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21 сентября, 14:44

В 2017 году ВВП Украины вырастет на 2%, — Всемирный банк

Всемирный банк прогнозирует рост ВВП Украины в 2017 году на уровне 2%. Об этом заявила директор Всемирного банка по делам Украины, Беларуси и Молдовы Сату Кахконен на Ukrainian Financial Forum 2017 в Одессе, передает корреспондент […]

21 сентября, 14:41

Всемирный банк ожидает принятия земельной реформы в Украине этой осенью – ВБ

В организации подчеркнули, что давно уже нужно разрешить куплю-продажу земли.

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21 сентября, 14:32

Всемирный банк торопит Украину с принятием земельной реформы

Мораторий на продажу сельхозземель действует на Украине до конца 2017 года

16 сентября, 03:35

High-Ranking CIA Agent Blows Whistle On The Deep State And Shadow Government

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Authored by Aaron Kesel via ActivistPost.com, A CIA whistleblower, Kevin Shipp, has emerged from the wolves den to expose the deep state and the shadow government which he calls two entirely separate entities. “The shadow government controls the deep state and manipulates our elected government behind the scenes,” Shipp warned in a recent talk at a Geoengineeringwatch.org conference. Shipp had a series of slides explaining how the deep state and shadow government functions as well as the horrific crimes they are committing against U.S. citizens. Some of the revelations the former CIA anti-terrorism counter intelligence officer revealed included that “Google Earth was set up through the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency and InQtel.” Indeed he is correct, the CIA and NGA owned the company Google acquired, Keyhole Inc., paying an undisclosed sum for the company to turn its tech into what we now know as Google Earth. Another curious investor in Keyhole Inc. was none other than the venture capital firm In-Q-Tel run by the CIA according to a press release at the time. Shipp also disclosed that the agency known as the Joint Special Ops Command (JSOC) is the “president’s secret army” which he can use for secret assassinations, overturning governments and things the American people don’t know about. FBI warrantless searches violate the Fourth Amendment with national security letters, which Shipp noted enables them to walk into your employer’s office and demand all your financial records and if he or she says anything about them being there they can put your supervisor in jail or drop a case against themselves using the “State’s Secret Privilege law.” “The top of the shadow government is the National Security Agency and the Central Intelligence Agency,” Shipp said. Shipp expressed that the CIA was created through the Council on Foreign relations with no congressional approval, and historically the CFR is also tied into the mainstream media (MSM.) He elaborated that the CIA was the “central node” of the shadow government and controlled all of other 16 intelligence agencies despite the existence of the DNI. The agency also controls defense and intelligence contractors, can manipulate the president and political decisions, has the power to start wars, torture, initiate coups, and commit false flag attacks he said. As Shipp stated, the CIA was created through executive order by then President Harry Truman by the signing of the National Security Act of 1947. According to Shipp, the deep state is comprised of the military industrial complex, intelligence contractors, defense contractors, MIC lobbyist, Wall St (offshore accounts), Federal Reserve, IMF/World Bank, Treasury, Foreign lobbyists, and Central Banks. In the shocking, explosive presentation, Shipp went on to express that there are “over 10,000 secret sites in the U.S.” that formed after 9/11. There are “1,291 secret government agencies, 1,931 large private corporations and over 4,800,000 Americans that he knows of who have a secrecy clearance, and 854,000 who have Top Secret clearance, explaining they signed their lives away bound by an agreement. He also detailed how Congress is owned by the Military Industrial Complex through the Congressional Armed Services Committee (48 senior members of Congress) giving those members money in return for a vote on the spending bill for the military and intelligence budget. He even touched on what he called the “secret intelligence industrial complex,” which he called the center of the shadow government including the CIA, NSA, NRO, and NGA. Shipp further stated that around the “secret intelligence industrial complex” you have the big five conglomerate of intelligence contractors – Leidos Holdings, CSRA, CACI, SAIC, and Booz Allen Hamilton. He noted that the work they do is “top secret and unreported.” The whistleblower remarked that these intelligence contractors are accountable to no one including Congress, echoing the words of Senator Daniel Inouye when he himself blew the whistle on the shadow government during the Iran-Contra hearings in 1987. At the time Inouye expressed that the “shadow government had its own funding mechanism, shadowy Navy, and Air Force freedom to pursue its own goals free from all checks and balances and free from the law itself.” Shipp further added that the shadow government and elected government were in the midst of a visible cold war. So who is Shipp and is he credible as a whistleblower, does he have credentials for the CIA? Aim.org wrote: Shipp held several high-level positions in the CIA. He was assigned as a protective agent for the Director of Central Intelligence, a counterintelligence investigator, a Counter Terrorism Center officer, a team leader protecting sensitive CIA assets from assassination, a manager of high-risk protective operations, a lead instructor for members of allied governments, an internal staff security investigator, and a polygraph examiner. He was tasked with protecting the CIA from foreign agent penetration and the chief of training for the CIA federal police force.  Mr. Shipp functioned as program manager for the Department of State, Diplomatic Security, and Anti Terrorism Assistance global police training program.  He is the recipient of two CIA Meritorious Unit Citations, three Exceptional Performance Awards and a Medallion for overseas covert operations.  He is the author of From the Company of Shadows–CIA Operations and the War on Terrorism. Shipp noted he was working with former NSA whistleblower William Binney but didn’t state what the two were working on together. Shipp is highly credible and may just be the highest level whistleblower. This leak is huge. He has been previously mentioned in the New York Times for blowing the whistle on the mistreatment of him and his family when they were put in a mold-contaminated home. He is also mentioned in a WikiLeaks cable during the GiFiles that I was able to dig up. Is this the beginning of whistleblowers coming forward to end the shadow government and deep state? You can watch Shipp’s full explosive presentation below.

15 сентября, 20:34

Всемирный банк дал Грузии $4,3 млрд

За 25 лет Всемирный банк осуществил в Грузии более 100 проектов общей суммой более $4,3 млрд, заявил глава Минфина Дмитрий Кумсишвили. Он отметил, что Грузия очень ценит поддержку Всемирного банка как в направлении …

15 сентября, 17:29

Энергетический омбудсмен: новый игрок на рынках энергетики и коммунальных услуг

Ситуация в энергетике и сфере коммунальных услуг требует создания института по эффективной защите прав потребителя.

