No one is going to take away our hope!  (Applause.)  Let’s get this done.   Thank you all.  God bless.  (Applause.)  END                 3:18 P.M. EDT

27 октября, 16:26

Trump claims evidence of voting fraud in Texas

Donald Trump pointed to Texas on Thursday as an example of the presidential election allegedly being rigged against him.“A lot of call-ins about vote flipping at the voting booths in Texas,” he tweeted Thursday morning, citing no actual sources or reports. “People are not happy. BIG lines. What is going on?”According to Snopes, “Reports are not flooding in from across Texas about vote switching.” “Although rumors of ‘vote switching’ in Texas are rampant, we found only one case in which a report was investigated, and it was found to be unsubstantiated,” the rumor researching website said in a report Wednesday.The Republican presidential nominee is likely referring to an allegation from a woman who posted on Facebook this week that she voted for Republicans up and down the ballot, though the summary of her votes showed that the Hillary Clinton-Tim Kaine ticket was checked, too.“I tried to go back and change and could not get it to work,” the woman, who voted in Texas, said. “I asked for help from one of the workers and she couldn't get it to go back either. It took a second election person to get the machine to where I could correct the vote to a straight ticket.”The woman urged voters to “double check your selections before you cast your vote!” According to election officials, however, the problem was likely a “voter error,” not a sign of election rigging.Tim O’Hare, chairman of the Tarrant County Republican Party, told a local CBS affiliate that voters are inadvertently changing their votes by incorrectly turning the machine’s wheel to change the page.“We don’t think there’s fraud inside the machine or software glitches,” he said.Deborah Peoples, who chairs the county’s Democratic Party, said some Democratic voters were experiencing similar issues seeing their votes changed to Trump.In incidents where officials have spoken with the voters, Tarrant County elections administrator Frank Phillips said “they tell us that they discovered the changed vote on the summary screen display.”“This shows that the machine is working exactly as it should,” he added. “The voter gets to review a summary of vote changes made and make any changes as needed before actually casting the vote.”In a University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll released Thursday, Trump leads Clinton by 3 percentage points among likely voters, 45 percent to 42 percent, which falls within the survey’s margin of error.

27 октября, 15:36

Poll: Clinton leads Trump by 7 in Pennsylvania

Clinton’s lead in Pennsylvania has been fairly consistent over the past month

27 октября, 01:35

Fox News national poll: Clinton up 3 over Trump

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 3 percentage points nationwide, according to the latest Fox News poll, which was taken after the presidential debates.In a four-way race, Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, lead Trump and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence 44 to 41 percent among a survey of 1,221 likely voters.The results show a small dip in support for Clinton, compared with the previous Fox national poll, while support slightly increases for both Trump and the Libertarian ticket of former Govs. Gary Johnson and Bill Weld.Clinton continues to lead in a head-to-head matchup, 49 percent to 44 percent, but Trump’s support ticked up 2 points from the previous poll.The poll was conducted live by cellphone and landline by Anderson Robbins Research, a Democratic firm, and Shaw & Company Research, a Republican firm, from Oct. 22 to 25. Responses for the whole sample have a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

27 октября, 00:32

Tim Kaine Gets Candid With Pusha T On Police Brutality And Racism

With this year’s presidential election less than two weeks away, Pusha T is continuing his political involvement on Hillary Clinton’s campaign trail. In a new Hillary for America campaign clip, the rapper held a candid conversation ― which took place after a Oct. 15 block festival in Liberty City, Miami ― with Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine to discuss some of the most pressing issues at stake in this year’s election. Among the Bronx rapper’s biggest concerns were America’s broken criminal justice system. It’s an issue that needs improvement, according to Kaine. “There’s a lot of reforms that are necessary. There’s policing reforms, to make sure that we have communities where everybody respects the law,” Kaine said. “But people have to be respected by the law, too. That’s really important. In some of our communities that’s not the case.” As a solution to ending gun violence in America, the Virginia senator suggested the government keep a better record of the number of citizens that were killed in interactions with the police ― similar to the data that’s stored on the number of policemen that were killed in the line of duty. “We haven’t been keeping that data about citizens, but if we keep that data, too, we can manage to improve deaths to gun violence,” he said. In addition to resolving police relations, Kaine went on to highlight some areas that are affected by systematic racism in America. “There is [racism] in housing,” he said. “There is [racism] in employment. There is [racism] in the criminal justice system. There is [racism] in voting rights. So there’s more progress to achieve, but we keep moving forward.” Nicely said, Tim. Check out more of Senator Kaine and Pusha T’s conversation in the clip above. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

26 октября, 22:55

Ultra-Conservative Pat Toomey Tries To Reach Out To Democrats -- While Still Bashing Hillary Clinton

Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) is staying as far away from Donald Trump as possible this election. The Pennsylvania Republican’s race is one of the most competitive in the nation, and he’s trying to convince a state that’s leaning blue to re-elect him, even though he once ran the conservative Club for Growth and has one of the most conservative voting records in Congress. Unwilling to alienate either side, he’s just not taking one.  Toomey’s balancing act as he tries to attract split-ticket voters may be best illustrated by two ads his campaign recently released. The first goes after his competitor, Democrat Katie McGinty, as a “blank check” for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The narrator says Toomey will “fight Clinton’s liberal agenda.”  The second ad, in contrast, touts kind words that Democratic politicians like Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) ― Clinton’s vice presidential running mate ― have said about Toomey. If a viewer didn’t know the Toomey was a conservative Republican, it’d be hard to tell from this spot.  “It’s an important difference between the candidates: Pat Toomey has shown independence and leadership, while Katie McGinty would be a rubber stamp for Hillary Clinton and the party bosses who hand-picked her for the Senate,” Toomey spokesman Ted Kwong said. A Democratic media tracker said they hadn’t seen the “Blank Check” ad in Philadelphia and hadn’t seen the Democratic voices ad outside of the city. Kwong did not answer a question about whether these ads are airing in different parts of the state and are meant for different audiences that are either more liberal or more conservative. But Sadie Weiner, a spokeswoman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, said the two spots showed that Toomey is still trying to have it both ways ― without taking a real position. “Pat Toomey is just another typical, gutless politician who won’t give a straight answer to an easy question,” Weiner said. “In this instance he refuses to stand up to Donald Trump, but prefers to tell different people different things, which isn’t leadership, it’s pandering.” Toomey isn’t the only Republican to have a tough time assessing where to come down on Trump. Rep. Joe Heck (R-Nev.), who is running for the Senate, said he’s not going to tell voters his choice for president. Sen. Mark Kirk (R-Ill.), who has now changed his mind about his endorsement four times, said Wednesday that he won’t confirm whether he’ll pick Clinton, Trump or someone else. Rep. Mike Coffman (R-Colo.), who is also running for Senate, may not vote at all.  This coy approach has its risks. In 2014, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, who was trying to unseat then-Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), wouldn’t say whether she voted for President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. In an interview with the Louisville Courier-Journal, she repeatedly refused to answer the question, leading to a widely circulated, painful video. HuffPost Pollster’s aggregate of publicly available polling in the race shows Toomey and McGinty neck and neck. HUFFPOST READERS: What’s happening in your state or district? The Huffington Post wants to know about all the campaign ads, mailers, robocalls, candidate appearances and other interesting campaign news happening by you. Email any tips, videos, audio files or photos [email protected] Want more updates from Amanda? Sign up for her newsletter, Piping Hot Truth. Enter your email address: -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

26 октября, 04:12

GOP's early vote worries mount

Early voting returns continue to paint a bleak picture for Donald Trump. In Nevada, where early in-person voting began on Saturday, Democratic voters cast 23,000 more ballots than Republicans as of Tuesday afternoon, good for a 15-percentage-point edge in the nearly 150,000 ballots cast. (Mail in and absentee ballots narrow the gap slightly).Polling and early voting returns suggest Democrats are maintaining an edge in North Carolina, and they are also slicing into a thinner-than-expected early vote lead for Republicans in Florida, who now lead by about half a percentage point; in 2012, the GOP held a much more significant edge two weeks from Election Day. Women in Florida are casting early ballots in far greater numbers than four years ago, and Hispanic turnout is surging as well, according to data released by the Clinton campaign. Polls suggest that both constituencies are strongly Democratic this year.In Colorado — where Democrats hold a voter registration edge for the first time — early returns give the party a 23,000-vote lead in returned and in-person ballots. In Arizona, which last went Democratic in 1996, Democrats held a thin early-vote lead on Monday.Even reliably Republican Texas is sending shudders down GOP spines. In the state's most heavily populated, Democratic-leaning urban counties, early voting turnout is surging beyond its historical pace -- and new polls suddenly show the unthinkable: Texas is not entirely out of reach for Clinton."Since the time I started running for state chairman in 2009, I have warned Texas Republicans that Texas should be treated as a competitive state," said Steve Munisteri, a former head of the state's GOP. "Any erosion in our support among Hispanic voters could reduce our margins significantly."Taken together, the early voting results suggest that Clinton's sharp climb in recent polls is translating into a pre-election lead that puts Trump at risk of being buried in some states even before Election Day. Trump's campaign did not respond to a request for comment.The Clinton campaign has dispatched high-profile surrogates to encourage early voting. On Wednesday, Chelsea Clinton will make three stops in Ohio, including one in Cincinnati’s populous Hamilton County. Anne Holton — the wife of Clinton's running mate Tim Kaine — will canvass Nevada with Democratic Senate nominee Catherine Cortez Masto to encourage early voting.Nevada Republicans are suddenly scrambling to keep up — and they have two House seats on the line, as well as their only decent opportunity to pick up a Democrat-held Senate seat. Though polls once suggested the state — like Ohio and Iowa — was tipping toward Trump, Clinton has begun to build a solid polling lead and is hoping to lock it in with early ballots. "Voter turnout has been humongous. To quote Donald Trump, it's been yuuuuge," said Dwight Mazzone, GOP chairman in Nevada's Clark County, home to Las Vegas and three-quarters of the state's population. "The stories I hear is that the unions are busing people into the polls, giving them lunch, giving them a T-shirt. Republicans have never done that."Mazzone said he still believes Trump can win Nevada and that, in his southern Las Vegas neighborhood, he's seen "a hell of a lot" of Trump supporters stream into early balloting locations. Sherry Powell, treasurer of Reno’s Washoe County GOP said both parties deserve credit for driving up early-voting turnout and she noted that Republicans in her area have been trekking to rural Nevada to help the more Trump-supportive population there get to the polls.National Republicans found a few bright spots in the numbers across the map. In an early voting summary distributed by the Republican National Committee, the party pointed to its tiny edge in Florida absentee ballots submitted — despite a much narrower advantage than in 2012 — as a positive sign. Likewise, in Nevada, the RNC pointed to a slightly smaller number of Democratic absentee ballots, ignoring the double-digit lead Democrats had racked up in in-person voting.Iowa continues to be one of the GOP’s brightest spots, with Democrats dramatically underperforming their absentee voting totals of 2012 and Republicans continuing to cut into their lead.Still, the most eye-catching numbers are coming from Texas, where there is a sudden wave of optimism among Democrats. While state Republicans remain confident they'll keep the state in their column, they concede that Democrats have made inroads in the GOP stronghold — in part due to the state's growing millennial and minority populations, along with Trump's penchant for alienating them.So far, Clinton hasn't signaled an aggressive investment in Texas as her allies have in Arizona and Georgia, two other states viewed as potential opportunities to expand the map.