15 сентября, 13:27

Текст: Безнадежная глобализация ( РБК )

Всемирный банк проанализировал международное движение капитала. Финансовая глобализация не оправдала всех надежд, оценил Всемирный банк. Рост денежных потоков из богатых стран в бедные во многом оказался техническим, а получающие инвестиции из-за рубежа больше страдают от «иностранных шоков» Финансовая глобализация, начавшаяся в 1970-х годах, повлекла за собой не только плюсы: многие компании от нее ничего не выиграли, а зависимость государств от внешних шоков выросла. Об этом пишут экономисты ......

15 сентября, 00:02

Всемирный банк рассказал о неоправдавшихся надеждах глобализации

Финансовая глобализация не оправдала всех надежд, оценил Всемирный банк. Рост денежных потоков из богатых стран в бедные во многом оказался техническим, а получающие инвестиции из-за рубежа больше страдают от «иностранных шоков»

15 сентября, 00:00

Безнадежная глобализация

Финансовая глобализация не оправдала всех надежд, оценил Всемирный банк. Рост денежных потоков из богатых стран в бедные во многом оказался техническим, а получающие инвестиции из-за рубежа больше страдают от «иностранных шоков»

14 сентября, 19:01

Measures to create more entrepreneurs

CHINA’S Cabinet has released reform measures to boost support for innovation and entrepreneurship, and improve government service. China will encourage one-stop financing and investment services for

14 сентября, 15:12

Нацбанк ухудшил прогноз инфляции на 2017 год

К концу года показатель инфляции будет иметь тенденцию к замедлению - НБУ. 

13 сентября, 14:27

Министр рассказал о еще одном источнике дешевых денег для Казахстана

Министр нацэкономики РК Тимур Сулейменов рассказал, в чем преимущество членства Казахстана в Азиатском банке инфраструктурных инвестиций (АБИИ), сообщает Sputnik Kazakhstan. Иллюстративное фото с сайта bigbucks.com.ua В среду на пленарном заседании мажилиса депутаты одобрили поправки, направленные на законодательное регулирование членства Казахстана в Азиатском банке инфраструктурных инвестиций. Предусматривается закрепление госорганов, уполномоченных на отношения с международными организациями, а также регулирование финансовых взаимоотношений Казахстана, связанных с членством в международных организациях. "Этот банк представляет для нас еще один источник дешевых денег. У нас много источников — это ЕБРР, Всемирный банк, Исламский банк, Азиатский банк, но, тем не менее, лимиты у данных фининститутов, они всегда устанавливаются. Соответственно, появление еще одного игрока с большими лимитами на нашу страну позволяет нам варьировать, смотреть, где нам наиболее выгодно брать ресурсы. Это первое — то есть право выбора и глубокая емкость заимствования", — пояснил Сулейменов журналистам. По его словам, в отличие от других финансовых институтов АБИИ дает займы в сферу энергетики. Читайте также: Полицейский из Костаная спас тонувшую девушку в Астане>> "Остальные международные финорганизации в основном дают возобновляемую энергию, в городское, сельское хозяйство, но именно на энергетические проекты у них мандата нет. Поэтому, если мы хотим построить электростанцию, например, нам будет сложно привлечь деньги, к примеру, из ЕБРР. АБИИ на такие проекты деньги дает", — продолжил министр. Кроме того, АБИИ может предоставить Казахстану финансирование в тенге, что существенно снижает валютные риски. Читайте также: Главу филиала РГП «Казгидромет» осудили за коррупцию>> Сулейменов выразил надежду, что когда вопросы, связанные с нормативно-правовой базой, будут разрешены, можно будет активизировать проекты с этим банком.

13 сентября, 05:51

Последние новости пенсионного фонда Украины для переселенцев. Последие сведения на 13.09.2017 г.

Мельник считает очень важным, что правительство не замалчивает проблему. Вторым шагом, по его мнению, должна стать организация психологической помощи бывшим военным и их семьям. «Нужно большое внимание уделять именно психологической поддержке всей семьи, ведь домой с фронта возвращается уже совсем … Читать далее →