25 октября, 23:12

Tim Kaine Reaches Out To Mormons With Stories Of His Own Mission Work

Honing in on Mormons’ strong tradition of missionary service, Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine reached out to the religious group with his own reflections about life in the mission field. In an op-ed published in the Deseret News, a Utah-based publication owned by the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Kaine spoke about how he took a break from law school when he was younger to work with Jesuit missionaries in Honduras.  “They say that nobody comes back from serving a mission the same person, and that was certainly true of me,” Kaine wrote in the op-ed. “My time in Honduras became my North Star, a crucible of my values. It has influenced everything I’ve done in public life since: as a civil rights lawyer, city councilman, mayor, lieutenant governor, governor, and now, a senator.” The LDS church has been a reliably Republican religious group for decades. According to the Pew Research Center’s 2014 religious landscape study, 70 percent of Mormons lean toward or identify with the Republican party. Utah, a majority-Mormon state, hasn’t backed a Democratic candidate for president since 1964.  But many Mormons have not been fans of Donald Trump. Several influential Mormons have been part of the “Never Trump” camp for months ― including the conservative commentator Glenn Beck, and the 2012 Republican presidential nominee, former Gov. Mitt Romney. The Deseret News has called for Trump to drop out of the race.  But Mormons aren’t necessarily fans of the Hillary Clinton, either. A recent Deseret News poll suggests that the two opponents are tied at 26 percent in Utah.  About 22 percent of Utahns said they’re voting for the independent candidate Evan McMullin, a Mormon whom observers say has a good chance of winning the state.  In his op-ed, Kaine attempted to connect with Mormons who are dissatisfied with the Trump-Pence ticket. He wrote about his work as a Christian missionary ― an experience that many Mormons share. The LDS church puts a strong emphasis on missionary work and proselytization. It has 15 missionary training centers throughout the world that offer young Mormons crash courses in language and evangelization before sending them off to 418 mission fields to bring new converts into the fold. Mormon men typically spend about two years in the mission field, while women serve 18 months. While all Mormons are not required to serve a mission, many choose to volunteer. There are currently more than 74,000 Mormon missionaries serving in far-flung regions of the world. As a result, several aspects of missionary work that Kaine wrote about in his op-ed would be familiar to Mormons ― from struggling to communicate in a foreign language, to learning how to accept donations of food from other people.  Kaine, a Catholic, also pointed out a historical similarity between the LDS church and his own denomination. Both Catholics and Mormons have been victims of religious persecution in America.  In December 2015, soon after Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump called for a ban on Muslims entering the United States, the church issued a statement declaring that while it is “neutral in regard to party politics and election campaigns … [the church] is not neutral in relation to religious freedom.” Partly due to Mormons’ history as a persecuted minority in America, members of the church are often quick to denounce religious discrimination when they see it.  Additionally, because many American Mormons have served in missions outside of the United States, they are wary of the negative rhetoric against immigrants that often arises in Donald Trump’s speeches.  Kaine wrote about these tensions in his pitch to Utah’s Mormons:  “This election season has taught us some uncomfortable lessons, not the least of which is how a person’s religious tradition can be used as a weapon by politicians seeking to capitalize on fear,” he wrote. “Hillary Clinton and I pledge to stand with you against these dangerous threats to our American values, and for the safety and the integrity of our families. Americans may worship divinity in different ways, but far more unites than divides us in our values, dreams and traditions.” David E. Campbell, political science professor at the University of Notre Dame and co-author of a book on Mormons and American politics, believes Kaine's message will resonate with Mormons, since missionary work is an important aspect of their faith and culture. Still, he's not sure if it will have the effect the candidate is hoping for.  "I would expect that this op-ed will, at most, nudge a few moderate Republican Mormons into supporting the Clinton/Kaine ticket," Campbell told The Huffington Post in an email. "Its more likely effect will be among Mormon Democrats -- a small and embattled group -- who can cite Kaine's missionary experience as 'cover' for voting Democratic." -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