13 сентября, 04:59

Малый бизнес встраивается в цепочки поставщиков глобальных компаний

Министерство экономического развития РФ совместно с рабочей группой по локализации Консультативного совета по иностранным инвестициям (КСИИ) в России провели семинар для представителей российских предприятий малого и среднего бизнеса, основной темой которого стали вопросы интеграции российских поставщиков в цепочки поставок глобальных производителей пищевой продукции. Минэкономразвития России и международные компании–члены КСИИ договорились помочь российским поставщикам в достижении соответствия международному уровню качества их продукции. «Сотрудничество российских и иностранных компаний выгодно всем участникам рынка. Преимущества для иностранных компаний заключаются в повышении эффективности бизнес-процессов и сокращении издержек производства, в то время как российский малый бизнес получает доступ к технологиям, увеличивает объемы производства и географию поставок. В результате рынок наполняется качественной и безопасной пищевой продукцией», – подчеркнул директор Департамента инвестиционной политики и развития частно-государственного партнерства Минэкономразвития России Владислав Бармичев. Представители бизнеса также отметили, что сотрудничество с международной компанией позволяет наладить современное технологичное производство, не уступающее лучшим мировым аналогам, повысить уровень ведения бизнеса, интегрировать наиболее эффективные технологии и стандарты. По словам заместителя директора Департамента развития малого и среднего предпринимательства и конкуренции Минэкономразвития России Олеси Тетериной, для встраивания российских МСП в цепочки поставщиков крупных компаний, в том числе международных, Министерством созданы все условия. «В регионах функционирует широкая сеть инфраструктуры поддержки малого и среднего бизнеса, которая включает центры поддержки предпринимательства, экспорта, центры инжиниринга и кластерного развития и др., – сообщила она. – Одной из основных задач действующих объектов инфраструктуры является поиск рынков сбыта». Представитель Минэкономразвития заявила, что сейчас в пяти регионах – Краснодаре, Ставрополе, Воронеже, Липецке и Татарстане – запускается пилотный проект, в результате которого ожидается увеличение числа МСП, вовлеченных в закупки крупных компаний. «Наш сегодняшний семинар, первый шаг на пути к реализации этой инициативы», - сказала она. Международные компании активно работают с российскими поставщиками: закупки у местных производителей упрощают логистику и снижают затраты для тех, кто открыл производственные площадки в России. «Мы прошли большой путь в построении сотрудничества и повышении соответствия качества продукции поставщиков, и сегодня 100% сахара и муки, используемых в производстве нашей продукции в России, закупаются у местных поставщиков», – рассказал директор по корпоративным вопросам и отношениям с государственными органами компании ООО «Мон’дэлис Русь» Юрий Головатчик. Вместе с тем, отдельные ингредиенты по-прежнему поступают из-за рубежа, даже если речь идет не об экзотических фруктах, а о вполне традиционных для нашей страны томатах, луке, ягодах, и т.д. Ключевой причиной является необходимость соответствия международным требованиям качества, единым для всех подразделений глобальных компаний. Представитель АО «Корпорация «МСП» отметил важность повышения уровня готовности субъектов МСП к участию в поставках крупных компаний, в том числе с иностранным участием. При этом важна реализация мероприятий по «доращиванию», направленных на увеличение количества субъектов МСП, выпускающих конкурентоспособную продукцию и готовых к участию в закупках крупных компаний. Несмотря на то, что для разных типов сырья и продукции требования сертификации разнятся, в мировой практике существуют универсальные условия, которые являются базой для начала взаимодействия международной компании с потенциальным поставщиком. Так, например, в пищевой промышленности таким универсальным условием, как правило, является наличие международной сертификации по одному из стандартов Глобальной Инициативы по Безопасности Пищевой Продукции (GFSI). В связи с этим по предложению рабочей группы КСИИ по локализации Минэкономразвития намерено стимулировать проведение пилотных обучающих семинаров по стандартам GFSI на базе объектов инфраструктуры поддержки предпринимательства. В мероприятии приняли участие около 100 представителей из разных регионов России, в т.ч. международных производителей продуктов питания, их потенциальные и действующие поставщики, компании, занимающиеся обучением сотрудников и сертификацией пищевых производств, а также сотрудники объектов инфраструктуры поддержки предпринимательства. О КСИИ Консультативный совет по иностранным инвестициям был создан в 1994 году Правительством РФ совместно с иностранными компаниями. Основная задача Совета состоит в оказании России содействия в формировании и развитии благоприятного инвестиционного климата на основе использования мирового опыта, а также опыта работы международных компаний в России. В состав Совета под руководством Председателя Правительства РФ и EY входят главы следующих международных компаний: Компания «3М», «АББ», «Эбботт Лэбораториз», «Арконик», «АстраЗенека», «БАСФ СЕ», концерн «Байер» АГ, «Би Пи», «БАТ», «Каргилл, Инк.», Carlsberg Breweries A/S, Данон, «Дойче Банк АГ», ЕБРР, «Энел С.п.А.», «Эни» С.п.А., EY, «Корпорация Эксон Мобил», «Корпорация Фортум», «Хенкель АГ энд Ко. КГаА», «Хёндэ Хэви Индастриз Ко., Лтд.», «Интернешнл Пейпер», Корпорация Кинросс Голд, ЛафаржХолсим, «Леонардо С.п.а.», «Mars, Incorporated», «МЕТРО АГ», «Мицубиси Корпорейшн», «Мицуи энд Ко., Лтд.», «Мон’дэлис Интернэшнл, Инк.», «Нестле С.А.», Группа компаний «Новартис», «Олам Интернешнл Лимитед», «ПепсиКо», «Проктер энд Гэмбл», «Ройял Датч Шелл плс.», «Сен-Гобен», «Самсунг Электроникс Ко., Лтд.», «Санофи», «ЭсСиЭй», «Шнейдер Электрик», «Сименс АГ», «Группа Société Générale», «Группа СОЛЬВЕЙ», «Группа САН», «Такеда Фармасьютикал», «Тетра Пак», Компания «Кока-Кола», «Тоталь С.А.», «ЮниКредит», «Юнилевер», «Юнипер» и Всемирный Банк. Площадка КСИИ объединяет крупнейшие международные компании, работающие в России для улучшения делового и инвестиционного климата. Рабочая группа КСИИ по локализации была создана в 2015 году, её координаторами являются Министерство экономического развития РФ и компания ООО «Мон’дэлис Русь».

12 сентября, 16:50

DG Azevêdo: China’s commitment to openness will continue to drive the economy forward

Director-General Roberto Azevêdo visited Beijing, China, on 12 September to participate in the “1+6” roundtable meeting hosted by Chinese Premier Li Keqiang, together with five other heads of major international economic organizations and financial institutions (the IMF, World Bank, ILO, OECD and the Financial Stability Board). They discussed the continued need to promote an open and inclusive global economy, and the central role of the multilateral trading system in this effort.

12 сентября, 13:52

World Stocks Hit Fresh Record High As Irma, Korea Rally Continues; Pounds Surges

World stocks hit new record highs on Tuesday amid a continuation of Monday's risk-on theme which unleashed a dramatic relief rally on easing North Korea tensions and signs that Hurricane Irma caused less damage than feared (which according to Keynesians should be GDP negative). The MSCI All-Country World Index gained 0.2%, hitting the highest on record with a fifth consecutive advance. European equities headed for the longest winning streak in five months while S&P 500 futures extended on Monday's record high, pointing to another all time high open. Meanwhile, the dollar struggled to build on a strong start to the week as concerns about lackluster inflation lingered before key U.S. data. Europe's Stoxx 600 Index gained for a fifth day, the longest run since April, up 0.6% hitting the highest level in 5 weeks, as the technology sector joined in the rally ahead of Apple iPhone unveiling later on Tuesday. Chip makers STMicroelectronics N.V. and Infineon Technologies AG were among big gainers, while the insurer index gained a further 0.3%, as insured property losses from Hurricane Irma’s are expected to be smaller than initially forecast. S&P index futures also rose as North Korea stayed silent - for now - in the face of another round of sanctions. As Bloomberg puts it well, "the appetite for riskier assets that took hold on Monday was sustained more by a lack of bad news than any positive catalysts."  So far there have been no further provocative developments from North Korea after the UN Security Council approved a watered-down proposal to punish the nation for its latest missile and nuclear tests. Meanwhile, Hurricane Irma damage estimates were revised sharply lower (remember when the worse the hurricane, the better for GDP? Apparently for stocks, no matter what the hurricane outcome, it's all good). With a flat greenback, bonds across Europe followed Treasuries lower. “The absence of walking into any North Korea-related headlines, the general feeling that the worst-case scenario from Hurricane Irma was avoided and with the more significant economic data reserved for later in the week too, markets seem to have breathed a collective big sigh of relief,” strategists including Craig Nicol at Deutsche Bank AG wrote in a note to clients. In overnight geopolitical developments, Japan's Defense Minister Onodera said Japan cannot rule out possibility of further provocation by North Korea and will stay on alert. Shortly prior, the UN Security Council unanimously voted to increase sanctions against North Korea, albeit substantially watered down from the original version proposed by the US and excluding an oil embargo or asset freezes of the government. The US Ambassador to the UN Haley said the US is willing to act alone to stop North Korea’s nuclear programme and that half-measures have not worked. There were also comments from South Korea which later stated that North Korea is technically ready for a nuclear test. British consumer price inflation came in stronger than expected at 2.9 percent, offering more clues as to the Bank of England’s policy decision on Thursday, and sending the pound to the highest level against the USD, as cable rose as high as 1.328. The BOE has been struggling to keep inflation at 2 percent since sterling tumbled in response to Britain voting to leave the European Union in June 2016, pressuring on consumer spending and living standards (more below). Asia, too, was green across the board: Japan’s Topix index advanced 0.9 percent at the close in Tokyo. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index added 0.6 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index rose 0.3 percent. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong and gauges in China fluctuated. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.4 percent. The Japanese yen fell 0.3 percent to 109.74 per dollar, the weakest in more than a week. The dollar failed to maintain momentum after Monday’s 0.6 percent gain, with market focus turning to whether U.S. consumer-price data due Thursday has the potential to improve the greenback’s allure. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index swung between gains and losses as investors unwound risk-off positions, while the pound rallied on the back of faster-than-estimated U.K. inflation. Sterling rose to $1.3282, its highest level in a year, as data showed annual core inflation in Britain accelerated to 2.7 percent in August, the most since 2011. Profit-taking in euro-pound longs also helped cable push above the August highs, according to currency traders in Europe and London. The strong U.K. data spurred an immediate repricing of Bank of England rate-increase odds. Based on MPC-dated overnight index swap rates, chances of a 25 basis point hike by the end of year have risen to 33 percent from 24 percent Monday. A tightening is fully priced in by end of summer next year. Risks are now skewed toward a hawkish shift in the BOE Monetary Policy Committee vote on Thursday, with more than two members now pushing for a rate increase, providing more support for the pound. Over in China, the onshore yuan slumps by the most in six months against a trade-weighted currency basket amid a weaker central bank fixing and a dollar surge overnight. The Bloomberg replica of the CFETS RMB Index slumped 0.44%, the biggest drop since March 16, to 94.9385, just two days after reaching this year’s high on Monday. On Tuesday, the PBOC weakened its daily reference rate by 0.43%, the most since Jan. 9 and the first cut in 12 days, to 6.5277 per dollar. The fixing was weaker than the 6.5245 average of estimates from 18 traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, and followed on Friday's aggressive attempt by the PBOC to reignite volatility by invitine shorters into the currency after it cut reserve requirements from 20% to 0%. Brent traded near $53.50/bbl; Bloomberg reports that OPEC output fell in August. OPEC’s estimate of its oil production, compiled from four of six external data sets known as secondary sources, fell to 30.004m b/d excluding output from Libya and Nigeria, according to a person familiar with the matter; down from 30.113m b/d in July. At the same time, Saudi Arabia reportedly told OPEC it pumped 9.95m b/d of oil in August, down from 10.01m b/d in July. The data contrast with OPEC’s internal ests, which show Saudi Arabia pumped 10.022m b/d in August vs 10.049m b/d in July, according to information compiled from four of six secondary sources. “The OPEC monthly report is coming out later and that should set some kind of direction to the market,” says Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil Associates. “Yesterday we saw the WTI-Brent arbitrage strengthening, it has been so weak that it’s inevitable that at some point people are going to find U.S. crude so cheap that it will reverse” Elsewhere, safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasuries and gold gave back most of recent gains. The 10Y Treasury yield jumped to 2.1515% from 2.1250%, the highest in a week. Germany’s 10-year yield gained three basis points to 0.37 percent, the highest in a week. Britain’s 10-year yield rose three basis points to 1.076 percent, the highest in almost three weeks. Gold dropped to $1,326.31 per ounce, compared to Friday’s one-year peak of $1,357.4. Key events on today's calendar include the JOLTS job openings, NFIB small business optimism report, U.S. 10-year auction. Bulletin Headline Summary from RanSquawk: GBP rallies, as CPI & RPI beats put focus on the MPC In politics, UK Parliament passed the Brexit Bill and Norway’s ruling centre-right government won re-election Looking ahead, highlights include potential comments from ECB’s Constancio and a US 10yr Auction Market Snapshot S&P 500 futures up 0.1% to 2,490.75 STOXX Europe 600 up 0.5% to 381.49 MSCI Asia up 0.3% to 162.84 MSCI Asia ex Japan up 0.4% to 538.95 Nikkei up 1.2% to 19,776.62 Topix up 0.9% to 1,627.45 Hang Seng Index up 0.06% to 27,972.24 Shanghai Composite up 0.09% to 3,379.49 Sensex up 0.6% to 32,080.00 Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 0.6% to 5,746.44 Kospi up 0.3% to 2,365.47 German 10Y yield rose 2.6 bps to 0.362% Euro up 0.04% to $1.1958 Italian 10Y yield rose 0.9 bps to 1.677% Spanish 10Y yield rose 2.7 bps to 1.593% Brent Futures down 0.5% to $53.57/bbl Gold spot down 0.09% to $1,326.28 U.S. Dollar Index unchanged at 91.88 Top Overnight News President Donald Trump plans an aggressive travel schedule, taking him to as many as 13 states over the next seven weeks, to sell the idea of a tax overhaul as the administration tries to avoid repeating the communication failures of its attempt to repeal Obamacare Florida’s ports re-open after Irma, but feeding gas stations could take days and restoring power also is a challenge in getting gas to consumers Investors may pile into Treasuries and gilts at the expense of Japanese and Chinese debt if a proposal by the world’s biggest wealth fund is implemented Hedge funds are less interested in shorting China after being wrong in predicting a sharp devaluation, a credit crisis and an economic hard landing UN Votes New North Korea Sanctions Short of an Oil Embargo Toshiba Board Is Said to Aim for Chip Sale Decision Wednesday Equifax’s Seismic Breach Tests Trump Pledge to Dismantle Rules CBOE Plans to Introduce Options on S&P Select Sector Indexes U.K. Inflation Accelerates More Than Forecast to Reach 2.9% $150 Billion Misfire: How Forecasters Got Irma Damage So Wrong In Dismal Summer, ‘Despicable Me 3’ Producer Delivers $1 Billion SoFi CEO Cagney to Step Down by Year End; Co. Seeks Successor FPL Says Much of SW Florida Electric System Will Need Rebuild Delta Says 1,100 Flights Canceled at Atlanta on Irma Effects U.K. Will Offer Troops to Support EU Operations After Brexit Li Upbeat on China Economy as Lagarde Cites Push to Curb Risk Asian markets traded mostly higher on positive momentum from the reduced North Korean concerns, which also followed a strong performance on Wall St where the S&P 500 closed at a fresh record level. ASX 200 (+0.7%) and Nikkei 225 (+1.2%) gained as financials mirrored the outperformance in their counterparts stateside where lower estimates of hurricane damages and rising yields buoyed the sector, while JPY weakness remained the driver for Japanese exporter sentiment. Conversely, Shanghai Comp. (+0.1%) and Hang Seng (Unch.) were less exuberant after the PBoC refrained from liquidity operations again and after the Hong Kong benchmark index met resistance around the 28,000 level. Finally, 10yr JGBs were lower as 10yr yields rose by the most YTD alongside increases in global yields, with demand for bonds also dampened by the positive risk tone