25 октября, 22:41

Why the AT&T–Time Warner Deal Is So Unpopular

It takes a particularly complicated type of merger to unite Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and Wall Street in their skepticism of it.

25 октября, 21:55

Donald Trump's Get-Out-The-Vote Problem Could Cost Republicans Bigly

WASHINGTON ― Barring a massive shift in a number of states over the next two weeks, Donald Trump will lose the presidential election and it won’t even be close. The suspense now is how bad will Nov. 8 be for Republicans down-ballot, and the early indication is that ― thanks to Trump ― it could be really bad. In the final stretch, Trump’s closing argument is that the election is rigged, the media is corrupt, and other Republicans have sold him out. It’s a perfect concoction for negative GOP turnout, particularly if you add a shoddy get-out-the-vote operation.  “Donald Trump’s plan to turn out Republicans is going about as well as his debate prep and early morning tweetstorms,” Meredith Kelly, the national spokeswoman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, told The Huffington Post on Monday. “Trump repels traditional Republicans who cannot bring themselves to vote for this unfit and unhinged man, and despite having developed a group of dedicated supporters in the Republican base, he has managed to convince them that the election is rigged and their vote won’t make a bit of difference.” “In all scenarios,” Kelly added, “Donald Trump and House Republicans lose.” Yes, Trump is headed for a loss. He even seems to know it. But a combination of factors ― generously carved out districts, for one, some Democratic recruitment failures, for another ― might stem the tide of GOP losses in the House and limit losses in the (for now) Republican-controlled Senate. Most analysts not named House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) expect Democrats to pick up somewhere between 12 and 20 seats in the House and take control of the Senate, either because they actually win a majority in that chamber or because a Vice President Tim Kaine would get to break ties. But the prospect of a wave election flipping the House still seems like a bit of a long shot. As The Washington Post’s Stuart Rothenberg put it, the generic ballot between Democrats and Republicans suggests healthy ― but not crazy ― gains for Democrats. Recent national polls show Democrats with an advantage on the generic ballot ranging from 3 to 6 points. That is larger than the Democrats’ 2-point advantage in the October 2012 NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll (when Democrats gained eight seats) or the Democrats’ 4-point advantage in the October 2014 poll (when the GOP gained 13 seats). However, large Democratic waves in 2006 and 2008 followed October NBC News-Wall Street Journal polls that showed Democrats with a generic advantage of 15 points and 13 points respectively — advantages not close to the current numbers. The only way for Democrats to get close to those numbers is if the electorate that shows up on Nov. 8 is not representative of the polling. Luckily for Democrats, that remains a possibility.  “We don’t know how bad the Trump effect is going to be on turnout,” one Democratic operative told HuffPost on Monday, “which makes it difficult to get an accurate representation of what the electorate is going to look like on Election Day.” The operative and other sources spoke on condition of anonymity to more openly discuss the races.   You can measure voter enthusiasm, but even that doesn’t provide a great sense of who shows up to vote. (”It all comes down to turnout” and “the only poll that matters is on Election Day,” as everyone who’s ever been on cable news says.) By the voter enthusiasm measure, though, Trump is plummeting. His 12-point advantage in voter enthusiasm in early September has fallen to a 3-point deficit to Hillary Clinton, whose voters are increasingly fired up. In head-to-head polls, Clinton is pulling so far ahead of Trump that voters may wonder what’s the point of voting, and donors might stop donating. “We are up against a perfect storm of spending from Democratic groups and donors who believe the presidential race is done,” Steven Law, the leader of the Republican PAC Senate Leadership Fund, told the LA Times. On top of Trump’s overall problems, his get-out-the-vote operation is severely lagging behind Clinton’s. An analysis by The Hill over the weekend showed a roughly 4-1 advantage for Democrats on paid staff in states, with Democrats employing 5,138 staffers and Republicans having 1,409. While House and Senate Republicans have their own GOTV operations, both parties rely on the top of the ticket to help get their supporters to the polls. If anything, sources told HuffPost, Republicans rely more on the national operation than Democrats. “They’re not making the same types of investments they would be if they had a robust field operation,” a Democratic aide told HuffPost. Additionally, as Trump falls, his problems ― and thus the problems of Republicans in general ― compound. If you were on the fence about Trump, why give up your ideological purity by going to support a guy who’s going to lose big anyway? If you were already uncomfortable with Trump’s ethics, how are you feeling as more women come forward to accuse Trump of sexual assault? What semblance of a message the GOP nominee does have in the closing days is basically one that won’t appeal to those iffy voters. He’s continued his old, extreme rhetoric, doubled down on his misogyny by arguing that the women accusing him of misconduct aren’t attractive enough, and added new attacks against Republicans like Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.).  The message that the Republican establishment is out to get him particularly does harm to both sides of the GOP; Trump supporters might skip over supporting Republicans elsewhere on the ballot, and traditional Republicans, already depressed, might just decide not to vote. In a poll released Tuesday, only 4 percent of voters said the Republican Party is united. While more than 80 percent of Republicans are supporting Trump, according to the HuffPost Pollster average, that support might be soft among a number of GOP voters, and it may lead them to stay home.  And if you were supporting Trump, what’s really the point of voting? “It’s rigged,” isn’t it?  Editor’s note: Donald Trump regularly incites political violence and is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist and birther who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims — 1.6 billion members of an entire religion — from entering the U.S. -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