and after a 5yr auction where the b/c declined and tail in price widened from prior. PBoC refrained from open market operations again today.PBoC set CNY mid-point at 6.5277 vs Prev. 6.4997, biggest fixing drop since January. Chinese Premier Li says China's economy will continue maintain trend seen in H1, adds China will not boost exports through CNY depreciation. Top Asian News Hong Kong Finance Chief Warns Again of Property Risk as Fed Acts Star Stock Geely Soars Most in Month on Market Sentiment Boost China’s Banks Are Leading Globalization Charge, McKinsey Says Hedge Funds Used to Love Shorting China. Now, Not So Much European equity markets also traded in the green across the board with Stoxx 600 sectors following the theme, as financials lead the way. UK home builders have struggled however, and underperform, likely weighed on after a report in the Times suggested that the chronic housing shortage is being made worse by the reluctance of banks to lend to small housebuilders, the Federation of Master Builders has claimed. Bunds underperform, leading the middle of the curve, as investors unwind safe haven flows. The Bund now trades around 162.40, with the next support to look-out for being 162.22. Gilts do trade slightly better than Bunds, however, the Gilt bears did catch up following the beats in UK CPI and RPI data. Gilts now trade through September lows, with the BoE possibly looking at a hawkish tilt on Thursday. Top European News Norway PM Wins Second Term as Insurgency Against Oil Fizzles Swedbank Plans Two-Tiered FICC Research Offering After MiFID II Italian Quarterly Unemployment Rate Falls to Lowest Since 2012 U.K. Builders Fall; BofAML Sees Multiple Risks, Full Valuations In currencies, morning FX volatility has largely been based on data: the UK beat across the board, with EUR/GBP now hitting one-month lows, as the inflation figures could lead the BoE to be more forceful in realigning market forecasts with their own when it comes to rate hike expectations. The stronger data, supported by some form of Brexit direction clarity, has helped sterling find a bid through the European morning. Elsewhere, only a slight miss from Sweden helped some SEK bulls, with many pricing in a bad report, following Norway’s misses yesterday and inflation also remaining above the Riksbank's target. EUR/SEK fell from 9.5820, to print lows around 9.5440. Political news also caused some early volatility; as the latest Newshub poll showed a lead for the National Party vs. Labour in New Zealand, the details of the poll have the Greens now under the 5% threshold required to enter Parliament without the security of an electoral seat win. The lack of power from the Greens will lead to Labour not being able to form a coalition, leaving the national party with a 61 seat majority. In commodities, WTI and Brent saw some bearish pressure, as bulls failed to test yesterday’s high. Fundamentally, US refineries are restarting following the shutdowns caused by Hurricane Harvey, however, with restarts historically dangerous, operators did keep the shutdowns to a minimum. Precious metals continue to highlight metal markets, as the risk tone has picked up this week, the fail to fill Monday’s gap could  be an indication of a strong bearish trend in Gold, which trades back within August’s range. OPEC figures show that the cartel's August output has fallen to 30mln bpd, according to sources. On today's calendar, there is the NFIB small business confidence reading and July JOLTS job openings. Away from the data, China Premier Li Keqiang will host an economic roundtable in Beijing that will include heads of IMF, the World Bank and WTO. US Event Calendar 6am: NFIB Small Business Optimism, 105.30, est. 104.8, prior 105.2 10am: JOLTS Job Openings, est. 6,000, prior 6,163 DB's Jim Reid concludes the overnight wrap Yesterday felt a bit like a no-news-is-good-news-day for markets. Indeed, the absence of walking into any North Korea related headlines was part of the story, while the general feeling that the worst-case scenario from Hurricane Irma was avoided also played a big role. With the more significant economic data reserved for later in the week too, markets seem to have breathed a collective big sigh of relief with the S&P 500 (+1.08%) rallying to another all-time high after rising by the most in a single session since April. The Dow (+1.19%) and Nasdaq (+1.13%) are just off their respective record levels, while prior to this in Europe the Stoxx 600 had closed +1.04% for its best day since mid-August. Meanwhile, after flirting with a 1% handle last week, 10y Treasury yields jumped +8.0bps yesterday to close at 2.131% and finish what was the weakest session since late July. The stronger than expected China inflation data probably impacted at the margin too but as we said yesterday it feels like the bigger test for rates will come this Thursday with the August CPI report. Meanwhile bond markets in Europe finished anywhere from +1bp to +6bps higher in yield, with interestingly Italy outperforming although it wasn’t obvious what was driving that. Elsewhere, in further evidence of a classic risk-on session two of the bigger underperforming currencies were the Swiss Franc (-1.27%) and Yen (-1.42%), while Gold also tumbled -1.41%. WTI Oil rose +1.24% as OPEC members voiced support for a possible extension of production cuts. Just after the close of the US session last night, the UN Security Council voted unanimously for a watered down version of sanctions on North Korea, which does not include an oil embargo. The resolution passed seeks to cut imports of refined petroleum products to 2 million barrels per annum and ban textile exports, but does not include the more stringent oil embargo, likely reflecting the lack of support from China and Russia. We are yet to have heard a response from North Korea post the decision. One would have to imagine that the outcome helps nearterm sentiment insofar as not antagonizing China, but the reality is that it still doesn’t come closer to solving much. This morning in Asia, markets have largely followed the lead from the US and are trading broadly higher as we go to print, with the Nikkei (+1.01%), ASX 200 (+0.87%), Kospi (+0.12%) and Shanghai Comp (+0.07%) firmer. The Hang Seng is currently flat. US equity futures are also little changed while bond markets in Asia are weaker. Staying in Asia, yesterday our China Chief Economist Zhiwei Zhang published a report previewing the 19th National Congress meeting from October 18th. Zhiwei notes that this week-long event kicks off a six-month process that continues with the Central Economic Working Conference (CEWC) in December and the National People’s Congress (NPC) in March next year. He notes that the event is more about politics than setting economic policies, as the representatives will elect a group of leaders. Based on the age rule, five of seven incumbent members of the Politburo should retire as they are older than 67. Other important things to look out for include the CEWC setting GDP growth targets, while finally, the NPC will see a reshuffle of cabinet ministers and government posts. Overall, Zhiwei expects no substantial change in policy over the next six months, although the central government may slow fiscal spending a bit and the focus will turn to whether China may push for more deleveraging and structural reforms. Moving on. Following on from China’s better than expected inflation report the early focus in Europe yesterday was on the mixed August CPI reports out of Norway and Denmark. Norway disappointed with underlying CPI falling a fair bit more than expected (-0.9% mom vs. -0.4% expected) however Denmark then bettered expectations after coming in at -0.3% mom versus expectations for a bigger -0.5% decline. As a reminder, today we’ve got a bunch more inflation reports including Sweden first thing this morning, followed by the UK and then Portugal. Staying in Europe, there was a steady slate of comments from ECB board members yesterday. The early comments came from Benoit Coeure. Initially the headlines appeared fairly negative, warning that persistent gains in the euro may weigh on inflation, however the details of his comments revealed Coeure highlighting that the pass-through impact of the currency appreciation has declined as a result of a stronger economy and therefore any future impact is more limited on inflation. Later on, the ECB’s Ardo Hansson highlighted that “inflation rates have been gradually increasing” while fellow board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger said that “conditions are in place for inflation to pick up and move steadily towards our goal”. Elsewhere at the ECB, it was interesting to note the El Mundo report yesterday suggesting that the German government wants Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann to replace ECB President Mario Draghi when he steps down in October 2019. The article also suggested that a representative from Southern Europe as Vice-President would be nominated to keep the balance (Spain’s Economy Minister being highlighted). Weidmann has held relatively extreme and vocal views on ECB policy so it’s hard to know if this would improve his case across the wider Eurozone. Anyhow, this is still reasonably far off for now with a decision not due to be made until June 2019. Moving onto the latest on Brexit. Following a vote early this morning, PM May’s repeal bill secured enough votes (326-290) in the House of Commons to pass the first hurdle which would allow the UK government to copy EU law onto the domestic statute book. However, the real challenge will be how many amendments are made over the next eight days as Parliament debate the bill further. One such debate includes allowing ministers to make changes to existing laws, but bypass the normal scrutiny by parliament. Before we take a look at today’s calendar, in terms of the remaining data yesterday, in Italy July industrial production was above market at +0.1% mom (vs. -0.4% expected). This, coupled with solid gains in the preceding two months, has led to annual growth of +4.4% yoy (vs. +3.7% expected). In France, the business industry sentiment index was slightly lower than expectations at 104 (vs. 106 expected), but remains consistent with annual GDP growth of c.2% yoy. There was no data released in the US yesterday. Looking at the day ahead, in the UK, we have August CPI (+0.5% mom expected), PPI (+0.1% mom expected) and RPI (+0.5% mom expected). Across Europe, France’s 2Q total payrolls and Italy’s 2Q unemployment rate are also due. Over in the US, there is the NFIB small business confidence reading and July JOLTS job openings. Away from the data, China Premier Li Keqiang will host an economic roundtable in Beijing that will include heads of IMF, the World Bank and WTO.

12 сентября, 11:50

Всемирный банк выдал $8 млрд на Новый шелковый путь

Всемирный банк выдал на инфраструктурные проекты Шелкового пути суммарно $8 млрд, заявил во вторник президент Всемирного банка Джим Ён Ким.

12 сентября, 11:50

Всемирный банк выдал $8 млрд на Новый Шелковый путь

Всемирный банк выдал на инфраструктурные проекты Шелкового пути суммарно $8 млрд, заявил во вторник президент Всемирного банка Джим Ён Ким.

12 сентября, 09:27

Всемирный банк выделил на проекты Экономического пояса Шелкового пути $8 млрд

В Пекине проходит круглый стол в формате "6 + 1" с главами международных финансовых и экономических организаций

11 сентября, 20:50

Fed Vice Chair, Stanley Fischer...Exit Stage Left: "This One's Gonna Hurt"

Via Global Macro Monitor, This one is going to hurt.   Stanley Fischer is one, if not, our favorite economist. As Larry Summers points out in his recent piece in the Washington Post, The Fed and the international monetary system will be weaker for his departure from official responsibility. It is the end of an era.  – Larry Summers, September 7 Our friend, Terence Reilly, over at the Wall Street Blog sums it up best.  When the pressure is on we like to have what we term “adults” in the room. The “adults” are not only the smartest people in the room but they are people who know how and when to make a decision. Stanley Fischer is one of those “adults”. Dr Fischer, former professor at MIT, vice chairman of CitiGroup, and chief economist of the World Bank, and former Governor of the Bank of Israel, resigned his position as vice chair of the Federal Reserve. Fischer played the role of intelligent hawk who we felt comfortable leaving in charge of the store. As this critical time approaches of the Fed removing stimulus his absence alone makes us less confident in the “adults” left in the room. In one of his last public speeches as part of the Federal Reserve Dr Fischer warned about historically high asset valuations.    Let me conclude my assessment of current financial stability conditions with a discussion of asset valuation pressures… In equity markets, price-to-earnings ratios now stand in the top quintiles of their historical distributions, while corporate bond spreads are near their post-crisis lows. …   The general rise in valuation pressures may be partly explained by a generally brighter economic outlook, but there are signs that risk appetite increased as well…So far, the evidently high risk appetite has not lead to increased leverage across the financial system, but close monitoring is warranted.   – Stanley Fischer, June 27, 2017 These guys, such as Mr. Fischer, are very smart and have pretty good timing. Robert Rubin’s Exit From Treasury In May 1999 Remember,  Robert Rubin, deciding not to finish out his term as Secretary of the Treasury and left the Clinton administration just a few months before the dot.com bubble popped? Of course, he knew it was a massive bubble ready to burst, and that is why,  we believe, the Clinton administration didn’t spend the federal budget surplus as they concluded it was temporary -  windfall revenues from a stock market bubble and economy.  Their administration was under tremendous pressure by their own party to open the checkbook. They left a nice surplus for W. to stimulate the economy after the NASDAQ fell  80 percent, business capex collapsed, and we moved into, what in hindsight,  was just only a “shallow” recession.   Then 9/11 hit. That was good governance on the part of President Clinton,  Secretary Rubin and Summers. Totally unlike what we do in California, where the pols program ongoing expenditures, such as public pension increases, with the windfall tax revenues,  which collapse with the asset bubbles, leaving gaping budget deficits. The 2000 episode eventually cost Governor Gray Davis his job to the “The Terminator.”  