25 октября, 19:12

The Tipping Points of the 2016 Election

An analysis of voting trends in key swing states hints that voter allegiances will be starker and more influential than ever.

25 октября, 15:15

HUFFPOLLSTER: Could Democrats Win The House Majority?

Hillary Clinton would have to win by a lot to help Democrats gain the House majority. Oversampling is a valid and often-used technique in polls. And Clinton’s support is growing among young voters. This is HuffPollster for Tuesday, October 25, 2016. A CLINTON WIN MIGHT NOT BE BIG ENOUGH TO FLIP THE HOUSE - John Harwood: “The larger Hillary Clinton’s polling margin over Donald J. Trump grows, the louder the question becomes: Is control of the House of Representatives really in play? Among House strategists in both parties, the answer remains the same as it has been all year: not yet. Democrats must gain 30 seats to capture a majority. That requires sweeping nearly all Republican-held seats in which they nurse even small hopes of winning. Yet the interplay between the presidential race and others on the ballot has made those small hopes bigger….Using data from elections since 1948, [Columbia University’s Robert] Erikson estimates the coattail effect this way: Every percentage point added to a Clinton victory margin would add half a point to the average Democratic House candidate….Gary Jacobson of the University of California, San Diego, uses generic vote poll questions to predict House outcomes. In his calculation, which subtracts those who are undecided, voters now say by a margin of 53 percent to 47 percent that they want Democrats to control the House next year. House Democrats need to stretch that edge to around 55-45 percent to come within range of a majority, he estimates. And to do that, they need a Clinton victory margin larger than the roughly six-percentage-point polling margin in the current New York Times national average.” [NYT] FORECAST UPDATE - Hillary Clinton has a 96.6 percent chance of winning the presidency. Republicans’ chances of keeping the Senate majority are declining ― they’re down to a 30 percent chance of getting 51 or more seats, Democrats have a 35 percent chance of getting 51 or more seats and there’s a 35 percent chance that the chamber will be split 50-50. Accounting for Clinton’s 96 percent chance of winning the presidency, which would make Tim Kaine vice president and the tie-breaking vote , that becomes a 69 percent chance of Democrats taking over. [Senate forecast, Presidential forecast] ATTACKS ON POLLS FOR “OVERSAMPLING” ARE BASELESS - HuffPollster: “Donald Trump’s campaign has highlighted some of the finer, typically ignored points of polling this year, usually by boisterously misunderstanding them. ‘WikiLeaks also shows how John Podesta rigged the polls by oversampling Democrats ― a voter suppression technique,’ the GOP presidential nominee told voters during a Florida rally on Monday. Trump’s claim appears to be loosely based on a leaked 2008 email from a Democratic activist, which, as The Washington Post reported earlier Monday, includes an enjoinder to ‘oversample’ certain generally Democratic-leaning subgroups including racial minorities and younger voters…. Oversampling, though, isn’t about overstating the size of one group relative to others ― it’s about making sure the results for that group are as accurate as possible…. Since African-Americans make up about 13.6 percent of the population, for instance, a poll of 1,000 people would typically include only about 136 African-Americans. The margin of sampling error for African-Americans’ opinions in that case, per Pew, would be somewhere around 10.5 percentage points. So, pollsters interested in focusing on African-Americans’ views might oversample them as a group, conducting another couple of hundred interviews to bring up their sample size and lower the margin of error, offering more reliable information. The poll would still be weighted, however, so that African-Americans would account for the same 13.6 percent of the national population.” [HuffPost] Most pollsters use oversampling - Andrew McGill: “Oversampling is... a completely valid statistical practice that everyone uses, including Republicans pollsters and probably Trump’s own campaign. If the polls are overestimating Clinton’s lead, and Trump is headed for an upset win, it’s not because of pollsters using oversampling to get more accurate results for demographic subgroups. ‘If you wanted to just bias the poll, you wouldn’t waste the extra money making all these extra calls—you’d try to manipulate it from the beginning,’ said Jon McHenry, a Republican pollster. ‘This is an added expense to the pollster with the idea of getting more information about a certain subgroup, and weighting that back so you understand the overall as well. Sometimes,’ he added wryly, ‘the polls say what they say because they’re accurate.’ It’s more common to complain about how pollsters weigh their surveys; The New York Times recently supplied four researchers with the same data and received five different results back, all because of differences in how the respondents were screened. Pollsters have different methods to determine whether a surveyed voter will actually cast a ballot, and that’s usually behind complaints about a given poll being too Clinton- or Trump-friendly.” [The Atlantic] Debunking another polling myth: Polls didn’t miss badly on Brexit - Here is the polling average for Brexit, vs. the past three months of election polls. pic.twitter.com/PQO3cNkxlA— Ariel Edwards-Levy (@aedwardslevy) October 24, 2016 Stoppit with Brexit!! The polls showed a close race. It was everyone's assumptions that were wrong. https://t.co/LeOOvu8Fbb pic.twitter.com/kVwIisMZvm— Natalie Jackson (@nataliemjb) October 19, 2016 CLINTON IS GAINING AMONG YOUNG VOTERS - Laurie Kellman and Emily Swanson: “Liane Golightly has finally decided who she’ll vote for on Election Day. Hillary Clinton is not a choice the 30-year-old Republican would have predicted, nor one that excites her. But the former supporter of Ohio Gov. John Kasich says it’s the only choice she can make….Like Golightly, many young voters are coming over to Clinton in the closing stretch of the 2016 campaign, according to a new GenForward poll of Americans 18 to 30. Driving the shift are white voters, who were divided between the two candidates just a month ago and were more likely to support GOP nominee Mitt Romney than President Barack Obama in 2012. In the new GenForward survey, Clinton leads among all young whites 35 percent to 22 percent, and by a 2-to-1 margin among those who are likely to vote….Overall, Clinton leads Trump among young likely voters 60 percent to 19 percent, with 12 percent supporting Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and 6 percent behind the Green Party’s Jill Stein. If Clinton and Trump receive that level of support on Election Day, Clinton would match Obama’s level of 2012 while Trump would fall short of Romney’s.” [AP] HUFFPOLLSTER VIA EMAIL! - You can receive this daily update every weekday morning via email! Just click here, enter your email address, and click “sign up.” That’s all there is to it (and you can unsubscribe anytime). TUESDAY’S ‘OUTLIERS’ - Links to the best of news at the intersection of polling, politics and political data: -Americans are split on whether the country has changed for the better since 1950. [PRRI] -Forty percent of Americans don’t think either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton are funny. [ABC] -Dylan Matthews compiles 21 charts and maps that help explain the election. [Vox] -Only 7 percent of Republicans think their party is united now. [NBC] -Many around the world say ordinary citizens can influence their government. [Pew] -Fear of police runs high among black and Latino residents of the Washington, D.C. area. [American University] -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