17 марта, 09:48

Кто не понял, тот поймёт или статистика всё знает.

В конце прошлого века в СССР и в Китае начались реформы. В СССР они были задуманы для того, чтобы заставить экономику работать, в Китае — для превращения страны в мировую державу. Советский Союз канул в лету, в России в 90-х создан олигархический капитализм. Китай реформаторы вывели в мировые лидеры по объемам промышленного и сельскохозяйственного производства, в строительстве, в электроэнергетике. Некоторые примеры приведены ниже на графиках.  Достижения Китая и России сравниваются с показателями самой крупной экономики мира в 20 веке — США. Источники: Федеральная служба государственной статистики Россия и страны мира. 2012: Статистический сборник Базы данных международных организаций: UNCTAD, WTO, WHO, OECD, FAO, World Bank, IMF, Eurostat Калабеков, Россия, Китай и США в цифрах             База данных Демоскоп Weekly Базы данных статистических органов Китая, США Российский статистический ежегодник Демографический ежегодник России

19 марта 2016, 11:11

Американо-китайская торговля как фактор дестабилизации мирового порядка

Любой экономический кризис – результат накопившихся диспропорций и проявление неравновесия в экономических отношениях. Одна из фундаментальных диспропорций мировой экономики – неравновесная торговля между странами (большое превышение экспорта над импортом и наоборот). Тенденция к росту межгосударственных торговых диспропорций наблюдается совершенно отчётливо, это влечет целый ряд неприятных последствий:...

01 мая 2015, 07:00

worldbank.org: Доклад об экономике России, апрель 2015 г.

http://www.worldbank.org/content/dam/Worldbank/document/eca/russia/rer33-rus.pdf

17 апреля 2015, 01:18

Доклад: Всемирный банк лишил жилья 3,4 млн людей

Проекты Всемирного банка в период с 2004 по 2013 гг. лишили крова, нанесли серьезный ущерб среде проживания и заставили сменить место жительства более 3,35 млн человек во всем мире.

23 марта 2015, 23:39

Oligarchs and their "Pocket Armies" Take Over Oil Company in Kiev; Ukraine Begs for More Money; Three-Way Civil War?

Ukraine Begs for More MoneyThe IMF foolishly agreed to give Ukraine a four-year $40 billion bailout on March 12. Already, Ukraine's Finance Minister Begs for More Money. Natalie Jaresko told the Financial Times in an interview that a four-year, $40bn, IMF-led bailout finalised this month — including restructuring $15bn of debt — was enough to stabilise the financial and banking system. But that was a “first step”.  Ukraine needed billions more to restart growth, rebuild shattered infrastructure, and deal with the effects of the eastern conflict that has killed at least 6,000 people, wounded 15,000 and displaced more than a million.“I believe strongly that the G7, and frankly speaking the broader G20, has a responsibility now to support Ukraine in a much bigger way financially,” Ms Jaresko said.Interesting Debate “I end up hearing this burden-sharing argument between different parties. The Americans say the Europeans should do more, the Europeans say the Americans should do more. That’s an interesting debate, but no one’s paying a greater cost than the Ukrainian people,” said Jaresko.Yes, it is an interesting debate. But missing from the debate is a Ukraine civil war that is still ongoing. Money to rebuild shattered infrastructure will do no such thing. Instead it will go for more war-mongering.Money will also go straight into the pockets of the corrupt officials running the country and the corrupt oligarchs battling to take over the country.Oligarch Takes Over Oil Company in KievThe battle over what's left of Ukraine has now reached Kiev with the takeover of oil company Ukrnafta by oligarch Igor Kolomoisky and his private army.Please consider Poroshenko Warns Rival Over ‘Pocket Army’. Ukraine’s President Petro Poroshenko warned on Monday that no regional governor would be allowed a “pocket army”, after armed men took up positions around an oil company in which Igor Kolomoisky, the billionaire oligarch and governor, is battling to retain control.The stand-off threatened to escalate into a full-blown clash between the country’s wealthy president and a rival oligarch who has long been one of Ukraine’s richest men but since last year’s Ukrainian revolution has also developed a political power base.Mr Kolomoisky accepted the role of governor of the central Dnipropetrovsk region last year as Ukraine’s new government tried to stabilise the country after the president at the time, Viktor Yanukovich, was toppled by anti-government protests. He has also funded volunteer militias fighting Russian-backed separatists in Ukraine’s east.The billionaire has long exercised management control over Ukrnafta, an oil producer, despite owning only 42 per cent. But a law passed by Kiev’s parliament has attempted to enable the state, which owns 50 per cent of the company plus 1 share, to retake full control.In an unusual scene, camouflage-clad guards in full military gear, some armed with assault rifles, surrounded Ukrnafta’s headquarters in central Kiev on Sunday.Mr Kolomoisky said the men were from a private security company summoned by the company’s management, not by him. He also said they did not come from one of the volunteer military battalions that he supports.Private "Security" CompanyHere a picture of what a private security company in Ukraine looks like.Anecdotes from UkraineReader "Ellen" Writes ... Hello Mish,Western media seldom talks about Ukraine's inner problems. In my country, wealth divided between several groups of ultra-rich oligarchs. Some control the bank system, others the power system, and another the oil companies. Recently the battles between them have escalated. We now have armed fighters on streets of Kiev guarding national oil companies. I don't care which oligarch wins because I know that the people of Ukraine will lose in any case. The situation now looks like Feudal Europe in early Middle Ages. Each wealthy baron strives to be a king and have own army and own land with serves. Porochenko has support of America and EU but zero respect in Ukraine. Powerful oligarchs battle for pieces. Some think that Ukraine oil was taken under control by USA, though Porochenko. This seems logical to me. Best regardsEllen Desperation IncreasesReader John whose sister lives in Lviv, Ukraine writes ... Hello MishThere is a lot of political wrangling going on, with the oligarchs starting to go at one another. It looks to be shaping up as Poroshenko vs Kolomoisky. Stay tuned on this as we head towards the beginning of April. The following is from my sister."Right now, everyone here is worrying about the tax and utility hikes coming in April. It's gonna be devastating. I don't like beating up the government in this state of war, but they're digging themselves an even bigger hole." "They are taxing poor working pensioners which will bring in a paltry million or so, raising utilities by almost 300% in April, and inflation up to 30% and rising. People leave (especially youngsters) as fast as possible. The OSCE is as blind as ever, as is the World Bank and IMF. I have nothing positive to report, but the war continues, with people dying and maimed every day."[John continues] This is the absolute first time that I have ever seen or heard my sister say anything negative about the current regime or junta as we call them. What this means is the average Ukrainian is up against the wall financially and there is nothing more that the government can take from them. Events are a recipe for yet another disaster. I do not like to speculate, but I expect that the Junta will try and pull off something to distract the masses, but by now, the people are too wise for this nonsense, and oligarchs want their say.JohnCarpetbaggers vs. OligarchsOn December 3, I wrote Enter the Carpetbaggers: Ukraine's New Finance Minister a US Citizen, New Economy Minister from Lithuania"Now that Ukraine's gold has been sold off, the only thing left to complete the plundering is to send in the carpetbaggers. That process is now underway. Ukraine's just-named "Finance Minister" is a US citizen, and Ukraine's new "Economy Minister" is from Lithuania. To get around legal issues associated with having foreigners in top level government positions, Ukraine made the appointees Ukrainian citizens.Three-Way Civil War?Kiev was happy with the oligarchs and their private armies (Igor Kolomoisky is rumored to have 10,000), as long as they were battling the separatists. Now it seems the oligarchs have turned on their masters in Kiev. Another overthrow, this time by an oligarch, could easily be in the works. Mike "Mish" Shedlockhttp://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

04 ноября 2013, 15:30

Конференция к столетию ФРС

Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН, Институт океанологии им. П.П.Ширшова РАН, Институт новой экономики им. Д.С.Львова, Центр научной политической мысли и идеологии, Академия геополитических проблем проводят Всероссийскую научно-общественную конференциюГлобальный социальный паразитизм(к 100 - летию Федеральной Резервной Системы США)Москва, 19 декабря 2013 г., здание Института океанологии РАН) Программный комитет конференции: Глазьев С.Ю. – академик РАН, директор Институт новой экономики им Д.С.Львова, Макаров В.Л. – академик РАН, директор Центрального экономико-математического института РАН, Нигматулин Р.Э. – академик РАН, директор Института океанологии им. П.П.Ширшова РАН, Ивашов Л.Г.- д.и.н., президент Академии геополитических проблем Председатель организационного комитета конференции: Сулакшин С.С.— д.полит.н, д.физ.-мат.н., генеральный директор Центра научной политической мысли и идеологии Проблемные вопросы, выносимые на обсуждение: · Природа биологического и социального паразитизма· Экономический паразитизм: рента на капитал, финансы, право эмиссии, информацию, природные, человеческие, административные и политические ресурсы· Историческое и геополитическое формирование системы глобального социального паразитизма· Частная собственность и общественное благо: проблема гармонизации· Либеральная модель государства как инструмент в системе социального паразитизма· Природа, статус, структура и механизмы деятельности ФРС· ФРС, Всемирный Банк, МВФ в системе глобального социального паразитизма США· Глобальная система социального паразитизма и современная финансово-экономическая модель России· Глобальный долларовый паразитизм как фактор деградации и потрясений мира· Грядущий обвал виртуальной «финансовой» долларовой экономикиМесто проведения конференции – здание Института океанологии им. П.П.Ширшова РАН (Москва, Нахимовский проспект, д. 36). Начало регистрации — 9.00. Начало работы конференции — 10.00. Участие в работе конференции бесплатное. Приглашаются все желающие. __________________ Много обвинительных заголовков. Но это дело литературно-политического вкуса. ФРС как любая монополия: откачивает максиму своим хозяевам, ограничивая остальным доступ к пирогу. Требовать у монополиста, чтобы поделился? Или не будем ждать милостей от ФРС? А как не ждать? Я получил приглашение на конференцию от сотрудника центра Сулакшина - организатора конференции. Безусловно, мне есть чем поделиться: затёртое уравнение Фишера, добавленный долг, согласованная эмиссия ЦБ-6, остановка допэмиссии в 2005-2007 гг., пятилетние "рыба" и отрицательный ссудный процент у ФРС, вечные качели золото-фиат-астероиды... Спрошусь мнения уважаемых коллег: Следует ли выдвигаться на конференцию провинциальному предпринимателю без званий и регалий? Допустим, мои материалы будут приняты к докладу... выступлю в конце дня перед остатками аудитории, коротающей время до открытия метро... А что потом? 

25 сентября 2013, 19:36

ВБ: рост российской экономики упёрся в "потолок"

Всемирный банк вслед за МВФ и российским правительством ухудшил макроэкономические прогнозы на этот год, отметив, что экономика России работает почти на полную мощность и испытывает структурные проблемы. ВБ советует улучшать инвестиционный климат, развивать конкуренцию и, конечно, избавляться от чрезмерной зависимости от энергоносителей. Впрочем, как сказала накануне на “круглом столе” первый заместитель председателя Банка России Ксения Юдаева, “к сожалению, преобразования, необходимые российской экономике немедленно, не могут произойти прямо сейчас. Они требуют изменить поведение многих и многих людей”. Прогноз Всемирного банка совпадает с оценками и МВФ и правительства: темпы роста экономики страны замедлятся почти вдвое – с 3,5% в 2012 году до 1,8% в э2013. В 2014 организация ждет ускорения – если позволят внешняя конъюнктура. Тем временем, отток капитала не останаливается – с января по август из России ушло 50 млрд долларов, всего на 6,8 млрд. долларов меньше чем за весь прошлый год. Банк России прогнозирует замедление процесса к концу года. Отчасти отток капитала наблюдается на всех развивающихся рынках, это связано с возможным сокращением стимулирования американской экономики до конца этого года. Но есть и российская специфика,говорит трейдер EXT Capital Джо Рандл: “Критически важный вопрос для инвесторов – доступность капитала, в смысле, сможете ли вы быстро забрать свои деньги из России без политических решений, или вы столкнетесь с резким изменением правил игры.” Многие эксперты сегодня называют именно плохой инвестиционный климат, коррупцию и слабость судебной системы главными препятствиями для развития российской экономики. Нефтяные инъекции больше не работают: 50,6% доходов бюджета страны (на конец 2012) зависят от энергоносителей, цены на “черное золото” стабильно держатся выше 100 долларов за баррель, и все равно – стагнация.