25 октября, 12:14

Florida spirals away from Trump

With the GOP nominee trailing in poll after poll and lacking a ground game, a low turnout may be Trump's only hope of carrying the state.

25 октября, 00:39

Hillary Clinton Will Push Congress To Finally Declare War On ISIS, Says Tim Kaine

WASHINGTON ― Hillary Clinton, if elected, plans to push Congress to revise the current Authorization for Use of Military Force to include the war against the Islamic State, according to her running mate. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) told David Axelrod on “The Axe Files” podcast published Monday that Clinton would seek congressional input early on. But if the last two years are any indication, Clinton will have a tough time convincing Congress to weigh in. The U.S. began bombing ISIS over two years ago, but Congress never authorized the war ― though not for President Barack Obama’s lack of trying.  “Hillary has said that that’s something she wants to do very early in her administration,” Kaine told Axelrod on the podcast, which is produced by the University of Chicago Institute of Politics and CNN. Kaine has said for years that he considers the war “illegal” because Congress never signed off on it. The Constitution states that only Congress has the power to declare war. After lawmakers criticized Obama for saying he didn’t need congressional sign-off because a sweeping 9/11-era AUMF gave him the authority to act unilaterally, Obama sent them a new proposal early last year. It was tailored specifically to the fight against the Islamic State.  Congress debated it for a while, and then nothing happened.  Republicans have argued that the war powers proposal Obama sent over was too limited, and they didn’t want the next president to be restricted. But if their nominee doesn’t win, a Clinton presidency may get them moving on an AUMF. “Hillary believes that this current battle against ISIS ― but against non-state terrorism more generally ― that’s based on a 60-word authorization that was passed on Sept. 14, 2001, when about 70 percent of the current Congress wasn’t there when that vote was cast” is insufficient, Kaine said. “It’s time for Congress to get back in the game and refine and revise that authorization and really look at what it is to be engaged in military action against non-state terrorism groups.” Kaine added that he thinks some of the holdup by Congress is due to the new threat America is facing. “The challenge that we’re grappling with now is most of our thoughts and doctrines about war were really developed in the notion of war was state v. state,” he said. “We’re at war now against a non-state actor that doesn’t follow the Geneva Conventions ― that doesn’t follow any of the normal rules.” -- This feed and its contents are the property of The Huffington Post, and use is subject to our terms. It may be used for personal consumption, but may not be distributed on a website.

24 октября, 23:16

Clinton aims to run up the score

The Democrat wants to squash ‘rigged’ election talk with a huge win, dragging congressional Dems along for the ride.

24 октября, 19:01

Trump’s team admits outlook is bleak

DONALD Trump was fighting to preserve his narrow path to the presidency in must-win Florida yesterday as Hillary Clinton tries to slam the door on her Republican opponent in New Hampshire. Trump’s team

24 октября, 17:00

Trump falsely accuses media of not pushing Kaine on Catholic flap

Donald Trump alleged Monday that the media are “in the tank” for Hillary Clinton, apparently because no one has asked her running mate “about the horrible views emanated on WikiLeaks about Catholics.”Trump’s premise, however, is false. Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine has responded to multiple questions about the Clinton’s campaign’s rhetoric about Catholics, which was revealed among troves of hacked emails from Clinton campaign Chairman John Podesta’s personal email account.“Why has nobody asked Kaine about the horrible views emanated on WikiLeaks about Catholics?” Trump tweeted Monday morning. “Media in the tank for Clinton but Trump will win!”Kaine, who is a Catholic, is on the record responding to such questions on at least four occasions. “I do know what Hillary Clinton thinks about Catholicism because she picked a Catholic running mate and we talked an awful lot about my own faith background, and she and I feel like that’s a connection for us,” he told Bret Baier on “Fox News Sunday” on Oct. 16.In an interview the same day with ABC’s “This Week,” Kaine said he is “very, very serious" about his faith, “and Hillary views that as a real asset.”“I don’t vouch for anything in the emails, but I know directly what Hillary Clinton feels about Catholics and the importance of having a values-based orientation to public service,” he said, this time in an interview Tuesday with CNBC.And just one day ago, the Virginia senator pointed to his selection as Clinton’s running mate as demonstrative of how the top of the ticket views Catholics.“Hillary Clinton’s feeling about faith and about Catholicism in particular is most demonstrated by the fact that she asked me to be a running mate,” he told “Meet the Press” host Chuck Todd on Sunday. “And she described one of the reasons that she felt a connection with me was because of my own faith background, my missionary service in Honduras and my Jesuit education, which she felt was a pretty close match in some ways for her Methodist upbringing. That is the most direct evidence about what Hillary thinks about Catholics.”Trump’s campaign has highlighted the exchange revealed by WikiLeaks as anti-Catholic bigotry from the Clinton campaign. In the email correspondence to which Trump is referring, Jennifer Palmieri, who is also a Catholic and now serves as Clinton’s communications director, wrote that wealthy people find conservatism more acceptable from Catholics than evangelicals.In response to an email from Center for American Progress fellow John Halpin, who had accused prominent Catholic conservatives of “an amazing bastardization of the [Catholic] faith,” Palmieri said she imagines “they think it is the most socially acceptable politically conservative religion. Their rich friends wouldn’t understand if they became evangelicals.”

24 октября, 16:40

AT&T-Time Warner linkup faces uphill battle in Washington

An ambitious bid by AT&T to buy Time Warner could face major political obstacles in merger-wary Washington, where congressional lawmakers — and both the Clinton and Trump campaigns — are already sounding early doubts about the deal.It’ll be up to federal regulators in the coming months to bless or reject a merger that will combine the more than 100 million wireless, broadband and pay-TV subscribers at AT&T with Time Warner assets like HBO and CNN. The combination valued at more than $85 billion could dramatically reshape the telecommunications industry.Soon after the announcement of the merger, lawmakers including Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) began to question what the deal means for consumers. Sens. Mike Lee (R-Utah) and Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), the leaders of the Senate antitrust subcommittee, said they would hold a hearing on the tie-up in November.That put them in the rare company of both presidential campaigns: Donald Trump himself openly criticized AT&T’s latest gambit on Saturday, while Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine said a day later he’s also concerned about its implications.For its part, AT&T says its merger combines two companies that work in different but related industries — and doesn’t wipe a competitor from the telecom landscape. “There’s no media consolidation going on,” said Bob Quinn, senior executive vice president of external and legislative affairs at AT&T. “We’re not a content company acquiring more content; we’re not a broadband company acquiring more distribution.”Optimism aside, AT&T’s merger still faces an uphill political climb in the nation’s capital: The deal will land in the lap of the next Congress and a new White House, both of which might be itching to take a bite out of a rapidly changing — and consolidating — telecom industry.“This consolidation is not just a Democratic issue, it’s not just a Republican issue, it’s not just a Trump issue,” Klobuchar told POLITICO on Sunday. “This is a bipartisan problem, and we have to approach it that way and that’s why we’re going to be calling for this hearing.”For AT&T or any merging corporate giants, it’s the government’s customary review process that often creates the biggest headaches. AT&T knows the rigors of an antitrust win and loss firsthand. It successfully bought satellite provider DirecTV last year, and it waged a failed campaign to buy T-Mobile in 2011 in a deal blocked by federal antitrust cops even though AT&T spent millions of dollars lobbying to grow its wireless footprint.This time around, the final green light rests at least in the hands of the Justice Department. The FCC might also play a role, depending on whether old licenses still owned by Time Warner are transferred to a new owner. What’s new, however, are the politics: The blockbuster AT&T-Time Warner merger comes in the final weeks of an election that could reshape the very federal agencies that are supposed to approve the deal.At least in this respect, the Trump and Hillary Clinton campaigns agree the merger deserves close scrutiny. Trump, speaking Saturday in Pennsylvania, threatened to block the deal outright, promising he “will not approve [it] in my administration because it's too much concentration of power in the hands of too few." A day later, Kaine appeared on NBC’s "Meet the Press," stressing that regulators have to “get to the bottom” of the merits of the deal. "Less concentration I think is generally helpful, especially in the media,” he said.Their comments complemented a growing chorus on Capitol Hill speaking out against consolidation — in the media industry and elsewhere. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), for one, has blasted the growth of companies like Comcast, though she has not yet commented on the latest merger. Other Democrats, like Sens. Franken, Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) and Ed Markey (D-Mass.) each said this weekend they’d be skeptical of the deal, which already will be the subject of one hearing before Congress in the coming months.Sanders, who challenged Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination, tweeted Sunday that "the administration should kill the Time Warner-AT&T merger. This deal would mean higher prices and fewer choices for the American people."For its part, though, AT&T insists there’s no consolidation at hand. Previewing their arguments to Congress and federal regulators, Quinn stressed it’s a “vertical merger,” meaning AT&T is adding new assets to the company and not taking a competitor, like another wireless giant, off the market. “We haven’t found a single transaction in the media, entertainment or broadband space where the government has blocked a vertical transaction,” Quinn said.Instead, Quinn said, any concerns about competition could be handled through conditions imposed on the deal, which is what the DOJ and FCC did in the Comcast-NBCUniversal transaction in 2011.Even in that scenario, AT&T and Time Warner may face an uphill battle.The New Street Research firm said this weekend in a note to investors that a “government review of an AT&T/Time Warner Entertainment [deal] would likely result in approval but is not without significant risks and will likely face major conditions.” And the firm BTIG predicted similar headaches, seeing as many view the government’s treatment of the Comcast deal as a major failure. “Whether or not it comes before FCC — the DOJ regrets the behavioral remedies of Comcast-NBC,” said analyst Rich Greenfield in an interview.To that end, Klobuchar said she hopes lessons have been learned from the Comcast-NBC deal.“I don’t know if it will be approved, but if they go down that route, we just cannot continue to have consumers being the ones holding the bag here for all these mergers, and that’s what’s been happening,” Klobuchar said.

24 октября, 15:31

Kaine: If elected, Clinton will ask Congress for updated bill to fight ISIL

Hillary Clinton would waste little time if elected president in seeking an updated bill from Congress to revise the current authorization for military force against the Islamic State, her running mate said in an interview published Monday."Hillary has said that that's something she wants to do very early in her administration," Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine said on “The Axe Files,” a political podcast hosted by David Axelrod, a former senior adviser to President Barack Obama.The ongoing military action against the Islamic State is being carried out under the authorization passed by Congress on Sept. 14, 2001, in the wake of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. The Obama administration has argued that that authorization is sufficient, but Kaine, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said a revised authorization is warranted."It's time for Congress to get back in the game and refine and revise that authorization, and really look at what it is to be engaged in military action against non-state terrorist groups,” Kaine told Axelrod on his podcast, produced by CNN and the University of Chicago Institute of Politics.The current authorization, Kaine said, is inadequate at least in part because it is a "60-word authorization that was passed on Sept. 14, 2001, when about 70 percent of the current Congress wasn't there when that vote was cast."

24 октября, 15:30

CLARICE FELDMAN: The Incestuous Left and Those Who Provide Cover for them. As the election nears…

CLARICE FELDMAN: The Incestuous Left and Those Who Provide Cover for them. As the election nears, the media hype, designed to affect the results, demoralize and demonize Trump and his supporters and confirm the bias of its elite coastal consumers, continues. Saturday’s opinion-posing-as-news lead in the Washington Post says the end is near for Trump […]